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Standardguy's Posts

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InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Standardguy(m): 10:55am On Nov 25, 2017
NoMoney:
Kindly explain how you came about the conclusion that I am suffering from confirmation bias.

Confirmation being that you look from evidences that support or confirms your belief while you ignore evidences that contradict your belief.

Given the recent profit profile of the company what do you think a reasonable valuation will be. Is a PE of 2 too high, too low or just right?

Oando took on debt to buy an asset assuming the cash flow from the asset will remain at historical levels without hedging the price of oil for the duration of the loan. They ran into problems when the price of oil dropped and the cash flow was insufficient to meet loan repayments. C&I Leasing on the other hand took loans to buy ship and locked in long term contracts for the duration of the loans thus hedging the cash flow from these assets. They consequently had their best two year ever profit wise during a recession. Spot the difference between Oando and C&I Leasing?

Please note that I didn't come online to promote the stock I just intervened to correct the bashing of the stock.

On your assertion that there is a 10% probability that I might right, which of my comment are you referring to and why such a low probability

1.C&I Leasing intends to raise N25b selling 2.6 billion shares?
2.C&I Leasing is cheap at the moment and the fundamental supports its share price getting to N3
3.C&I Leasing debt profile is sustainable given their cashflow

I am open to constructive evidence backed by facts and I will really appreciate it if you could assist in correcting any bias I might have.

Kindly note in all my submission how I attempt to attend to every issue raised instead of dismissing arguments with sweeping statements. I will appreciate similar responses.
Being unable to repay convertible loan stock 2 years after maturity that will in share reconstruction when the share price just barely recovered from coma is not a good sign. Share reconstruction in this case implies that the shareholders are indirectly paying the loan which the coy ought to have paid. There is something amiss that we are not aware of and the prospect of the share price reversing back to coma is high after reconstruction even if the value will be adjusted on NSE considering:

1. There is going to be a combination of share allotment and cash payment to abraaj which will dilute the shareholding of shareholders and take away a significant part of the profit declared (and possibly reduce reserve/retained earnings) thus affecting retained earnings and dividend payment.
2. They declared a good result in 2016 but failed to pay dividend on the grounds of this abraaj loan. Investors still held on to their shares cos the interim dividend promised which they failed to pay cos of this same loan. With the issue of this new shares and cash payment there will likely be a liquidity squeeze on the coy thus will be unable to pay dividend (or resonable dividend as expected) in addition to a less unattractive balance sheet.
3. The loans that the have lined up for collection need to financed hence profit and retained earnings will be affected.

Further dumping dumping of shares may follow thus SP crash.

Also, there will be an urgent need to raise cash to increase liquidity hence the need for more loan or right issue or public offer. Should they consider right issue then the coy automatically becomes abraaj cos of their percentage share holding. Dont forget the free float policy of NSE which affected ashaka cement.

However, the company could become highly profitable afterwards with sound management as nothing is impossible. But I dont see it happening anytime soon. Investors will have to be very very patient hence I see it okay for very long term investors.

see link below

https://www.vanguardngr.com/2017/07/furore-conversion-dollar-debts-equity/
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Standardguy(m): 4:45pm On Nov 20, 2017
currentprice:
did u heard or assuming huh make ur post clear brov

fake information because of selfish gain is not good on this forum

grin
Fidelity Bank is likely going to replicate the share price rally experienced between August 2012 to early 2013. They have an excellent structured plan on ground that will help them improve on their profit in subsequent quarters. Except for the normal end of year expenses which affects most companies 4th quarter result (which will not have significant effect on the bank's overall profit considering its Q3 result), its Q1 2018 profit will be higher than 2017. They also have a good dividend policy and have repurchased their maturing 2018 bond with the new bond maturing in 2022 hence they have no need for share reconstruction. N2...+ is feasible.

Please also do you Due Diligence before buying
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Standardguy(m): 3:25pm On Nov 20, 2017
mendes911:
Not to worry, they will reappear at N2.50.
Sure
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Standardguy(m): 3:25pm On Nov 20, 2017
mendes911:
Not to worry, they will reappear at N2.50.
Sure
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Standardguy(m): 5:20pm On Nov 16, 2017
OakPearl:
Veritas Registrars is the Registrar for Dangote Sugar.
Your dividend warrant might have been dispatched from them or returned unclaimed.
You will need to identify yourself with a valid ID.
Look for the nearest Veritas Registrars office or send them a mail - (enquiry@veritasregistrars.com)
Even if they cant find your warrant, an e-dividend form will be issued to you to fill and return to enable you claim this and future dividends directly in your bank account.
Best of luck.
You can call Veritas registrars directly on 012784157. They are good.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Standardguy(m): 1:14pm On Nov 13, 2017
Jejebaba:
They might use the opportunity to push-up the banking index higher so as to do right issues.
We need to watch our back seriously once some banks start getting overvalued.
United Bank for Africa Plc, Zenith Bank Plc and Fidelity Bank have issued Eurobond in recent months .They have no capital issues. Others are in the pipeline to do so. Either way, CBN, would take action similar to what happened to Skye if there is danger.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Standardguy(m): 9:35pm On Nov 12, 2017
locodemy:
E get one stock you mentioned for the list wey go make people rich next year.The stock get plenty shareholders even foreign investors don line up to invest in the company.The stock fit pay small dividend next year but the price will go far.

