₦airaland Forum

blackaxe78:
Better defect before the party explodes

That party will crumble to grains after the presidential primaries.

Am watching on HDTV

You wish! Why not crumble it now nau.

haffaze777:
I just hope u won't shift post after osun state election, PDP is dead in southwest and u can quote me after Osun state election

You only like the word dead. PDP is too much alive to die.

Some of you don't understand political contestation you takee it for life and death. Winner is alive the rest are dead irrespective of what the numbers say.

No political party has the number by membership to singlehandedly win elections, the general public decide.

The question is; are the people of SW dead?

KATSINA01:
This is the analysis is either the work of a politically naive person or a product of outright political illiteracy. The Only Zone PMB won't win is the South East, which in the scheme of things is politically inconsequential. Even the SS, PMB will win but with a slight margin, it'll be similar to the 2015 South West margin.
Your Projections are too close.
This is a more realistic prognosis.
North West - APC 80-85%, PDP 12+% Others 2+%
North East - APC 70-80%, PDP 20-25%.
North Central, PMB Will win Niger, Kwara, Kogi, FCT and Nasarawa, He'll get at least 45% of Benue and Plateau. I project APC winning the North Central by 60-65% with PDP having 30-35%
APC has consolidated her hold on the South West, APC Will easily garner 60-65% whilst PDP will require a mini miracle to get 25%, Sowore, Moghalu etc to garner up to 10%.
South East; Hitherto PDP Zone, but APC has made massive inroads into this territory, the worst APC will do is share the zone, Projecting a 55% margin for the APC.
South East; Last PDP stronghold before it is finally consigned to its destiny of becoming a regional party (at least before APGA gets its act together), I'll project APC getting 25% of the votes in this region with Imo, Anambra, Ebonyi, and Enugu having all recently warmed up a bit to the APC, coupled with Npower, Conditional cash transfer and trader moni beneficiaries will surely vote APC.
All in all, 2019 is gearing up to be a walk over for the incumbent.
Absolutely no contest.

The height of delusion! FCT buhari will be flogged annoyingly.

2019 is going to be royal rumble. Walk over ko trek over ni!

haffaze777:
you are d most funniest guy,so you will stay in kwara which is north central and arguing what happen in southwest where I stay with me?which state in southwest can PDP perform wonder?is it Ogun state,Lagos,Osun,Ondo or Oyo?PDP will even come 3rd in Oyo state

In Nigeria there are 3 parties with effective presence PDP,APC,APGA lately ADC is joining the league.

Come September 22nd check out PDP's position in Osun, it will provide a peek preview of its strength in SW.

SW remains fluid. PDP deeply rooted there.
I am a kwaran not a stayer in kwara but one with Nigeria as domain.

OsuEbonyi:
PDP is breathing it's last in South West generally. How can Oyo go the way of PDP when the incumbent is an APC man.
Did you guys see pictures from the Olubadan's birthday celebration ??
PDP is dead in Oyo state actually.

Grandeur of delusion. PDP is not dead anywhere in Nigeria.

senatordave1:
But who are the pdp stalwarts in lagos,ondo to mobilize and challenge apc

SW is never homogeneous, Tinubu's acn has always existed side by side the other divide. Significant numbers across the SW are revolter against tinubu's politics. Such don't need any prompting they are sufficiently motivated to vote PDP.

SW remains very fluid and too close to call.

senatordave1:
Maesterferddi,precision fixed,tuniski,salam rushdie,official apc,cynthia whyte,pa chukwudi and other pdp supporters,come and read the comments of deltans here and know the true state of things instead of shouting continually that pdp owns ss/se

You are over rating this cross defection like all apc goons. My simple response until apc gets 16senators, 38reps and 3govs all currently serving, this hyping is a mask on the trauma of apc!

haffaze777:
PDP can't get 30% in southwest let alone 50%,

Hehhehehe stop engaging in self deceit. SW is too close to call. Even lagos will b Contested Vigorously!

bender79:
Presidential election analysis the true picture.
SE- Anambra, Enugu, Imo, Ebonyi and Abia going for PDP at 70% and APC at 30% votes cast in the region
SS- Rivers, Bayelsa, Delta, Cross River, Akwa Ibom going for PDP at 70%, Edo going for APC at 30% votes cast in the region.
SW- Lagos, Osun, Ekiti, Ogun, Ondo going for APC at 60%, Oyo going for PDP at 40% of total votes cast in the region
NW- Kano, katsina, Jigawa, Sokoto,Zamfara, Kebbi going for APC at 70%, PDP at 30% of total votes cast in the region
NE- Borno, Bauchi, Adamawa, Yobe, going for APC at 80%, Taraba, Gombe going for PDP at 20% total votes cast in the region.
NC- Benue, Plateau, Kogi going for PDP at 40%, Kwara, Niger, Kaduna going for APC at 60% of total votes cast in the region.
Abuja FCT- 60% going for PDP, 40% going for APC.
TAKE THESE ANALYSIS TO THE BANK ANYDAY!!

