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Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 9:39pm On Aug 28, 2024
onegentleguy:


PIVOTAL NOTICE

To my prime subscribers and all who subscribed to the outline/recommendations and investment guide--Series 1 and/or 2, pls carefully fill out this form (https:///WbHX8i6RbZkcrRgEA)
to gain a one-month FREE access to the great LIT Signals/Platform and more.

Kindly note that activities on the platform begins September 1, 2024. ...there shall be no extension or grace period after the 30-day timeframe from date of commencement.
...it's time for us to bond together and GROW!

Let me sincerely apologize for putting this up here. ...it is NOT intended to take the shine off this channel.
Nsempa remains a great forum with many gifted minds.

Regards

Pls if you are not one of my prime subscribers or among those that subscribed to my outline and investment guide, then access to FINMAP is limited.
You can only join the NGX AFFAIRS PLATFORM. Kindly use this link to gain access-- https://chatdotwhatsappdotcom/Kc3CbX05ZhaKXVQylTVNBD (ensure to replace "dot" with . before using the link)
(Again, this is for intending or prospective subscribers)

Access to the premium channels (THE LIT PLATFORM, THE LIT SIGNALS, FINANCE KNOWLEDGE BOX, CRYPTOCURRENCIES, COMMODITIES, FWS etc) shall be exclusive to FINMAP subscribers depending on their membership plan. (to be communicated in due course)

That said, current prime subscribers and those who subscribed to my outline/recommendations and investment guide--Series 1 and/or 2 shall be granted a one month free access to some of the active premium platforms.
For these ones, pls kindly read the message above and do well to act accordingly.

Regards

5 Likes

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 6:34pm On Aug 28, 2024
onegentleguy:
So I finally decided to honour calls from some esteemed members to open a platform where matters around the global financial markets will be discussed.

FINMAP (FINancial MArkets Province), an all-inclusive one-of-a-kind financial instruments platform has been born!

Are you an investor and/or trader looking to gain insights, build your knowledge, achieve measurable returns through effective asset selection and fund allocation, grow your individual/collective portfolio and accomplish set out goals in the financial markets? Then FINMAP can sure be your plug!

FINMAP houses several unique platforms across different asset classes tailored to meet the yarning and aspirations of all lovers and players in the finance world.
What's more? There's also an express channel (The Beginners Domain) dedicated to all who're just starting out their journey in the financial markets.

Even more fascinating are the work in progress and available premium but distinct platforms (The Lit Platform, The Lit Signals, Financial Knowledge Box, FwS etc) designed to help all traders and investors alike proficiently and efficiently navigate the financial markets and EXCEL.

Pls note that like everything else, it won't be a perfect place, but it promises to be the one-stop platform that fulfills the goal of helping you become a better/successful trader and investor.
FINMAP hopes to revolutionize the financial markets landscape by providing the effective models you need to make money, keep it (risk management/capital preservation strategies) and grow it!
If you are in FINMAP and you're not generating returns or at the very least improving in your overall knowledge, then you probably shouldn't be in the financial markets.
...it should be unique experience!

Wish to subscribe and be part FINMAP? Kindly use the link below;
https:///Kc3CbX05ZhaKXVQylTVNBD
(for intending or prospective subscribers only)
If you weren't added to the platform, use the link (http://onegentleguy.contactin.bio) to send me a direct message on WhatsApp/Telegram or send a mail to finmapconnect@gmail.com

Let's grow our individual and collective goal.. ...Let's achieve more!
Take control of your journey in the financial markets now! Join FINMAP.
(link has been attached to my profile here)

It is well

PIVOTAL NOTICE

To my prime subscribers and all who subscribed to the outline/recommendations and investment guide--Series 1 and/or 2, pls carefully fill out this form (https:///WbHX8i6RbZkcrRgEA)
to gain a one-month FREE access to the great LIT Signals/Platform and more.

Kindly note that activities on the platform begins September 1, 2024. ...there shall be no extension or grace period after the 30-day timeframe from date of commencement.
...it's time for us to bond together and GROW!

Let me sincerely apologize for putting this up here. ...it is NOT intended to take the shine off this channel.
Nsempa remains a great forum with many gifted minds.

Regards

3 Likes

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 6:06pm On Aug 28, 2024
So I finally decided to honour calls from some esteemed members to open a platform where matters around the global financial markets will be discussed.

FINMAP (FINancial MArkets Province), an all-inclusive one-of-a-kind financial instruments platform has been born!

Are you an investor and/or trader looking to gain insights, build your knowledge, achieve measurable returns through effective asset selection and fund allocation, grow your individual/collective portfolio and accomplish set out goals in the financial markets? Then FINMAP can sure be your plug!

