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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by DrAwo(m): 5:36pm On Jan 09, 2022 |
This week on the podcast, we have a wide reaching chat with Mr Kalu Aja, a personal finance/ professional investment educator... Enjoy the conversation! https://anchor.fm/value-nigeria/episodes/44--Conventional-Emerging-trends-in-Investing-A-conversation-with-Mr-Kalu-Aja-e1cn7u7
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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Foundwealth001: 3:29am On Jan 10, 2022 |
emmasoft:Always remember to mention in your post that your company charges brokerage commission of 1.35%+, this will serve as CAVEAT to potential investors to think twice before venturing into investment One. 5 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yom2(m): 3:34am On Jan 10, 2022 |
customstreet:when a stock jumps 10% after several weeks a of losses we begin to hear its on steroidd |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Smartforexmgr: 4:55am On Jan 10, 2022 |
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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Nobody: 5:34am On Jan 10, 2022 |
onegentleguy: Does it mean they want to bid the stock from seventy something kobo till N1.60? How did I get this value? Current share outstanding = 38.58 B Current share price = 85 kobo Market capitalization = N32.793 B Like you explained, reconstruction details of 1 for 3 reduces the shgare outstanding to New share outstanding = 12.86 B For market capitalization to remain the same at the final date they embark on it, price needs to increase. Assume it is now, current price = 0.85 * 3 = N2.55 Market capitalization = 2.55 * 12.86 = N32.793 B And they are saying they want to raise N40b in a right issue of 2 unit for 3 units held (source is Nairametrics) . Since the outstanding units = 12.86 B Right issues additional unit = 8.57 B And amount to be raised will be N40 B So this means that the right issues price will be N4.67. At this right issue price, no one will want to take his rights because you are holding a reconstructed stock at 2.55 and you are telling existing holders to take up their rights at N4.67. How can price after reconstruction (at N2.55) have such a huge gap compared to right issues price (at N4.67)? How can this be bridged? The way it can be bridged is for the current price of the stock before the reconstruction to rise rapidly from the 85kobo till it gets to N1.56 or over. Why did I say this? Because at price of N1.56, if you carry out a reconstruction of shares, the new price will settle at N4.68 (i.e. N1.56 * 3). And after reconstruction, once you set your right issues price at N4.67, existing holders can easily buy since the price post reconstruction and price post rights are almost same. Note: From 85 kobo till N1.56 will be 84% gain in the stock. 5 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by pluto09(m): 6:45am On Jan 10, 2022 |
RabbiDoracle: Sense will not kill you. I always enjoy your calculation. |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by OBAGADAFFI: 9:50am On Jan 10, 2022 |
yMcy56: RabbiDoracle: Maybe WEMA will employ a Market Maker to manipulate the price. |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by sterlingD(m): 10:21am On Jan 10, 2022 |
OBAGADAFFI:Is Wema Bank to be suspended from trading to effect this and possibly when |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Heishere: 10:46am On Jan 10, 2022 |
Has Cutix distributed the bonus? |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by gbengafaro1986: 11:06am On Jan 10, 2022 |
Wahala for who no buy UCAP for 2020, because now entry point is very confusing ...no pull back since 2020 3 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by OBAGADAFFI: 11:21am On Jan 10, 2022 |
sterlingD: Wema will be suspended for reconstruction |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Coolcash1: 11:35am On Jan 10, 2022 |
Good morning, Kindly find below links to corporate announcement released to the market: STUDIO PRESS NIGERIA PLC – DELISTING FROM THE DAILY OFFICIAL LIST OF NIGERIAN EXCHANGE LIMITED UNION DIAGNOSTIC AND CLINICAL SERVICES PLC – DELISTING FROM THE DAILY OFFICIAL LIST OF NIGERIAN EXCHANGE LIMITED Kindly click this link for more NGX Corporate disclosures and here of issuer notices Summary: STUDIO PRESS NIGERIA PLC – DELISTING FROM THE DAILY OFFICIAL LIST OF NIGERIAN EXCHANGE LIMITED "Trading License Holders and the investing public are hereby notified that the entire issued share capital of Studio Press Nigeria Plc were delisted from the Daily Official List of Nigerian Exchange Limited today, Friday, 7 January 2022." See more here UNION DIAGNOSTIC AND CLINICAL SERVICES PLC – DELISTING FROM THE DAILY OFFICIAL LIST OF NIGERIAN EXCHANGE LIMITED "Trading License Holders and the investing public are hereby notified that the entire issued share capital of Union Diagnostic and Clinical Services Plc were delisted from the Daily Official List of Nigerian Exchange Limited today, Friday, 7 January 2022." |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 11:41am On Jan 10, 2022 |
