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Samguru's Posts

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InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 3:41pm On Nov 24, 2017
Toluway:
Please help. I'm been selling my moribund stock, not minding how much I'm loosing, even 50% , because I've understood that in this market, it is wise to ensure that your money is working for you.
I planned to use the money available from the sale to buy other stocks come January, because many of us here predicted bear against the month of December.
But to my surprise, instead of bear, most stocks have been trending! This seems confusing, and I think one may have to buy his stocks now, b4 the rally goes beyond reach.
Please advise me, good people of Jerusalem.
And, Which stock can I buy right now?
I don't want to mention names because others are also important. Thanks as usual.
I will recommend these stocks

1. FBNH
2. Eternal oil and gas PLC
3. Fidelity Bank PLC
4. Dangote Flour
5. Access Bank PLC
6. Honeywell Flour

All these stocks are trading at low prices when you price in their fundamentals.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 3:22pm On Nov 24, 2017
Global Spectrum Energy Services was incorporated in 2006, is an integrated Oil & Gas Offshore Support Vessel Services Company involved in many of the key Oil and Gas producing areas in West Africa. Our range of Services covers complimentary Offshore Support Vessel Services, Maritime Security, Logistics, Energy and Engineering Services.


C & L leasing advocate, this is another reason why you should have sleepless night over your investment as this company is coming to list her shares on monday (27/11/2017)
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 1:14pm On Nov 24, 2017
valacious:
FCMB--BAD RESULT...BAD!
Not as bad as I projected.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 11:44am On Nov 24, 2017
DeRuggedProf:
Most of the volume traded in Transcript today was done at N1.32.
I kept seeing Buyers wall @ N1.31 ( I was enclosed too.... grin) and Sellers wall @N1.33.
Meanwhile, someone kept pushing in blocks of 500K at N1.32 and another guy kept picking the units at that same N1.32.
I wan go sleep wake me up when transcorp gets to 1.25 i need to buy plenty units.

Dont forget oooooo
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 11:30am On Nov 24, 2017
I can see a lot of entry opportunities
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 7:58am On Nov 24, 2017
Agbalowomeri:
Wave 3 of the major Elliot wave moving in within 2 weeks
Long bull like no other
Call for reinforcement to hold down nse screens to prevent a "bull-crash"

Fasten your seat belt
Oga Agbalowomeri which one is missy elliot, jay-z and r kelly you are talking about? grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin abeg demystify your technical analysis jargons joor
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 6:40pm On Nov 23, 2017
Mpeace:
Your post reminds me of one dangerous road that leads to jos from abuja. On this road is a signpost that reads:"Drive Safely, MANY HAVE GONE".
grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 5:44pm On Nov 23, 2017
[quote author=NoMoney post=62650434][/quote]I can see you are heavily locked in this company and you are ready to fight any anti-C & I leaser tooth and nail to defend your stand.

I wish you bountiful harvest in your C & I leasing but as for me and my family we say no to it now until the coast is clear. cool cool cool
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 3:13pm On Nov 23, 2017
locodemy:
Wetin you see in the past is bears but you never see the long bear bear one.
wait you will see it after this xmas gifts.check the sample below:
This one nah gottish Bear grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 2:50pm On Nov 23, 2017
tritritri:
Aberg Just leave OANDO out of this...oando has ruined many life .
grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin when hear O before you call the rest I disappear.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 2:49pm On Nov 23, 2017
locodemy:
Bears with long bear bear is coming o.
Just take your xmas gift and do vuuuuuum.
Remember rule 1 kobo is restructuring the market by January.
Dont be greedy now because of the the bull you are about to see.
locodemy

don't scare us again with rule one kobo again.

Bears have dealt with me in the past, I am not afraid of any bear again, January is almost here we shall rock the boat together
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m):
NoMoney:
Dear Samguru,

I will try to address your concerns

1.Liability: C&I Leasing has a lot of debt which is very sustainable. I will try to explain sustainable. If I can lend money at 13% from a bank and fix in treasury bills at 15% that debt is sustainable and the more debt I collect from the bank the better. If they are willing to lend me N100billion, I will collect. C&I leasing major debts are used to finance the purchase of vessels that are put on operating leases to the major IOCs such as shell, Chevron etc on fixed term contracts of 5-8 years. The cashflow from these contracts can pay off the loans while the vessels have a 50 years life span. Once the loans are paid off the remaining cashflow less operational costs translates to profit.