FINMAP houses several unique platforms across different asset classes tailored to meet the yarning and aspirations of all lovers and players in the finance world.
What's more? There's also an express channel (The Beginners Domain) dedicated to all who're just starting out their journey in the financial markets.

Even more fascinating are the work in progress and available premium but distinct platforms (The Lit Platform, The Lit Signals, Financial Knowledge Box, FwS etc) designed to help all traders and investors alike proficiently and efficiently navigate the financial markets and EXCEL.

Pls note that like everything else, it won't be a perfect place, but it promises to be the one-stop platform that fulfills the goal of helping you become a better/successful trader and investor.
FINMAP hopes to revolutionize the financial markets landscape by providing the effective models you need to make money, keep it (risk management/capital preservation strategies) and grow it!
If you are in FINMAP and you're not generating returns or at the very least improving in your overall knowledge, then you probably shouldn't be in the financial markets.
...it should be unique experience!

Wish to subscribe and be part of FINMAP? Kindly use the link below;
https:///Kc3CbX05ZhaKXVQylTVNBD
(for intending or prospective subscribers only)
If you weren't added to the platform, use the link (http://onegentleguy.contactin.bio) to send me a direct message on WhatsApp/Telegram or send a mail to finmapconnect@gmail.com

Let's grow our individual and collective goal.. ...Let's achieve more!
Take control of your journey in the financial markets now! Join FINMAP.
(link has been attached to my profile here)

It is well

10 Likes 2 Shares

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 1:07pm On Aug 28, 2024
This place is becoming something else! cool

2 Likes

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 3:57pm On Aug 27, 2024
onegentleguy:
This coy is doing something I like on the MTF.

Corrective run with 3 black crows candlestick pattern after an unconvincing attempt to close above the N4--4.2 level since previous high in January.
...price would later break below a KSL @ 2.90--3, possibly driven by an intent to tap into the sell-side insufficiency (ref: IMB/FVG) created by the LS/momentum move in Nov, 2023.

However, PA now appears to be rejecting a CHOCH at a confluence with last SH and resultant neckline from DB formation prior to the impulse... which also doubles as the fib retracement discount zone (ref: 0.786), implying a weakening short term bearish continuation.
VZ/PSL sits around the N2.39 region and the strong demand-side OB just below it.

A reversal to the upside could be imminent. (supported by volume)
...regaining it's 50 period EMA or better still, the previous PRL would be KEY! (see chart below)

For those who subscribed to my outline recommendations and investment guide--Series 2 early enough, I believe you must've booked some profit at the high of N4.5 before now.
...it's time to consider re-entering the coy.

And for the late subscribers, I believe your position should be in the red in light of recent pullback.
...it's time to average down.

Fundamentally, C&I LEASING is a strong buy @ CMP.
In it's last released report (ref: UFS Q4, 2023), the company recorded an impressive growth across key revenue and earnings line with NLRI, NPM and EPS up by 45.1%, 63.5% and approx 26.9% respectively.
Worthy of mention is the material improvement in the group's CCC (EM/PCEPS) CGPR, CBR, U/LFCFS and ECP despite the huge spend on capex.

C&I Leasing's conservative FVE prints @ N6.71 using a mix of appropriate valuation model and accounting for an appreciable measure of risk premium (ref: match on surrounding risk level)
...needless to highlight that that FVE is an over 138% discount from the coys CMP.

Disclaimer: NOT an investment advice. ...the need for due diligence should still take higher precedence ahead of this post.

Selah

https://www.nairaland.com/1131485/nigerian-stock-exchange-market-pick/7926#131221362

https://www.nairaland.com/1131485/nigerian-stock-exchange-market-pick/7927#131223195

Congratulations to all who took key position @ N2.55--2.60 following the call above. cheesy cool

Technically, should the asset price close at or above the NRZ of 3.55--3.7 on the WTF, we will likely see a retest of it's previous YtD high of N4.7 and quite possibly a new high.

Fundamentally, C&I LEASING is "a really good wine that needs no bush".
Value proposition is immense which makes it a strong hold even @ a triple digit % premium to CMP of N3.36.

Needless to highlight that the company is benefiting from the current surrounding rate environment. Huge fund attraction from many industry players due to squeezed equipment/capex spend from high CoF.
Whilst the coy have most of the required operating PPE, most players just have to lease, hence the higher NLRI for C&I LEASING, some of which are fx-backed.

And on top of that, is the opportunity they have to tap into the macro end.
The company have quite a number of juicy deals from a strong mix of clientele base at present.

Don't be left behind.
BUY... ACCUMULATE... HOLD!

