₦airaland Forum

Elegant!

Workch:
Well, we will wait and see

Yes

Impossible

Mr Yung6ix, I don't know what you mean by WRONG MAN, but the candidate with the constitutional requirements after the poll would be declared the winner.

If the candidate you considered as the wrong man Happen to meet the constitutional Electoral requirements, he's going to take over and NOTHING WILL HAPPEN

SE number of registered voters= 10M

Lagos+Kano = 12M

Apc that currently control 20+ states with majority members in the upper and lower Chambers and hundreds of chairmen in local councils across the nation are not this confident.

They started with ;
Kalu/El rufai

Umahi/Zulum

Amaechi is the Annoited candidate

Buni is going to bury Tinubu

And the delusion continues.

These people didn't even learn from Osun state guber election where their candidate got an embarrassing 0.30%.

Politics is not for our 5%ers brothers.

SS is for Pdp
SW is for Apc
NC is going Apc way
NW is going to be shared with Apc winning narrowly
NE is going to be shared between Apc and pdp

with their 10m registered voters, where is this overconfidence coming from?

90% on social media poll, 0.50% at the real poll.

ObaIgwe1:
Full squad as it stands:

GK: Ramsdale, Turner
RB: White, Tomiyasu
RCB: Saliba, Holding
LCB: Gabriel, Kiwior
LB: Zinchenko, KT
DM: Partey, Jorginho
Left #8: Xhaka, Vieira
Right #8: Odegaard, ESR
RW: Saka, Nelson
LW: Martinelli, Trossard
CF: Jesus, Eddie

Trossard is the addition that gives me some joy this window, but we move.

Eddie has paid his dues and should continue as the main 9.

iSense247:
Osun - Peter Obi because of Tinubu's muslim-terrorist ticket. Yoruba muslims prefer Atiku.

In the just concluded guber election in Osun state, LP got 2k of the 700k votes casted. Less than 1%.

Dey play.

I can see you have invested a lot on the obidatti movement; time, emotion and all, I pray you won't die of cardiac arrest when results start coming out next month.

Kwara.

Apc 70%

Pdp 25%

Others 5%

Can a divided opposition defeat Apc ? No

In 2019 when the economic situation of our country was no different from the current situation, the United opposition couldn't defeat Apc.

Currently the opposition is weak and divided;

Pdp - under the leadership of Alahji Atiku and Ayu

LP - Obi

Kwankwanso

G5

Game over, Alahji Atiku poor outing in the north last election shows that he's not a true son of the north, loosing his polling unit and getting really embarrassing votes in sisters states of Yobe Borno, Bauchi Gombe.

The north usually vote in one direction, and the northern elites who determines where the general populace up north would vote are solidly behind Tinubu, they knew the implications of a northerner succeeding another northerner.

Tinubu might not win the north like pmb did but man would get vital votes down south enough to cover the deficit up north.

Apc has this already.

The odds still favours Apc as it stands, I expect a strong resistance from Atiku Abubakar but still wouldn't be enough to send Apc packing.

Freshtruth:
Gtbank get money o. Just wondering how much dey paid messi to endorsed them . messi won't take less than 50million pounds for the endorsement deal no wonder dem dey deduct customers money anyhow

It's just a one time advert which should cost between 500-800 thousand euros.

blazesam:
Lagos: 7,060,195 : Peter obi go chop 3.something votes here...Atiku go see him share collect, Tinubu go see him own ma collect.

Kano: 5,921,370: Kwankwaso go see plenty here collect... Obi fit see like 1.something only...Atiku ma go see like 2m here
.. am not sure about Tinubu here

Kaduna: 4,335,208: obi go see like 2m here, datti home.... Southern Kaduna people go drop their votes wella...

Rivers: 3,537,190: obi massively

Katsina: 3,4516,719: atiku and kwankwaso

Oyo: 3,276,765: obi massively

Bauchi: 2,749,268: obi massively

Plateau: 2,789,528: obi massively

Benue: 2,777,727: obi massively

Niger: 2,698,344: Tinubu....

I bet 100k

you and the other 2 people that liked your post are deluded.

See him allocating votes like a slow fellow.

Even Kano will struggle to get 2.5million turn out, and each of Rabiu, BAT and Atiku would get at least 30% each, Obi will struggle to get 20k-40k votes in Kano.

3m votes for Obi in Lagos? Nah you wan divide yourself into 3million voters?
Lagos being home to one of the contender will at most Have 2m turn out.

This obidients movement has to be the most deluded movement in history.

