burp18:
I don't care who wins so long as that Obi fraudster loses.

We understand that you came from family of never-do-well's. Obi is your next president

E don set.

CoronaVirusRelo:
Seems Datti just woke up from his slumber!

I hope Datti knows that his university does not meet urban planning standards, and same time blocking waterways.

Asiwaju’s administration will be addressing urban planning and land reclamation.

Tinubu Agbero your master is not winning! Only jihadist will vote Muslim Muslim ticket. And Una no plenty pass Christians

Na we get Labour Congress. Obi is your next president!

Ngige is not Soludo. He is too smart to misbehave.

I swear Most of this people are lowlifes. From their Obas to their agberos.

Finishing touches.

Aboki99:
Peter Obi's supporters are cock-a-hoop about what they see as the highest chance of their hero winning Nigeria's presidency next Saturday.

Are their optimism and excitement factually/statistically justified?

Let's do the arithmetic.

PO's strongholds are the SE and the SS, two zones with the least number of votes!. Granted that PO can scavenge some votes in the SW, but it's crystal clear that Tinubu will carry the day in SW eventually.

In the north, the Obidients rely on pockets of votes from northern xtians. But are these enough? Not at all. Since 1999, the northern xtians have never voted along the same line as the Muslim core North. For example they have never voted for Buhari. Yet, in 2014 and 2019 Buhari was able to win signifying the political insignificance of this voting bloc to a candidate that can garner votes in the core north and other parts (Tinubu?). Similarly, PMB was able to win elections without the votes of the SE and SS in both 2014 and 2019, which also trivializes the importance of these two Obi's main strongholds in determining the ultimate presidential winner.

So, for Obi to win the presidential election, he would, as a matter of necessity, need votes from Muslim voters in the north. But does he look set to get it? The truthful but bitter answer for Obidients to accept is No with a capital N. Problem is, the Obidients want to market Obi in the day as a pan-Nigerian candidate but brandish the news of Obi's endorsement by popular pastors/Churches whose altars Obi has turned to campaign platforms. This, rightly so, confuses the average northern Muslim voter and makes them pause to ask some legitimate questions[ Imagine Buhari going to the mosques to campaigns in 2014 or even 2019, what with the reaction be like from voters in say the SE?)

Not even the votes in Plateau and Benue, two states Obidients have also placed high, convoluted hope on can do anything to offset the bloc northern muslim votes. Here, the Obidients will conveniently bring up the issue of Kwankwaso who, as they argue passionately, will magically divide these votes for them to conquer and win the race. In making this highfalutin assumptions, the Obidients forget two crucial facts: 1) the muslim northern voters are never known, throughout Nigeria's political history, to cultivate the habit of wasting their votes. The average northern voter might not have gone to school but they're the most sophisticated; 2) Despite pulling some intimidating crowds in a couple of states esp in the nroth, the truth is Kano is Kwankwaso's main sphere of influence. Even there, I can't bet a penny that he'll win a simple majority for reasons adumbrated above.

Now, my only concern is what the reaction of the Obidients will be when the bubble of their alternative reality finally bursts. I hope they'll peacefully pick up the pieces, lick their wounds, move on and say "better luck next time".

Personally, I do not see any credible candidate worthy of my votes among the current pack of wolfs, but I know for sure that this 2023 election is a contest between Tinubu and Atiku. Yet, while I know this for a fact, I also have to admit that the outcome of this contest is highly unpredictable. Tinubu has 22 APC governors behind his back, huge war chest, media control and so on. Atiku has the support of some powerful members of PMB's kitchen cabinet, considerable war chest, and some current public angst to latch onto.

If you press me hard to rate the chances of the major contenders, I'll come up with something like these:
1. Tinubu 35%
2. Atiku 34
3. Obi 20%
4. Kwankwaso 9%

May God choose the best candidate for us.

Another mentally unstable Urchin spotted.

Lai Mohammad has infected this one

Urchins will soon copy. Copy copy people.

A lot of mentally unstable people on nairaland

Chinonye2022:
Jonathan contested under pdp that hav many governors u see the difference

If the so called Governors are so much influencial they would not be disturbing our peace because of new monetary policy.

Zincfingers:

Jonathan won the SW remember

This Time Tinubu is winning the South West, Automatically, the vote is not going to Atiku.

What Obi needs in South West is 25% in each state.

renderme:


Jonathan had 95% of SW votes in 2011.
In 2015 he got only 45% of SW votes and lost.

For Obi to win without the north, he needs at least 80% of SW votes.

Wrong. What he needs is 25% from each south west state and nothing more.
2011 there were two main contenders, in this election they are three. The beautiful bride is this election is North Central and thanks to Bandits Obi is the dominant force in North Central.

computer0810:


Clown so only south east and few in South South will make obi president😂

Urchin Jonathan won without the north. If you don't like it hang yourself.

Just declaring him winner on Saturday Nigeria will begin to arrange.

First Lady wey Sabi.
No some first lady that embarked on frying of Akara that year.

searchng4love:
Time to document them

Clown... You can only wail in pain. Igbos have come to stay in Lagos and it's forever!

Jonathan won without the north, Obi will do same.

ekolobaba:
Peter Obi cannot win more than two states in the election. He won’t get more than 100k votes in Lagos.

But Peter Obi will become the president of Twitter and Onitsha. Good consolation for him.

Urchins una no dey tire?

Kwankwaso is not stepping down for anybody. APC and PDP can only wish!

SavageResponse:


Na who be the person wey choose am?

Nigerian's with sense chose him.

duro4chang:
0bidiots are miscreants constituting nuisance

Terrorists your Mic licking Drug lord will be disgraced come Saturday 25th

Trash

peepydelano:
Then vote Atiku and rest

Which ATIKU?

Deprofessional:
Start quitting churches were the pastors are either campaigning for Tinubu or sitting on the fence in this 2023 election.

These pastors have shown not to believe in what they preach.

I expect christians to start leaving church like Redeemed Christian Church of God, because the GO has demonstrated to be a man of indecision.

Adeboye is a tribal bigot. Look at their churches nation wide. I have a friend that is one of their pastors. What they do is if you open a church and build it to a reasonable size they will send a Yoruba pastor and transfer you to lesser church to start all over again.

Obi the chosen one

... This most clownish thing I have seen on the internet in recent years!

Aisha Buhari should respect herself at least.

The chosen one.

Vickyguero:
Omo ode

Nwa nzuzu