It is well

10 Likes 1 Share

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 11:14am On Aug 25, 2024
Mankind2024:
Earlier today,one of the forum conversations was about emergency funds. Little did I know I would soon receive a 'save my soul' message from my younger sister. She's not the type to ask for help, despite being a public servant with her own family. I was deeply touched by her request.
On Friday, she had sent a WhatsApp message asking about my family and business; I had no idea she was facing a financial challenge. Trust me, I quickly assessed her situation. She had been a huge help to me during my needy days as a poor undergraduate at the prestigious University of Lagos. Without hesitation, I dipped into my emergency fund and repaid her kindness with N150,000.
Indeed, Nigerians are struggling, and we have a responsibility to support those who were there for us before success came our way. I thank God that I was able to help her, not by my own might or power, but by divine grace.

This is wonderful and quite commendable!
I naturally hold in high esteem folks who extend a helping hand to those in need particularly orphans, widows and the less privileged in society irrespective of ethnic affiliation/background.

You have done noble... pls keep it up!

Regards

2 Likes

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 6:04pm On Aug 18, 2024
BullBearMkt:

I disagree with both you and @Raider76. The major determinant of the stock's price movement will be the investors' perspective on the company's financial performance and the overall economic outlook (NGX-ASI).
grin grin grin grin grin

You're right about what could possibly impact the coys equity price performance, but you seem to be missing something; the prospect of that part in bold can also be affected by the implementation of the proposed reverse stock split exercise.
When you incorporate that part, you have a not-so-strong forward looking sentiment that may have watered down the belief system of investors in the company.

As I highlighted in the post you quoted, a trader can make some return, but an investor needs to thread with caution.

As I always tell folks; except for where the intention is to attract a PE/Core investor, a reverse stock split exercise in the stock market world is 88% of the time an act crafted to take away more from an investor by presenting them with a make believe impression that they can get more value from an asset play should a presumed QUALITY be made to replace QUANTITY.

Again it's also pivotal for an investor to consider the factor of X ratio and how it's weighting can mirror the earnings capacity of the company.
A smart investor may want to weigh in on the coys earnings stance to see if it'll be a TRUE REFLECTION of the coys valuation or if it's overblown.
All this can only be better investigated after the share consolidation exercise.
Think I highlighted some of these stuffs in one of my past articles.

Bottom line:
A trader may decide to play it but then again with caution. (I don't see much room for upside in the very near term)
An investor would be better off waiting.

No doubt, TRANSCORP holds great prospect, but we will enter and ride it at the appropriate time.

Selah
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 4:21pm On Aug 18, 2024
On TRANSCORP...

I think it's best to wait until after the 1 for 4 reverse stock split exercise.

As I told some of my prime and outline subscribers then; exiting at the N18--19 high was both a capitalist and smart trading and Investment decision.
Locking in profit and/or one's investment capital was an absolute necessity.
...especially after the huge returns they booked riding from strategic entries of N1+ and N3+ respectively.
Fundamentals called for it... TA agreed at the time. cheesy cool

Price may hover around the +17--30% appreciation from CMP, but I believe another great entry opportunity will suffice post share consolidation.

It is well

1 Like 1 Share

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 3:39pm On Aug 18, 2024
BullBearMkt:
NGX ASI AT A CRITICAL POINT: A MAKE-OR-BREAK MOMENT
The Nigerian Exchange All-Share Index (NGX ASI) is now at a critical point. The weekly structure continues to deteriorate, forming higher lows (HL) and lower lows (LL). A close below 96,961.25 in the coming week could make the Nigerian stock market increasingly vulnerable to decline across many stocks. Hence my previous post to be cautious in the market.

However, looking at last week's closing volume on the Nigerian Stock Exchange, it seems the momentum to drive the index further down is waning. If the volume continues to decrease as index declines, we may likely witness a false breakout.

PLAN YOUR TRADES AND TRADE YOUR PLANS
grin grin grin grin grin

Once again, you have spoken well.
...correct! cheesy cool

It is well

1 Like

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 3:28pm On Aug 18, 2024
onegentleguy:


Honestly, we are not lacking in that department.
...we already have quite a handful and still getting more because we do a nice job at managing people's capital and also helping others make money and grow their portfolio.

Spotting early opportunities and delivering value has been our middle name.
I give God all the glory though. ...for without him, I am absolutely nothing!

Stop hating dude! Life needs you to exhibit oneness so you can focus on growth.
...it's also good for your mental health. wink cheesy cool

Do take care

emmanuelewumi:


Agbaya ni e.
Se nkan t'oye ko so niyen

Don't mind that halfwit! ...he has NEVER been smart, so you shouldn't be surprised.

