Your first point though, quite laughable. Tinubu's political structure survived OBJs onslaught You really think so You must have forgotten that it was Atiku who went against OBJs directive to boot Tinubu out of Lagos, a fact that Atiku attested to as a regret in the run up to 2019. As for GEJ, Tinubu did not survive him either, it was a matter of one good turn deserves another. Since BAT helped GEJ in the 2011 elections at the expense of Ribadu, GEJ had no choice but to look away. That also came back to haunt him as it did Atiku.
You folks should stop portraying BAT as invincible. If he really is that invincible, why did he opt for an out of court settlement with that former AlphaBeta director that sued him
Truth is, Tinubu was made by men and he can be brought down by men. Fingers crossed towards 2023.
PS: If he really has everything on lockdown, then he should not have had a plan B of defecting to SDP.
On the PMB neutrality, that guy got it all wrong. In the political history of Nigeria since 1999, no incumbent has ever shown a neutral or dispassionate disposition in who succeeds him. PMB has a candidate in mind and that candidate will surely win the presidential primaries whether by hook or by crook.
PassingShot: I read a NL thread https://www.nairaland.com/7077990/why-tinubu-lose-osinbajo-apc#up suggesting reasons why PYO will defeat BAT in the APC primary election to select who flies the ticket of the party in 2023 and I could not help but to laugh at the naivety and desperation of the writer. Well, without paying any attention to the weak and unfounded reasons he presented in his article, I make bold to advance the following arguments to conclude that Jagaban Borgu remains the only candidate who will win the primary contest, barring any last-minute jettisoning of primaries for consensus which is not even contained in the constitution of APC.
1. Tinubu’s political structure and machineries Even, his political foes will attest to the fact that BAT has built a well-oiled political structure that has not only survived the best of political warriors in OBJ and GEJ (with federal might), his structure has endured the worst of political earthquake and has remained very solid and functioning. In the primary contest for the presidential candidate which will be decided by delegates from APC across the 36 states, Tinubu structure will come in hand to deliver the goods.
2. BAT’s political alliance This is somewhat related to the first point but not entirely the same. In the course of single-handedly building and strengthening his political base (ACN), Tinubu it was who took ACN into alliance with CPC, ANPP, a faction of APGA and a faction of PDP. In fact, most political watchers agreed that the 2 most important figures in that successful alliance that produced APC are Buhari and Tinubu. The rest were only needed to make up the numbers and the spread. BAT has since that alliance built a working relationship with strong politicians in the north. The likes of Ganduje, Ribadu, Ado Dogawa, Ahmed Lawan, etc. are staunch Tinubu’s supporters who will deliver the delegates from that side of the country.
3. Neutrality of PMB PMB remains a political juggernaut whose support and influence can, to some extent determine who wins the APC ticket. From what I have read and heard, it was this support that Osinbajo was looking for that delayed his declaration. Unfortunately for him, PMB did not assure him of anything, instead preferring to be neutral and asking all the contestants to work hard to win the ticket. While it is possible for PMB to have a preference for PYO (highly doubtful), Buhari has demonstrated many times that he handles situations like this with utmost maturity and fairness to all involved. If he has forgotten how BAT deployed his resources to make him defeat Atiku and Kwankwaso in 2014 and to win the presidency in 2015 and 2019, he will surely be reminded by his close allies like Ganduje and the Senate President of this fact. And Buhari will choose to remain neutral. It is PYO who needs PMB so much and not the other way round.
4. Clear message of endorsement by the APC Senate and Rep Caucuses Not many watchers of political development will have missed the enormous support Tinubu enjoys from the APC senators and representatives. They are not hiding it and they have been saying it loud and clear even to the hearing of PYO. You only need to watch the Senate session when BAT paid the APC caucus a visit to intimate them of his ambition. You can also listen to Ado Doguwa’s recent interview on the same subject https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xqe6AQllcPA and here https://www.nairaland.com/7079123/doguwa-speaks-bola-tinubus-aspiration. I also read that of the seventy-something invited by PYO for Iftar, only 24 or so honored the invitation with majority of them spotting facemask with BAT logo. These speak volume about their position. They are the people that matter in this election and they are not politicians you can intimidate to change their mind. They believe in BAT and they are ready to reward his past support for them too.
5. Osinbajo has no political structure After seven years of being the VP of Nigeria, it is a fact that PYO has no political base or structure of note with which he can be guaranteed of delegates votes. This is someone who lost his polling booth in the last general election. Irrespective of whatever sentiment anyone in the party top hierarchy may want to have for a PYO candidacy, they will realize what a dangerous option his candidacy represents for their party and they will bury the thought without wasting time.
6. Perception of PYO as someone who cannot be trusted Like it or not, Osinbajo’s declaration has portrayed him as someone who cannot be relied upon. In politics, the currency is loyalty and anyone who is perceived as not loyal is usually avoided by those who matter. Even among those currently propping the professor on, there are those who will be murmuring within their heart that the VP cannot be trusted not to betray them at some point, especially if he becomes president and thus untouchable. I will personally be weary of such character too. Yes, he has the constitutional right to contest but he has thrown morality to the dustbin by standing up to challenge his one-time political mentor. I read a piece about how Tiinubu reluctantly agreed for Osinbajo to be the running mate to PMB out of the three names suggested to him. The fact that BAT’s choice was still going to be picked and that he eventually agreed to PYO being named as the running mate is enough for our erstwhile star boy to abandon his ambition for BAT’s.
Anyway, let’s see how far the support of sycophants and traducers of Tinubu can carry him in his quest to wrestle APC’s ticket from Jagaban.
Passingshot (O.S. Olayiwola)
In spite of these advantages, yet Tinubu's camp is in panic about osibanjo's declaration....
Bullet01: All these for a man that kept mute while his fellow Yoruba men are killed and maim only to find his voice when election time is close. I wonder how we think in this nation. May Allah choose right for us anyway.
