₦airaland Forum

Owoino:
I guess your thoughts are that Peter Obi will win majority of the votes but the tribunal will upturn his victory 😂😂😂
Emeka,where will Peter Obi get his votes from?

according to it, BVAS detected overvoting, if that's the case then Oyetola should be govenror. No cheating.

Obi will still win though

Amayabor1:
No cause for alarm. Adeleke will appeal the judgement at the court of appeals.

if overvoting was detected by BVAS then adekele can step down.

kponkedenge:
Nigeria is a joke.

So now people's votes mean nothing if the tribunal can just come up with outrageous rulings like this.

Don't be surprised if this even happens in the General Elections.

Calm down, it's not the first time it's happening. He will appeal it.


Keep calm

He will appeal it

garfield1:
You see,you are not updated.it shows that I am very good in predictions

You are a clown I swear.
😂😂😂

Efewestern:
Money alone can't win you primaries. You need strategic supports from governors who by extension controls the delegates.

The National chairman of APC and Aso cabal never wanted BAT and they didn't even hide it. Few weeks to the primaries, northern governors were summoned to Abuja and they insisted that power must return to South. That was even after Lawal had been endorsed by some cabal members and some APC key figures.

The northern governors fought fiercely for BAT. If not for them, Ameachi or Lawal would have won.

Also, you can't downplay the impacts of governors in Nigerian elections, unless you are not truthful to yourself. Religion, Tribe, Political support and masses acceptance are what you put on the table when discussing the outcome of any election. Even in state levels, Tribe, political supports and masses acceptance play an important role.

Unless LP wins SS with a landslide and get atleast 50% of NC, They would need chunk of votes from SW. Like how GEJ secured his first ticket.

Money alone can't win primaries, money can make the difference. A huge difference.

I would not downplay the impact of governors before BVAS. BVAS has significantly reduced their power.
While they still have a role to play, it only comes to vote buying. They can no longer influence figures massively
You have to agree

garfield1:
Not true.even if he won nc,he would still lose.he lost because he couldn't match buhari figures from ne nw like he did in 2011 and because he lost sw..gej also used incidents forms massively

you guys should stop discussing analysis with this clown 😂😂😂

garfield1:
Oyetola just won at the tribunal

Like there's no appeal and Supreme Court.
How does that concern what we are discussing? 😂

Where did you even get this news?

Frame this post.

Tinubu is going to be humiliated in his election. He will lose both south and north, not get 25% statutory coverage and then he will be disgraced.

Thr humiliation is going to be sweet t because he will go to court and still lose.

garfield1:
I have track record.does the faceless poll has any

So we should disbelieve 16k people's opinion and then believe yours 😂

Oshey, baddest

Onovo3:
You talk like a neophyte in politic ! who tells you governors does not matter ? Do you know how how many people depend directly/indirectly from the governor for their daily bread ? governors have thousands of political appointee whom have family and well wishers !

Again, you also lack basic statistics skills, what's the ratio of those who depend on gocrnrors to feed to those who don't?

How would that overturn an election figure? Are you people just blind that you cannot see?

The ratio of those who directly depend on gocrnrors to the citizens of a state is inconsequentially low. You have eyes but you cannot see, you are stock in the past

Onovo3:
You talk like a neophyte in politic ! who tells you governors does not matter ? Do you know how how many people depend directly/indirectly from the governor for their daily bread ? governors have thousands of political appointee whom have family and well wishers !

You are the neophyte that cannot decipher the dynamics and current trends. You are stock in 2019.
A good political analyst is dynamic and uses insights from current trends to make informed decisions in combination with historical facts.
You views are limited to historical facts alone and it doesn't work that way

Had this particular election held in 2019, Obi will lose before 12noon, but now? He has a chance. You aren't smart enough to analyze it

You are overrating Atiku and Tinubu purely based on history and not the current trend

garfield1:
16000 respondents is too small to use for an analysis

But your own opinion of 1 is very big to judge 😂😂

Lol

babyfaceafrica:
Tinubu will get 30% in Cross River.. Ben is quite strong there

😂😂😂😂

Efewestern:
A united opposition would have trashed APc by a wide margin. I mean a very wide margin. Maybe with a win of over 65%.

LP has done huge damages to whatever PDP would get in SE, SS and SW (Lagos especially, PDP is well rooted in other SW states and they might secure some numbers but protestant south Western votes will go to LP).