If not for simplicity and humility, I would've said we go on a bet (he & I), putting down at least a 7-figure amount to know who's well grounded in both FA and TA.
...let's see if he'd even come close to anywhere near 30%. grin grin grin

If only he knows the No of persons we guide, even... (he should read the above post again)

Envy and inferiority complex will destroy that dude one day.
I did say I suspect he has a FITMD. ...it's confirmed now! wink cheesy cool

Honestly, Agba is NOT worth the time. ...not even a tiny little bit!
It is well

2 Likes

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 1:30pm On Aug 18, 2024
vacanci:


Bullbearmkt you quoted wrote in language everyone understood but you chose to speak in tongues. I always read your post down to the end but until someone else quote your post and breakdown before it makes sense.
I think I am not alone on this.

BBM uses TA and when he summarizes his chart, even a rookie will understand

Am sure the fellow I responded to, and many others will understand the post. cheesy cool
...am sorry if you don't my dear.

Perhaps you need to "learn how to be in the spirit so you too can understand when people speak in tongues". ...pls do well to consult your pastor.
Don't wait to be spoonfed with the oratory from those who speak in tongues.

It is well

1 Like

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 12:47pm On Aug 18, 2024
edwardaigb:
Oga EmmaEwumi, I dobale to greet. I'm a proud house owner today and got my wife Corolla for her birthday early this year. You're one of my hero. Mcy, formal Ogg , Current price, Lokodemy and others, I sincerely say thank you. Happy Sunday and God Bless and keep us all.

Chai! ...I guess he meant "former".
Onegentleguy has really suffered... what a world we live in! wink cheesy grin

It is well
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 12:43pm On Aug 18, 2024
BullBearMkt:
VERITAS KAPITAL ASSURANCE RALLY MAY FAKE-OUT
Strong price rally not supported buy appropriate equal buying and selling pressure will likely not last. It's either the price fall or the imbalance between buying/selling pressure readjusted. Which of the 2 will VERITAS will opt for? Next week trading will show.

NOTE: Post on VERITASKAP is not to cause any panic selling, but rather to show that in case there is a pullback, there is a buying opportunity.

PLAN YOUR TRADES AND TRADE YOUR PLANS
grin grin grin grin grin

On VERITASKAP, your analysis is also in line, but the probability of a fall is narrow. (1/3 compared to 2/3 of a prob in favour of an upward push). wink cheesy grin

TA is a game of PROBABILITY so am going to give reasons on the chart/wave analysis for and against a bullish continuation from current price level.
Our duty is to look for POSSIBILITIES within the context of these probabilities.

Reasons for:
Above the area you highlighted, precisely the ZONE btw the previous SH before the strong impulsive move in June that lead to a BoS is where you have the BS IMB (SS inefficiency/FVG), and PV action may have already tapped into it.
How?
Since the pullback and corrective wave from the high in early July (the point where you have your upper fractal), price has retraced to sweep part of the liquidity around the aforementioned zone, effectively converting that weekly candlestick low to the new ELA and defining it as the new OB. (up from the OB in your highlighted region)

To lend further credence to the bullish bias is last week's candlestick behavior which retraced (pullback on the DTF) to ensure that there's no BS IMB on the WTF.

Again, expanding on DTFS shows that PA favours a bullish stance.

Reasons against;
There's a bearish divergence on the WTF with price failing to mirror the buy-side sentiment that birthed the new high on the RSI/%R.
The drawback to this is that the indicator is still above it's based MA and it's MA above the MBZ, so next weeks PA (open/close) will help validate the divergence, especially if the RSI pushes below the MBZ.

PV activity shows a gap up above a FVG on the DTF, thus, creating the prob of a retracement to cover that BS IMB and possibly reproduce a DB before a bullish continuation.

There's more in favour and less against but I don't want to put up what might seem a bit of a complex chat.
As I said before, our duty is to look for POSSIBILITIES within the context of these probabilities. wink cheesy cool

...still a long term hold though!

CAVEAT: Just the usual chart analysis... NOT an investment advice. Due diligence still applies as always.

1 Like

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 12:42pm On Aug 18, 2024
BullBearMkt:
MISSED BUYING JAPAULGOLD FIRST RALLY? HERE COMES ANOTHER OPPORTUNITY
Japaulgold got rejected at support level, 2. A BUY from 2.10.

PLAN YOUR TRADES AND TRADE YOUR PLANS

Good analysis. ...absolutely correct! wink cheesy cool

1 Like

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 11:44am On Aug 15, 2024
emmanuelewumi:


Short term and long term debts are interest bearing loans and are used.

The other formula whereby non interesting bearing current liabilities are removed from the total asset and non operating cash or excess cashi usually give a very high ROIC and CROIC.

I used it in the past but not again.

