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Buhari: does he have a chance - Politics - Nairaland

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Buhari: does he have a chance by Nobody: 3:28am On Oct 16, 2014
Hmmm



Why is General Mohammed Buhari (rtd) wasting his time, energy and resources to contest for the post of the Presidency? The candid truth is that GMB will break his own record this time around by losing woefully to the PDP. Let me explain my reasons,

South South; Even a minor in that region knows that GMB will not get up to 5% of all the votes that will be cast in the 6 states of that region. Forget about that noise maker call Ameachi.

South East: I don't need to waste time here because even GMB knows that this is a no go area for him. The Igbo's are ready to vote a Osama bin laden than to vote a GMB.

South west: The election in Ekiti and Osun states should tell APC that they don't have any upper hand in the south west. Although PDP lost Osun election, but many Nigeria political analyst still saw it as a very big victory for PDP, because they lost with a very minute margin. Secondly, it's no more a news that the Ondo State governor is now a proud PDP member and whether we like it or not the governor of any state has a significant influence on the outcome of any election of that state. With the population of south easterners and south south in Lagos state and many yorubas who see the northerns as too desperate for power, it will be almost impossible for Lagos to fall into the hands of APC. As for Oyo and Ogun states, pundit still have it that GEJ will win GMB any day any time!

Middle belt: With the advent of boko haram and the killings of many indigenous people of this religion by the islamic group, we all know that it is almost impossible to convince a birom, angas, eggon, gbagi, southern kaduna, okun's etc to vote any hausa/fullani man. Many people of this region are already saying that it's only during election that the hausa fullani man see them as northerns. GEJ lead administration might not have fulfill most of his promises made to the middle belt people they will still vote for him for two reason: 1. Religion sentiment 2. To punish the hausa fullani people for attacking and killing them almost on a daily basis. The candid truth is that GMB will lose about 80% votes of this region.

North West: This is the only region GMB is almost certain to get about 90% votes from. So no "dogo turenchi here" GEJ will lose this region woefully because even if some PDP big shoot like Governor Shema of kastina, Mallam Ibrahim shekarau etc try to influence the vote from this region, it will be vehemently rejected!

North East: This is the only region I see GMB and GEJ sharing 50/50 votes. This is another region where voting base on sentiment will take place. GMB should better forget state like Taraba and Adamawa and GEJ should not dream of winning state like Maidugury and Bauchi. Gombe state will be share 50/50 between them.

All this will happen if and only if GMB triumph over men of timber and caliber like Atiku, Kwankwaso, Sam Nda Isaiah etc who are also vying for the Presidential tickets of the APC.

Am wishing all of the contestants Goodluck!!!

Source Facebook opinion

Re: Buhari: does he have a chance by elipheleh(m): 3:57am On Oct 16, 2014
k

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