Whtat did Osinbajo do. Tinubu is not a government official.
trutharena: 21 Under the coalition of for the Restoration of Education Empowerment and Development (CREED), cheques worth N185 million were distributed to 263 Schools for maintenance of structures, 103 Senior Secondary Schools, 115 Junior Secondary Schools, 5 Technical Schools and 40 Primary Schools;
22 Between 1999-2007, Tinubu overhauled and sustained the payment of bursary awards to Lagos State Students in higher institutions including Law School;
23 Tinubu initiated the development of Computer education and provision of equipment to special schools;
24 Tinubu approved the construction of staff quarters and provision of motorized boats for primary school’s teachers in rural/riverine areas;
25 Tinubu Introduced free mid-day meals for primary schools (from June 2001);
26 Tinubu approved the upgrading of schools to Model College and return of Board of Governor);
27 Tinubu’s administration spent N14.37 million on the rehabilitation of toilets, quarters, hostels, administrative blocks, classrooms, workshops, prototype building of TESCOM and LED offices in some schools;
28 Tinubu’s administration , via Ministry of Education Re-focused and re-shaped the policy and curriculums of Lagos State Education System;
29 In conjunction with Unilever/Nestle/Cadbury, Tinubu’s administration, approved the provision of free nutritious milk to primary school pupils;
30 Tinubu articulated and Initiated free education program for the over 1.5 million children 900 primary and 597 secondary schools;
31 Well over N100 million was expended from 2004-2006 on Unified Internal Education introduced by Tinubu’s administration to improve the quality of teaching and learning in the state’s secondary schools;
32 The sum of N135 million was disbursed as annual subvention to five special schools for the handicapped Modupe Cole Children Care and Home, Atunda–Olu School for the physically handicapped, Wesley School 1 & 11 for the deaf and National orthopedic Special Schools);
33 The ministry of education provided furniture for students and teachers of four newly established public secondary schools at a cost of N29.8 million;
34 Sixteen (16) schools were provided with wall fence to ensure safety of students at a cost of N11.4 million;
35 N1 billion was expanded on the massive rehabilitation/reconstruction of over 60 public primary and secondary schools across the state (250 new classrooms already completed out of the 750 envisaged);
36 Tinubu’s administration ensured regular payment of teachers salary as opposed what was formerly obtainable;
37 Between May and December 1999, Ten Thousand (10,000) dual desks and benches were supplied to 100 schools in 20 Local Education Districts (LED) at a cost of N30 million;
38 Tinubu’s administration contracted and engaged the services of Adebowale Furniture Company and Harmon Household Furniture at a cost of N25.2 million for the supply of additional 10,000 dual desks and benches;
39 Forty –One (41) secondary school buildings at the twenty (20) Local Government Areas were rehabilitated at a cost of N50.2 million in 2000;
40 For meaningful development to take place in the schools, Tinubu’s administration gave marching order to Ministry of Education to pick one hundred Secondary Schools, but to start with at least five schools per LED for total rehabilitation of existing structures and provision of education facilities in fiscal year 2000;
41 A total sum of 1. 5 million was expended for the Installation of JSS introductory technology facilities/equipment in 3 secondary schools namely: Ivory Grammar School, Ibeshe – Amuwo/Odofin LED, Sari-Iganmu Secondary School, Apapa – Apapa LED, keke High School, Ifako-Ijaiye LED)
42 A total sum of N750, 000 was expended on the supply of Ten (10) intro-technology workshop benches in five secondary schools, namely: Ivory Grammar School, Ibeshe – Amuwo/Odofin LED, Sari-Iganmu Secondary School, Apapa – Apapa LED, keke High School, Ifako-Ijaiye LED; Civil Service Model College, igbogbo – Ikorodu LED)
43 Ten Metal bench vices at a total cost of N400,000 were supplied to the following schools: African Church College, Ifako – Ifako/Ijaiye LED, Civil Service Model College, Igbogbo – Ikorodu LED;
44 A sum of N3, 822, 748 was spent on the conversion of intro-tech workshop at Ivory Grammar School, Ibeshe;
45 Seventeen (17) schools were provided with wall fences in the state in 1999. The total length was five thousand, two hundred and thirty-one metres (5231 metres) at a cost of N22,156 million;
46 Twenty –five (25) secondary schools within 20 LEDs were supplied with science equipment (Biology, Chemistry, and Physics) at a cost of N19.95 million;
47 Pioneered the up-grading of schools (Oriwu College, Ikorodu-Ikorodu LED, Agbowa/Ikosi Methodist High School, Agbowa – Epe LED, Iworo/Ajido High School, Ebute-Olofin – Badagry LED, Methodist Boys High School, V/Island – Lagos Island LED, Vetland Grammar School, Agege – Agege LED) to models college status;
48 In 2000, Tinubu’s administration approved the setting up of technical committee by the Ministry of Education to renegotiate with the contractors formerly handling abandoned school projects;
49 In 2000, Tinubu approved the re-award and completion of 10 JSS workshops at a cost of N14.3 million;
50 Bola Tinubu gave a marching order to the State Tenders Board to reappraise the submission of technical committee for the re-award of 25 prototype classroom blocks at a cost of N111 million at Ibeju-Lekki, Epe LED;
51 Through the Ministry of Education, Tinubu ordered the supply of special equipment to Atanda-Olu School for the physically handicapped, Surulere, at a cost N321,000;
52 Through the Ministry of Education, Tinubu ordered the supply of special equipment to Modupe Cole for Mentally slow School, Akoka, at a cost of N161,000;
53 Through the Ministry of Education, Tinubu ordered the supply of special equipment to National Orthopedic Special School, Igbobi, at a cost of N199, 500;
54 Through the Ministry of Education, Tinubu ordered the supply of special equipment to Wesley School 1 for the Deaf, Surulere, at a cost of N504, 000;
55 Through the Ministry of Education, Tinubu ordered the supply of special equipment to Wesley School 11 for the Deaf, Surulere, at a cost of N377, 000;
56 Through the Ministry of Education, Tinubu ordered the supply of special equipment to Deaf Unit of State Grammar School, Eric Moore, Surulere at a cost of N1,819, 000;
57 Tinubu’s administration approved the provision and installation of teaching aids worth of N2 million for both primary and secondary schools, tagged 3 new priority machines ( Maxima Paper Cutting Machine; 211 offset printing machine; and Platen Latter Press/Numbering Machine)
58 Bola Ahmed Tinubu, at the inception of his administration in May 1999, was determined to strengthen the existing Five Technical College in the state to a standard form. Asiwaju demonstrated this by releasing the sum of N16.16 million for the installation of heavy technical equipment that were purchased since 1991 at the Government Technical Colleges Ikotun and Ado-Sabo respectively;
59 A sum of N85 million was approved and released, by Asiwaju Bola Tinubu’s administration, for the Lagos State University (LASU) for its 3 campuses for the provision of infrastructural facilities at the campuses;
60 A sum of N158, 916,521.11 million was approved and released, by Asiwaju Bola Tinubu’s administration, for the Lagos State University (LASU) for the completion of its on-going projects in 2000-2002
After all the above mentioned, he finally pocket Lagos. So everything equal to Zero.
