onegentleguy:
Pivotal Information:
To all those who ordered/subscribed for the COMPLETE OUTLINE AND INVESTMENT GUIDE "on 8 treasured/explosive equity names with high value accretive potential";

Pls if you are among the 1st set of subscribers that got the outline but not the follow-up guide, kindly use the mail correspondence (onegentleguy3@gmail.com), stating same but using only the same mail as that when placing your order. (this last part in italics is very important to facilitate prompt response)
...otherwise, pls attach your order proof of payment if our form of engagement was via a SI platform like WhatsApp or Telegram.

For those still asking about the outline; I already gave a brief description/highlight on that including what to expect and the likely benefits to a subscriber in my previous post.
As I stated then; there's an extremely high plausibility that the assets highlighted in the outline will deliver good returns. ...88% likely success rate from no less than 70% (at least 2/3) of the coys mentioned therein.

Again if you didn't receive the additional guide, follow the instructions herein and send a mail now so I can copy everyone involved and revert at once. (for want of time)

The additional follow-up guide is free as long as one had previously placed an order for the complete investment outline.

...Pls be guided accordingly.

I wish us all a fruitful and fulfilling week ahead!
Regards

Dear all,

Kindly note that I've just replied to all mails and messages connected to the above and even more.

Regards

Streetinvestor2:
To me the market is still well under price because of naira depreciation and inflation rate in the country. The market is bound to catch up.When you sell most shares in the market at present price and visit other market you go understand better. Try the cash on building/construction materials you will know the reality

All what we are discussing, explain why Naira bonds even at current high yields don't look so attractive to a stockmarket bargain hunter. When there are many stocks with low PE's. Also a strong reason why the market will not go down despite high bond yields. People waiting for the market to go down will likely be disappointed as it's not worth cashing out anyhow on stocks at current prices.

BabsO2:


All what we are discussing, explain why Naira bonds even at current high yields don't look so attractive to a stockmarket bargain hunter. When there are many stocks with low PE's. Also a strong reason why the market will not go down despite high bond yields. People waiting for the market to go down will likely be disappointed as it's not worth cashing out anyhow on stocks at current prices.

Low PE might be due to zero growth, below average return.

The dividend yield plus earning growth should give a total return that will give at least 25% premium over a risk free FGN bonds.

A typical Nigerian stock should a Return on Capital Employed of over 20%

emmanuelewumi:




Low PE might be due to zero growth, below average return.

The dividend yield plus earning growth should give a total return that will give at least 25% premium over a risk free FGN bonds.

A typical Nigerian stock should a Return on Capital Employed of over 20%

The low PE's in many cases were caused by earnings growing faster than price appreciation over the last 5 to 10 years.

BabsO2:


The low PE's in many cases were caused by earnings growing faster than price appreciation over the last 5 to 10 years.

It should also reflect your required return. Considering inflation, currency devaluation and cost of capital, the required return from equity should be 20% and above. Reason why I said one needs to consider stocks whose ROCE is higher than 20% and yet they are selling cheap


So the current PE we have is not an abberation

I think the base PE for a zero growth stock on NGX should be 5.

Stocks that are growing their earnings on a steady basis can have a PE of 6 to 12.


Except in few cases whereby some stocks have been growing their earnings for 5years and above at more than 20% compounded annualized growth rate that a PE of over 12 is justified.


My opinion though

BabsO2:


The low PE's in many cases were caused by earnings growing faster than price appreciation over the last 5 to 10 years.

This is fact on ground. Then when you factor devaluation/inflation you will see that most fundamental stocks are underpriced. The local investors need to take position because if the foreign investors decide to beam thr light at this present nse with this prices ,many may not be able to take position again. I am waiting to see what will happen next yr with nigeria getting ready to atleast produce 50% of her consumption in fuel and crude production increase presently at 1.4 million barrel. And if the price of crude can stay above #80 dollars through out next yr

sterlingD:
Any idea on where Nemeith is heading to ?

Not yet aware of any insider info that may be driving it..........but TA wise, the indicators on UCAP were pointing to strong buy...
The target price, I don't know yet.....
* TA gurus can help shed more light on it
** DD applies

yMcy56:

Not yet aware of any insider info that may be driving it..........but TA wise, the indicators on UCAP were pointing to strong buy...
The target price, I don't know yet......maybe around 2.50/3.50 sha.

