₦airaland Forum

ravensckar:
This your comment has given you away as a political neophyte. No serious political party will change their party chairman a few months to election especially if it was demanded by the aggrieved side. Goodluck Jonathan tried that and we all saw how it ended. To me, Atiku's first mistake was allowing Peter Obi to leave the PDP. He should have charmed him and picked him as his running mate (as against the paper weight Okowa) with the promise of handing over to him after 4 years. There wouldn't have been all these OBIDIENT movement and the election would have been a purely APC VS PDP affair which he would have won.

His second miscalculation stemmed from the fact that he thought the North alone would vote him massively forgetting that several Northern politicians who are eyeing the presidency cannot wait another 16 years. Because if Atiku serves his 8 years, then, willy-nilly, power must return to the South for another 8 years. These Northern politicians with presidential ambitions are the ones queuing behind Tinubu with the expectation that he will only serve one term (due to his age and health) and power will return to the North. The first strategy of politics is playing to the other side's greed and calculating two steps ahead and in that regard, Atiku failed woefully.

In all, I now understand why Tinubu opted for a muslim-muslim ticket. If not, it would have been over for him in the North. He knew very well that the South East & South South have no reason to vote him. Hence, he had to turn to the North for votes. With the way things stand, Tinubu will most likely emerge victorious whilst being followed closely by Atiku. Forget all the noise from those Andrew Liver Salt people (OBIDIENTS) their candidate will come a distant third just as predicted. Politics is a game of strategy not emotion or Social Media noise.

You can change your party chairman if you are PDP looking for power. Go and check out when Audi Ogbeh became PDP chairman. You have to satisfy all powers even though Wike was just trying to save face sha. Muazu was not the reason Jonathan lost. The opposition cooperated, that's why.



I agree with the rest of your submission. Obi will come a distant third.

Svoboda:
Thats the difference between bat and aa. If it was bat, he'd have conceded something to wike that would have made him eternally loyal to BAT.

Exactly. Give and take is what politics is all about.
But Atiku should have known this.

He's not a political neophyte na

Kyase:
obi is the hero of this election

I agree.

scholes23:
Change your weed supplier

Exactly.Alimosho can't be that small. Unless na just part of the result

Kyase:
Obi has done damage on Atiku
If Atiku no win
E go swear for obi😂

🤣😂😂🤣🤣

Efewestern:
Wike is fighting for his political survival. He is pulling all his resources to ensure BAT wins.

With the results we have seen so far. BAT is sure of 30% while AA will struggle to get 25%.

I think so. 25% should be achievable.

Atiku na arrogant man. He killed his chances.

gimakon:
You just day paint PO to be a bad person, reasons, i do not know why.
As you like am, PO will be next president of the republic. Grace of GOD almighty.

Unlikely.

Efewestern:
If Obi wasn't in the picture, another Obi would have been created from any of the southern aspirants aside BAT. The North to North power rotation won't still fly.

Obi is the new Southern PDP in the banner of LP. The damages he caused AA won't be forgotten in a hurry. But was he selfish to have left? Nope... SE hasn't produced president for decades. They voted PDP for years and the party couldn't even reward them with the ticket.

Most of us are bias towards him because of certain injustices.

Yes, Adeleke is trying to pull some votes for AA but BAT is winning Osu with a good margin. Are you seeing what Wike is doing to BAT in rivers? APC might even come second in that state.

AA was totally boxed in southern Nigeria. 😂

You're right.

People understimate Wike. He may be down but ain't out. Watch out for the votes in lesser-known local governments of Rivers State. APC won't win but it won't be a poor showing.

He should do better than Amaechi.

Svoboda:
Wasnt that easy. Wike was betrayed. How do you pacify a victim of treachery? He wont ever trust you, especially with further controversies of the running mate slot.

He should have removed Ayu. In politics, you should be ready to win some lose some.

How can a presidential candidate and chairman be from the same north. That was pure overconfidence.

winterfell007:
If Obi miraclously wins this elction. Biafra agitation will die natural death. That sense of togetherness will begin to spring. Nnamdi Kanu will not have any rhetorics to give the Igbos again. That's why I'm rooting for him to win.