PassingShot: I read a NL thread https://www.nairaland.com/7077990/why-tinubu-lose-osinbajo-apc#up suggesting reasons why PYO will defeat BAT in the APC primary election to select who flies the ticket of the party in 2023 and I could not help but to laugh at the naivety and desperation of the writer. Well, without paying any attention to the weak and unfounded reasons he presented in his article, I make bold to advance the following arguments to conclude that Jagaban Borgu remains the only candidate who will win the primary contest, barring any last-minute jettisoning of primaries for consensus which is not even contained in the constitution of APC.
1. Tinubu’s political structure and machineries Even, his political foes will attest to the fact that BAT has built a well-oiled political structure that has not only survived the best of political warriors in OBJ and GEJ (with federal might), his structure has endured the worst of political earthquake and has remained very solid and functioning. In the primary contest for the presidential candidate which will be decided by delegates from APC across the 36 states, Tinubu structure will come in hand to deliver the goods.
2. BAT’s political alliance This is somewhat related to the first point but not entirely the same. In the course of single-handedly building and strengthening his political base (ACN), Tinubu it was who took ACN into alliance with CPC, ANPP, a faction of APGA and a faction of PDP. In fact, most political watchers agreed that the 2 most important figures in that successful alliance that produced APC are Buhari and Tinubu. The rest were only needed to make up the numbers and the spread. BAT has since that alliance built a working relationship with strong politicians in the north. The likes of Ganduje, Ribadu, Ado Dogawa, Ahmed Lawan, etc. are staunch Tinubu’s supporters who will deliver the delegates from that side of the country.
3. Neutrality of PMB PMB remains a political juggernaut whose support and influence can, to some extent determine who wins the APC ticket. From what I have read and heard, it was this support that Osinbajo was looking for that delayed his declaration. Unfortunately for him, PMB did not assure him of anything, instead preferring to be neutral and asking all the contestants to work hard to win the ticket. While it is possible for PMB to have a preference for PYO (highly doubtful), Buhari has demonstrated many times that he handles situations like this with utmost maturity and fairness to all involved. If he has forgotten how BAT deployed his resources to make him defeat Atiku and Kwankwaso in 2014 and to win the presidency in 2015 and 2019, he will surely be reminded by his close allies like Ganduje and the Senate President of this fact. And Buhari will choose to remain neutral. It is PYO who needs PMB so much and not the other way round.
4. Clear message of endorsement by the APC Senate and Rep Caucuses Not many watchers of political development will have missed the enormous support Tinubu enjoys from the APC senators and representatives. They are not hiding it and they have been saying it loud and clear even to the hearing of PYO. You only need to watch the Senate session when BAT paid the APC caucus a visit to intimate them of his ambition. You can also listen to Ado Doguwa’s recent interview on the same subject https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xqe6AQllcPA and here https://www.nairaland.com/7079123/doguwa-speaks-bola-tinubus-aspiration. I also read that of the seventy-something invited by PYO for Iftar, only 24 or so honored the invitation with majority of them spotting facemask with BAT logo. These speak volume about their position. They are the people that matter in this election and they are not politicians you can intimidate to change their mind. They believe in BAT and they are ready to reward his past support for them too.
5. Osinbajo has no political structure After seven years of being the VP of Nigeria, it is a fact that PYO has no political base or structure of note with which he can be guaranteed of delegates votes. This is someone who lost his polling booth in the last general election. Irrespective of whatever sentiment anyone in the party top hierarchy may want to have for a PYO candidacy, they will realize what a dangerous option his candidacy represents for their party and they will bury the thought without wasting time.
6. Perception of PYO as someone who cannot be trusted Like it or not, Osinbajo’s declaration has portrayed him as someone who cannot be relied upon. In politics, the currency is loyalty and anyone who is perceived as not loyal is usually avoided by those who matter. Even among those currently propping the professor on, there are those who will be murmuring within their heart that the VP cannot be trusted not to betray them at some point, especially if he becomes president and thus untouchable. I will personally be weary of such character too. Yes, he has the constitutional right to contest but he has thrown morality to the dustbin by standing up to challenge his one-time political mentor. I read a piece about how Tiinubu reluctantly agreed for Osinbajo to be the running mate to PMB out of the three names suggested to him. The fact that BAT’s choice was still going to be picked and that he eventually agreed to PYO being named as the running mate is enough for our erstwhile star boy to abandon his ambition for BAT’s.
Anyway, let’s see how far the support of sycophants and traducers of Tinubu can carry him in his quest to wrestle APC’s ticket from Jagaban.
Passingshot (O.S. Olayiwola)
Lame.
We dey worry too much.
Tinubu winning primaries is not the issue now.
Tye question is "can he win the general election"?
And the amswer is a big fat NO. so why should APC be stupid to present a man who can never win the general election+
PassingShot: I read a NL thread https://www.nairaland.com/7077990/why-tinubu-lose-osinbajo-apc#up suggesting reasons why PYO will defeat BAT in the APC primary election to select who flies the ticket of the party in 2023 and I could not help but to laugh at the naivety and desperation of the writer. Well, without paying any attention to the weak and unfounded reasons he presented in his article, I make bold to advance the following arguments to conclude that Jagaban Borgu remains the only candidate who will win the primary contest, barring any last-minute jettisoning of primaries for consensus which is not even contained in the constitution of APC.
