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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (3939) - Nairaland

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 1:12pm On Sep 19, 2018
swilo:


Derugged,

I was just about to post this (I quoted you so I can extend my greetings):

Remember, TA based trades are short term, in case the trade goes sour, do remember to cut the losses and move on to identify another opportunity... Infinitisi zerodha series

Some people place trades based on TA, follow the trade with FA while forgetting there was an initial TA setup (this is where hope usually takes charge) and exit the market based on GA.

+++

'' Some people place trades based on TA, follow the trade with FA while forgetting there was an initial TA setup (this is where hope usually takes charge) and exit the market based on GA. ''

+++

arrgh dis . . #HopeVille #WishfulThinking


My special greetings to Derugged.

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by DeRuggedProf: 1:13pm On Sep 19, 2018
Some people want to do a dirty thing in Access soon.
Having only a little over 64k sold since morning gives them away.... grin
TA guys, intervene to give members direction.

NB: I have no position here and also not on my watch list. Just curiosity from experience.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Ugosample(m): 1:13pm On Sep 19, 2018
sellydion:


Jejebaba, This could not be the whole story now, I bought at N10 too. Average down to N7.5k, I was heavy buyer then. Having more than a million units. I collected dividend of more than N1m in the course of these years. I rode the draw-down till I got to 15% negative of which I sold,to quickly join Dangote Flour which I view cheap during this bull 2018, I got more unit in the process. I rode dangote till 17 naira. I eventually sold between 16 and 17. See my dear, different ways to profit in the market. In bear market do your due diligence and buy very low. Sell when the company become overvalue. W. Buffets do sell over valued companies. He was only patience during the period the under value company stays under.

Comparing Dollar to Naira will not work. Do your biz in Dollars earn in Dollar. Do your biz in Naira earn in Naira QED

you have said it all
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Infinitisi(m): 1:19pm On Sep 19, 2018
So you are a biker shocked

Nice one. Hope to join you guys soon.

fxuser:



'' Never overtake a long truck at a sharp bend to avoid head on collision. '' lol Prof

- can relate to this as a biker . . . but if one is caught in such a situation , avoid all 8 survival reactions (SR's by keith code)
quote ''
1. rolling off the gas
2. Tightening on the bars
3. Narrowed and frantically hunting field of view
4. fixed attention (on something)
5. Steering in the direction of the fixed attention
6. No steering (frozen) or ineffective (not quick enough or too early) steering
7. Braking errors (both over-and under-braking)
end quote '' from Twist of a Wrist

- umm can be applied to trading

#DontPanic #Riskmgt

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 1:21pm On Sep 19, 2018
Infinitisi:
So you are a biker shocked

Nice one. Hope to join you guys soon.


cool cool
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 1:23pm On Sep 19, 2018
DeRuggedProf:
Some people want to do a dirty thing in Access soon.
Having only a little over 64k sold since morning gives them away.... grin
TA guys, intervene to give members direction.

NB: I have no position here and also not on my watch list. Just curiosity from experience.

a bloody month with a div ''gap down'' , may d MM wants to avg down too lolllxx

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 1:27pm On Sep 19, 2018
fxuser:
Oando
- BB squeeze

um . . a thing will reveal itself eventually

#oando #transcorp

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by DeRuggedProf: 1:38pm On Sep 19, 2018
NASCON

Bear's IRS officials calling?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 1:39pm On Sep 19, 2018
AIICO
- unlike most , the 50dma is above the 200dma
- SP found some support at d 50dma on dat pull back

#JustObserving
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 1:43pm On Sep 19, 2018
DeRuggedProf:
NASCON


- price is breaking below the 200dma for the 1st time in over 2 yrs ! !
- also unable to hold above the 10wk ma (50dma)
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by DeRuggedProf: 1:48pm On Sep 19, 2018
fxuser:



- price is breaking below the 200dma for the 1st time in over 2 yrs ! !
- also unable to hold above the 10wk ma (50dma)


Fowler has finally sent his guys here?
I am leaving to the sidelines first. I am an old man, I can not stand a stronger tide.
My stop loss has been activated. No waiting, no rationalizations, no reference to FA, no looking for the last released results, no searching for newspaper articles to prove myself right, no,no, no...not even NO.

3 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by lolaluv1(f): 1:54pm On Sep 19, 2018
I saw alert with narration of CUTIX dividend. However, I don't have their stock. What could be happening?
Even some old shares I have with my analogue broker, CITIX was never among. undecided undecided undecided
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 1:55pm On Sep 19, 2018
DeRuggedProf:



Fowler has finally sent his guys here?
I am leaving to the sidelines first. I am an old man, I can not stand a stronger tide.
My stop loss has been activated. No waiting, no rationalizations, no reference to FA, no looking for the last released results, no searching for newspaper articles to prove myself right, no,no, no...not even NO.

respect . .
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mendes911: 2:27pm On Sep 19, 2018
Zenith...

