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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (6109) - Nairaland

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Abiodunhezekiah(m): 6:51am On Nov 22, 2020
E

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by PETERiCHY(m): 7:55am On Nov 22, 2020
As NBS report says economy shrank by 3.62% in Q3
•Rising debt profile, inflation, unemployment worsen economic woes
•Experts blame COVID-19, #EndSARS violence, others for crisis
Okechukwu Nnodim, Nike Popoola, ’Femi Asu and Tunde Ajaja

Amid rising debt profile, inflation and unemployment, Nigeria, Africa’s biggest economy, has entered its second recession in five years as official figures published on Saturday showed that the economy shrank again in the third quarter of this year.

This year’s recession is the worst in 36 years as data obtained from the World Bank showed that the country’s GDP dropped by 10.92 per cent in 1983 and 1.2 per cent in 1984. shocked

For the first time in more than three years, the Nigerian economy shrank in Q2 as the GDP fell by 6.10 per cent, compared with a growth of 1.87 per cent in Q1. shocked

The World Bank said in June that the collapse in crude oil prices, coupled with the COVID-19 pandemic was expected to shocked “plunge the Nigerian economy into a severe recession, the worst since the 1980s”. shocked

Total public debt, constituting both the federal and state governments’ external and domestic debt, in the first half of 2020 stood at N31.01trillion shocked

Inflation rate in the country jumped to 14.23 per cent in October from 13.71 per cent in September, according to the NBS shocked

https://punchng.com/nigeria-suffers-worst-economic-recession-in-36-years-wbank-data/?utm_source=Smartech&utm_medium=web-push-notification&utm_campaign=Recession&__sta=%7CHUJQ&__stm_medium=bpn&__stm_source=smartech

BUHARI has done it again grin grin grin

CASH IS KING

BARGAIN HUNTERS TAKE NOTE!

3 Likes 1 Share

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by vinco82(m): 7:56am On Nov 22, 2020
If I catch you!

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Abiodunhezekiah(m): 7:56am On Nov 22, 2020
sirleke:
Someone should pls confirm this

You can call me to clarify your doubt.

0-8-1-2-5-5-0-6-6-5-5
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by vinco82(m): 7:58am On Nov 22, 2020

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Harvestock01(m): 8:09am On Nov 22, 2020
sirleke:
Someone should pls confirm this

I confirm that Get Rich Quick schemes that always end in tears are a real feature of an economy in recession!

12 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Valueinvestor: 8:24am On Nov 22, 2020
sirleke:
Someone should pls confirm this
What confirmation do you need again, that's a whooping 300% ROI in 1 single year.Just check if that name is on the Forbes list and that's all the confirmation you need

8 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Gee64: 8:59am On Nov 22, 2020
Please who's into Addy FX or Yellow Traders here?
Please confirm if they are paying promptly. I need honest review please because I wouldn't want my hard-earned money to be at their mercy oh. I know it's Ponzi but I want to take calculated risk.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 9:00am On Nov 22, 2020
zimams:
True ...you are very correct. Entry price is very important. But my point is that your entry price and whether you should buy at all should be driven more by financial health of the company and its ability to make profit.
Everything is cyclical... hot money comes and goes. If you bought right and you have medium to long term objectives.... you wont worry about hot money leaving.
Your perspective and objective is everything.

In 2007/2008 I bought Zenith at 47.60/share... it turned to dust in my hands when the market crashed.
The same Zenith is a substantial part of my portfolio today with average entry price at 13.37. We still dey hold....

People wey dey fear recession..... make I remind una say.... na inside this recession wey some stocks don deliver 100 % - 200 % to some of us here....

Just know your objective in the market and buy right.... then allow nature (time + forces of demand and supply/market ) do its thing.....
You guys have tried with various aspects of viewing the topic at hand......Recession ........and I particularly love your perspective. smiley

Let me remind us that Nigeria entered into recession before now........but worsen in Q2 cos of Covid-19 pandemic.
In quote: "Nigeria economy shrank in the 2nd quarter of this year as GDP fell by 6.10% compared with a growth of 1.87% in Q1".
The question is: Did banks/coys made profits during this period despite the global events? Did some people made fortune out of other's panic selling (at loss)?
The same Q2 when the economy plunged into recession, some still made considerable profits. Most stocks appreciated by +100% or more in the said period.
in essence, there's always opportunities presenting itself in any of these events.

