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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (6386) - Nairaland

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by salanda: 9:11pm On May 26, 2021
GUINNESS

For a week now, why would any one spend almost a hundred million in total steadily buying (bidding) it @29.00 if they expect price to fall?

But I keep asking myself is this some form of reversed selling?

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Truth234(m): 6:04am On May 27, 2021
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1 Like 2 Shares

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yazga: 7:46am On May 27, 2021
mumu9gerian:
Please is there any app or website that analyses the NASD?
Yeah
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 11:28am On May 27, 2021
onegentleguy:


On the part in bold, it looks like the 1st 2 (Fx conversion and that of aligning with dollarized FI instruments) is now gradually loosing it's weighting in view of the search for better investment return. Note the term; loosing... meaning that it can be rewarding but not as much as one would've ordinarily expected.
Only the 3rd/last (holding fx-related asset) makes much more sense now.

Why?
The recent decision by the CBN to adopt the I&E window rate as it's exchange benchmark has largely contracted the gap between it's official window peg and the parallel mkt rate.
The result? There'll likely be a little more risk for those who might want to short the Naira or hedge against currency risk while seeking arbitrage gains/yield in Fx fiat.
Put differently, u may not make as much in real terms (real return... not norminal) converting that ur Naira to $/Fx or playing in say the Eurobond mkt given current economic reality.
In fact, diminishing returns might set in for those who don't do their homework well.

The best form of hedge among the 3 (better RRM in view) lies in the last option; holding fx-related asset. (like BTC, ETH, LTC and other stable but highly adapt crypto coins with real life use cases)
Otherwise, looking out for sound fundamental asset with high plausible CGY (capital gains yield) in the equity mkt space can also suffice.

And before I forget; Chief Emefiele appears to love flip-ups upon policies... however, if the Apex bank does not revert back on this policy, then the move is a + for the equity mkt.
Yes our foreign brothers may not fancy coming in now for reasons bothering around the present state of the economy, but they now do have one less reason to not want to do so, as their fx-driven asset purchasing power gains a little more strength relative to the Naira.

Again, the move will help discourage capital flight as the FPIs already in, now also have one more reason to want to hold on considering that the potential value/weight of their cash position would be less should they decide to liquidate their equity holding now and convert to Fx. (for possible repatriation)
So there's a high probability that they'll hang in a bit... especially in fundamentally sound equity/securities where the possible CGY exceeds the value difference btw the CBN rate before now(pre-unification with the I&E window rate) and now.
FPIs will also fancy the fact that there should be a bit more exchange rate clarity given the less Fx disparity/better convergence that comes with that CBN move.

Elsewhere, domestic mkt players like PFAs, DPIs, HNIs and mid-long-haul retail participants are also likely to maintain their short-mid term position largely due to the high economic difficiencies that has created an expanded risk premium leaving little room to play around other alternative investment channels in search of better yield.

In all, chances of having a favourable mkt appears to have gone a step upward while that of witnessing an unfavorable one just dropped a step downward. Perhaps, this could be one of the key reason the mkt has remained relatively stable.

While nothing is cast in stone, everything seems to align with the thinking that the mkt may not drop as much as some folks might want to believe.
As I said before; I do not foresee a deep bear mkt. A correction/pullback amidst a slow rise in price every now and then should be more like it. ...FOR NOW.
It will however not be across board... but along select sound/healthy coys.

Just ensure u BUY RIGHT!

Selah

Truth234:
CBN Leaves Interest Rate Unchanged at 11.5 Percent Despite Devaluation and High Inflation Rate

https://investorsking.com/2021/05/26/cbn-leaves-interest-rate-unchanged-at-11-5-percent-despite-devaluation-and-high-inflation-rate/

CBN Devalues Naira Again, Adopts NAFEX Exchange Rates as Official Rates

https://investorsking.com/2021/05/26/cbn-devalues-naira-again-adopts-nafex-exchange-rate-as-official-rate/

This(the news in both weblink) adds even more credence and importance to the post above.
Do read btw the lines. smiley wink cheesy

It is well.

Selah

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mpeace(m): 11:36am On May 27, 2021
Seems like wapco people are reinvesting their dividends.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 11:39am On May 27, 2021
Caverton Dividend don land oooo
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Emndy(m): 11:41am On May 27, 2021
Dangcem don land

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ojeysky(m): 11:41am On May 27, 2021
samguru:
Caverton Dividend don land oooo

Same here, they don't waste time at all
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Princkez: 11:43am On May 27, 2021
Emndy:
Dangcem don land
seems many of us here are dividend investors...