This is a reasonable point of view.

Aiel123:
You're right. But Obi was the main cause.
Assuming it was btw Tinubu and AA,PDP will clear delta.
Even the north self no clear... Tinubu is fighting hard. Only Adeleke tried out of all the south PDP caucus.

The problem, so to speak, for the north is that their son is also on the ballot as president. And you know they love political power, so that's why Atiku is even trying in some places in the north.

But the south has shown that one Fulani man cannot take over from another Fulani man.

Efewestern:
I believe PDP miscalculated and overestimated the importance of certain individuals. The lesson learnt by all party now is that they must at all stick to the NORTH & SOUTH power rotation.

North alone can't decide who governs this country. We can easily cancel each other.

You're making sense

Ibrahimcoomasie:
This guy below from twitter saw the future.

Word.

raskymonojendor:
Same here.

Obi literally destroyed Atiku in the South.

This is the truth.

Slippy:
I share same feeling. He's the only one pulling weight across all the regions. Atiku gave himself a handicap even before election. Obi couldn't build bridges to the Muslim North (maybe he didn't have time).

This election is Tinubu's to lose.

This is just the fact. It's Tinubu's to lose.

Svoboda:
He was decieved by the cabal. The naira and fuel scarcity was the trump card.

He should have settled that thing with Wike and co.

Godoverevery:
Like that is the reality.......check all the result released so far.......the south turn out is just to poor.

The speculation about now is the total vote won't be more than 14million and we have about 80+ million registered voter.

With all the noise on SM one would expect to see a big turn out in the south but is all audio mouth making.

🤣😂🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

Jack500:
Tinubu will win this election, he is clearly leading in Southwest, and neck to neck to Atiku in the north.

Peter obi is leading in the south East and south South, and no where to be found in the north.

Atiku is not even leading with a commanding gap in the north and failing miserable in the south

This is why tinubu will likely win.

Slippy:
What was Atiku thinking feuding with Southern governors??. Cos I don't see him getting block votes from the North as it stands. What was his game plan?

I was shocked he took that route cos it's your last chance. It's not like you're in power.

When you need power, you have to try as much as possible to bring everyone on board.

He messed up.

Wainey:
It's like Peter Obi and Kwankwasor took money from Tinubu.

At the end Tinubu will not win any state but will win the election because of a divided opposition.
Even if they didn't join PDP, they(LP and NNPP) would have come together to form a formidable opposition

Closer to the truth

Godoverevery:
Really wish obident can understand this very early so the shock effect won't be much.

How can PU voter turn out be 20% in the south and the north is having 90%.

We are not serious in the south at all

Wait, is that statistic real?

Godoverevery:
Please is ebonyi state people not voting.

Haven't heard anything about that state today.

Anyone with info with what going on there.

That's true.

Low voters' turn out and low voting strength plus poor northern showing go spoil show for OBI last, last

Charmingpet:
I never hear NNPP leading anywhere and AA too. Nawa ooooo

They are leading from behind

TheMainMan:
what is this nonsense

Real nonsense

kezienaira:
Where's sowore please

E still dey campaign

Aiel123:
Who rejects a juicy VP post?
This election is an eye opener.

Dem even do meeting for im Delta.

Godwin4444:
kwankwanso is performing well only in Kano, atiku is struggling in adamawa, kaduna n Kano n not seen anywhere else except osun state in adeleke stronghold

Unless Atiku keep big votes for somewhere, e be like say........

Aiel123:
LP figures across Delta is frightening!!

😂🤣😂😂😂🤣

some would say it serves the governor right for abandoning the Southern agenda for a pot of Northern porridge.

garfield1:
Atiku is performing poorly in delta and benuel

I knew Obi would handicap Okowa in Delta.🤣😂

LP is strong in Delta North, the governor's home.

APC and PDP strong for Central and South.

Hendrixky:
Egor. LGA
Ward 2 unit 1
Presidential election
APC. 12
PDP. 4
LABOR 134

This is Edo South. In fact a local government that is part of greater Benin city mostly.

stillme231:
talk and do ortom

Ortom na real badass 🤣🤣🤣