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yMcy56:

Not yet aware of any insider info that may be driving it..........but TA wise, the indicators on UCAP were pointing to strong buy...
The target price, I don't know yet.....
* TA gurus can help shed more light on it
** DD applies

NEIMETH may be targeting above 2.30; UCAP...uuhmmm very high, may or may not need some pullback! FA needed there.

BullBearMkt:

NEIMETH may be targeting above 2.30; UCAP...uuhmmm very high, may or may not need some pullback! FA needed there.

Before delving into the analysis, I'd like to provide some context for those unfamiliar with VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price). I've considered ways to scrape Morgan Capital's intraday data, but their platform's design poses challenges. Algorithmic processing of this data would be immensely beneficial, eliminating the need for constant monitoring like Mcy56's round-the-clock vigil.

Fortunately, Morgan Capital provides VWAP data in their daily price reports. VWAP serves as a proxy for more granular data, offering a price weighted by volume. The accompanying Dataframe displays closing price, VWAP, percentage variation, and volume side by side.

While I'm still piecing together the puzzle, I observe that a significant portion of the 8.4 million units were acquired at 1.82, the highest volume in the past 15 days. The next substantial volume occurred at 2.42, with the majority of the 6.4 million units purchased at that price on that day.

As always, my conclusion is that aiming for or below 2 might be a worthwhile strategy, and surpassing 2.42 is highly likely over time, as those MOFOs buying at 2.42 may possess insights they haven't shared.

ositadima1:


Before delving into the analysis, I'd like to provide some context for those unfamiliar with VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price). I've considered ways to scrape Morgan Capital's intraday data, but their platform's design poses challenges. Algorithmic processing of this data would be immensely beneficial, eliminating the need for constant monitoring like Mcy56's round-the-clock vigil. [

This VWAP thing you mentioned reminds me of Oga Meshpips... He used it to identify NAHCO as a winner many months ahead of fundamental analysis highlighted it to many. It was still selling below N5 when he strongly recommended it.

I hope he is doing great wherever he is...

We'll start with FCCPC to handle MorganCapital if they fail to remedy their site by the end of today. Hopefully they learn a lesson and improve on service delivery.

DrAwo:


This VWAP thing you mentioned reminds me of Oga Meshpips... He used it to identify NAHCO as a winner many months ahead of fundamental analysis highlighted it to many. It was still selling below N5 when he strongly recommended it.

I hope he is doing great wherever he is...

I'm unfamiliar with Oga Meshpips VAP. However, VWAP is a widely used indicator easily accessible on most charting platforms and software. It's a straightforward calculation that averages prices weighted by volume, typically over a day. VWAP essentially indicates the price level where most of the trading activity occurred, simply an average price.

ositadima1:


I'm unfamiliar with Oga Meshpips VAP. However, VWAP is a widely used indicator easily accessible on most charting platforms and software. It's a straightforward calculation that averages prices weighted by volume, typically over a day. VWAP essentially indicates the price level where most of the trading activity occurred, simply an average price.

An outlier can be classed as an indicator but it's better to overlay it with other indicators to negate effect of false positives.

Questions:
Is the volume an absolute transaction figure (irrespective of Buy/Sell volumes)
Even if you strip out the sell volumes, it's hard to ascribe the activity to insider trading in real term. (I'm not suggesting you are inferring that though)

yMcy56:

* Dangsugar good for pick....
* NASCON good for pick.....
JAPAUL: for risk takers........
* TIP: I've not really looked into this as such, but you can check the post of Aj8 and do your DD or copy him, let him shed some light on it for you.
UNITY: I don answer you above.
JAIZ: If you can get at 1.50/1.60.......and you're ready to wait it out......if you don't have patience, leave am.

*DD pls......if you know how to do it*

Dangote Sugar and NASCON have stopped growing. Please, is it time for Buy, Sell or Hold?

jaybee3:


An outlier can be classed as an indicator but it's better to overlay it with other indicators to negate effect of false positives.