gbengafaro1986: In my opinion, even at current price a 50% plus rise before yearend expecially if they increase dividend again is very likely, maybe #1 plus in dividends per share. To be clear, I didn't study their books, just my deduction from patterns. |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by sterlingD(m): 11:46am On Jan 10, 2022 |
gbengafaro1986:Honestly |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 12:04pm On Jan 10, 2022 |
ositadima1: it might be a mixture of bonus and a little dividend increase in other to minimize cash outflow 1 Like |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Willie2015: 12:04pm On Jan 10, 2022 |
Smartforexmgr: Do you share trading loss too ? 7 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 12:21pm On Jan 10, 2022 |
RabbiDoracle: Well done Nwanne. Great analysis! I already did this extrapolations before now though. ...which was why I said that I will not be surprise if the equity price should rise from here. But we need to apply caution bro. As I always tell folks; Anytime you see a coy embark on a RSS and/or rights issue, the 1st thing to do is to extrapolate the figures in a way that imbibes a proper risk management framework to ensure you do not overpay for the asset before entry... or a strategic exit plan to hedge against potential loss if you are already in. The objective is to have a TRADE-SETUP that is highly skewed towards a REWARD than a loss. ...that was how the price peg of N1.16 I calculated came about. As I said before, that price measures the benchmark of what floor peg is a worthy buy post the conclusion of both exercise. For one thing, that N1.16 value mirrors the banks present and TTM earnings potential (NPM, EM, EPS) and asset delivery projection (AER, CGPR, CCC) and better caltures its current yield power (dividend yield, GM, CGY) in view of surrounding risk. I am sure you got how the figure was derived. While the N4.6+, which is price post both exercise is feasible (also mentioned it in the post you quoted), is the risk reward peg truly worth considering? If you were a shareholder, would you align with WEMA bank (ahead of the likes of FIDELITY, FCMB and STERLING) at that rights issue price? Would you even consider it a deserving/worthy price? What would be the assets yield power at that price? (div yield, potential capital gains yield) Again, another reason why the equity price may not rise as much to bridge the difference between the N2.55 RSS estimate and the N4.6+ rights issue peg is that the coy may already have a P.E, HNI, or core/foreign investor in place to take up the right, and paying such a premium (circa N4.6+) for them might be a bit on the high side. Put differently, the bank may not be concerned if and when investors do not take up their rights as long as the shares get reconstructed. The only way I see to this is if one can quickly buy now and exit before the commencement of both exercise. It is not without risk though. As I told some folks in a private forum, trading on the shares could unexpectedly get suspended at a price that might eventually put one at a loss when it gets relisted post execution of the RSS exercise. Which is where the N1.16 price I mentioned comes in handy. It's a price that considers (amongst other items mentioned above), the TRUE VALUE of the asset WEMA considering the planned exercise. So even if one decides to buy now or bought earlier, it might be best to sell at that peg. From the figures I put out, anything above that price puts one at risk. To be succinct, WEMA above N1.16 could well be a VALUE TRAP in view of the planned exercise. (both the RSS and the rights issue) In conclusion, your views clearly makes sense bro, but there is need to be cautiously optimistic. We already have a clue. Everyone knows i've always highlighted the value potential in WEMA. (at the time it was selling at sub 55k) I still believe that WEMA (and STERLING) will do well in the mid to long term. But in the short term, caution should be our watch word. Regards. 2 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56(f): 12:22pm On Jan 10, 2022 |