I think you needed to re-assess your reasons for being in this market and not just be there because someone encouraged you to do so.
Let's remember that during recesion, investors tends to look for safe haven to hide.........and this is mostly in dividend yielding investments such as stocks, bonds, money market funds or any of such.

While I'm not saying you should not do portfolio re-balancing, remember not to panic unnecessarily if you're in good dividend yielding stocks. You know why? Some bargainers such as Peter grin are already lurking in a strategic corner with their sharpened cutlasses to make a kill from your panic.

When there's recession, efforts seems to be in top gear to stem or find solutions to it, this may in turn be followed by a recovery in which stock market especially won't be left out.

If you are sitting on a good profit, you may sell to re-enter at much lower prices SHOULD stock prices fall beyond expectations. Bargain investors always make good use of the opportunity too.......as could be seen in March/April 2020 when prices were very low but appreciated when activities picked up in the economy,coupled with reduced fixed income rates, etc.

If you're not in profit, try not to sell at loss. Dividends will take care of things till economy recovers or things normalize.
If you have steady flow of income, it could be a good time to wait for bottom prices and average down......good example is Zimams Zenith holding up here.

The much noised recession might not even be as worst as portrayed, social media has a way of blowing things out of proportion......and may not be as simple/good as it may seems.

This is Mcy's perspective too. Make Una no vex for the epistle. wink

14 Likes 1 Share

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 9:13am On Nov 22, 2020
Expect more positive news once Peter is able to enter market at bargain prices again........before then, brace up for more negative news. grin

4 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 9:18am On Nov 22, 2020
currentprice:
babe, the thing go hard you to discover d moniker except you have a forensic mind. as d thing keep disturbing your mind, i can help you with little clue if it still difficult for u to work it out. try more

grin grin grin grin
Lol. I'm not disturbed, just curious. grin
CP, I can easily get the moniker, I just don't want to stress myself by checking thru 2018 posts and matching Megawealth's posts with the old moniker, no time for that.
If you know say it.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 9:22am On Nov 22, 2020
cucumbar:
thank you. You’ve been really helpful .
Oya o , onegentleguy, currentprice, bullbearmrk how do I contact you guys for your services?
Click on the moniker and send them private message (PM).
Remember to mention it here so they can know it's you cos they receive uncountable numbers of PMs and may not be attending to all.
Some just send PM for sending's sake. No tangible reason for doing so. tongue
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by S007: 9:24am On Nov 22, 2020
The ponzi schemers are even trying to invade this place. Na war o.
Patronizing then always end up in premium tears. cry

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 9:27am On Nov 22, 2020
arduino:

Jaiz and Unity. Enter at any price between 0.49k-0.59k and exit at any price between 0.75k - 0.9k.
cheesy cheesy
Lol. grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 9:29am On Nov 22, 2020
debeey87:

Mansard is also offering bonus shares soon
No wonder the share price went up.

Any info on Royalex too ?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by moneymanager: 9:36am On Nov 22, 2020
zimams:
You know how the Democrats in the US say Trump's policies favour just his friends and cronies? For now.... in this our country, policies espoused by the CBN favours this market..... for now o!

Like I said before, Hot money will always head towards favourable conditions. As at March/April lows, Dividend yield for Zenith Bank , UCAP were 20%+ if I'm not wrong... currently, even with our ASI where it is there are still a number of stocks with Dividend yield btwn 9% - 12%. This is out performing rates from some other investments or risk assets. When this condition changes.... then I will expect a big Bear just before and after. The challenge is how to see it coming..... Our gurus in the house with more experience fit sound the alarm for boys to jump out... grin grin grin
There is a difference between drop in share prices due to panic sales and drop in share price due to poor performance of a Coy and drop in share price due to a significant change in govt policy that makes the market less attractive. We need wisdom to decipher.

And again.. everything is largely built around perception, objective and risk appetite of the investor.

Let me share a short story from my experience 3 months ago.

Where I come from in the east, the PHC - Maiduguri Rail line crosses right in front of my father's house. It's about 100 meters from the house. That rail was built by the British in the early 1900's. The bars in between the rails are all made of steel. I grew up seeing that rail everytime we travelled home for holidays or events.