Questions:
Is the volume an absolute transaction figure (irrespective of Buy/Sell volumes)
Even if you strip out the sell volumes, it's hard to ascribe the activity to insider trading in real term. (I'm not suggesting you are inferring that though)

Question one:
If you check the Morgan Capital panel, you'll see the number of transactions and their corresponding prices. This information is incredibly valuable, but unfortunately, it can't be saved for further analysis. We can only eyeball it as it prints. That's where VWAP comes in. Morgan calculates it by multiplying each transaction price by its volume (amount traded). At the end of the day, they sum these up and divide by the total volume. This gives us a clear picture of where most of the trading activity occurred. Imagine five trades at $20, three at $21, and ten at $25. It's obvious that $25 will heavily influence the average because it has the most data points.

Question two:
It's impossible to know for sure what insiders are doing, but when we see high volumes at high prices, it could indicate a positive reason, or perhaps not.

I also want to acknowledge that my English isn't good (night school grad here!). I'm using a grammar filter to improve my writing.

so Morgan capital is still not working!

Mfunkynation:
so Morgan capital is still not working!

December rituals. They shall be back.

DrAwo:


This VWAP thing you mentioned reminds me of Oga Meshpips... He used it to identify NAHCO as a winner many months ahead of fundamental analysis highlighted it to many. It was still selling below N5 when he strongly recommended it.

I hope he is doing great wherever he is...

I bought my first tranche of NAHCO in July 2020 at 1.99. I recall vividly when he had to send me a WhatsApp message, almost begging me to buy more NAHCO at 2.50 but I did ''STRONG HEAD''. Eventually, I bought the bulk of my holding at N7.50

Mfunkynation:
so Morgan capital is still not working!

Chaka e be like nah the same Morgan they run them cause since Friday u can't buy on chaka

I think someone just raised his stakes in Neimeth to above 5%.

Mpeace:
December rituals. They shall be back.

does this usually last a week?

KayOn1:
I think someone just raised his stakes in Neimeth to above 5%.

If they had a good result, by now we should be looking at #5 stock.
The sector is good for one to invest now.
To me Fidson and Mecure can't be going up and leave Neimeth behind.
People inside the bus should search more news about the stock.For result, it is no no no.Financial year end result will also be poor.

FBNH
First Bank @25......25.20....
GT/ZENITH, be expecting your triplet brother....
Don't mind me oooo.....only that it's looking more like that now.........FBNH trailing GT and ZEE behind now....

* Not any form of advice*

essentialone:
Dangote Sugar and NASCON have stopped growing. Please, is it time for Buy, Sell or Hold?

Ask yourself: Why did I buy?
Why should I hold? Or why should I sell?
Then follow your mind.
No need to seek for validation from anyone on SUGAR and SALT.

yMcy56:

Ask yourself: Why did I buy?
Why should I hold? Or why should I sell?
Then follow your mind.
No need to seek for validation from anyone on SUGAR and SALT.

Momma, I bought because of the Merger plans ooo. But it seems it is another Dangote Refinery...

ositadima1:


I'm unfamiliar with Oga Meshpips VAP. However, VWAP is a widely used indicator easily accessible on most charting platforms and software. It's a straightforward calculation that averages prices weighted by volume, typically over a day. VWAP essentially indicates the price level where most of the trading activity occurred, simply an average price.

Oga Meshpips did some recommendations here that worked. He recommended Guinness to me which I sold hastily for liquidity reasons.

I recall he had some bet (no money involved) with RabbiDoracle and did acknowledge defeat when Oracle won.

Shoutout to Oga fxuser too.

The volatility of Neimeth has high volatility followed with long stagnancy. In August it reach 2.2 and pull back to 1.6, Last week goes up to 2.45 and pull back to 1.6ish within the week. I have started my exit this morning. Fidson and MB are better with good fundamentals and prospects.

Locotrader:


If they had a good result, by now we should be looking at #5 stock.
The sector is good for one to invest now.
To me Fidson and Mecure can't be going up and leave Neimeth behind.
People inside the bus should search more news about the stock.For result, it is no no no.Financial year end result will also be poor.

BullBearMkt:

NEIMETH may be targeting above 2.30; UCAP...uuhmmm very high, may or may not need some pullback! FA needed there.

Boss thanks for all you're doing sir.

I'm not talking about UCAP as a stock, but that the TA indicator was screenshot from UCAP website, investing.com.