1. Tinubu’s political structure and machineries Even, his political foes will attest to the fact that BAT has built a well-oiled political structure that has not only survived the best of political warriors in OBJ and GEJ (with federal might), his structure has endured the worst of political earthquake and has remained very solid and functioning. In the primary contest for the presidential candidate which will be decided by delegates from APC across the 36 states, Tinubu structure will come in hand to deliver the goods.
2. BAT’s political alliance This is somewhat related to the first point but not entirely the same. In the course of single-handedly building and strengthening his political base (ACN), Tinubu it was who took ACN into alliance with CPC, ANPP, a faction of APGA and a faction of PDP. In fact, most political watchers agreed that the 2 most important figures in that successful alliance that produced APC are Buhari and Tinubu. The rest were only needed to make up the numbers and the spread. BAT has since that alliance built a working relationship with strong politicians in the north. The likes of Ganduje, Ribadu, Ado Dogawa, Ahmed Lawan, etc. are staunch Tinubu’s supporters who will deliver the delegates from that side of the country.
3. Neutrality of PMB PMB remains a political juggernaut whose support and influence can, to some extent determine who wins the APC ticket. From what I have read and heard, it was this support that Osinbajo was looking for that delayed his declaration. Unfortunately for him, PMB did not assure him of anything, instead preferring to be neutral and asking all the contestants to work hard to win the ticket. While it is possible for PMB to have a preference for PYO (highly doubtful), Buhari has demonstrated many times that he handles situations like this with utmost maturity and fairness to all involved. If he has forgotten how BAT deployed his resources to make him defeat Atiku and Kwankwaso in 2014 and to win the presidency in 2015 and 2019, he will surely be reminded by his close allies like Ganduje and the Senate President of this fact. And Buhari will choose to remain neutral. It is PYO who needs PMB so much and not the other way round.
4. Clear message of endorsement by the APC Senate and Rep Caucuses Not many watchers of political development will have missed the enormous support Tinubu enjoys from the APC senators and representatives. They are not hiding it and they have been saying it loud and clear even to the hearing of PYO. You only need to watch the Senate session when BAT paid the APC caucus a visit to intimate them of his ambition. You can also listen to Ado Doguwa’s recent interview on the same subject https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xqe6AQllcPA and here https://www.nairaland.com/7079123/doguwa-speaks-bola-tinubus-aspiration. I also read that of the seventy-something invited by PYO for Iftar, only 24 or so honored the invitation with majority of them spotting facemask with BAT logo. These speak volume about their position. They are the people that matter in this election and they are not politicians you can intimidate to change their mind. They believe in BAT and they are ready to reward his past support for them too.
5. Osinbajo has no political structure After seven years of being the VP of Nigeria, it is a fact that PYO has no political base or structure of note with which he can be guaranteed of delegates votes. This is someone who lost his polling booth in the last general election. Irrespective of whatever sentiment anyone in the party top hierarchy may want to have for a PYO candidacy, they will realize what a dangerous option his candidacy represents for their party and they will bury the thought without wasting time.
6. Perception of PYO as someone who cannot be trusted Like it or not, Osinbajo’s declaration has portrayed him as someone who cannot be relied upon. In politics, the currency is loyalty and anyone who is perceived as not loyal is usually avoided by those who matter. Even among those currently propping the professor on, there are those who will be murmuring within their heart that the VP cannot be trusted not to betray them at some point, especially if he becomes president and thus untouchable. I will personally be weary of such character too. Yes, he has the constitutional right to contest but he has thrown morality to the dustbin by standing up to challenge his one-time political mentor. I read a piece about how Tiinubu reluctantly agreed for Osinbajo to be the running mate to PMB out of the three names suggested to him. The fact that BAT’s choice was still going to be picked and that he eventually agreed to PYO being named as the running mate is enough for our erstwhile star boy to abandon his ambition for BAT’s.
Anyway, let’s see how far the support of sycophants and traducers of Tinubu can carry him in his quest to wrestle APC’s ticket from Jagaban.
Passingshot (O.S. Olayiwola)
Suburudeen Olayiwola, forget it. No Bullion van criminal druggie or Odale midget will enter Aso rock in 2023. Go and recruit more urchins to fight gbas gbos between the two yoruba camps and entertain us.
PassingShot: I read a NL thread https://www.nairaland.com/7077990/why-tinubu-lose-osinbajo-apc#up suggesting reasons why PYO will defeat BAT in the APC primary election to select who flies the ticket of the party in 2023 and I could not help but to laugh at the naivety and desperation of the writer. Well, without paying any attention to the weak and unfounded reasons he presented in his article, I make bold to advance the following arguments to conclude that Jagaban Borgu remains the only candidate who will win the primary contest, barring any last-minute jettisoning of primaries for consensus which is not even contained in the constitution of APC.
1. Tinubu’s political structure and machineries Even, his political foes will attest to the fact that BAT has built a well-oiled political structure that has not only survived the best of political warriors in OBJ and GEJ (with federal might), his structure has endured the worst of political earthquake and has remained very solid and functioning. In the primary contest for the presidential candidate which will be decided by delegates from APC across the 36 states, Tinubu structure will come in hand to deliver the goods.
2. BAT’s political alliance This is somewhat related to the first point but not entirely the same. In the course of single-handedly building and strengthening his political base (ACN), Tinubu it was who took ACN into alliance with CPC, ANPP, a faction of APGA and a faction of PDP. In fact, most political watchers agreed that the 2 most important figures in that successful alliance that produced APC are Buhari and Tinubu. The rest were only needed to make up the numbers and the spread. BAT has since that alliance built a working relationship with strong politicians in the north. The likes of Ganduje, Ribadu, Ado Dogawa, Ahmed Lawan, etc. are staunch Tinubu’s supporters who will deliver the delegates from that side of the country.
3. Neutrality of PMB PMB remains a political juggernaut whose support and influence can, to some extent determine who wins the APC ticket. From what I have read and heard, it was this support that Osinbajo was looking for that delayed his declaration. Unfortunately for him, PMB did not assure him of anything, instead preferring to be neutral and asking all the contestants to work hard to win the ticket. While it is possible for PMB to have a preference for PYO (highly doubtful), Buhari has demonstrated many times that he handles situations like this with utmost maturity and fairness to all involved. If he has forgotten how BAT deployed his resources to make him defeat Atiku and Kwankwaso in 2014 and to win the presidency in 2015 and 2019, he will surely be reminded by his close allies like Ganduje and the Senate President of this fact. And Buhari will choose to remain neutral. It is PYO who needs PMB so much and not the other way round.