Fast fwd to August 2020, I accompanied my Mrs to Yaba market to do some shopping. And for the first time I came in contact with the new standard gauge rail being built by the Chinese. Alas... Those steel bars in between the Rails are made of reinforced concrete. I do not know the terms or the deal the FG has with the Chinese. But I would be surprised if they are importing cement being used to build these rails. And there are new deals for Standard gauge rail virtually all around the country.

So taking our Cement industry into consideration, I will be more concerned about the sustainability of these sort of projects rather than a recession. Unless of course, the recession threatens the project. Which is unlikely because the FG has loan agreements in place covering the projects for which they've also provided counter part funding as per turn-key contract terms.

Now this is no recommendation o! I'm just sharing an experience to highlight how I choose to look at some of the issues that concern us. Ultimately, your portfolio is 100% your responsibility.




Thanks for this analysis Bro
Greatly appreciated (100%) ����
Will do more research and DD on my end also
��������
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 9:46am On Nov 22, 2020
Nigeria Economy Picks Up As Rate Of Negative GDP Growth Rate Reduces Gradually From -6.10% in Q2 2020 to -3.62% In Q3, 2020........NBS

https://www.nairaland.com/6271138/nigerian-economy-picks-up-rate#96301967

So Peterichy which one do we believe now. tongue

3 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by moneymanager: 9:52am On Nov 22, 2020
Mcy56:

You guys have tried with various aspects of viewing the topic at hand......Recession ........and I particularly love your perspective. smiley

Let me remind us that Nigeria entered into recession before now........but worsen in Q2 cos of Covid-19 pandemic.
In quote: "Nigeria economy shrank in the 2nd quarter of this year as GDP fell by 6.10% compared with a growth of 1.87% in Q1".
The question is: Did banks/coys made profits during this period despite the global events? Did some people made fortune out of other's panic selling (at loss)?
The same Q2 when the economy plunged into recession, some still made considerable profits. Most stocks appreciated by +100% or more in the said period.
in essence, there's always opportunities presenting itself in any of these events.

I think you needed to re-assess your reasons for being in this market and not just be there because someone encouraged you to do so.
Let's remember that during recesion, investors tends to look for safe haven to hide.........and this is mostly in dividend yielding investments such as stocks, bonds, money market funds or any of such.

While I'm not saying you should not do portfolio re-balancing, remember not to panic unnecessarily if you're in good dividend yielding stocks. You know why? Some bargainers such as Peter grin are already lurking in a strategic corner with their sharpened cutlasses to make a kill from your panic.

When there's recession, efforts seems to be in top gear to stem or find solutions to it, this may in turn be followed by a recovery in which stock market especially won't be left out.

If you are sitting on a good profit, you may sell to re-enter at much lower prices SHOULD stock prices fall beyond expectations. Bargain investors always make good use of the opportunity too.......as could be seen in March/April 2020 when prices were very low but appreciated when activities picked up in the economy,coupled with reduced fixed income rates, etc.

If you're not in profit, try not to sell at loss. Dividends will take care of things till economy recovers or things normalize.
If you have steady flow of income, it could be a good time to wait for bottom prices and average down......good example is Zimams Zenith holding up here.

The much noised recession might not even be as worst as portrayed, social media has a way of blowing things out of proportion......and may not be as simple/good as it may seems.

This is Mcy's perspective too. Make Una no vex for the epistle. wink

Mehn no vexing at all Oooo rather kudos
This has benefited me greatly (100%) and am sure many newbies like me have picked up a thing or two as well.

I thought this year alone was the year for greater analysis and calculations based on events but it seems next year too will be the same if not requiring more looking before leaping

Thanks a lot ����

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Krisuba: 10:15am On Nov 22, 2020
[quote author=S007

Some friends did The Map stuff ,right now na prayer to receive payment!!
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 10:28am On Nov 22, 2020
sirleke:
Someone should pls confirm this

Na wa for you oo. are you a learner?


You don't need to dignify some messages with a response or mention

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by sincerelymine: 10:33am On Nov 22, 2020
emmanuelewumi:


Na wa for you oo. are you a learner?


