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Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by wisdom77: 11:32am On Nov 04, 2014
Fellow Nigerians, time changes everything indeed. In 2011, I would have said worse things about General Muhammadu Buhari. In truth, I actually wrote Buhari off completely, not without cogent reasons that I considered valid and relevant at that time. The first was that Buhari was too old to lead us.

I was biased by the Obama Presidency and the emergence of David Cameron in Britain. I felt Buhari as a former dictator should be totally expunged from the race. I was also brainwashed by the relentless propaganda that he was a religious fundamentalist of the worst kind. If I was good in Fine Arts, I would have painted him in the lurid and monstrous image of Lucifer. That was how bad it was.

Trust me, I’m supposed to be one of the most liberal and tolerant human beings but it was just difficult for me to accept Buhari as a Presidential candidate at this time and age. I nearly clashed with my dear friend and brother, Simon Kolawole, after reading an article he had penned on Buhari and practically endorsing him at that time. I was so livid that I did not wait for Simon to get out of church before I started bombarding his lines with frenetic calls. When he eventually got back to me, and in his usual humble manner said “Egbon, I missed your calls, hope all is well?” I responded that all was not well as he had spoilt my appetite and breakfast that morning with his effusive praise of someone I considered a red-faced tyrant.

Simon was as cool as cucumber. He was incredibly blunt as he instantly confessed his unrepentant love, admiration and support for Buhari…

[​IMG]

So far, in all 2015 Opinion polls, Buhari is beating Jonathan mercilessly.

Without doubt, Buhari is a modern-day wonder. The story of his life is a stuff of thriller novels. In a country where money fixes most things and people, how did he manage to control the bodies and souls of his fanatical supporters? What is it that makes him such a dual personality that draws so many people to him while others withdraw as if to run away from a victim of Ebola? What can Buhari do or achieve at his age in this modern world where life itself has become computerised? I suffered from this interior monologue for a long time.

Some of my fears started evaporating one night in Abuja when I was invited over to meet him at the instance of Prince Lanrewaju Tejuoso, one of his godsons. I was dazed at the ease Prince Lanrewaju was able to get him to meet with me at such short notice. I was impressed that there were no intruders during our heart-to-heart talk. Perhaps, because he had no money to share, the usual parasites crawling all over the corridors of power were not in sight. He spoke calmly but firmly. He had this childlike innocence around him. It was difficult to imagine this man sitting across me could hurt a fly even as a soldier. There were no airs around him or chips on his shoulders. What you saw was what you got; take it or leave it. Many had confessed to similar reaction upon meeting him.

We took pictures together without much ado. And I actually found him more charismatic than my jaundiced eyes could have permitted. What I saw was that raw Fulani beauty and handsomeness. I and my aides left the place liking him a bit.

Of course the election came as usual and Dr Goodluck Ebele Jonathan trounced Buhari mercilessly. But most of us got so carried away that we failed to appreciate how well the man had performed against all odds. Here was a man without loads of cash. He didn’t have a preponderance of powerful Governors behind him. He could not mobilise so many billionaires to fund him. He lacked the power of incumbency. He could not secure the much needed coalition with ACN at the time. Many Christians saw him as Satan on earth. Many youths considered him too old. The super-rich saw him as the sword of Damocles dangling over them. All the odds were stacked up against him. Yet this poor man, as I like to describe him, recorded a whopping 12,214,853 votes while President Jonathan scored 22,495,187 votes.

Let’s break it down into simple Maths. Jonathan had a good spread scoring 25% or more in 31 States. Buhari managed to score 25% or more in 16 States and yet got a cumulative result of over 12 million votes. A good Mathematician should be able to help us here because I wish to show our President’s handlers that they will pay heavily for complacency if they assume and take it for granted that they can beat Buhari easily like PDP had always done in the past. Let me explain it further. A man who won the mandatory 25% in about half of the States secured by the President still went ahead to poll over half of what the President got. Now this is the trickery part.

Let me begin with the most obvious. Buhari had only 37.96% in Adamawa while Jonathan had 56%. The registered voters were 1,816,094 but the voter-turnout was a miserable 49.98%. With the way the country is right now, PDP would require a miracle to win Adamawa with a landslide. If Buhari secures the APC ticket, it is almost certain that he would clean up that State. And in case the voters turn out much bigger, it means that State can wipe off some of the deficits Buhari suffered in 2011. The two leading parties can still jerk up about one million extras which won’t be a bad idea even if PDP still gets 25% or more.