Is that an MM or a PFA? That entity have got some balls.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Deadlytruth(m): 3:18pm On Sep 19, 2018
Jejebabaa:
I laughed in Chinese when people compared some quotes written by an American who invests purely on USA stocks and applied such quote to Nigerian stocks who happens to be an emerging market with currency risks despite the same Warren Buffet warning investors about investing in Emerging markets. If your portfolio/stock is down by 50%, u will need 100% gain to break even and not to even talk of back to profit.
It's best to run first and ask questions later if a war is coming.
You have said the deadly truth.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Olohunjedalo(m): 3:34pm On Sep 19, 2018
Chibuking81:

No recommendation will come from me in the remaining part of this year, about 105 days to go. From next year during bonanza period, recommendation will start, based on the stocks 2017 final year result, with 2018 q1, q2 and q3 result.
Then political atmosphere will be at degree 99, with tension in all camp, then the principle of be greedy when others are fearful will be apply.
shocked
Thank god i didn’t buy it angry.
The closing price today shock me .
I guess I’m moving away from NSE for now.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by heyteaherm: 4:22pm On Sep 19, 2018
Access bank seems to have found some support at N7.5 , these is a completion of the first wave of the down trend , also a correction to N9 -N10
is expected before the continutaion of the downtrend, seems access bank is in for a relief correction same thing happened in the bear market of 2014 there was a relief wave 2 correction from 17 Feb' 2014 to 9th of June 2014 from N7.27 to N10. it's all in the charts baby. PM me for free TA long term/ short term, I will help you make money while you sleep.


DeRuggedProf:
Some people want to do a dirty thing in Access soon.
Having only a little over 64k sold since morning gives them away.... grin
TA guys, intervene to give members direction.

NB: I have no position here and also not on my watch list. Just curiosity from experience.

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 4:27pm On Sep 19, 2018
JUST IN:

CAVERTON OFFSHORE SUPPORT GROUP has just kick started its partnership deal with the HONEYWELL AEROSPACE INC.
Honeywell Aerospace Inc. is the worlds largest and leading provider of navigation, flight control & management systems including aero display systems.
The partnership which saw CAVERTON HELICOPTERS LTD (CHL), a fully owned subsidiary of the CAVERTON GROUP given a honeywell dealership licence was entered into sometime in July.
With this new deal, CHL is now Honeywell Aerospace Inc approved helicopter & military avionics dealer in west africa.
The deal will also help to ENSURE a reduced exposure to unexpected maintenance costs, leading to better control of annual maintenance budgets for the CAVERTON GROUP.

Another strong POSITIVE development for all stakeholders within the CAVERTON GROUP. ...another great channel to grow revenue and boost earnings !!
https://screenshotscdn.firefoxusercontent.com/images/562c0761-444f-443f-b0a5-9a9c1b30e0d7.png
https://aerospace.honeywell.com/en/press-release-listing/2018/september/honeywell-intl-inc-s-avionics-protection-plan-selected-by-africa-based-helicopter-operators

Next in line shall be the company's maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) project. ...a world class aviation maintenance platform.

Lots of POSITIVES for this coy... fundamentally sound (with a near double digit growth across key major indicators including net profit margin, RORE, ROAE, ROAA, Interest coverage and Equity Multiplier), high and stable oil price plus several juicy deals for their helicopter, Integrated services and marine business segments.
Indeed Q3 and 2018 YE will be interesting !! ...We'll see what the future holds.
I have since said that CAVERTON is a very STRONG BUY from our end... in fact ACCUMULATE.
using a TTM EPS of 88k at a risk-adjusted rate of 14%, CAVERTON should sell for NO less than N6.20 !!... that's an amazing approx 244% DISCOUNT from the current market price of N1.80


...those who know, know what to do.

DISCLAIMER: NOT a BUY recommendation.

5 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 4:33pm On Sep 19, 2018
Mpeace:
Classmate, u never say yes or no on oluchi issue. But wait make I check, the last exam wey we write, I copy all ur ansa including ur name sef.
Make you go check whether na me be Oluchi of Morgan or not. tongue
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Nobody: 4:59pm On Sep 19, 2018
Markets & economy
Value investing in Nigeria
Nick Ndiritu - 16 August 2017
Varied narratives
Active managers in Africa and frontier markets have to counter the perceived higher-risk of investing in volatile markets prone to political and economic uncertainty. In response, most investors gravitate to growth strategies, pursuing markets or sectors with attractive GDP growth prospects and predictable policy makers. Inevitably, when investors flock to the preferred country or sector, the top-rated companies command a premium valuation, often justified as buying ’growth at a reasonable price’.

In contrast, value investors hardly have compelling narratives to justify why they are seeking out the least popular markets and acting with conviction when loading up on beaten-down value stocks. The risk of appearing stupid increases as market prices are trending downwards and there is no shortage of ‘cheap for a reason’ arguments. Despite the rigorous analysis, a value manager’s judgment and conviction is tested when the strategy underperforms. The prospect of client withdrawals is a reality check.

The price you pay counts
Empirical data over long time periods and across multiple markets suggests that stock market returns aren’t correlated to economic growth prospects. What matters is the price you pay or starting valuations. This is no different in Nigeria, currently the largest country weighting in the Allan Gray Africa ex-SA Equity and Bond Funds, which comprise together about 2% of the Allan Gray Balanced Fund.