If you know the stock,kindly post the shareholding structure of the company lets see.
Fidelity
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Standardguy(m): 8:41am On Nov 12, 2017
Bank stocks are still the most reliable for now. All banks are highly regulated especially by CBN. They cannot just publish anyting they like. Their report must be vetted by CBN auditors in addition to the regular review of their books. No bank can easily go down now. Most other coy have their directors as their mgt and regulator at the same time and NSE and SEC may not be able to look deep into all coy cos of the volume of work.

Always do your due diligence before and after buying a stock and its always better to go for dividend paying stocks with good history of it so that in any crash the regular dividend can reduce the effect as the stock may be trading below its intrusive value.

May God help us.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Standardguy(m): 10:04pm On Nov 11, 2017
Agbalowomeri:
The bus no get driver and conductor again o. Who go stop am make u drop?
lol. The doubt is over!!!!. Reality......
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Standardguy(m): 10:03pm On Nov 11, 2017
Agbalowomeri:
The bus no get driver and conductor again o. Who go stop am make u drop?
lol.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Standardguy(m): 7:19pm On Nov 11, 2017
hyness:
Please Sir do not post this type of information with certainty "Don't buy CI Leasing", because you did not add link to such unverified information.
And such important plan or information concerning a quoted company that is not on NSE site should not be passed-on with certainty the way you did, it can create panic. And they are not "highly indebted" as you said (wrong information), they are looking for funds to expand their business, and their debt to Abraaj is "loan stock" convertible, that is if they decide to take that route (which will be dilution according to Oga Agba), but their GMD plan to redeem part of the loan from fund sourced from business activities and Contracts.
Note: Pls know that hints on current happenings in quoted companies are appreciated but if not verified it should not come off with certainty. Thank you Sir.
https://www.pinterest.co.uk/pin/617626536368441356/
Yes sir, but kindly note that someone asked which 3 stock should he buy and I told him innocently not to buy CI leasing and said he can buy Fidelity. Please note that I dont have anything against CI Leasing. I said it in good faith and he or anyone is not compelled to abide by it. I reseach extensively before I buy any stock and even after I keep sniffing for info on any coy I buy into. Anyone in doubt of what I posted should visit the nearest vendor and request for business day newspaper of November 10, 2017 to verify. Pls let us note that some here can be privy to information that is not on the net or website of the coy. Also, note the importance of timely info. Pls encorage people from sharing useful info. I could just be an onlooker and gain from you without you getting from me. I have sent the scan copy to somepple here. Let them upload it if they can. I called the registrar and they comfirmed it. You can also do that. An official of the coy also confirmed the restructuring. I am very sorry for those I have offended and I promise never to offend you again. Appoligies to all
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Standardguy(m): 4:28pm On Nov 11, 2017
locodemy:
News is one of the dangerous weapons of stock market.
News can lead a stock to full bid,News can also lead a stock to full offer.
When i saw this cileasing reconstruction issues here,i quickly called a broker to confirm,he told me its already in the public domain.
If it is actually true,SEC and NSE should be prosecuted for covering evil.

My advice is SELL your stock @ 20% profit if you are not sure of what you bought.
I will be 18-20% profit in CADBURY by next week by Gods grace,you know what?
I will pull my trigger because of uncertainties in the market.
@ Loco, thanks for the research. @ everyone, dont trivialise under rate o
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Standardguy(m): 12:54pm On Nov 11, 2017
attached
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Standardguy(m): 12:32pm On Nov 11, 2017
Agbalowomeri:
Post the scan here or Adonblivt grin grin grin
The scan is not attaching
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Standardguy(m): 12:30pm On Nov 11, 2017
Agbalowomeri:
Post the scan here or Adonblivt grin grin grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Standardguy(m): 12:29pm On Nov 11, 2017
Agbalowomeri:
Post the scan here or Adonblivt grin grin grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Standardguy(m): 12:18pm On Nov 11, 2017
currentprice:
brov, pls post the link so that it will not look like hunting monkey

grin grin grin
currentprice:
i no doubt you my brov, bussiness day news is not local paper, i just like to buy what i see. thatall grin
currentprice:
brov, pls post the link so that it will not look like hunting monkey

grin grin grin
Bros, I remember I asked if CI Leasing is a good buy. Afterwards I did my investigation and found out what I posted. I am sure of what I said. This should not affect your investment decision in the stock if you feel it will be favourable for you. You can send your email add so I send a scan copy of the notice to shareholder for an extra ordinary meeting to you.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Standardguy(m): 11:41am On Nov 11, 2017
fxuser:
heard about this ! Weekly chart shows retracement ongoing sef after d huge run up
It is now real.....Dec 2, 2017
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Standardguy(m): 12:04am On Nov 11, 2017
Not a right issue. Full details in businessday newspaper of 10 November 2017
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Standardguy(m): 11:06pm On Nov 10, 2017
Dont buy CI leasing. They are about to do a share reconstruction that will see to the reduction of shares (4 to 1) which will be replaced by shares issued to abraaj in place of the convertible unsecured loan. They are highly indebted and looking for funds everywhere.

Fidility Bank will be an excellent buy.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Standardguy(m): 8:46pm On Nov 06, 2017
Please is C&I leasing a good buy?

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