How do I estimate my operational cash, I use 5% of the revenue generated by the business. Any cash that is more than 5% of the revenue, I term it as excess cash or non operational.

The summation of the equity , short term debt, long term debts and lease is easier, less complicated and more conservative for me

You probably didn't read my initial post to the end.
What you stated in the part in italics is EXACTLY what I meant when I said; "there are several ways to extrapolate for the non-operating cash asset both from a coys SPL and her BS." (refer to my initial revert again)
...there are also a few other techniques on this.

When you use the fixed % revenue or even WC derivation to estimate the working cash and in turn extrapolate the non-operating cash component, your ROIC won't be that high as alluded.
The goal is to ensure you have a better picture of the coys TIC and a more precise estimate for ROIC.

In any case, I see you're comfortable with what you have. ....whatever works for you bro!

Selah
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 10:54am On Aug 15, 2024
emmanuelewumi:


I don't use cash. For my Invested capital I use the shareholders fund, short term, long term loans and leases.

I am a lazy investor, so I prefer the short cut and no loooong thing

Then you probably didn't understand my post. (you may wish to read through it again)

Your initial formula which failed to exclude the non-operating cash component of TIC is essentially doing the very opposite of what you stated in that part in bold.
Not using cash or not incorporating the cash component is when you deduct the non-operating cash asset, especially the cash not utilized during the business period from the formula for total invested capital. ...doing otherwise implies you have factored in unused cash in estimating TIC, which invariably reduces ROIC.

This is the fact! Unless you're looking to work with a less than normal/conservative TIC figure.
Same methodology should also be applied when calculating your CROIC, EVA (economic value added) and other TIC-based valuation drivers.

But of course it's fine if that's how you've chosen to run your estimate.
Regards
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 10:05am On Aug 15, 2024
emmanuelewumi:


Return on Invested Capital gives a better picture of the company compared to Return on Equity.

Because ROIC will divide the Net Operating Profit After Tax by the Invested Capital ( equity +short and long term debts)

You are doing well Pa. Ema,
...nice inputs!

But let me add that your estimate for ROIC should actually be more and here's why;
The denominator of the formula for calculating a coys TIC (total invested capital) should be made to discount the non-operating asset from her funding/capital structure... particularly the cash component not required for the day to day running of the business.

Put differently, TIC shouldn't just be equal to EBV/shareholders equity + FD/total debt (as you rightly mentioned) but also EXCLUDE non operating asset.
ROIC will then be equal to NOPAT/(shareholders fund + total debt) -- non operating cash asset.

By raking-off the non-operating cash asset component, the denominator (same as TIC) will be less, hence implying higher ROIC.
This same principle is applicable when estimating the CROIC (FCF/TIC)

The logical reason for discounting the non-operating cash asset is because C&CE (cash in hand and in short term securities) which are deemed part of a company's overall investable capital includes funds/cash that were left unused or not utilized.
Simply put, it is to ensure that the value of TIC does not include cash not used during the business period.

To this end, non-operating cash asset/C&CE must exclude working cash which is an operating asset. ...only cash not needed by the business within the period under consideration is considered a non-operating cash asset. (ref: excess cash)
...only that should be deducted when calculating for the TIC

There are several ways to extrapolate for the non-operating cash asset both from a coys SPL and her BS.

If you apply this, then LARFAGE WAPCO'S ROIC, CROIC and ROCE will even be higher than your previous estimate.
Interestingly, it also has a better CBR and a higher relative growth in CCC/CGPR, U/LFCFS... and now, an extremely low EFIR ahead of it's peers. (P2P CA in view)

As you rightly alluded, the company has the least cost worry after broadly deleveraging her books to free up WC needs and effectively ensure higher earnings delivery.

Using a blend of appropriate valuation model that assumes a sub-optimal YoY GM (ref: 5% QoQ to YE or 10% in H2, 2024) and knocking off a RP equivalent to surrounding risk level, LARFAGE WAPCO'S Intrinsic value/FVE prints @ N58.2
...this value, which is extremely conservative, is an over 57% discount from yesterday's closing price.

I had since given it a *** rating.
Rating: Outperform!

CAVEAT: NOT to be inferred as any sought of investment guide. ...the need for due diligence should still take higher precedence ahead of this post.

Regards

2 Likes 1 Share

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 9:33am On Aug 15, 2024
onegentleguy:
Chai! Lot's of pages (nearly a dozen of it) to read from.
I just hope there hasn't been any e-fighting, bickering and/or unnecessary attacks lately.

Let me quickly read through.

Unfortunately, it's turned out to be just so!

