₦airaland Forum

Jones4190:
the same happened to atiku too in 2019

Show me a poll that says Atiku will win Benue in 2019. Show me 🤣🤣
Urchin and lies

walefresh3:
AS far obi didn't win.. I am ok...

It is Tinubu or atiku take over ... Good day...

One thing is very ceetained.. obi will not win...

Tinubu Will still lule.
We will make sure that happens. Una never see anything

Jones4190:
Obasanjo Cristian president kill more Benue than Muslim buhari

Every indicator, research, poll, and facts shows that Peter Obi will win Benue.

We cannot disregard that to please a minority urchin 😂

Tinubu that will be distant 3rd in Benue.

If kwankwaso does his homework well, he can even beat him 🤣

Jones4190:
I don't have online pooling unit

same with me.

Obi will win in mine and yours

Jones4190:
you don't know Benue politics, inspite of ortom criticism against buhari in 2019, atiku manage to win buhari with less than 400 vote, that was when ortom was behind atiku, oo. now PDP are divided against a united APC in Benue state, you know how influencial akume is in Benue politics, his wife is going for house of rep, defently gboko and tarkaa is out of the obi's equation.
We have Tarkigh in mkd, Father Alia in vandeikya, and we have another strong member in logo, this are the locals government area that come with bunk votes, how do you think obi will win without those local government I mentioned?

See, Tinubu does not have the sagacity of Buhari to drag votes in Benue.

M-M ticket is suicide.

Fulani herdsmen activity has polarized Benue more.

Tinubu will be 3rd in Benue write this down.

If there's any state I am sure Obi will win in the north, Benue is no1

gassbee:
these are very serious allegation

I think he's been sponsored else they can go to court.

It's a paid campaign

WarriAproko:
This map will decide. Tinubu is sure of getting 10m votes from SW. 7m from NW. 5m from NE. 2m from SS. 1M SE. 4m from NC

How did you arrive at your maths?
10m people cannot even show us on election in SW. 😂


Can you APC guys be reasonable for once?

Lagos is my state of residence, it's too close to call but it's between APC and LP.

Abia is my state of origin: LP will win landslide

Jones4190:
continue, Feb is not far

Obi will win even your polling unit in Benue.

All these your structure less structure will change anything

Jones4190:
I'm from Benue too and obi will not win

We don't expect everyone from Benue to vote Obi, but facts are facts. Majority will, Tinubu will be distant 3rd, you can argue all you like

Jones4190:
nobody know obi in the rural areas

But according to Nextier polls conducted on 2000 people living in Rural areas of Benue and with PVCs, Obi won landslide. He got more than 60%

I should believe you and disbelieve a scientific research with hard data. 😂

You APC guys don't know what will hit you soon

Iamgrey5:
The highest he will get in Lagos is 25%. to 35%

Write this down..

He won't get up to 10% outside of Lagos.

Well, your opinion is cool but scientid3 research conducted in southwest says otherwise. Facts always supercedes opinions

Jones4190:
which obi, are you from Benue? how do you expect atiku to come second and tinubu to come third.
they are so many factors that favour tinubu in Benue state.
1. ortom fight with ayu will favour tinubu that anybody, do you know that ayu was the one that bring action congress to Benue state that akume letter takeover? he was once a friend of tinubu.
2. father Alia influence will favor APC in the rural areas, apart from cities who know obi in the village?
3. jembagh influence, do you know that ayu is from jembagh that control 3 locals government out of the seven locals government ortom want to represent at the Senate house? Jembagh are waiting patiently for ortom in Feb.

Lol, you are still basing this election on a these dead structures 🤣

Slurity:
IF OBI WIN ANY STATE IN SOUTHWEST, THEN I WILL GIVE HIM A CROWN MYSELF.

He can win Lagos, now sure though.

But he doesn't have to win any state to snatch 25% from all

Jones4190:
Benue is not part of you simply.
let me take you back to history, do you know what is called Zaki biam massacre or have you head of operation no living thing? it was under a Christian president in 2001 that Nigeria army under the command of pastor olusegun Obasanjo commanded the army to execute hundreds of unarmed civilians, The massacre took place in villages including Gbeji, Vaase, Anyiin, Iorja, Ugba, Tse-Adoor, Sankera, Kyado and Zaki-Biam.

At the time, the Nigerian Army and Obasanjo christian federal government denied that soldiers killed any villagers. However, on Tuesday, 6 November 2007, the Chief of Army Staff, Lt. General Luka Yusuf, publicly offered an apology to the people of Benue State for the killings. and Muslim President Umaru Yar'Adua also visited Benue State to personally apologize on behalf of the federal government of Nigeria. No soldier was ever punished and nobody went to jail for the offences committed.

we benuelite know the politics behind Fulani herdsmen

I can but my last card that Obi will win Benue.

Seriously, second will be Atiku with Tinubu at distant 3rd

Bizibi:
forget it they already have nassarawa.....they will lose kaduna completely because of El rufai,I don't understand ortom and benue,I don't know how benue will play out. Taraba has always been PDP. Bauchi is PDP,as far as I am concerned zamfara state is unpredictable.

You see nassarawa they have collected it.....

They don't have Nasarawa, APC didn't win Nasarawa in 2015, they won slightly in 2019 because no credible Christian was on the ballot.
Tinubu with his Muslim-Muslim ticket already lost Nasarawa.

Nasarawa, Benue, Plateau, Abuja and Taraba have similar voting patterns

BluntCrazeMan:
..