It's a fact that the cabals are not on BAT's side. Infact, his saving grace in Northern Nigeria (NW & NE) are the northern governors who are not only a close ally but fighting to get their hands on the presidential seat in the next 8years. They singlehandedly rescued BAT during the primaries and dished the cabals. Unless they betray BAT, it would be ignorant to write him off.

LP would need to get atleast 60% of SW votes and win SS with a huge margin (personally, I don't think any SS states would give bloc votes) for them to win. I'm impressed with LP's penetration of NC.

2023 was/is PDP's chance to regain power if only LP, NNPC and the G5 weren't in factor.

garfield1

Governors can help you win primaries but they cannot help you win the general election if you are not popular in that region, especially with BVAS.

Governors didn't help Tinubu in the primaries, he paid himself into winning via the governors. It's hard to do that on a large scale during thr main election

LP doesn't need 60% southwest to win. LP only needs to get 25% from all southwest states to win.

Never you think that any Northern governor is with Tinubu for free and fairness, are you a learner in politics?

garfield1:
Apc won heavily during the February rerun.no one knows LP here

okay 😂😂

PlayerMeji:
Folks like you are not strangers to losing... You lost the apc primaries, you didn't die..

So when you lose the presidential election you wont die too

If Tinubu win, make trailer jam me. I know he won't win, that's why I am so sure

00FFT00:
Tinubu, today, is effectively a baby politician in context. Urchins, oya, make una come beat me 😂

before nko, no be Urchins dey hype am?

garfield1:
Assuming he loses narrowly,obi will fail woefully here.you see why obi can't win

as long as Tinubu loses, I am okay 😂

abc115:
Seriously, not laughing matter

it's funny the way you guys actually delude yourselves

garfield1:
Tinubu will also take niger and kogi

😂😂😂

NgeneUkwenu:
I have always predicted so. APC will shock ipob terrorists in South South and South East next month.

This was Ogoja two days ago.

😂😂😂😂

Next month will be sweet, I swear. The kind weeping wey Urchins go weep eh

garfield1:
So is poll the only fact? Nigeria has about 90 mil voters and those poll covers less than 50,000 people in the urban areas.did most polls not project atiku as winner in 2019?

You are even imagining things from your kitchen since room no dey.the only poll I even accept is anap polls and it says obi will only win se/ss and lose other areas.google trends which covers millions clearly shows tinubu winning.

a poll is more fact that what you conjured from your room 😂

garfield1:
Kwara and niger usually give bloc votes.plateau and benue do not.nasarawa is even the worse.even in benue and plateau apc is very strong there while obi is very weak in niget,kwara.atiku is weak in kwara,kogi

Na only kwara Tinubu go win. 😂😂

abc115:
APC definitely winning Cross River, Edo, Delta and Rivers in South South

Lol, no one will vote for a drug baron.

garfield1:
No need to argue.agree to my terms.if tinubu loses,I'll withdraw from this section and if he wins,you withdraw

That's what you will do, every goddamn facts and survey actually conducted 6 times thinks Tinubu will not win. Here's you are, conjuring emotional rubbish from your room. Stop being emotional.

Those guys actually went out to do this survey

garfield1:
The facts on ground shows a tinubu win followed by obi but not atiku.if it happens,you and all other apc haters must see me as the greatest here.any analysis I make will be final.if tinubu loses to atiku,I will stop commenting on politics section.the Shane would not allow me unlike shameless zombidients

What's facts, the one on this thread that they actually got out an asked 16k+ accross 36 states in Nigeria abi your own personal facts that you concocted from your Room under the influence of alcohol? 🤣

garfield1:
I dont give rushed up,desperate,hate/sentiment induced analysis like una.I take my time son

So if a pastor tell you Tha Tinubu will get 25% in Imo because thr state governor is APC, you will fall for it and pay your tithe to him? 😂😂😂

garfield1:
Tinubu has won already,the polls eilljust be normality

are you not giving analysis again?
😂😂😂

Onovo3:
Hahahaha, I laugh in Arabic ! Anambra, Ekiti and Osun gubernatorial elections results are testimony to your claim !

Did Atiku contest in those states?

People are voting individuals, if it's by party APC would have won in Osun.

You are overrating Atiku. Obi will beat him in NC, put your money if you can