4. Clear message of endorsement by the APC Senate and Rep Caucuses Not many watchers of political development will have missed the enormous support Tinubu enjoys from the APC senators and representatives. They are not hiding it and they have been saying it loud and clear even to the hearing of PYO. You only need to watch the Senate session when BAT paid the APC caucus a visit to intimate them of his ambition. You can also listen to Ado Doguwa’s recent interview on the same subject https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xqe6AQllcPA and here https://www.nairaland.com/7079123/doguwa-speaks-bola-tinubus-aspiration. I also read that of the seventy-something invited by PYO for Iftar, only 24 or so honored the invitation with majority of them spotting facemask with BAT logo. These speak volume about their position. They are the people that matter in this election and they are not politicians you can intimidate to change their mind. They believe in BAT and they are ready to reward his past support for them too.
5. Osinbajo has no political structure After seven years of being the VP of Nigeria, it is a fact that PYO has no political base or structure of note with which he can be guaranteed of delegates votes. This is someone who lost his polling booth in the last general election. Irrespective of whatever sentiment anyone in the party top hierarchy may want to have for a PYO candidacy, they will realize what a dangerous option his candidacy represents for their party and they will bury the thought without wasting time.
6. Perception of PYO as someone who cannot be trusted Like it or not, Osinbajo’s declaration has portrayed him as someone who cannot be relied upon. In politics, the currency is loyalty and anyone who is perceived as not loyal is usually avoided by those who matter. Even among those currently propping the professor on, there are those who will be murmuring within their heart that the VP cannot be trusted not to betray them at some point, especially if he becomes president and thus untouchable. I will personally be weary of such character too. Yes, he has the constitutional right to contest but he has thrown morality to the dustbin by standing up to challenge his one-time political mentor. I read a piece about how Tiinubu reluctantly agreed for Osinbajo to be the running mate to PMB out of the three names suggested to him. The fact that BAT’s choice was still going to be picked and that he eventually agreed to PYO being named as the running mate is enough for our erstwhile star boy to abandon his ambition for BAT’s.
Anyway, let’s see how far the support of sycophants and traducers of Tinubu can carry him in his quest to wrestle APC’s ticket from Jagaban.
Passingshot (O.S. Olayiwola)
Olayiwola you've tried but you missed out 2 vital factors.
1. Religion. Bagudu the Chairman APC governor forum made it clear last October that one of the Governors from the north would Vice the president from the south. Gov Sule of nasarawa state in Nov last year was emphatic about it that they (northern governors) expect a Christian president from the south while one of the out going Muslim governors would Vice him. He went further to say that Tinubu is a Muslim and they would not find a Christian northern governor to Vice him. He concluded by saying that Nigerians would not accept a Muslim Muslim ticket.
2. You talked about popularity and structure of Asiwaju and the people he's made. Yes, Asiwaju is a political leader of Osinbajo. We give it to him. But this race is not about who's more popular, it's about the most expedient person at this moment. Politics is about circumstances, time and chances. All these doesn't favor Asiwaju. The situation is not about Asiwaju's long time ambition, rather it's about the personality of the president to be. I wish you knew the number of Lagosians (Yorubas and Nigerians) that are waiting to block Tinubu. I work here in Abuja and what you hear them say is that Tinubu would pocket Nigeria revenue as he did to Lagos.
I've done my findings, I've gathered opinion and I can tell you that Osinbajo is preferable and more acceptable to Nigerians than Tinubu who they considered to be slave master of Lagos and Lagosians.
PassingShot: I read a NL thread https://www.nairaland.com/7077990/why-tinubu-lose-osinbajo-apc#up suggesting reasons why PYO will defeat BAT in the APC primary election to select who flies the ticket of the party in 2023 and I could not help but to laugh at the naivety and desperation of the writer. Well, without paying any attention to the weak and unfounded reasons he presented in his article, I make bold to advance the following arguments to conclude that Jagaban Borgu remains the only candidate who will win the primary contest, barring any last-minute jettisoning of primaries for consensus which is not even contained in the constitution of APC.
1. Tinubu’s political structure and machineries Even, his political foes will attest to the fact that BAT has built a well-oiled political structure that has not only survived the best of political warriors in OBJ and GEJ (with federal might), his structure has endured the worst of political earthquake and has remained very solid and functioning. In the primary contest for the presidential candidate which will be decided by delegates from APC across the 36 states, Tinubu structure will come in hand to deliver the goods.
2. BAT’s political alliance This is somewhat related to the first point but not entirely the same. In the course of single-handedly building and strengthening his political base (ACN), Tinubu it was who took ACN into alliance with CPC, ANPP, a faction of APGA and a faction of PDP. In fact, most political watchers agreed that the 2 most important figures in that successful alliance that produced APC are Buhari and Tinubu. The rest were only needed to make up the numbers and the spread. BAT has since that alliance built a working relationship with strong politicians in the north. The likes of Ganduje, Ribadu, Ado Dogawa, Ahmed Lawan, etc. are staunch Tinubu’s supporters who will deliver the delegates from that side of the country.
3. Neutrality of PMB PMB remains a political juggernaut whose support and influence can, to some extent determine who wins the APC ticket. From what I have read and heard, it was this support that Osinbajo was looking for that delayed his declaration. Unfortunately for him, PMB did not assure him of anything, instead preferring to be neutral and asking all the contestants to work hard to win the ticket. While it is possible for PMB to have a preference for PYO (highly doubtful), Buhari has demonstrated many times that he handles situations like this with utmost maturity and fairness to all involved. If he has forgotten how BAT deployed his resources to make him defeat Atiku and Kwankwaso in 2014 and to win the presidency in 2015 and 2019, he will surely be reminded by his close allies like Ganduje and the Senate President of this fact. And Buhari will choose to remain neutral. It is PYO who needs PMB so much and not the other way round.