In lay man terms, If you are asked to take a N1billion loan to build a house and chevron is ready to rent the house for 5 years at N250ma year. In five years the rent pays the loan and interest whilst form the sixth year all the rent is mine once the loan has been paid off and the house is fully yours. Will you be willing to take this loan?

2. Abraaj, Custodian and Allied Assurance Leadway Assurance are major shareholders in the company. The Executive Vice Chairman also represents a major share holder in the company


3. The company offer the following services
a: Leasing of ships to IOCs. Revenue is in dollars
b: Provision of contract staff to major companies including Diamond Bank
c: Sale of Suzuki cars in nigeria (loss making at the moment)
d: Operator of the Hertz franchise in Nigera
e: diversifying into the power industry and other sectors
f: provision of car tracking services

4:Profits have been consistently growing but they need to raise additional equity given the volume of business to be tapped due to the cabotage law which favours Nigerian companies for the provision of shipping services in nigeria. they have previously relied on bank loans to finance the business and paid 2billion interest in 2016.

I am NOT a C&I leasing insider but yes I have shares in the company and I have done my research and the company is a resounding BUY.
1.if there debt is sustainable why issuing commercial papers and eager to raise fresh capital?

2 Those companies became shareholders as a result of conversion of debt instrument to equity,which to me is not the best way to get majority holding.

3.The company offer the following services
a: Leasing of ships to IOCs. Revenue is in dollars are you aware the competition is stiff now as more oil servicing companies are springing up as a result of sudden increase in crude oil price
b: Provision of contract staff to major companies including Diamond Bank profit from this segment is very slim when you consider the salary,medical expenses and other expenses to mention a few
c: Sale of Suzuki cars in nigeria (loss making at the moment) The brand is not buyable in Nigeria and that is the reason they are making loss,or if you want to buy car today would you think of suzuki brand?
d: Operator of the Hertz franchise in Nigeria oga wake up uber,taxify and other operators have dominated the car renting space in Nigeria and beyond
e: diversifying into the power industry and other sectors No No,the company will not see the light of the day as the industry is capital intensive and not profitable yet,going by their balance sheet they don't even stand a chance to be a mid player in the industry
f: provision of car tracking services what is tracking service? when any technician can do it for you, see let me tell you something if the 4.5G network is properly harnessed in Nigeria you can configure your phone for tracking

4:Profits have been consistently growing but they need to raise additional equity given the volume of business to be tapped due to the cabotage law which favours Nigerian companies for the provision of shipping services in nigeria. they have previously relied on bank loans to finance the business and paid 2billion interest in 2016.See profit growth is nothing to me, respect sustainability. I strongly believe you don't understand what Cabotage Law is ? if you understand go and ask the indigenous ship owners they will tell you it can not work in Nigeria though is good on paper.just ask anybody working in the seaports how indigenous ship owners are surviving.They thought the foreign companies have taken there work not realizing that they grossly lack the capacity to handle them and that is the reason why Federal government is considering floating shipping line. using more than 10% of your gross revenue to finance your debt is a recipe for catastrophe aaaaahahaha me I know dey

@Fxuser
@agbalowomeri
@peterichy
abeg make we continue sipping our cold kunu and zobo grin grin grin grin grin grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 12:37pm On Nov 23, 2017
leo1234:
How far with that manager that gave you insider information on ci leasing?
grin
The man no dey gree pick my calls again grin grin grin grin grin grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 11:53am On Nov 23, 2017
NoMoney:
Please argue constructively and with figures. I find wise cracks about going to the village lame.

I did not value the company at N2.5billion the market values it at N2.5billion (1.8billion shares * N1.30k per share)

Its share holder's funds is around N8billion which is closer to its intrinsic value.

At PAT of N1billion it has a PE ratio of 2.5 which is fantastic in any market very few shares beat that in any market and if you find such jump on them especially if you expect the profits to continue to increase into the future.