President Olusegun Obasanjo’s election in 1999 marked a fundamental transition from military rule to democracy. Nigeria had experienced only 10 years of civilian rule from independence in 1960 to 1999. Since then, Nigeria’s relative political stability, combined with a boom in oil prices, fuelled 9.2% growth in GDP per capita compounded annually; whereas growth in South Africa was 3.2% and in the US it was 3.0%. Over the same 17 year period to 2016, Nigeria’s stock market returned 2.8% (in US dollars), whereas South Africa and the S&P 500 delivered 6.0% and 2.5% respectively, as shown in Graph 1.

Stock market performance US dollars

But the real story is the period between the bookends. The notable high volatility in Nigeria’s stock market has offered investors greater opportunities to generate superior returns – by patiently buying stocks that thrived when political or economic prospects appeared dim; and selling the popular stocks when other investors were overly optimistic.

The investment case for Nigerian equities
The investment case for Nigerian equities was quite bleak at the beginning of 2017. Nigeria’s oil production had slumped to the lowest level in over 26 years as militant attacks in the Niger Delta crippled key pipeline installations. This increased the pressure on the currency still reeling from the collapse in oil prices. Policymakers had imposed capital controls and were rationing scarce dollars. Inevitably, rent-seeking replaces most productive activities when an economy has 11 to 13 different rates for buying a US dollar. Foreign investors, unable to repatriate existing funds, shunned Nigerian equities.

Domestic investors were also underweight equities with treasury bills yielding about 22%. At the end of December 2016, Nigerian pension funds had the lowest historical allocation to equities at 8%, and highest allocation to fixed income instruments at 72%.

With few buyers, Nigeria’s equity market index was trading near its lowest levels since 2000 (in US$). An index of the top 10 Nigerian banks was trading at 4x price-to-earnings ratio and 0.6x price-to-book. To be sure, not all Nigerian banks may survive this crisis, but most of the top tier banks appeared well positioned with adequate capital buffers and provisioning for potential bad loans.

Nigeria’s equity market has surged 42% in US dollars since the bottom at the end of April 2017. Market confidence has rebounded following the introduction of a new foreign exchange regime. Oil production is on a steady recovery path and US dollars are more readily available. Nigeria’s challenges won’t be resolved overnight, but the outlook is promising and investors are coming back. There is still ample headroom for valuations to recover.

As Nigeria illustrates, value investing requires patient capital and a rigorous analysis of bottom-up stock picks. Paradoxically, a disciplined value investing approach protects investors in markets where the underlying growth drivers – political stability and commodity cycles – are inherently unpredictable. Paying up for ‘growth at a reasonable price’ reduces your margin of safety when things go wrong. For us, the risk of appearing stupid is far more tolerable than the risk of permanent capital loss.


Above is from my archive.... NSE will rise again
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mpeace(m): 5:54pm On Sep 19, 2018
Mcy56:

Make you go check whether na me be Oluchi of Morgan or not. tongue
whether na u be capital.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by OBAGADAFFI: 5:58pm On Sep 19, 2018
FO MACD signal is looking positive for JIJO
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mpeace(m): 6:21pm On Sep 19, 2018
fxuser:
Oando
- BB squeeze
Abeg fx which one be bb.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 6:24pm On Sep 19, 2018
Mpeace:
Abeg fx which one be bb.

Bumbum squeez
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mpeace(m): 6:31pm On Sep 19, 2018
Agbalowomeri:


Bumbum squeez
Agba is back.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Jejebabaa: 6:35pm On Sep 19, 2018
Yayira:


Jejebaba you did not tell us what happened after the 50% decline in both stocks and .. i feel leaving this comment like this teaches nothing.
Tell us how you handled the situation..
Did you sell ?
Did you hold ?
What is long term to you? Cause 2 to me Qualified as long term.. I’ve been here only for 9 months tho.
If you don’t buy a stock in a bear market when should you buy ? Bull market ?
I was able to average down my FBNH to around 7 naira and sold at profit in Naira terms but considering exchange rate when I sold, it was a loss in $ value. Some of us, myself inclusive don't have enough liquidity/cash to average down to the cost we want because of my meagre pay as a fuel attendant in a filling station. Don't forget we all have different investment strategy, the best time for me to buy stocks is when the bear market is over and I will make sure I am stopped out of market at max of 5% loss in trading capital moving forward.I am no more interested in giving back my gain to the next bear market. My own long term is less than 2 years in NSE due to currency and NSE risk.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 6:36pm On Sep 19, 2018
Mpeace:
whether na u be capital.
Capital ko, ego ni. grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 6:45pm On Sep 19, 2018
Today's class dey very busy. Lots of teachers with different topics. Make una no bring any test come now o, cos I never read all self. sad
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 6:48pm On Sep 19, 2018
tongue tongue
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by OBAGADAFFI: 6:58pm On Sep 19, 2018
Mpeace:
Abeg fx which one be bb.

bollinger band
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 7:24pm On Sep 19, 2018
OBAGADAFFI:
bollinger band
Meaning?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 7:56pm On Sep 19, 2018
Mcy56:

Meaning?

band between the equator and the polar region grin

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