Let’s walk across to another interesting State, Bauchi where Buhari recorded 1,315,209 against Jonathan’s 258,404 despite the avuncular presence of PDP Governor, Yisa Yuguda. The registered voters here were 2,523,614 but only 1,610,094 voters chose to vote with nearly 1,000,000 voters hibernating somewhere. I hope you’re patient enough to follow this Maths lesson.

Benue would certainly be a major battle ground this time for the candidates because the State has over 1.3 million voters (out of a total registration of 2,390,884) buried somewhere for the strongest candidate to resurrect. Here ethnicity and religion would play critical roles more than ever before. It is presently a virtual PDP State with Jonathan polling 694,776 against Buhari’s 109,680 and ACN (Nuhu Ribadu) 223,007. Benue had always been a State of enlightened voters and it may swing in favour of a serious candidate.

Let’s keep moving and find somewhere to land in the troubled spot of Borno State. This is a treasure ground with 2,380,957 out of which more than half of the voters have absconded and vanished into thin air. In 2011, Buhari 909,763 against the President’s humble 207,075 votes. Now this State is under fire but is NOW largely controlled by the new alliance known as APC.

Let’s saunter across to Gombe where Buhari scored 459,898 against Jonathan’s 290,347 votes out of a total registration of 1,318,377. All the parties combined recorded 770,019 voters. The implication of this is that if this State decides to be generous, it may dash out about 548,358 votes. We are still moving and scavenging for the votes wherever they are hiding.

Let’s say some quick Hello to our Brother, Governor of Jigawa State, Sule Lamido, who couldn’t hold Buhari down despite his equally tall physique. Here Buhari polled 663,994 against Jonathan’s 419,252. Total votes cast came to 1,140,766 out of 2,013,974 total registrations. Do not say I told you, this State has some 873,208 unseen registered voters probably perambulating as we write. This journey is still long and arduous.

Kaduna is a major war zone for the candidates because of its peculiar characteristics. Buhari’s supremacy was hotly challenged as Jonathan polled 1,190,179 against Buhari’s 1,334,244 votes . Total votes cast were 2,569,963 out of 3,905,387 total registered voters. Now wait for the good news of the kingdom; this beautiful State has 1,335,424 voters that it can conjure whenever needed or ready.

If you think Kaduna was super, please, wait for the almighty Kano where no serious candidate can play silly pranks with the energetic and fearless Governor, Rabiu Kwankwaso. In 2011, Buhari massacred Jonathan with 1,624,543 against 440,666. The then Governor and Presidential candidate, Ibrahim Shekarau even scored more than the President with his 526,310 votes. The total votes cast came to 2,673,228 out of 5,027,297. In case your Maths is poor like mine, let’s find a calculator before the brains explode. Kano alone can conveniently and benevolently donate 2,354,069 potential voters out of the skies.

We finally arrive in Buhari’s homestead of Katsina where he expectedly polled 1,163,919 against Jonathan’s 428,392. It is either many Katsina people didn’t dig their own son, since prophets hardly get honoured at home, or Buhari just didn’t employ artful dodgers to manipulate the votes in his favour. In all, 1,639,532 voters performed their civic duty out of 3,126,898 registered voters. By fire, by force, Katsina on a good day can still conjure some 1,487,366 votes.

Please, permit me to fast forward to the State of the Sokoto Caliphate where a floodgate can still be opened. Strangely, Buhari pulled merely 540,769 shots against Jonathan’s 309,057. A total of 909,808 voters came out of 2,267,509 registered voters. No one is able to explain this anomalous situation to us properly but some 1,357,701 unseen voters may decide to show up in 2015. Please, bear with me, you must be getting tired but we need to do this together because of my over-confident friends in Abuja who must have had F9 in Mathematics like me.

Let me now give you the shock treatment and take you straight to the biggest theatres of war. I must warn that this not for the faint-hearted. Welcome to the heartbeat of Nigeria known as Lagos State where Jonathan polled 1,281,688 against Buhari’s 189,983 and Nuhu Ribadu’s 427,203. Wait for this, only 1,945,044 voters turned up out of 6,108,069 voters. In effect, Lagos can, in its true majesty, produce additional 4,163,025 out of its bag of magic.

I wish there was space to display all the figures but it won’t be possible. But let me continue with the random sampling. Many of the States won by Jonathan or PDP or both, depending on why you voted in 2011, are not so easily available at this time. Take Oyo for example under the control of APC beyond the next Presidential election may prove too tough to handle. Only 863,544 out of 2,572,140 voters appeared in public but we don’t know the whereabouts of 1,708,596 potential voters.

Ogun State is another interesting territory where 543,715 people voted out of 1,941,170 who registered to vote.