4. Clear message of endorsement by the APC Senate and Rep Caucuses Not many watchers of political development will have missed the enormous support Tinubu enjoys from the APC senators and representatives. They are not hiding it and they have been saying it loud and clear even to the hearing of PYO. You only need to watch the Senate session when BAT paid the APC caucus a visit to intimate them of his ambition. You can also listen to Ado Doguwa’s recent interview on the same subject https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xqe6AQllcPA and here https://www.nairaland.com/7079123/doguwa-speaks-bola-tinubus-aspiration. I also read that of the seventy-something invited by PYO for Iftar, only 24 or so honored the invitation with majority of them spotting facemask with BAT logo. These speak volume about their position. They are the people that matter in this election and they are not politicians you can intimidate to change their mind. They believe in BAT and they are ready to reward his past support for them too.
5. Osinbajo has no political structure After seven years of being the VP of Nigeria, it is a fact that PYO has no political base or structure of note with which he can be guaranteed of delegates votes. This is someone who lost his polling booth in the last general election. Irrespective of whatever sentiment anyone in the party top hierarchy may want to have for a PYO candidacy, they will realize what a dangerous option his candidacy represents for their party and they will bury the thought without wasting time.
6. Perception of PYO as someone who cannot be trusted Like it or not, Osinbajo’s declaration has portrayed him as someone who cannot be relied upon. In politics, the currency is loyalty and anyone who is perceived as not loyal is usually avoided by those who matter. Even among those currently propping the professor on, there are those who will be murmuring within their heart that the VP cannot be trusted not to betray them at some point, especially if he becomes president and thus untouchable. I will personally be weary of such character too. Yes, he has the constitutional right to contest but he has thrown morality to the dustbin by standing up to challenge his one-time political mentor. I read a piece about how Tiinubu reluctantly agreed for Osinbajo to be the running mate to PMB out of the three names suggested to him. The fact that BAT’s choice was still going to be picked and that he eventually agreed to PYO being named as the running mate is enough for our erstwhile star boy to abandon his ambition for BAT’s.
Anyway, let’s see how far the support of sycophants and traducers of Tinubu can carry him in his quest to wrestle APC’s ticket from Jagaban.
Passingshot (O.S. Olayiwola)
Nonsense talk.PMB might not hav a preferrred candidate,bt we all know d candidate he doesn't want to win primaries....n that is BAT
Aufbauh: Seriously I don't know why people can't decode that Prof. Yemi Osinbajo was the 'closet candidate' of PMB.
The gut & courage of Osinbajo to openly challenge his erstwhile benefactor can only be motivated by a mortal superior power backing, who is Mr. President. No one else could have prompted him out for this challenge, not even an audible voice from God. This is why Osinbajo shouldn't be underrated in this contest.
It is also important to note that the political dynamics of 2023 will be entirely different from 2019. This time around PMB will be interested in who succeeds him. He has already shown that through the election of the APC national executives.
The Nigeria leadership factor shouldn't be wished away. We've already concluded that all Nigeria politicians are the same so, PMB may equally be tempted to play god. That means that PMB to a large extent he'll play pertinent role in who emerges. We should not also forget that he will still remain the president after the primaries for couple of months, so it'll be extremely difficult for governors especially from the north to go against his wish.
Again much is always said about political structure but we shouldn't forget that 'structure' can be built, inherited and bought.
Conclusively this is politics and anything can happen to change the balance of power. One meeting of like minds with Mr President can send BAT to oblivion.
"Absolute power does not only corrupt but attract the corruptible"- Frank Herbert
You seem to forget how Buhari himself tried and failed three times before he was bailed out by BAT. He even had to rely on BAT again in 2019 to win re-election courtesy of BAT’s Bullion Vans. The President is smart enough to know that APC will likely lose in 2023 if BAT is completely alienated. It’s a game of chess but not everyone is willing to follow Buhari blindly to his retirement home in Daura ….or is it Kaduna that’s inviting him now.
LeoDeKing: Tinubu oh, Osinbajo oh, anyone who emerges as the flagbearer will get 100% support from Nigerians.
What Nigerians don't want to see on the ballot is Emeka.
How will he even debate someone like Peter Obi or Tambuwal, let alone win, with a fast declining mental acumen? Someone that said that he would recruit 50 million youth into the Army and feed them with cassava and corn to fight insurgency. The disastrous choice you guys made in Buhari has taught you no lessons. However, even if you want to repeat history out of greed or foolishness or both, this time we shall stop you.
Passingshit, I was the first to identify you many years ago as a yoruba muslim when you falsely claimed to be a Christian who hates GEJ and loved Booharry in 2015, and I was not wrong.
It's good you have accepted your identity and add your names and initials to your post. We'll need it.
PassingShot: I read a NL thread https://www.nairaland.com/7077990/why-tinubu-lose-osinbajo-apc#up suggesting reasons why PYO will defeat BAT in the APC primary election to select who flies the ticket of the party in 2023 and I could not help but to laugh at the naivety and desperation of the writer. Well, without paying any attention to the weak and unfounded reasons he presented in his article, I make bold to advance the following arguments to conclude that Jagaban Borgu remains the only candidate who will win the primary contest, barring any last-minute jettisoning of primaries for consensus which is not even contained in the constitution of APC.
1. Tinubu’s political structure and machineries Even, his political foes will attest to the fact that BAT has built a well-oiled political structure that has not only survived the best of political warriors in OBJ and GEJ (with federal might), his structure has endured the worst of political earthquake and has remained very solid and functioning. In the primary contest for the presidential candidate which will be decided by delegates from APC across the 36 states, Tinubu structure will come in hand to deliver the goods.
2. BAT’s political alliance This is somewhat related to the first point but not entirely the same. In the course of single-handedly building and strengthening his political base (ACN), Tinubu it was who took ACN into alliance with CPC, ANPP, a faction of APGA and a faction of PDP. In fact, most political watchers agreed that the 2 most important figures in that successful alliance that produced APC are Buhari and Tinubu. The rest were only needed to make up the numbers and the spread. BAT has since that alliance built a working relationship with strong politicians in the north. The likes of Ganduje, Ribadu, Ado Dogawa, Ahmed Lawan, etc. are staunch Tinubu’s supporters who will deliver the delegates from that side of the country.