Total number of shares at the moment is 1.8 billion shares which will be reduced to 400m shares via reconstruction

After reconstruction, the company will sell 2.6billion share to raise N25billion naira and will now have 3billion shares at about N10 each giving a total market capitalization of about N30billion

To sell rights at N10 the market price might have to get to N12 (which is N3 pre construction)

I never said they are selling 25billion shares at N3, where did you get that from?
Bruv,

These are the parameters I look out for before I consider investing in any company,

1. Liabilities (debt profile)

2. The shareholding structure (if you have an individual or institutional investor with more than 30% stake)

3. visibility of the company's products/services in the market

4. Reserve accumulated as a result of consistent profits/disposal

If I weigh all any company on these scales and it fails,its a NO No No No No for me.

Guy think twice before you start defending what can not be defended so that you will save yourself the unnecessary headaches and endless posts on nairaland.
BusinessRe: NAHCO Plc Appoints New MD/CEO by samguru(m): 7:34am On Nov 23, 2017
A man who does not have background in Aviation industry was appointed to Manage aviation handling company?

For God sake what is wrong with Nigerian system?

Soon this man will be at loggerhead with the engineers and other technical staff claiming they are fraudulent and will run the company aground.

I am divesting my small holdings in the company today
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 2:37pm On Nov 20, 2017
Bianco1:
Bros, what's your estimated fair price for Access Bank?
10.20
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 11:59am On Nov 20, 2017
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 10:05am On Nov 20, 2017
currentprice:
LOCOO,, where is fcmb Q3 huh this is how skye BANK started o

grin
still under doctoring.

when the cooked figures are done, they will release it
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 2:03pm On Nov 17, 2017
Some guys no dey hear word, I told them to wait for me to mop enough dangote flour before they start buying see what they are doing now?

I go shutdown NSE oooo grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 1:50pm On Nov 17, 2017
Oga agbalowomeri


Na you dey rock sovereign trust insurance abi?
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 10:17am On Nov 17, 2017
@agba
@peterichy
@fxuser
@currentprice

and all nairalanders in the Nigerian Capital Market.


I think it is high time we started penetrating the boards of the listed companies by nominating people on this platform for member of audit committee and board of directors.
I notice that our activities here strongly affects movement of share prices


please lets brainstorm on this
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 2:32pm On Nov 15, 2017
Hello Mr BEAR don't forget to touch GTB in your season.

Trim her fat and let her come down to as low as #25
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 2:19pm On Nov 15, 2017
ihedioramma:
The same to you O cheesy
Lol grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 12:43pm On Nov 15, 2017
currentprice:
different pple with different means of determine when to enter mkt grin for me there is one stock that has been my own indicator to know mkt is about to turn north. once i see the stock stabilize,, or move green for 2 day. i don't look back to enter mkt for my target stock.

with this post many will think it can only be either FBNH or Gtbank. no very wrong. call it monkey hunting but i will not never reveal the stock but it very easy to know d stock by yourself with little research,, just look at all d previous bear runs and the takeover of bull by the leading fighter stock grin

grin
Guy na Dangote Cement joor
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 12:02pm On Nov 15, 2017
Happy bearish market grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin

May the bearish market create golden opportunities for us to make money grin grin grin grin grin grin grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 11:45am On Nov 15, 2017
Manonamission:
This sale of N3.75B was already captured in the Q3 result. There's no other Plant or Machinery available for sale as at September, 2017. Refer to attached from the 9M'17 result
Yes you are right ,it has been captured in the q3,2017 report.

I believe this is a good move as the subsidiary has been a drain the group profit.

InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 10:37am On Nov 15, 2017
DeRuggedProf:
It was not captured in Q2.
Then it will be captured in Q4 FY 2017 report
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 9:48am On Nov 15, 2017
DeRuggedProf:
Sure?
The agreement was reached in May 2017 and this should have been captured in q2 result and not q3.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 9:28am On Nov 15, 2017
PharmAlfred:
Is this not the deal which its earning was reported in the 9months result of Dangote Flour?
No
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 7:51am On Nov 15, 2017
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 12:24pm On Nov 13, 2017
currentprice:
below are some of post on cileasing. if coolcash1 able to bought that 3m will he pray for car park even if the company worse than nigerian-german grin



Oga Currentprice

You should know the market is dynamic and that is the reason everybody is searching for information here and there a good stock today may turn bad stock tomorrow






when pple are shouting N3 an N4 bustop quoted is what i stand for
grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 11:00am On Nov 13, 2017
Am thinking of joining Eternal Oil and Gas, the results right from 2015 till q3 2017 are tempting.

Guys what do think

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