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 11:54am On May 27, 2021
onegentleguy:


Still recall this post above? (a broad and in-depth review of the insurance sector)
Let's dig in to see what the short-mid term journey has been like...

As I highlighted back then, the KEY to a healthy selection lies in the parts in bold;
a) those with a greater weight of value drive/prospect and
b) those with a high plausibility of remaining stand alone entities post the recapitalization deadline by the regulator.

From a) are asset Nos 4, 2, 7, 9, 10 11, 12, 13, 17 and 18 which are MUTUAL BENEFITS, AIICO, LASACO, SOVEREIGN TRUST, WAPIC, ROYAL EXCHANGE, VERITAS KAPITAL, REGENCY ALLIANCE, CHI and LINKAGE in that order.

While from b) are Nos, 1,2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7,10, 12, 17 and 18 which are CUSTODIAN, AIICO, MANSURD INS, MUTUAL BENEFITS, PRESTIGE, NEM, LASACO, WAPIC, VERITAS KAPITAL, CHI and LINKAGE.
Notice how some asset in a) are also in b)... will revisit this part later.

1st off, how has the a) list faired?
The next line attempts to compare the prices of these asset at consideration period to their present mkt price with an estimate of their various % nominal return... all written in bracket from left to right;
MBENFIT(20k, 40k 100%), AIICO(60k, 129k, 115%) etc... in fact, except for 1 coy(veritas), near all in list a) have delivered btw 85-100% NR, with yield even topping above 100% at some point.(YtD price peg in view)
However the biggest winners have been the duo of ROYAL EXCHANGE(23k, 76k, 230%), followed by LINKAGE(factor in the recent script/bonus issue), WAPIC, CHI and MBENFIT in that order.

Wondering what is the essence of this post?
Pls kindly read btw the lines... smiley wink cheesy

Notice how the best performing coy(Royal exchange) is among 3 coys that are in list a) but not in b) ...the other 2 are SOVEREIGN TRUST AND REGENCY ALLIANCE. For these class of coys, I highlighted what might likely play out with them in view of the expected recap exercise.
Aside the thing about a possible buy out(Royal ex looking like it) all 3 fall in within the same basket of P2P weighting.
Put differently, if the price of one is X and the other 2 are V and W, then to guage value, all 3 can be compared to each other using certain predetermined fundamental variables.
And in that line, using key yardsticks like Net ROIC, Sloan ratio, Solvency Margin (surplus/deficit peg in view) CGPR, ROTE, CCC efficiency etc... as a barometer to gauge VALUE, the other 2 are a BUY!!
In retrospect, whatever happens with these set of asset(read post above) you stand a great chance as an investor to reap some good reward.(RRM: 45-71%)

Again, Note how the duo of PRESTIGE and VERITAS KAPITAL have been the least performing... with the latter still trading at what I consider a steal!
Any worry? Absolutely not! In fact, both coys tick all the boxes in view of the key yardsticks cited above.

If u understood matters to this point, then u do not need a soothsayer to tell u that aligning with assets like REGENCY ALLIANCE, SOVEREIGN TRUST(sovrenins), VERITAS KAPITAL, PRESTIGE, WAPIC, MBENFIT, LINKAGE and CHI should pay off.
...and so are the select few others mentioned in the post above.

Disclaimer: Just given a follow-up update on request.
NOT to be interpreted as any sought of recommendation. When in doubt, pls do well to be guided by ur instinct.

Selah

Truth234:

Peter Mombaur Dumps N239 Million on UACN Shares

https://investorsking.com/2021/05/25/peter-mombaur-dumps-n239-million-on-uacn-shares/

Elsewhere, some HN insiders, including a foreign brother has been busy TACTICALLY mopping up UACN... while some of our Nsempa brothers are waiting for the coy @ N3... N2 and even 78k as target entry price for some persons.
What a world we live in! smiley wink cheesy

Note: The term "tactically" as used here involves actions related to very careful planning, including the use of pranky means to shake-off weak hands. smiley wink cheesy
A similar gimmick is also playing out in some select coys in the insurance sector. (refer to post above)

Regards

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 12:02pm On May 27, 2021
onegentleguy:


One word; Accumulate!
At the present mkt price, WAPCO' financial print clearly describes a great asset where risk has been almost totally overshadowed by REWARD.

Great for a mid to long term play!

Selah
Mpeace:
Seems like wapco people are reinvesting their dividends.