3. Neutrality of PMB PMB remains a political juggernaut whose support and influence can, to some extent determine who wins the APC ticket. From what I have read and heard, it was this support that Osinbajo was looking for that delayed his declaration. Unfortunately for him, PMB did not assure him of anything, instead preferring to be neutral and asking all the contestants to work hard to win the ticket. While it is possible for PMB to have a preference for PYO (highly doubtful), Buhari has demonstrated many times that he handles situations like this with utmost maturity and fairness to all involved. If he has forgotten how BAT deployed his resources to make him defeat Atiku and Kwankwaso in 2014 and to win the presidency in 2015 and 2019, he will surely be reminded by his close allies like Ganduje and the Senate President of this fact. And Buhari will choose to remain neutral. It is PYO who needs PMB so much and not the other way round.
4. Clear message of endorsement by the APC Senate and Rep Caucuses Not many watchers of political development will have missed the enormous support Tinubu enjoys from the APC senators and representatives. They are not hiding it and they have been saying it loud and clear even to the hearing of PYO. You only need to watch the Senate session when BAT paid the APC caucus a visit to intimate them of his ambition. You can also listen to Ado Doguwa’s recent interview on the same subject https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xqe6AQllcPA and here https://www.nairaland.com/7079123/doguwa-speaks-bola-tinubus-aspiration. I also read that of the seventy-something invited by PYO for Iftar, only 24 or so honored the invitation with majority of them spotting facemask with BAT logo. These speak volume about their position. They are the people that matter in this election and they are not politicians you can intimidate to change their mind. They believe in BAT and they are ready to reward his past support for them too.
5. Osinbajo has no political structure After seven years of being the VP of Nigeria, it is a fact that PYO has no political base or structure of note with which he can be guaranteed of delegates votes. This is someone who lost his polling booth in the last general election. Irrespective of whatever sentiment anyone in the party top hierarchy may want to have for a PYO candidacy, they will realize what a dangerous option his candidacy represents for their party and they will bury the thought without wasting time.
6. Perception of PYO as someone who cannot be trusted Like it or not, Osinbajo’s declaration has portrayed him as someone who cannot be relied upon. In politics, the currency is loyalty and anyone who is perceived as not loyal is usually avoided by those who matter. Even among those currently propping the professor on, there are those who will be murmuring within their heart that the VP cannot be trusted not to betray them at some point, especially if he becomes president and thus untouchable. I will personally be weary of such character too. Yes, he has the constitutional right to contest but he has thrown morality to the dustbin by standing up to challenge his one-time political mentor. I read a piece about how Tiinubu reluctantly agreed for Osinbajo to be the running mate to PMB out of the three names suggested to him. The fact that BAT’s choice was still going to be picked and that he eventually agreed to PYO being named as the running mate is enough for our erstwhile star boy to abandon his ambition for BAT’s.
Anyway, let’s see how far the support of sycophants and traducers of Tinubu can carry him in his quest to wrestle APC’s ticket from Jagaban.
Upworkwriter007: That's what you don't understand. It's difficult for PYO to be on that Ticket without Tinubu's support. How will you do that without both the Senate, Reps, Lagos, Kano, Borno, and Sokoto voting block for primaries.
Consensus..... Now who decides if its a consensus or election, the leadership of the party(in a sane society after due consultation with party members)....are we in a sane society? NO are things done properly by political parties? NO. a lot of people have been shouting for electoral reforms and reforms of the judicial system, but peole think they are just constituting a nuisance. Any Nigerian president has the structure of the ruling party, the judiciary and police and military in their pocket......Nigerians will shout imposition, nothing will come out of it. ABout the ones u mentioned, do some of them have a price? Absolutely and very cheap too. Will some of them trade Tinubu's support for EFCC getting off their back? YES. Will some of them trade Tinubu's support for 2nd term assurance? A VERY BIG YES. Does Tinubu have enough time to float a new party and use that party to win an election? I do not think so. Will he join PDP? I may be wrong but i doubt it. Do not trust politicians. No permanent friend or foe in politics. Its a game of interest for them
PassingShot: I read a NL thread https://www.nairaland.com/7077990/why-tinubu-lose-osinbajo-apc#up suggesting reasons why PYO will defeat BAT in the APC primary election to select who flies the ticket of the party in 2023 and I could not help but to laugh at the naivety and desperation of the writer. Well, without paying any attention to the weak and unfounded reasons he presented in his article, I make bold to advance the following arguments to conclude that Jagaban Borgu remains the only candidate who will win the primary contest, barring any last-minute jettisoning of primaries for consensus which is not even contained in the constitution of APC.
1. Tinubu’s political structure and machineries Even, his political foes will attest to the fact that BAT has built a well-oiled political structure that has not only survived the best of political warriors in OBJ and GEJ (with federal might), his structure has endured the worst of political earthquake and has remained very solid and functioning. In the primary contest for the presidential candidate which will be decided by delegates from APC across the 36 states, Tinubu structure will come in hand to deliver the goods.
2. BAT’s political alliance This is somewhat related to the first point but not entirely the same. In the course of single-handedly building and strengthening his political base (ACN), Tinubu it was who took ACN into alliance with CPC, ANPP, a faction of APGA and a faction of PDP. In fact, most political watchers agreed that the 2 most important figures in that successful alliance that produced APC are Buhari and Tinubu. The rest were only needed to make up the numbers and the spread. BAT has since that alliance built a working relationship with strong politicians in the north. The likes of Ganduje, Ribadu, Ado Dogawa, Ahmed Lawan, etc. are staunch Tinubu’s supporters who will deliver the delegates from that side of the country.
3. Neutrality of PMB PMB remains a political juggernaut whose support and influence can, to some extent determine who wins the APC ticket. From what I have read and heard, it was this support that Osinbajo was looking for that delayed his declaration. Unfortunately for him, PMB did not assure him of anything, instead preferring to be neutral and asking all the contestants to work hard to win the ticket. While it is possible for PMB to have a preference for PYO (highly doubtful), Buhari has demonstrated many times that he handles situations like this with utmost maturity and fairness to all involved. If he has forgotten how BAT deployed his resources to make him defeat Atiku and Kwankwaso in 2014 and to win the presidency in 2015 and 2019, he will surely be reminded by his close allies like Ganduje and the Senate President of this fact. And Buhari will choose to remain neutral. It is PYO who needs PMB so much and not the other way round.
