₦airaland Forum

Why's this not in Frontpage yet?

Nlfpmod Mynd44 and Seun

karnap:
Just prayed it shouldn't happened!!
You can't stop it,only God can.

So God is the one coming to help you wait so your vote can count?

Waterysperm:
Another Anap pool will soon be out by the end of the Month. You guys will be shocked. We also carried out some researches as well especially in the rural remote areas of the Country. That is why I am ready to stake with anybody that wants on these 3 things which are , firstly Atiku won't get 25% in any Southeast state. Secondly, Obi will win Taraba and not Atiku. Thirdly, Obi will defeat Atiku in the 3 regions of the South and North Central. Atiku will only win him in Northwest and his region Northeast. I didn't mention Tinubu because he will come a distant third and no longer in the race. He will only win his Southwest region with a slight margin closely followed by Obi. You guys will understand soonest. So I am ready to stake 100k with anyone based on the 3 things I listed.

They don't know how prepared we are.

They don't. Abeg, no loud am.

We need Urchins to be happy for the last 1 month of their lives before natural selection takes them

onatisi:
the bolded will be a miracle but nothing is impossible in this world . this election will be very interesting

it's achieveable, Peter Obi will get the most amount of votes in this election. Take it to the bank.

If he can get 25% in all 17 states in South, he will win. Plateau, Abuja, Benue, Kaduna, Nasarawa, Taraba, And Adamawa will dash him 25% on a platter to make it 24. That's if he doesn't even get Kogi.

onatisi:
you don't seem to get the winning logic of elections. please let me explain.

you need to have the highest number of votes cast to win . but in order for the national spread out of the highest number of votes, you need to have 25% in 24 states.
so if you have 25% in even all 36 states but yet do not have the highest number of votes , the person may likely lose to someone who has the highest number and 25% in 24 states.
i hope I am right, if i am wrong please correct me .
this is the reason why some key states with high voters turnout are usually very very important . eg kano and rivers state also jigawa

Atiku will lose so much votes to Tinubu and Kwankwaso in the north that it will not be enough to nullify the bloc votes Obi will secure from SE and SS.

Obi will meet 25% coverage and still get the highest votes. Trust me.

If Obi is winning SS by 60% and SE by 70%, Atiku needs to win NW by 40% and NE by 65% to be able to get the same amount of votes as Obi.

Then the NC will now become the battle ground. Atiku is weak in the largest NC voting blocs of Plateau and benue, Obi will win there comfortably by virtue of religion.

Taraba in NE will be very close between both. The like of Kogi, Niger and kwara do not have huge voters, and Tinubu is also there to help deplete Atiku's votes. Obi will win Abuja.

Obi will end up having the highest amount of votes combined if you add his performance in SW where he will be seocnd.

onatisi:
you don't seem to get the winning logic of elections. please let me explain.

you need to have the highest number of votes cast to win . but in order for the national spread out of the highest number of votes, you need to have 25% in 24 states.
so if you have 25% in even all 36 states but yet do not have the highest number of votes , the person may likely lose to someone who has the highest number and 25% in 24 states.
i hope I am right, if i am wrong please correct me .
this is the reason why some key states with high voters turnout are usually very very important . eg kano and rivers state also jigawa

nope, you are wrong. you are the person who do not get it.

Obi will get the highest number of votes as long as Tinubu and Kwankwaso are in the race to battle Atiku in the north for votes. Atiku may win but they will steal many votes from him.
It's in the best interest of Obi that Tinubu and Kwankwaso remain in this race.

Again, Obi doesn't need kano, Katsina, sokoto, Kebbi, Jigawa, Niger, Zamfara, Bauchi l, yobe, Borno, gombe to get the constitutional 25% in 24 states.
The analysis and our permutations already shows us that Obi has a chance to get 25% of votes in Taraba, Adamawa, Plateau, Kaduna, Nasarawa, Benue, Abuja and Kogi, these are 8 northern states with huge Christian population that even this analysis Obi got 25% from there exepct Kogi.


Now, what Obi needs to do is to winall states in SS and SE and get at least 25% from all SW states, this is 17 states plus 8 northern states, it's 25.

By doing this, Obi already has the constitutional requirements of 25% in 24 states and also with kwankwaso and Tinubu in the race, Atiku will never be able to get enough from NW and NE to reverse the bloc votes Obi will get from SS and SE.

Hope I am communicating?

Obi has a chance, if he doesn't, we won't still be pushing him. We know what we are doing

Tinubu and Kwankwaso are there to make sure that Atiku doesn't get enough votes in NW and NE. They are working for Obi

onatisi:
boss don't raise ur hopes too high, look beyond the south, there is no way the local northerner on the streets of katsina ,sokoto,kano and co will leave kwankwanso and atiku then vote for peter obi , but if you believe it then let's wait and see.
but i know that the only two words on their mouths now is bamaiyi and kwankwansiya

Nope, we don't need the extreme north to win. You are not getting it.
We only need to win or get at least 25% in non-Muslim dominated states like Benue, Abuja, Plateau, Nasarawa, Kaduna , Taraba and Adamawa, kogi and then secure 25% in all sohthern state then obi will win. The northern Christians in these states I listed will give the votes. This means a total of 25 states, one more than the 25% in 24 state constitutional requirement.

We are not interested so much in Northwest state where Kwankwaso is already working by proxy for Obi to deplete Atiku and Tinubu votes.