Ur still guessing! ...It's alright. cool

Cheers

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bigjay01(m): 12:11pm On May 27, 2021
UNIONDAC has refused to pay.
Nigeria we hail thee!
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Emndy(m): 12:35pm On May 27, 2021
What's up with Okomu? Thought divs. were to be paid yesterday 26th.?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BigBashiru: 1:05pm On May 27, 2021
yMcy56:

GSK is paying 0.40k as dividend.

Please what is the ex-div/qual date?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BigBashiru: 1:05pm On May 27, 2021
Emndy:
What's up with Okomu? Thought divs. were to be paid yesterday 26th.?

Nigerian culture is unserious sad
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by OBAGADAFFI: 1:06pm On May 27, 2021
Princkez:
seems many of us here are dividend investors...

grin grin grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56(f): 1:57pm On May 27, 2021
BigBashiru:
Please what is the ex-div/qual date?
Dividend: 40kobo
Qualification Date: 23rd April, 2021
Payment date: 28th May, 2021
https://doclib.ngxgroup.com/Financial_NewsDocs/33074_GLAXO_SMITHKLINE_CONSUMER_NIG_PLC%20_NOTICES_OF_ANNUAL.pdf

You can check any stock div info you wish to know here:
https://www.google.com/amp/s/investogist.com/list-of-dividends-announced-in-2021-qualification-and-payment-dates/amp/
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by OBAGADAFFI: 2:28pm On May 27, 2021
Obinkita:


Cool:
Dangote Sugar is for next month 18 June
Nascon is for next week 31 May

Dangote sugar has paid grin cheesy grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 2:29pm On May 27, 2021
Dangote Sugar dividend don land too
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 2:30pm On May 27, 2021
OBAGADAFFI:


Dangote sugar has paid grin cheesy grin


When, I have only received for Dangote Cement and Caverton
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 2:31pm On May 27, 2021
AIICO ooooooo

Which kain game are you playing with your shareholders?

Bonus we no see, dividend we no see
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by OBAGADAFFI: 2:34pm On May 27, 2021
emmanuelewumi:



When, I have only received for Dangote Cement and Caverton

You might get before evening.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by OBAGADAFFI: 2:34pm On May 27, 2021
samguru:
AIICO ooooooo

Which kain game are you playing with your shareholders?

Bonus we no see, dividend we no see


All these insurance costs are becoming scam.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56(f): 2:40pm On May 27, 2021
E Ku Market o. smiley
STI: No be small upandan today.........full bid earlier @33k .......closed @27........we are watching. ..... wink
UACN: Lots of accumulation @11..........touched 11.75 earlier but closed @11.......
FIDELITY: Seems the seller is not done selling...........though closed @2.28....
GTB..........sighted @28.10.........

Where is @intendy ?
Hope all is well.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56(f): 2:41pm On May 27, 2021
OBAGADAFFI:
All these insurance costs are becoming scam.
NEM and MANSARD paid, they also credited the bonuses.

Guess the delay has to do with SEC.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 2:46pm On May 27, 2021
Emndy:
What's up with Okomu? Thought divs. were to be paid yesterday 26th.?


Check again, Okomu just paid me at 14.43 hours
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nna777: 2:52pm On May 27, 2021
Dangote sugar landed safely.
Vitafoam not doing bad. Double digit. grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nna777: 2:53pm On May 27, 2021
YourhealthNG2:

I have not seen my Wapco dividend. Hope all is well

Send them a mail
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ojeysky(m): 3:07pm On May 27, 2021
yMcy56:

NEM and MANSARD paid, they also credited the bonuses.

Guess the delay has to do with SEC.

Still patiently waiting for this one, they say na signature specimen dey delay them, I don sign give them 3 times now grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56(f): 3:20pm On May 27, 2021
ojeysky:
Still patiently waiting for this one, they say na signature specimen dey delay them, I don sign give them 3 times now grin
If it's Amaka that's attending to you, you will exercise more patience cos that lady get more wahala... grin
...but once your E-dividend is mandated, you don free be that. Just ensure you don't sell all in your portfolio at any point in time.

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ojeysky(m): 3:22pm On May 27, 2021
nna777:
Dangote sugar landed safely.
Vitafoam not doing bad. Double digit. grin

Same digit as yday
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ojeysky(m): 3:24pm On May 27, 2021
yMcy56:

If it's Amaka that's attending to you, you will exercise more patience cos that lady get more wahala... grin
...but once your E-dividend is mandated, you don free be that. Just ensure you don't sell all in your portfolio at any point in time.

There is something about that name with adverts as well (reminds me of a Telco advert)

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