4. Clear message of endorsement by the APC Senate and Rep Caucuses Not many watchers of political development will have missed the enormous support Tinubu enjoys from the APC senators and representatives. They are not hiding it and they have been saying it loud and clear even to the hearing of PYO. You only need to watch the Senate session when BAT paid the APC caucus a visit to intimate them of his ambition. You can also listen to Ado Doguwa’s recent interview on the same subject https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xqe6AQllcPA and here https://www.nairaland.com/7079123/doguwa-speaks-bola-tinubus-aspiration. I also read that of the seventy-something invited by PYO for Iftar, only 24 or so honored the invitation with majority of them spotting facemask with BAT logo. These speak volume about their position. They are the people that matter in this election and they are not politicians you can intimidate to change their mind. They believe in BAT and they are ready to reward his past support for them too.
5. Osinbajo has no political structure After seven years of being the VP of Nigeria, it is a fact that PYO has no political base or structure of note with which he can be guaranteed of delegates votes. This is someone who lost his polling booth in the last general election. Irrespective of whatever sentiment anyone in the party top hierarchy may want to have for a PYO candidacy, they will realize what a dangerous option his candidacy represents for their party and they will bury the thought without wasting time.
6. Perception of PYO as someone who cannot be trusted Like it or not, Osinbajo’s declaration has portrayed him as someone who cannot be relied upon. In politics, the currency is loyalty and anyone who is perceived as not loyal is usually avoided by those who matter. Even among those currently propping the professor on, there are those who will be murmuring within their heart that the VP cannot be trusted not to betray them at some point, especially if he becomes president and thus untouchable. I will personally be weary of such character too. Yes, he has the constitutional right to contest but he has thrown morality to the dustbin by standing up to challenge his one-time political mentor. I read a piece about how Tiinubu reluctantly agreed for Osinbajo to be the running mate to PMB out of the three names suggested to him. The fact that BAT’s choice was still going to be picked and that he eventually agreed to PYO being named as the running mate is enough for our erstwhile star boy to abandon his ambition for BAT’s.
Anyway, let’s see how far the support of sycophants and traducers of Tinubu can carry him in his quest to wrestle APC’s ticket from Jagaban.
Passingshot (O.S. Olayiwola)
Without rigging, you know your party can't win this election.
Not those concocted results of 2019. You even said PYO couldn't win his boot. This should tell you the truth.
No sane Nigerian will reward APC with their votes, except for sycophants. Not with this level of government failures.
LeoDeKing: Tinubu oh, Osinbajo oh, anyone who emerges as the flagbearer will get 100% support from Nigerians.
What Nigerians don't want to see on the ballot is Emeka.
You will get a Chibuike or Amaechi as flagbearer. I'd like to see your face when you start praying to Allah to make Chibuike change all his Igbo names to yoruba muslim names like mooshoodu.
Osinbajo will be taught a classic political lesson.
None of them will not pick the ticket of APC, watch the game, you keep making it as if it's a 2 horse race There are other candidates like Umahi, Fayemi, Rochas, Amaechi etc. The president will certainly be a major force in chosing his successor. Forget his nonchalance, he is very interested.
Wisfem: Tinubu and osinbajo are corrupt personalities, both will all loose out, The later is a pretender a Hypocrite claiming a pastor who lies with all breaths the former is a symbol of The word rogue, a drug Baron an desperate despicable figure who only relied on miscreants, slaves, thugs and insane personalities for support both of them detest me, Amaechi have my support
CRA is the guy, he is eminently qualified and ready to serve. Tested and trusted
Hey who Apc decide to make their presidential flag bearer is not my concern. As long as we got tired of PDP 2014 and chased away Jonathan. So we are going to chase away apc and try someone else from pdp until we have a third force. My vote dey relax for cooler
Yadid: Your first point though, quite laughable. Tinubu's political structure survived OBJs onslaught You really think so You must have forgotten that it was Atiku who went against OBJs directive to boot Tinubu out of Lagos, a fact that Atiku attested to as a regret in the run up to 2019. As for GEJ, Tinubu did not survive him either, it was a matter of one good turn deserves another. Since BAT helped GEJ in the 2011 elections at the expense of Ribadu, GEJ had no choice but to look away. That also came back to haunt him as it did Atiku.
You folks should stop portraying BAT as invincible. If he really is that invincible, why did he opt for an out of court settlement with that former AlphaBeta director that sued him
Truth is, Tinubu was made by men and he can be brought down by men. Fingers crossed towards 2023.
PS: If he really has everything on lockdown, then he should not have had a plan B of defecting to SDP.
Tinub wey singe-handedly removed the incumbent gov of Lagos from leading ordinary primary election and still went ahead to fix the winner of the primary election as Lagos state governor. This Jagaban went ahead and fix cow as president and fix Osinbajo as the vice pres. Listen to me Tinubu...I will not vote you....If you enter Nigeria will be in serious cycle filled with MC Oluomo, Sunday Igboho, and many more tout.
tunapawizzy: Your No. 3 is wrong or not exactly valid.....PYO is PMBs choice and I think you are the only one who does not see this, except you are just using this your write-up to sway opinion of voters.......Sadly there will be a party primary election before, I agree with you that Tinubu will win the votes of delegates, because of the financial warchest and ofcourse his political might and wit(no one can doubt that). PMB has the structure of the party(i.e. how the party will produce its candidate)......Already Tinubu loyalists that understand politics are already saying Tinubu will defeat anybody "IN A PRIMARY ELECTION". There is a reason they are putting so much emphasis on "in a primary". You just watch how the leadership of the party will eventually opt for a consensus candidate....Sadly or thankfully(depending on where u stand) it will be too late for Tinubu to float a new party. I dont ever see him decamping to PDP
So PMB has the structure of the party and he had to lobby hard for consensus for his candidate to emerge chairman. Keep on deceiving yourself. Moreover you are only assuming that Osinbajo is Buhari's candidate and as they say, assumption is the mother of all fvck ups.
You really think so