We are not hoping to win Kano, Katsina, Jigawa, sokoto Borno and the likes, we don't even think we can get 25% there. We know they cannot vote Obi, we only need at most 10% there

It's not easy but it's doable, there is a viable pathway to victory without the Northwest, Borno, Yobe and the likes

Aufbauh:
Honestly some of you guys are not fit for the politics section going by your lack of basic political knowledge.

Yobe state has ever be an anti-pdp state right from 1999. A state occupied by predominantly Kanuris who have their own Shetima as a VP candidate to Tinubu, and with almost all their main political stakeholders in APC is not expected to vote for the APC according to your low analytic reasoning?

Even Atiku in his wildest dreams won't accept the offer of winning Yobe state. APC will have nothing less than 80% votes in Yobe state.

25 February is close so there's no need to educate you much.

lol, OK. Wait until February 😂
Keep consoling yourself for just 1 month

onatisi:
keankwanso is not even the problem of tinubu in the southwest, the major problem and obstacle is peter obi. boss, obi get a massive massive following in the southwest most especially among the Christians and youth. he will definitely not win and he knows that but he has already taken a large chunk of votes, which would normally have gone to tinubu if it is only Atiku vs tinubu. not to now talk of the east and south-south
there is a very good reason Atiku and PDP have decided not to beg wike or anyone in the south, obi has already damaged that area for APC. obi can never win in the north, he can't get the number of votes in the north like he would get in the south, but he has really tried

bro, Obi is winning this election. He has better chance than Tinubu.
I am looking at this data, I don't see why we should allow Atiku be getting 25%in Imo, Abia and Anambra when he cannot get it in crossrivers and Rivers state. We will work on that.

Atiku has a slight lead in TARABA, Obi is closely seocnd, we will work on that, Obi is also closlely second in Kaduna to Tinubu, we will work on that.

Don't underestimate us dude. Don't be surprised if Obi gets 25% Ondo, Osun and Kogi.

See. We have a working strategy that we are yet to unleash. PDP and APC will be shocked

Victorclean1:
Free and fair, PO wins

Atiku is strong, very strong.
He have a lot of work to do in the north, we also need to encourage kwankwaso to do well there.
Tinubu is not my problem, Atiku is. Tinubu will be beaten like a baby, I don't see how he can win.

Tinubu cannot even conviniently win southwest, Imagine the amount of votes Atiku and Kwankwaso will steal from him there.

fredoooooo:
Clowns

February no far again, e dey play.

APC think say we dey follow them play 😂

Just one month then you will know how serious we obedients are.

As Atiku dey give una from north, we go dey tidy una here for south. Una dey whine us?

kay1one:
So let's work with your reasoning: in 2019, the contest in Yobe was predominantly between Buhari and Atiku. Now that Buhari is not on the ballot, who will they vote for? Tinubu Abi? 😂🤣🤣

I don't know why you are arguing with these guys, we have said it for the umpteenth time that this election is between Atiku who's the most popular in the north and Obi who's the most popular in the south.

Tinubu will be beaten to Stupor. Atiku will deal with him in the North, we will finish the job here in the south.

He will be 3rd, we will all be here to laugh at Urchins

PlayerMeji:
Biafra or Death soon loading....!

They are giving you useful insights, but you cant stop crying.

We will wait for you in February when we will finish you finally 😊😊

I am here to watch Urchins lament. Ouch, I came late, they are already here.

😂😂😂

leokid866:
no I was describing your mother, but since she passed her lackings unto you I'm not surprised you can't reason well......😁

Okay, I respect your mom. She's a good woman m, I know she raised you well and must have told you that insulting other people's parents is bad.
I am sure it's you that didn't listen to that good woman

FromZeroToHero:
The man is the Ihordspy of Nairaland. He thought he was on Nairaland faceless forum where you can say rubbish and get away with it.

That's guy is one of the funniest Urchins here. He says stupid things without remorse

What would you do to stop institutionalized transport worker thuggery in Lagos state and the multiple taxation they enforce on motorists?

APC Don enter one chance bayi

saintopus:
Nigeria population is not up to 150 million.

I think Nigeria is more than 200m, judging from registered voters list

KingKO22:
Seem all these baby factory children are having eye problems oo
.
Show me any Pandora Obituary campaign crowd under canopies that surpass this one

the rally is still empty on your picture, check the second picture

Kyase, no money to pay crowd? 😭😭

JAMO84:
No be only London

Guy, Abakaliki is very developed now.

It's one of the fstest developing cities in Nigeria

Although, calling it London is way too far but he must have seen something on his visit to warrant that

Ebonyi is very developed now but that accolade should go the Umahi and not PDP.

If you go to Abakaliki, you won't believe your eyes, it's more developed than almost all average size cities in Nigeria

TheNiceGuy:
They can waste their votes

lol 🤣
Votes count dude

M-M ticket means that Peter Obi will sweep northcentral states of Nasarawa, Abuja, Plateau and Benue

NSNA:
Peter Obi could not even contest talkless of winning an election at ordinary PDP primaries.
In a scenario where Tinubu is not in the race and it is just between Obi and Atiku how does he want to win the presidential election?

For Sothern power, Obi should step down and Endorse Tinubu.

No sane person can win PDP primaries where you have to bribe delegates in thousands of dollar

jahsharon:
Yes. So, what are you gonna do?

vote against them

Moh247:
Only a Mad man thinks Banks hire Bullion Van driver as staff

For your information Bullion Vans belongs to private security company and banks don't know who they hire

ok great, so did thr bullion van mistakenly enter Baba house or not?

Let's assume that this nonsense you typed is true

Kyase:
Same way you believed obi daughter is richer than the anambra state

Stop making shit up, defend your bullionist