Diiet:
With this i think every yoruba

should intensify support for


APC/ Buhari and osinbajo.


Leave PDP for wike and SE lets see

what they can do with it.

Buhari and Osinbajo till 2023

IamaNigerianGuy:


Before you discovered your Wikifu, I had read that article. Anybody can write anything in Wikipedia. Is written in Wikipedia does not make it true. I just altered the article to prove a point to you, go see what it says now. Stop displaying ignorance.

Anyway coming from a Yoruba man for whom Fulani arse-licking is a tradition, your comment is hilarious.

IamaNigerianGuy:


Before you discovered your Wikifu, I had read that article. Anybody can write anything in Wikipedia. Is written in Wikipedia does not make it true. I just altered the article to prove a point to you, go see what it says now. Stop displaying ignorance.

Anyway coming from a Yoruba man for whom Fulani arse-licking is a tradition, your comment is hilarious.

Alcatraz005:


What world powers are you talking about? Is it World powers that would vote for Nigerians in a general election? You igbos keep threatening other Nigerians to vote for you in 2023. Are igbos people that are entitled to power in Nigeria?

Do your worst in 2023 if Nigerians don’t vote for you.

Alcatraz005:


We might as well adopt your submission. You these people ehn. I don’t even know what to say. The back and forth no be here ooo. The resentment is there though. No love lost relationship.

Donclaracuzo:


DO YOUR WORST IN 2023 IF NIGERIANS DON'T VOTE FOR YOU. Your statement shows that you are having psychological problems, not happy with your self and have feelings of severe despondency and dejection. Please, don't transfer your aggression on people that doesn't know you exist and I advice you to look for medical therapy that might make you to be happy for your self. No body is going to do his worst for politics. It will play it self out. If the SE loose Presidency in 2023, there are other ways that will favor them. After all, OBJ never made SW the Japan of Africa and neither did Jonathan did to his SS people.

engrchykae:
even my submission won't be easy because nigeria won't survive a second civil war but if it comes we must ensure it lingers at least forty years,
it will be better to go back to Sir Herbert Marcaulay's vision of a united south,join and complete the southern circle as sir Herbert envisioned when he handed the ncnc to zik and awolowo to be able to stand up to the north but you would rather see igbos suffer.we will be watching you.

powerkey:
I thought Yorubas don't care about PDP?

I thought they said they are sophisticated?

Wike just thought the Yorubas politics 101.


How much have Yorubas contributed to the survival of PDP?

How much are the willing to contribute to the progress of and for the future of PDP?

Will they not sale out PDP again to APC come 2019.

Diiet:
With this i think every yoruba

should intensify support for


APC/ Buhari and osinbajo.


Leave PDP for wike and SE lets see

what they can do with it.

Buhari and Osinbajo till 2023

engineerboat:


What has been osinbajo achievement in south west.


Ki ni osinbajo ti se si ile kaa ro ojiiire.

So fun wa

DedeNkem:
Wike is right. Obasanjo is a failure and a thief who tried to make himself a dictator!

Donclaracuzo:

And you think that those politician from SE who are decamping to APC are fools? I hope you wont be surprise that from now till 2023, that APC will be dominated by the SE people. And, the power negotiations of this country is not place on the table of nairaland. Men discuses it and not people like you that comes online to vomit hatred against some people. Nigeria is a project and under the supervision of some world powers. Also, a lot of interest that is beyond human seen will play out when the time comes for that you have in mind. You think that ndi Igbo will tolerate your ideology come 2023 if APC wins.

3Ceagle:


Most people make comment without confirming how authentic the source is. Let assume, the comment was made by wike, then to who, where and when. In what context was it made.
I won't be surprised if Wike's camp come up tomorrow to deny ever making such comment. This is the more reason people shouldn't come to this platform to engineer tribal sentiment and abuse. I believe FFK being an unrepentant PDP member and a close ally to most of the vocal PDP members in the south, he won't jump in without certainty that wike made those statement.

powerkey:
I thought Yorubas don't care about PDP?

I thought they said they are sophisticated?

Wike just thought the Yorubas politics 101.


How much have Yorubas contributed to the survival of PDP?

How much are the willing to contribute to the progress of and for the future of PDP?

Will they not sale out PDP again to APC come 2019.

kastroud:
those who day the Yoruba is useless in PDP definitely do not know what they are saying they do not realize that whoever the Yoruba people support are usually the winners of any election in Nigeria. I think PDP are running on the baseless idea that Fayose as VP will give them Yoruba votes well take it from me lose you lose people like Bode George and OGD then u cannot get any vote from Yoruba land and when as usual north and south east cancel out themselves. then you will see how useful the Yoruba people are

mpowa:

You're very eloquent now, by the time you guys failed again, you will cry that yoruba betrayed you, you won't state where the betrayal begin from.

OsuGanja:
Ogun kill all of una

dieBYfire:

APC are trying so hard to form different groups
Seems this convention really pepper APC for body o!
Very soon Rochas will send South East Youths PDP


ATIKU u are really a lucky man. This is ur turn to shine. Don't disappoint Nigerians

muffyt05:


Look at this baby coming to a political gun fight with a knife. Let me send you to your elders. Go ask them who championed the cause against the killing of Ken Saro-Wiwa and the Ogoni 8 by Gen. Sanni Abacha,definetly the south west.
Go ask again who led the fight against the north while attempting to make another person as president of Nigeria instead of Jonathan after Yar'dua's death, definetly Tunde Bakare,leader of the Save Nigeria Group,a Yoruba person. Don't really wanna go educational tonight but if you make me,gonna school you till you learn about your ancestors

The PDP National Convention has come and gone, though many are comfortable with the outcome, but few are not, believing that they were sidelined.

