₦airaland Forum

Ufeolorun: jonathan popular in the SW His win was an ACN/Jonathan arrangee- Money deals,lowering pdp gubernatorial resistance in Ogun and Oyo.These were more important to Acn than a long shot presidential candidate(Ribadu),now that more ground has been conceded to acn and they are stronger for it,Jonathan has nothing really to offer them any more and that's why I think they would be more serious about this merger or alliance.
Elrufai and Buhari would have to do a lot of work to translate their popularity to more governors and votes-Jonathan winning Gombe/Adamawa without a trade off with cpc was an insult(there was definitely a trade off for every SW states he won)

The resistance to pdp in 2015 will be strong,direct and recalibrating, all in all the politicians will benefit most.

GEJ in exchange to who? Ribadu/ Buhari?

Nigerian people act like fools- You were given priority over others for State contract and you failed to complete

Akume is no different, why didnt he blow the horn about okupe before- when he was gov?

Too many childish comments- Nigerian on nairaland think like children.

danjohn: There is a large non-Yoruba population in Lagos. Outside of Lagos the SW is predominantly Yoruba. The larger point I was making was that even if Jonathan loses the SW, he will still get btwn 30 and 40% because of ethnic and religous reasons.

Lagos is one state so how does that constitute as losing the SW,? No matter how people migrate to Lagos the voting pattern will still be the same as the rest of the region there are Large non-Hausas in Kaduna, Kano, Plateau. All the religous ethnic jargons you are talking bout does not apply to the SW in voting terms.

GEJ is winning the SW by DEFAULT like last election. Losing an area in elections, is due to people voting [b]against [/b]a candidate, potential votes dont matter in Nigeria. If there is no candidate better than Badluck then best believe Badluck is winning SW.

Middle belt as a region isnt anymore/less likely to vote for Badluck than the SW- if anything these two regions are indifferent and vote GEJ by default. But should a candidate such as David mark or and Middle belter go against GEJ FOR PRESIDENCY. GEJ is losing in the middle belt. Same with South East should there only be two presidential candidates one from the Southeast and his more qualified then GEJ is not winning that region.

danjohn: Yes, SW voted Jonathan for President but they elected ACN governors. The NW and NE voted for Buhari for President, but they voted for PDP governors as well. What I am saying is that if ACN and CPC come together, they have a realistic chance of making inroads in 18 states. They have proven that they have some level of support in those states. An alliance can help solidify that support.

The Southwest is disappointed with Jonathan. Jonathan will probably lose the SW in 2015. However, it does not mean that he will lose the Presidency. All Jonathan needs is to win the SE, SS, and NC and hold steady at 25 - 30% in the NW and WE as he did in 2011. Even if he loses the SW, there are enough Igbos and Niger Delta folks in the SW to give him 35 - 40%.

After all is said and done, the most realistic outcome of the alliance is a very respectable second place finish in the Presidential election (45% and above), more governors and legislators for the opposition, and momentum to have a very realistic chance of winning the Presidency in 2019.

Notwithstanding, anything can still happen. A Fashola candidacy for President could make GEJ pee in his pants.

you make no sense. to think that non SW living will in the SW is around 30-40% is just plain.... D.UMB. If Igbos and Niger deltans are 35%-40 of the SW, WHILE MIDDLE belter/northerners to my eyes have more presence than both groups- WHERE ARE THE ACTUAL SW people did they jump in the OCEAN? reckless statements.

DUMBLUCK wont lose SW, what makes SW different from SE or SS, HES disappointing to the whole nation not just the SW. if anything MAJORITY OF SW people will not even care about 2015- the remaining will vote for GEJ as they did in 2011.

ur average SW person is indifferent for the most part but knows- voting for buhari or any candidate from the north over Dumbluck is asinine. what does that benefit the SW.

To tell the truth- ACN is really comfortable with GEJ- I dont see them trying "hard" or really politicking to unseat him. If Anything I see CPC as the angry one. ACN is just enjoying the presidency from what I can see.

Theres no unseating president Dumbluck, of what benefit would it do the ACN?

ACN politicians themselves would rather BADLUCK over any northerner, they are just being political with it.

ALL these CPC-ACN talks are jargons.

these are the main ones cause problems around Nigeria Benin Ghana. wodaabe bororo whatever they called.

why cant we get the peaceful urbanized ones like the ones in Sierre leone, Senegal Gambia. the only civilized ones are the mixed ones.

For the above lady to say "Ole Ole Omo Nigeria Ole Ole" she must not Like "Nigerians" - obviously shes speaking yoruba.

The relationship between Nigerians and Ghana is not hateful at all just sillyness attributed to the reputations of "Nigerians".

Its the same as Nigerians and other countries. People DONT LIKE NIGERIANS. even in Benin public Nigerians are not well liked. the only groups from Nigeria that are merely "tolerated" are Yoruba Hausa fulani and Bariba - thats because they are also indigenous to benin.

an excerpt from an article NIGERIANS SEE HELL IN BENIN REPUBLIC


Innocent Iwu killed at Ekpe town
Innocent Iwu's death is another classic case of how Nigerians are slaughtered periodically by Benenise at the slightest provocation. He was brutally murdered in broad daylight at a car park where cars are sold for his effonttery in asking for his balance after he paid for a GSM credit card. 'A soldier shot him because of a misunderstanding over 'change'. He bought 500 cfa. He gave the woman who sold it to him 1,000 cfa. As the woman had no balance of 500 cfa to give him, he asked the woman to return the money to him with a promise to look for 'change' and return to give her the 500 cfa.

[size=13pt]'As an argument ensued over Iwu's request, the woman raised alarm, shouting 'ole-ole, omo Nigeria ole-ole, omo ibo ole-ole. At this point, a soldier simply called Sule came to intervene. But in the process of interviewing Iwu, matters got awry[/size]. Before Iwu realized the danger he was facing, the soldier had hit him with the butt of his gun. Just as Iwu fell down, the soldier corked his gun and fired a shot at him. Iwu was quick to dock and the bullet hit a rock, ricocheted and hit a Benenise.

The soldier was not done. In a 'Commando' style, the soldier released a second shot which Iwu was not lucky to escape. He fell down bleeding. Even as he was bleeding along side the Beninese hit by the first bullet, the soldier prevented sympathizers from coming to their aid. He ensured that Iwu bled to death rather than get him to hospital for treatment. While the Beninese died the same day, Iwu died the second day. As at the time of filing this report, the authorities have not considered it necessary to hold talks with the Nigerian community and the Nigerian embassy on innocent Iwu's death.

Dont know what the big deal is or why the family/organization would even write the consul

I mean sad they died but err..... what did they expect him to do? People of different nationalities die.... I dont expect consuls from every country to attend church services. To me they are no different then other American families THE TRAGEDY is not they are Nigerian or Igbo.. its a tragedy because they were a family something like this can happen to anyone....

Na wa for the flyer-----"igbo tragedy"

He shouldn't have said that tho as a politician you gotta be sensitive to EVERYTHING.

Nigerians are TERRIBLE - ibo yoruba hausa edo ijaw fulani ebira igala kanuri berom urohobo nupe efik etc- they are ALL dangerous.

Dont know what you illiterates are talking about kenya south africa and ghana have higher debts AND BORROW MORE than nigeria yet- they are doing 100x's better. Loans does not always mean broke, if being paid.