In politics as in life, timing is everything…………as the Michael Corleone famously puts it in the GodfatherS “politics is knowing when(Time) to pull the trigger”

It is no longer news that Aminu Tambuwal is planning decamp from the PDP to APC.But the problem with the announcement is that it is no news. For more that 3years now Aminu Tambuwal has been the only bat (not to be confused with …… Bola Ahmed Tinubu. BAT) in the Nigerian political landscape: He is neither an APC nor PDP member.

That Tambuwal has been consulting about his political direction for the past 3months from otta farms to Kafanchan, with less that 4 months to the general elections is a clear sign of desperation and an indication that he is suffering from a serious crises of identity.
Tambuwal does not need an Obasanjo nor the gods to guide him, for his options are quite clear and very limited and here are the:

OPTIONS CONSEQUENCIES
1. Decamp from the PDP to APC .....................Loss the speakers position with months to the election.
2. Seek PDP presidential ticket................... He cannot get it.
3. Seek PDP House of Reps ticket.............. He cannot get it.
4. Seek APC presidential ticket. ........He does not stand a chance against,Buhari,Atiku,Kwankwaso….his chances are slim…excerpt by consensus
5 Seek APC Reps, senate or Governorship ticket...... A viable option for him.

Tambuwal indecision and miscalculation in my opinion during the exodus/defection of 37 PDP members to the APC in December 2013 could be his greatest undoing to his political career and his greatest disservice to the opposition. The defection which gave the APC a simple majority of 174 seats against PDP’s 171, with APGA/LP/ACCORD retaining (15 Seat) in the lower house would have allowed Tambuwal with a little deftness to retain his seat as speaker as well as encourage more defection from the ruling party.


With the PDP facing it biggest internal crises since its formation, Tambuwal would have given the APC it biggest political post, a foothold in government, a strategic symbol and made him a rallying point for the opposition and a leading contender for the APC ticket.
Tambuwal procrastinated, entered Muazu as PDP chairman, the biggest political decision Goodluck Jonathan has ever made and all that changed, Muazu has not only reversed the political losses of the PDP,but has been raiding the opposing like Real Madrid for Galacticos leaving Tambuwal only as a mole in the PDP.


As Carl Von Clausewitz famously said in his classic: on war, “it is even better to act quickly and err than to hesitate until the time of action is past”…..for Tambuwal the time to decamp had long past, for his defection now will do little damage to the PDP without enhancing his chances, rather his next step may determine whether he ends up like his predecessors ……Salisu Buhari, Ghali Umar Na’Abba, Aminu Bello Masari, Patricia Etteh, Demiji Bankole….all out of office…all politically irrelevant.

The PDP will definitely make sure Tambuwal does not win an election in this country even if he contest under God's own party. I have joined the vindictive crew of drumming it to the ears of the few PDP leaders that care to listen. An example should be made of Tambuwal, an example of how wretched traitors become. Tambuwal was a major tool in the attempted power grab by the opposition thereby unnecessarily overheating the polity. He must be made to pay big time.

Let's wait and see.