Slimdove:Aside the businesses mentioned by Obagadaffi, some of these companies also invest in other instruments that generates steady incomes. Remember they are financial company with lots of top notch financial experts that research the market for them and give them the best advice on investments. Some of them invest in other good companies too.......example is the case of FBNH that invested in Airtel and HW, which they now opted to sell at huge premium. Who knows maybe FBNH picked Honeywell @ 60k or thereabout self. Don't be surprised that some of these financial companies and some other ones invest in Crypto/BTC and all those money spinning investments. International markets are also there..... Let me stop here....... Don't mind my amateurish way of looking at various means whereby they can generate fund. Just thinking out of the box. 6 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56(f): 12:28pm On Jan 10, 2022 |
customstreet:You're right, no wahala whatsoever........But remember aligning with "Value" and "Growth" stock could be more like it for some investors. Ask Peter, at various times have I been reminding him of this same UCAP but he said it's expensive, that it will still come down to his N2 junction. Don't know how he wan jump inside the train @11 now..... and still likely moving...... Lol. Just like to whine Peter. My own cost price was 3.42 or something, and I was thinking it was so expensive then,cos it fell back to as low as N1.90 thereafter, but now, it's showing over +240%. Saw Vitafoam and it was showing +477%!!! I was like, if this volume had been big that time, don't you know how much it will be by now? Na Pa Emma and those long term investor ogas go fit talk the story well. 1 Like |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56(f): 12:32pm On Jan 10, 2022 |
DANGCEM Alhaji's boys in market today...... Maybe they're planning another set of share buyback, who knows...... |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ojeysky(m): 12:40pm On Jan 10, 2022 |
yMcy56: Abi na Alhaji needs to be in the news, no b only buafoods go dey news. 2 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mpeace(m): 12:51pm On Jan 10, 2022 |
yMcy56:Do you know if fbnh completed the sale of their stake in airtel and Hw last year? Will it reflect in their result for 2021? |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by OBAGADAFFI: 1:11pm On Jan 10, 2022 |
AIRTEL @ 1050 |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56(f): 1:15pm On Jan 10, 2022 |
Mpeace:These things takes processes, don't think it's been concluded, especially that of Honeywell. AIRTEL AFRICA may fast track the payment since it's company to company deal......depending on if FBNH wants to include it in the FYE result. Remember release of FYE 2021 will still take some months too, so it may be included if concluded by then. It may or may not reflect.......but no official doc as to that effect....that I'm aware of yet. |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56(f): 2:00pm On Jan 10, 2022 |
TRANSCORP This stock too like wahala. Was trying to behave like say e wan gbe body earlier....touched N1 and moved back to 0.97k........but some accumulations are seriously going on here. Make the stock do quick and move so Peter can come out from Hilton top. Will be watching out for Tony's moves here, when he's ready.... WEMA Bargain hunters or is it bargain jijoists on queue here... JBERGER Much activities here today.... GTCo: 25.55.. ZEE: 25.45........@25.35, giving space for the boss to pass.....lol. Whosoever is doing this to GTB surely has a mission. Don't mind me o..... I no be analyst. 3 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56(f): 2:23pm On Jan 10, 2022 |
Did anyone notice that Pre-Market are no longer visible, so also the volumes after 2.20? Could this be done to prevent manipulations before market starts and before it closes? |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by seyisanya(m): 2:58pm On Jan 10, 2022 |
yMcy56:Both sold at N25.50 today. GTCO lowest and Zenith highest intraday is N25.50. GTCO don finally lose hin birthright |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by austinkenneth: 3:43pm On Jan 10, 2022 |
yMcy56: What really is the reason for this decrease in price for GTB? Is there an issue with their results? Is there a core investor selling off? |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 4:40pm On Jan 10, 2022 |
Calebbold: |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 4:41pm On Jan 10, 2022 |
Dollarwoman: |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by edwardaigb: 5:28pm On Jan 10, 2022 |
Heishere: Yet to receive mine. |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by arduino: 7:55pm On Jan 10, 2022 |
yMcy56: I see and appreciate una hand work for JBERGER today. Please make una continue like that tomorrow, I just want JBERGER @ N30. Thank you. |
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