COMPILE A SIMILAR LIST FOR PETER-OBI...
Let us dissect it



.

for me, states that Tinubu may lose

1. Adamawa
2. Kano
3. Jigawa
4. Sokoto
5. Zamfara
6. Bauchi
7. Gombe
8. Taraba
9. Kaduna
10. Plateau
11. FCT
12. Benue
13. Nasarawa
14. Abia
15. Enugu
16. Imo
17. Anambra
18. Ebonyi
19. Rivers
20. Bayelsa
21. Delta
22. Crossrivers
23. Akwa ibom
24. Edo
25. Katsina


States that Peter Obi may lose

1. Oyo
2. Osun
3. Ekiti
4. Ogun
5. Kwara
6. Niger
7. Kogi
8. Borno
9. Yobe
10. Gombe
11. Kano
12. Sokoto
13. Kebbi
14. Jigawa
15. Zamfara
16. Bauchi
17. Adamawa
18. Katsina

I don't think that's achievable in southwest

If Lagos gets 3.5m votes, Obi should be able to get 1.5 outta it.

He can get another 1m votes from other states in SW to make it 2.5m that's will be good enough for him

yarimo:
hehehe someone that can't win his small Anambra state

lol OK 🤣

Bizibi:
apc will get nassarawa but I am certain that apc already have a loop hole to rig this election

APC will get Nasarawa only if Buhari is on the ballot. And it's not even cerisn for Buhari... Tinubu no be Buhari.

Moh247:
Abuja houses civil servants, Politicians, and white collar workers, Abuja also houses the largest number of Northern rich elite

Obi won't even come 3rd in Abuja

Most of the states in NC who voted PDP, they will vote Obi. They didn't vote PDP because PDP is good m, they voted anti-APC campaign and its even going to be worse for APC that Buhari is not on the ballot.

Tinubu cannot win the polling unit in Aso Rock, I am sure about that

Moh247:
Abuja houses civil servants, Politicians, and white collar workers, Abuja also houses the largest number of Northern rich elite

Obi won't even come 3rd in Abuja

So why is APC not winning the Abuja?

Why does Abuja have the same always voting pattern as Plateau, Taraba and nearly as Nasarawa and Benue?

Tell me, does it have anything to do with the fact that they don't just like APC? If they don't like APC now, which is the better option? LP or PDP?
You dey whine yourself

You and I know that APC will be 3rd there. You know

So na Urchins dey wail now. Just because you can't buy votes as much as you want

Moh247:
Abuja is a PDP major zone.... Any swing would see APC winning slightly

Lol, Abuja is an Anti-APC zone not necessarily PDP zone, the only option then was PDP.

Abuja votes religious sentiments because it's cosmopolitan. I can put my last card that Obi will win there

Moh247:



Kaduna?!

Abuja?!

See, Abuja always vote like Plateau and Taraba.

Go ND check history and then come back.

If Obi gets 70% from southern Kaduna, he will win Kaduna because other regions will be slip between Kwankwaso, Atiku and Tinubu

Ekwunife is a gonna.
I see Umeh winning landslide

OnyeAshuaUru:
A new Nigeria is POssible.
Btw, Obi's victory in Abuja will be huge. I have never seen an Igbo person who's not planning to vote, and judging by the fact that Igbos (followed by middle belt tribes) constitute the largest voting percentage in Abuja, I feel nothing but pity for politicians running on platforms other than LP this election season.

it's not just an Igbo thing, many minority groups in northcentral will vote obi

AcetylC:
No wonder the latest romance with SE. The man just realised he's going no where without the south, and banking on the North. For someone touted as one with great political insight, I'm surprised that he's in shock.

Did you study biochemistry?

leokid866:
Okay I'm not calling anybody an idiot with half a brain.....but you just have to be smart enough to decipher......

Okay, thanks for describing yourself

1. Taraba
This state is averse to islamic and Fulani dominance, it has various minority tribes that are Christians. This state always vote for Christians and its the reason why no Muslim has ever been a governor in this state.
Many pools suggest that their votes will most likely go to a Christian candidate. Peter Obi is very popular in the state for this reason.



2. Benue
Just like Taraba, Benue is opposed to islamic and Fulani agenda. It's even showining their political battles. They are not going to vote fulanis and Muslims because of the farmers/herders crisis. They are going to vote for a Christian who's going to help them tackle that issue as they have lost confidence in the APC structure and Won't accept another Fulani PDP candidate to rule.


3. Nasarawa
Ditto Benue and Taraba


4. Plateau
Ditto Taraba and Benue


5. Kaduna
The bulk of votes that Peter Obi will get will come from southern Kaduna, which has atleast 1/3 of the states voting capability. This region is antifulani and anti-islamic because of seevral decades of persecution and genocide meted on them. Northern Kaduna is dominated by hausa and will most like votes for Kwankwaso and Atiku.
The central part of Kaduna is mixed, this region will get mixed voting demography.

6. Abuja
Abuja voters are always vote more or like Plateau voters. Election figures usually show similarities. I don't know the reason for this, however the pattern is striking. Maybe it's because it's very metropolitan and consist of very enlightened voters who will always vote for fairness sake.


Above all, these six states usually have similar voting pattern. Sometimes, it may change slightly but above all, these are states where religion can help swing votes. There are struggles in these states to fight Islamic and Fulani dominance hence it affects their voting sentiments.
These states are more likely to vote any Christian candidate than any other candidate especially with the heightened level of Fulani herdsmen killings

leokid866:
ask your self at any point in his speech if he mentioned Buharis name? Just be jumping to conclusions like a woman with no sense.....

He doesn't have to mention Buhari's name for us to know who he's referring to. You just have to me smart enough to decipher