Facebook pages and groups is a nice place to find a partner.

Dogalmighty17:
This attitude may be one of the underlying causes of the divorce. You put a post on a public forum and yet you tell people to mind business?

99% of comments here are laced with negativity, bad energy and all, and you expect him not to get mad?

Is he Jesus Christ or what?
Even Jesus Is going to get mad at the destructive criticism on this thread.

I foresee these ibo political babies labelling the innocent northern Christians BETRAYALS, SABOTEURS after obi's abysmal performance next month.

Because I don't see him getting up to 80k vote in any northern State.

I stand with Brymo.


I don't know who he's supporting, but he has the right to support the candidate of his choice.

Workch:
I don't think you people reason well. But I am going to put this into perspective for you to understand.

Firstly, northeast has the second lowest voters card holders after SE. Southsouth and northcentral has more then northeast. None of kwankwaso, Atiku or Tinubu can get 50% of NE and NW votes. None, it will be splitted

Lets assume 1m will vote in northwest
600k in NE
700k in SS
800k NC
500k in SE.

Lets assume the winner of NE and NW got 45 of votes, that's 820k votes.
If Peter Obi gets 75% in SE, 50% in SS and 30% in NC, he will get 965k votes.

If the winner of NE and NC is Atiku, it spells doom for Tinubu and favors Obi, because Obi will get plenty votes in SW.
The more kwankwaso splits the votes in NE and NW, the more difficult for the winner to even get this 45% to overturn what Obi will amass in SS and SE.

It's why Peter Obi can win this election

Keep assuming

North Central:

6 States + FCT.

Labour party in North Central

Governor : 0

Senator : 0

HOR : 0

LG : 0

Ward councilor : 0

obidients : North Central is in the bag for Obi

Me :

Obi made the victory easy for Apc.

Ogogoro induced prediction.

Apophenia24k:
Animal, and you're proud of it? They murderd your ancestors and gave your land up for emirate instead of being SW and you foolishly call me mumu.. from Nasarawa to benue, kogi, taraba plateau and part of enugu have a similar culture, with no presence of powerful Emirate and here you are calling me mumu...
Kwara is a political geographical location.

E pain am,

Ebira, igala and Yoruba people from Kogi have nothing in common with plateau, taraba, nasarrawa, benue ànd enugu.

AND VICE VERSA

mrvitalis:
Lol I said real middle belt indigenous people

I'm from the middle belt, NC have no single bond with ibos.

From my experience so far in Lagos, a cosmopolitan city, seems every tribe hates ibos.

Number 1 on the list are people from cross river.

And I thought Amaechi was going to win Apc primary according to you... Hahaha.
You need to learn POL101, the basic.

Apophenia24k:
Stop speaking for us, you'll drink skushi Nd with stupid confidence speak on people's behalf though you knows nothing about thier believes.. most of you have not even travel out of you state of origin yet speak about other region as if you know anything about them... BE educated and guided in you speech

Mumu, I'm from the NC, kwara precisely,

mrvitalis:
Nc know only an Igbo man would stand by them to take power

Took us the war n Fulani herdman to understand each other but the bond between real north central Indigenous people and Igbos is super strong ...stronger than ever ...from southern borno,to Bauchi,to gombe to Kaduna to Niger to nassarawa to kogi to taraba to Adamawa to plateau to Benue

They know who would stand by them and who have been speaking up for them

At the bolded,
The north Central under what umbrella ?

Mrvitalis , you and this your shallow reasoning are inseparable.
The NC as it stands today consist of 6 member states and the fct, of which apc are controlling 5 of these state, the remaining 1 is part of the G5.
The NC have no union, each state would vote based on the kind of politics going on their.

An average middle belter does not know the member state.

That's why I laugh at the ipobpigs when they say the north Central is in the bag for Obi.

It will take the grace of God for LP to get 200k votes in all the NC combined.

The NC is a diverse region, not even one state is homogeneous, the union is not strong.

vengertime:
That's what people like you said in Malawi Zambia and Kenya they were all social media candidate until it was to late.

Mumu.

That tweet is empty just as your brain.

Nsogbo nsogbo political novice.

asanausana91:
Now that the G 5 are selfishly endorsing the senile dementia man called Tinubu, I will advise Peter and and kwankwaso to join hands with Atiku so that we can set ourselves free from this APC with their Muslim Muslim ticket. Is my opinion pls

At the bolded...

Are you saying Obi is not cumming again?

Foolishness is when you think Labour party will win Presidential election.

Pain.....