This group arrogating to themselves the title of King Maker in the Nigerian political space, believes it will be disastrous for the PDP to ignore them in build up to 2019 election. They believe they can influence the outcome of any Presidential election, hence they are positioning for the PDP VP slot.

In this article, we are going to analyze the political clout of South Western Nigeria from 2011 and their impact on Presidential elections in Nigeria.

In 2011 election, the National election turnout was 52.3%, while turn out in the North was 52.8%, turn out in Eastern Nigerian (South East (66.9) and South South (67.0%)) was 67.0% while SW was 32.8% and they repeated this turn out in 2015 again.

While other regions either fell within the national average or exceeded it, South West was the only region that went below it by 37%, while South East and South South both exceeded it by 27.0%.

At the end of the election, out of the 16290593 votes casted in the South, the South West contributed 28.3% by casting only 4613712 votes, leaving South East and South South to provide the remaining 71.7%, casting 11676881.

Out of this 16290593 votes casted in the South, 13890271 votes were casted for PDP. South West even though it has the highest population in the South contributed only 20% of those votes by casting 2786417 votes, leaving South East with the lowest population and South South with the median population to contribute the other 80%, at 36% and 44% respectively and casting 4985246 and 6118608 votes respectively.

While South West contributed only 12.3% of the entire 22495187 votes PDP got at the election, South East and South South contributed 49.4%, leaving the entire North (3 regions) and FCT to provide the other 38.3%

It is important to point out that while South East gave 98.3% of their votes to PDP, South South gave 96.3%, while South West 60.4%, making them the only region that doesn't give bloc vote, while South East as PDP's strongest hold.

In 2015, South West gave 1851416 votes to PDP while giving 2433193 votes to APC, making APC win South West by a meager votes of 581777, advantage Anambra in the South East rendered useless by giving PDP 660762, returning advantage to PDP by 78985 votes.

It is important to point out that since majority of the 1851416 votes to PDP were gotten from Igbo dominated areas, should South West vote the way they did in 2015, Anambra will always be on ground to restore advantage.

While South West gave 43.2% of their votes to PDP, South East gave 93.0% of their votes to PDP while South South gave 91.8%. This again confirms South East as PDP's strongest hold and South West as the only region that doesn't give bloc votes in the South.

While South West contributed 14.4% of the total PDP's votes of 12853162 and 15.8% of APC's votes, South South and South East contributed 55.9% of PDP's votes and 4.0% of APC's votes leaving the entire North and FCT to contibute the other 29.7% of PDP's votes and 80.2% of APC's votes.

Finally it is important to point out 4 things:
1. In 2011, assuming South West gave 100% of their votes to Buhari's CPC who came second and gave nothing to PDP and other parties, Jonathan's PDP would have still won the election by 6093068 votes.

South West voted 2786417 for PDP, 1369943 for ACN, 321609 to CPC and 30906 for ANPP.

2. In 2015, assuming South West as a region decided not to vote at all, Buhari would have still won by 1989982 votes.

3. In 2015, assuming South West APC decided not to vote, allowing only South West PDP to vote for Jonathan, Buhari would have still won by 138566 votes.

4. Maybe as a result of faulty card reader recorded in the South East and South South during the election, which even caused His Excellency, the former President to try 7 times before been captured, turn out in SE fell from 66.9% in 2011 to 37% in 2015 and turn out in the South South fell from 67% in 2011 to 56% in 2015, while South West got the same turn out as in 2011. In the North, turn out in 2015 was 54.4% in Kebbi, 60% in Zamfara, while Boko Haram infested Borno, Adamawa and Yobe had an average turn out of 41.7%.

Assuming South East and South South alone voted in 2015 the way they did in 2011, with the other 4 regions and FCT voting like they did in 2015, Jonathan would have gotten 16777385 votes, beating Buhari with 1352464 votes.

In summary, experience from 1999 has taught us that South West PDP supporters are mainly Igbos and Niger Deltans, while South West APC (which metamorphosed from ACN) are mainly Yorubas.

Statistics from 2011 Presidential election equally confirms this. In that year, South West as a region alone, fielding a Northerner, Mallam Ribadu running on a Yoruba regional party ACN, gave the party 65.9% of its total vote, while contributing 89% of the Party's votes from the South, while South East and South South provided the other 11%.

Statistics from 2007, when His Excellency, the former Vice President, ran on that platform equally confirms this.

As a result of this, the South West can never offer a bloc vote. Hence, no matter who South West APC vote for, they CAN NEVER influence the outcome of any Presidential election. Their votes are just formalities.

cstr1000:

That is a lie.

The only time a Yoruba supported candidate won was during Buhari. And that was because he had 4 regions on his side.

Yorubas have always played losing opposition throughout PDP years.

Don't overestimate your non existent worth.

oloripelebe2:


They don't need our votes

We wl surely support pmb/osibanjo ticket come 2019



Make flatinooos wail till eternity