You tried.
NC. Only Niger goes to apc with Kogi fluid cos the governorship election will be staggered in novermber else it is straight PDP.
Spot on on FCT.
NE: adamawa,gombe,taraba pdp should Atiku pick the ticket with 40% in. Bauchi/yobe/borno.
SW: 50:50. Overall with pdp winning ekiti,ondo and oyo.
NW: kaduna 50:50, the rest apc win 70%. Where voters intimidation is minimal, pdp will get 35% in NW.

uboma:
Why not do it in Kano state?


Is he afraid of the threat issued recently by Ganduje, the present Governor of Kano state and old time friend?

It is strategy. Those with heavyweight ain't in a hurry to do show of strength.

bender79:
You have no idea my friend. You can take a trip to illorin and make your research. People are willing to vote out anything saraki is involved with.

That is my state and I can tell you for free saraki will deliver kwara to PDP sak!

meditator:
Kwankwaso made a very huge transfer blunder by trying to go against the way of the people's choice (PMB)

No politician alive can test the popularity of PMB in the entire northern Nigeria.

Lie!

michealewela:
As a result of the card reader that was introduced, have they managed to recover after?

They have recovered and apc is very jittery!

Ignoramus all over the place. The election that pdp,apga boycotted and had basically apc unopposed should be won by who?

Shelloween:
ode

Buruku gan

bender79:
For your information as of today APC has made serious in roads in SS. The only sure region PDP can boast of is SE( borne out of ethnic sentiments)and probably NC( herdsmen crises, even at that still remains in the balance considering states like kwara and Niger).

Kwara is now solidly pdp. Only Niger is not pdp in NC.

As Apc is making inroads into SS/SE, it has already lost NC while PDP is gaining momentum in NE/NW.
The party with the net gain wins come 2019 especially with the groundswell of discontented citizenry registering at an exciting rate.

senatordave1:
Why not bring your main moniker? Her analysis is borne out of hatred,sentiments and hasty generalizations.she hasnt taken note of different situations in each states,zones,defections,popularity of candidates,current state of the polity,party structures,rigging power,reach.she didnt take note of the fact that an incumbent inflates votes in his zones right from 2003-2015.

You will learn new political lessons and realities come 2019.

senatordave1:
Stop this nonsense.i have given you the statistics before,you still persist in ignorance.Total votes in the north west in 2015 was 8.4 million.buhari had 7.1 million while goodluck polled 1.3 million which is less than 20%.he had in 2011 anyway but not in 2015.please be guided.

Is 2011 same as 2015? You so fixated with the accidental victory of buhari in 2015 so much so even when 2011 is referred, your mind tells you 2015.

Be guided and read and comprehend well before responding.

ORIENTATION101:
it will be easier for apc to get 40% in south south region than pdp get 20% of votes in north east.

this people doing analysis seems to forget that the only major southerner contesting in election is osibanjo.
pdp will never get 70 percent of votes in south south again except you guys re still using Gej influence in last election as a yardstick in 2019.

northwest vote cannot be altered because the region is the incumbency expecting pdp to get 25% vote in north west is same as excepting apc to get 25% in south south region when their son was the incumbent.

pdp got 40% in south west when they had governors in ekiti and ondo couple with the fact that the party is the incumbent.south west apc is expecting power after buhari so they will be ruthless in rigging that's why they position all the govs as apc to be much easier.
a geopolitical zone expecting presidency like southwest with the 2ND highest voters in Nigeria.
will award buhari more than 70% votes.

PDP had it worst performance in the entire country zone by zone in 2015. Prior to that, Buhari was blown out 3 times by OBJ,yar Aua and GEJ.
Don't over rate Buhari 2015 was the exception not the norm.

abc115:
Day dreaming...PMB will take 90% of votes in NW

No, he won't and he can't!

Even GEJ in 2011 had 25%+ in the NW. With northern candidate as main challenger, PDP won't go below 25%.

Positivepoint:
I hope u know the only states calling them selves middle belt are benue & platuea state. Niger kogi kwara nasarawa are not buying that nonsense.

Says who?

Femsyn:
See why Buhari is likely to win again, with or without the support of the Easterners?

In those K states without voters intimidation, the voters presence of southerners and others, is upto 40%.

The presence of hausa/fulani in the SS/SE is not upto 5% of the voters. That is the difference !

dlondonbadboy:
Tyranny.

Our confidence is that this government is about to be voted out and power they took from the people shall return to th3 people....

The govtt clearly showing signs of desperation. It is on its way out but, the zombies don't get it.

magoo10:
Where that midget dey self
He should come and defend himself no be to dey bark like ekuke dog .

The barking has caught up with apc zombies!

sarrki:
Ugwuanyi of Enugu, Governor Of Abia And elechi are undergoing reforms

Very very soon they are porting

None is more deluded!

chomchom1:
God scatter all All promise cancel party. E-warriors oya am waiting

APC to formally become Minority after the primaries.

deomelo:
Only ipob zombie think SaraTHIEF cannot be impeached.

Wetin IPOB do you?
Anyway, Nigerians with Clear thought process ain't ipob while being ipob in itself is their right.

I am a kwaran wasn't a Saraki fan till APC made a star of him.

Go and impeach him nau!