Wonder why some persons would want to engage in irrelevant debates over a coy that's just looking to obey technicals.
Even a car moving at an incredible speed will at some point, slow down or stop when it runs out of fuel. wink cheesy cool

OANDO simply slowed down to build up it's "energy" before embarking on another journey.
That energy could take weeks to build, in which case the asset price movement could go into a consolidation OR it might take just a few days or hours and thereafter, it forms a directional bias in line with its prevailing trend.

If you didn't sell to lock in profit at the high of N49+, then it's best to hold.
...especially if you're in it for the mid to long term and don't have any immediate need for cash.

Studying price oscillation/movement and the psychology of market players is an integral part of what defines assets that are influenced by the forces of demand and supply.
...just know when and how to relate in-between.

What to do? Pls follow your instinct!

Kudos to those who kept the forum alive with their meaningful engagement and contributions.
To Pa. Ema, Mcy56, Currentprice, Ositadima, Omooloriredade etc. ...you have all done well!

Regards

3 Likes 1 Share

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 9:08am On Aug 15, 2024
Chai! Lot's of pages (nearly a dozen of it) to read from.
I just hope there hasn't been any e-fighting, bickering and/or unnecessary attacks lately.

Let me quickly read through.

1 Like

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 12:56pm On Aug 12, 2024
ololufemi:


Oga OGG, many don't know that the soup wey you dey always cook dey get better meat, stock fish, obokun, tilapia, snails, lobsters, sokoto, tripes and season ram meat inside wey you don buy use prepare am.

Na delicacy for those whose plates are ready once serving spoon don reach their hand, turn by turn. 😁

Chai! And soup wey get plenty orishirishi like dat dey sweet well well! cheesy cool
Unfortunately, my minimum wage may not be able to afford it in this perilous times we live in. ...e no go better for food inflation.

You just succeeded in wetting my appetite. wink cheesy grin

How do you do bro?
Regards

1 Like

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 11:43am On Aug 12, 2024
Princkez:
bought some little quantity then @#18

Congratulations dear! wink cheesy grin

Regards
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 11:38am On Aug 12, 2024
onegentleguy:
Why do I get the feeling that like OANDO, DS/NASCON (Dangote foods) will also play a fast one on most folks.
...it too, will come like a thief in the night... and then the time of reckoning! cheesy cool

To all those who subscribed to my outline/recommendations and investment guide--Series 1, you may wish to revisit your outline under the heading "other classified market based information & guide-- what you should know" to help serve as a reminder. (on DS/NASCON)
Same heading I also did a brief on OANDO.

Pls be guided accordingly.
Regards

onegentleguy:

If truly you have a stake in the coy, it'd be better to hold at this time. You can average down at key price points if you're good in TA, otherwise do nothing. But don't sell at a loss. ...especially if you don't have a pressing need for fund.

Same goes to all those who genuinely are in it. (not those who claim to be) wink cheesy grin

PA and volume distribution is already showing that the asset price is near a FVZ.
...before you will come back here to lament. cheesy cool

"The reason most analysts 'will sing songs of FEAR, is because they are ready to dance to a different melody of GREED and also do the opposite after having you dance to several rocks of excitement'.
...the key lies in knowing when to draw a thin line between and adjust your footsteps accordingly."

~Sinclair

"If there's one thing to learn from the stock market, it's the fact that those who know WHEN and HOW to 'take their necessary but required drug of patience' hardly 'fall sick'.
...the market often tend to reward them with the passage of TIME!"

~Sinclair

So DF is now on full bid despite the recently released poor financial print. cheesy cool
Just hope some folks headed to the advice above.

Technicals may be pointing to something futuristic.
...that thing may come like "a thief in the night" and take the unprepared minds by surprise. cheesy cool

Again, this is NOT an investment advice. ...due diligence still applies as always.

Selah

4 Likes

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 11:10am On Aug 12, 2024
JULIUS BERGER @ N121. shocked

To think that some of my Prime and Outline subscribers bought this asset @ N24+ and @ N29--31 respectively. (barely 9 months ago)

Always nice to be among the early birds. cheesy cool

It is well

2 Likes

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 10:58am On Aug 12, 2024
onegentleguy:


Further update on VERITASKAP...

Hanging man on the DTF after a momentum push towards the ELA.
Could this infer a temporal pause? Not really. The M/WTFs is clearly pointing to something.

Interestingly, some would've booked approx 15% from the price volatility in the last 2 hours of trade today... and bought back a bit of a higher vol than they had prior to market open.
...but that's if they reentered @ N1.13 anyway.

With over 103M units exchanging hands today... MtD vol (ref: just 8 days of activity) already challenges it's preceeding month vol, maybe the driver of this VEhicle can move on steadily. ...especially now that more passengers appears to have joined in, with some even hanging by the bumper.
Maybe the journey from Surulere to VGC can be smoother. wink cheesy cool

Again, NOT an investment advice.