You don't need to dignify some messages with a response or mention

What if he is the same person.....engaging himself for attention

4 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 10:36am On Nov 22, 2020
sincerelymine:


What if he is the same person.....engaging himself for attention


That is madness

3 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by lostinHeaven: 10:37am On Nov 22, 2020
sirleke:
Someone should pls confirm this

Someone should confirm rubbish for you abi ?

6 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Princkez: 11:26am On Nov 22, 2020
emmanuelewumi:



That is madness
please sir based on FBNH q3 2020 results...what is there fair price
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by arduino: 11:32am On Nov 22, 2020
Krisuba:
[quote author=S007

Some friends did The Map stuff ,right now na prayer to receive payment!!
Hehehehe..... Premium tears. grin grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmasoft(m): 2:11pm On Nov 22, 2020
RECESSION

Rebalance your portfolio. At this time, you are not to quit investing rather rebalance your portfolio- real estate, stocks, fixed income, mutual funds etc. Try and align with sectors that have businesses not affected seriously by the recession or have great prospects after the recession. At this time, you can take advantage of fall in fundamentally sound stocks prices and accumulate. There could be distress sales in some real estate, there are still some mutual funds that guaranteed capital and interest. Do a proper rebalancing

Economic sense needed to be gotten/acquired. Get economic sense. It’s time to get economic news, information that will enhance your investment decision, you can get a mentor at this time, instead of lamenting about recession and just talking about it get economic sense out of it.

Cast out non profitable investment quickly. Recession is is a ship in the sea that is trying to sink as a result of overload (remember the ship where Jonah was travelling in what the occupants did). To avoid the sinking of the ship the best thing to do is to throw away excess goods to save the most valuable ie life. If you have investment that gone sour instead of just looking at it to sink salvage the one you can and move on.

Endeavor to be realistic with your financial status, present and future. No need to live in denial or think you are insolated from the recession.

Select carefully what you commit your money into during recession. Don’t throw your money around be careful. It is good to take risk but during recession the risk should be seriously calculated before it’s taken i.e. if you must take the risk at all. Yes, rates are low in fixed income instruments but if you are risk averse there is not point to give yourself high BP just be realistic. What you cannot handle do not venture into it.

Stop and analyse to see what exactly how recession affects your business/work or income flow; do not be in the bandwagon; if you can get opportunity during recession grab it. Do not be carried away by hearsay or the news on social media. Analyse the situation and apply it to yourself personally to see exactly how the recession affects you. Yes, recession is seen to be generally a bad time but analyse carefully it may not all be bad going by our different dispositions and investment inclinations

Information must be well filtered before acting. In recession you hear of business or investment that looks too good to be true. Look critically. Do not be carried away by the promised returns. Always consider the safety of your funds/capital because if you lose your capital your own recession will get deeper than the general recession in the economy.

ONLY you have absolute power over your investment. Whatever happens to your investment only you can do the needful. Do not rely only on what you hear or read rather be yourself and do your due diligence. Analyst are good when it comes to analyzing but at the end you are the only one that is affected by your decision not the analyst

No excuses take responsibility of all your financial decisions it will help you so that you can easily retrace your steps if you have made wrong financial or investment decision or pursue your decision to the end without allowing distractions.

In conclusion, the news of recession should not make you lose sleep. It is not time to only talk about the government or shift blames rather take advantage of it and do something for yourself. it is not strange after all the experience of 2016 is still fresh.

Note also recession is just a state of the economy at a particular time it is not permanent. The best thing to do is make sure you learn one or two things as we move on. It is well with all of us.

17 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 2:43pm On Nov 22, 2020
stockish:
Hello JIJOIST in the house, can we list up to 10 jijo friendly stocks that could pay us big henceforth. I start with this 2, Fcmb and eti
Add yours
Lol. Is ETI JIJO friendly?
As for me, I don't think so. FCMB - Yes. ETI - No.

My list: Sterling, Unity, Zenith, UBN, Japaul and Royalex. tongue

They required patience for the round trips.

*Updated*

3 Likes 1 Share

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by debeey87(m): 3:53pm On Nov 22, 2020
There Q3 result was good o. EPS between 20-30k not sure again. Not sure of RoyalEx sha
Mcy56:

No wonder the share price went up.

Any info on Royalex too ?

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