It is well

VERITASKAP... cheesy cool

• Strong bullish engulfing CS on the daily.
• Momentum push with sell side efficiency on the WTF. (in line with the part in bold)

Should PA close at or above the close of the previous SH (ref: N1.20), we may likely see further upside move to tap into that ELZ @ N1.38 and possibly create a new high.

Currently on full bid... though, with just approx 21% of the total bid vol bidding @ the day high of N1.29 at present.
WTF PV behavior will be KEY!

CAVEAT: NOT an investment advice. ...due diligence still applies as always.

Selah

2 Likes

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 3:07pm On Aug 09, 2024
onegentleguy:


Update on VERITASKAP...

Maybe we can now move in peace now that the take profit crew are out.
Of course, a staggered exit strategy to lock in initial invested capital or NPM is good but not when "there are some passengers looking to join the bus even if it means hanging by the door side.". cheesy cool
..still some more room for upside in the near term!

If you've taking profit, there should be no regret. Move on to other viable opportunities.

CAVEAT: NOT an investment advice.

It is well.

Further update on VERITASKAP...

Hanging man on the DTF after a momentum push towards the ELA.
Could this infer a temporal pause? Not really! The M/WTF is clearly pointing to something.

Interestingly, some would've booked approx 15% from the price volatility in the last 2 hours of trade today. (sold and bought back a bit of a higher vol than they had prior to market open)
...but that's if they reentered @ N1.13 anyway.

With over 103M units exchanging hands today... MtD vol (ref: just 8 days of activity) already challenges it's preceding month vol, maybe the driver of this VEhicle can move on steadily. ...especially now that more passengers appears to have joined in, with some even hanging by the bumper.
Maybe the journey from Surulere to VGC can be smoother. wink cheesy cool

Again, NOT an investment advice.

It is well
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 3:04pm On Aug 09, 2024
Agbalowomeri:


Lol na OGG get multiple handles for here. Wetin I wan use second handle do

For the records; Onegentleguy does NOT operate any other handle aside this one.

I guess your conscience must be hitting hard on you, which is why you're looking to take out the attention. ...everyone knows you operate several handles. Even Andrea Bocelli can see it!

Change your ways dude!
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 12:51pm On Aug 09, 2024
onegentleguy:
Suddenly everyone is talking about VERITASKAP. ...it's now the next best thing after sliced bread. wink cheesy grin

When I was practically besieging folks to take position in the very same insurance coy @ 20--21k just 2 years ago, some persons called it an epistle.
...what a world we live in!

Well, I trust my Prime and Outline subscribers got their fill @ strategic price zones. cheesy cool

The good thing is; the coy's Intrinsic value/FVE currently prints @ N2.17... which by the way, is an extremely conservative peg.

Btw, why do I feel that there might be a VFD group "hand of bolt" on VERITASKAP.
Maybe a similarity to the NEM in-house tussle that drove prices to ATHs.
...just a random thought. Who knows!

CAVEAT: NOT to be inferred as any sought of investment advice. Due diligence still applies as always.

It is well

Update on VERITASKAP...

Maybe we can now move in peace now that the take profit crew are out.
Of course, a staggered exit strategy to lock in initial invested capital or NPM is good but not when "there are some passengers looking to join the bus even if it means hanging by the door side.". cheesy cool
..still some more room for upside in the near term!

If you've taking profit, there should be no regret. Move on to other viable opportunities.

CAVEAT: NOT an investment advice.

It is well.
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 10:50am On Aug 09, 2024
As I told some folks on Tuesday; like CHAMS and VERITASKAP @ 20-21k, ACADEMY PRESS needs to reprise upwards to reflect her BS and SCF reality.
...otherwise it would almost be "a sin" to what represents fundamental analysis. cheesy cool

Coy has already gained 30% since Tuesday and currently on full bid @ N2.88

In it's last financial print, the company witnessed exponential grosses and nets despite an unavoidable squeeze in RM due largely to the cyclical nature of the business. ...a clear indication of proficiency in been efficient. (ref: profitability drive through effective cost optimization)
Academy Press conservative Intrinsic value/FVE prints @ N4.26

Technically, the stock has just matched a 14-yr K/PRL after breaking through what was an initial attempt to test the same level in 2012... with the MTF revealing a bullish BOS.
Should PA activate an EFFECTIVE close above that K/PRL, we may see a retest of that 12-yr high @ N3.28 and possibly a new high.
Next MRL is situated at the N4--4.21 price zone.


CAVEAT: NOT an investment advice. ...due diligence still applies as always.

It is well

5 Likes

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 1:13pm On Aug 08, 2024
Update on JAPAUL GOLD PLC...

Technically, Tuesday's PA activity was an entry validation after the asset broke through a PRL and closed above the accumulation zone of a pivotal SBOB @ N1.79. (ref: 1H-TF)

A close above the previous MSH @ N2.35 (preferably the N2.29--2.35 level), and the stock will likely rally to tap into the ELA... and possibly above it's previous 52-weeks high of N3.38 to create a new high.
...Friday's (tomorrow) candlestick close will be key!

CAVEAT: NOT to be inferred as an investment guide. ...due diligence still applies as always.

It is well

1 Like

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 5:43pm On Aug 07, 2024
vacanci:


But VFD Group had not really moved, unless i don't understand. But i see it as one stock that has not received attention yet. By the time they touch light it..................hmmmmmm

To the part in bold, I guess you don't.
Try connecting the follow-up sentence to the one you picked out. Perhaps you could begin to make sense of the post.
But then again, this is just me having a random thought. ...nothing more. cheesy cool

Regards
Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 5:20pm On Aug 07, 2024
onegentleguy:
Following my last post, several persons have been asking what my views are on the mkt, and if by implication, I only see a mkt underperformance outside a Peter Obi win?
Here's a straightforward answer...
In the near term, I like to think that the mkt uptrend will continue as technicals hold up.
However, mid to Long term direction will to a large extent depend on this election and what follows after it.

With what I have seen and heard since 25th, belief system appears to have decelerated as in-country risk premium pushes further upwards.
We need to, as a matter of urgency redeem whatever is left of the country's image.
...the stakes are sky high now!
No country can witness effective growth (RPC in view) with this very low level of image amongst the community of nations.

If a country can not conduct a task as simple as that of a free and fair elections, then it becomes very easy for other nations to give her a BAD NAME and in time blacklist her.
Not that we had it good before now anyway, but this is yet another case of missing out on the opportunity to turnaround what has clearly been a wrong trajectory and MAKE THINGS RIGHT.
Needless to highlight what almost always happens when "a dog is given a bad name"!

From an investment standpoint, you might only expect foreign direct and portfolio investment to continue to narrow down.
Quite frankly, the ripple effect can be all-touching.

This is why I tell folks to lower their expectations, given the crop of current leaders we have. ...the rut in the system is beyond deep!

I will and will always be non-partisan.
I prefer to look out for opportunities in difficulties.
The question is; What opportunities are there for an investor to "bet for or against the system" in view of what it prescribes?
How will I as an investor benefit from a Peter Obi, Atiku or Tinunu presidency?

I think the 1st name will bring about a robust and growth driven market than the last 2 names.
With the middle and last name, I see a likely continuation in the status quo (low investor apathy, weak cooperate governance structures etc) with pockets of facile positives every now and then.
...the mkt may not align towards the much desired sustainable path to growth.

A Peter Obi win? Likely gonna be a "positive explosion"- Riding on the high believability index already attached to the name and its brand.
Countries live on change driven by hope and believe!

A Tinubu win?
NAHCO- Already a great coy, but it could favour them even more as more Nigerians will likely seek to "japa".
Oando, Ardova and a few O&G names- For near obvious reasons.
Brewery Ind- Frustration likely to highten... "revenge with the bottle"
A few Manufacturing coys and insurance Names.

An Atiku win?
Some banking names- For obvious reasons...

I just wanna think of how to benefit from the system. wink cool
Pls prepare your minds for all outcomes!
Nigeria is a failed state.

It is well.

First call on OANDO at the time the coy was trading for N4--5.
A few other names were also highlighted therein.

Moral: Always good to be among the early birds.
Everyone knows I love Mr. TIME. Infact, saying that we prefer 'to take the necessary but appropriate drug of patience" after doing our homework very well should already be taken for granted. cheesy cool

It is well

2 Likes

Investment / Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 5:05pm On Aug 07, 2024
Suddenly everyone is talking about VERITASKAP. ...it's now the next best thing after sliced bread. wink cheesy grin

When I was practically besieging folks to take position in the very same insurance coy @ 20--21k just 2 years ago, some persons called it an epistle.
...what a world we live in!

Well, I trust my Prime and Outline subscribers got their fill @ strategic price zones. cheesy cool

The good thing is; the coy's Intrinsic value/FVE currently prints @ N2.17... which by the way, is an extremely conservative peg.

Btw, why do I feel that there might be a VFD group "hand of bolt" on VERITASKAP.
Maybe a similarity to the NEM in-house tussle that drove prices to ATHs.
...just a random thought. Who knows!

CAVEAT: NOT to be inferred as any sought of investment advice. Due diligence still applies as always.

It is well

1 Like

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