Meanwhile, the largest turnout of voters was recorded in areas controlled by Jonathan but let’s examine the figures. Abia has used up 1,188,333 out of 1,524,484; Akwa Ibom 1,232,395 out of 1,616,873; Anambra 1,157,239 out of 2,011,746; BAYELSA 506,693 out of 591,870; Cross River 726,341 out of 1,148,486; Delta 1,398,579 out of 2,032,191; Edo 621 out of 1,655,776; Ebonyi 502,890 out of 1,050,534; Ekiti 261,858 out of 764,726; Enugu 814,009 out of 1,303155; Imo 1,409,850 out of 1,687,293; Kwara 414,754 out of 1,152,361; Ondo 486,837 out of 1,616,091; Osun (lost by Jonathan) 512,714 out of 1,293,967; Rivers (the largest State in South South) 1,854,116 out of 2,429,231 and so and so on.

This should give you a fair representation of what is at stake in the 2015 election. Politics is not exactly Maths but it is still a game of numbers. Those who think an incumbent President cannot be defeated should wake up from their self-induced coma. The mood of the Nigerian nation is very similar to that which swept Obama into power. Lagos and Kano combined account for 11,135,366 registered voters out of a grand total of 73,528,040. Only 38,199,219 people voted in all the States. There are 35,328,821 floating somewhere. Most of them are comfortably resident in APC States.

My free advice to the Jonathan campaigner is simple; stop projecting our President as a sectional leader whose only qualification is where he comes from. Stop raining insults on Northerners and avoid maligning innocent Muslims. The religious card you wish and hope to play will never play out in favour of President Jonathan. You should concentrate on projecting the positive work and his Transformation Agenda. A President is the father of the nation. A lot of damage has been done by portraying him as a victim who’s derided by everyone except his own.

The President’s handlers should worry more about how the goodwill of 2011 got frittered away in such a jiffy. Above all, they should urgently search for competent Maths teachers.
Believe me, the figures are no longer adding up.”

Let's imagine that the final face off in the race for the place at the Aso Rock is today. Who would be the winner, in your opinion?

Muhammadu Buhari, APC (74%, 2,063 Votes)
Goodluck Jonathan, PDP (26%, 721 Votes)

Total Voters: 2,784

10 Likes

Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by micolaj: 11:35am On Nov 04, 2014
This is not Jonathan's hollow victory of 2011. Your victory is imminent GENERAL.GMB for 2015

12 Likes

Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by viczing(m): 2:06pm On Nov 04, 2014
what is Dele momodu
Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by Nobody: 2:14pm On Nov 04, 2014
We shall see about that in few months.
Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by D9ty7(m): 2:23pm On Nov 04, 2014
Don't tell me you schooled in France o
viczing:
what is Dele momodu
Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by Nobody: 2:27pm On Nov 04, 2014
I don't know what gives the Jonathanians the impression that they will remain in Government beyond 2015

1 Like

Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by BENZINA(m): 2:41pm On Nov 04, 2014
Please Dele you should be analysing your past presidential election not that of other aspirants.

2 Likes

Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by PassingShot(m): 2:42pm On Nov 04, 2014
barcanista:
I don't know what gives the Jonathanians the impression that they will remain in Government beyond 2015

They rely on buying votes and rigging their way. But they shall fail woefully this time around because even the most die-hard supporters of the Otuoke man are wiser now.

1 Like

Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by donphilopus: 2:47pm On Nov 04, 2014
Nobody will meet with Buhari and not testify to the goodness, calmness, handsomeness and leadership quality in him. Those who hate have no idea of who they hate. Buhari, getting more popular by the second. Your victory is sure!

4 Likes

Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by viczing(m): 2:58pm On Nov 04, 2014
D9ty7:
Don't tell me you schooled in France o
I schooled in naija...but still don't know what is Dele momodu
Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by Franzeez(m): 3:09pm On Nov 04, 2014
Buhari has won the election on Nairaland... Stupid one sided analysis... Why did he not analyse the states won by GEJ and the potentials of winning them again.... Abegi


Waiting for FEB 14 from my Atlanta residence

1 Like

Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by Franzeez(m): 3:12pm On Nov 04, 2014
barcanista:
I don't know what gives the Jonathanians the impression that they will remain in Government beyond 2015

What gives us the impression is that we are born winners, we have been winning, and we will win. Watch and see... So many of you said more than this in 2011

GEJ must finish his 2nd term!!! Gbam!

7 Likes

Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by D9ty7(m): 3:12pm On Nov 04, 2014
I think he is the CEO of a popular 'Ovation magazine.' I stand to be corrected tho!
viczing:

I schooled in naija...but still don't know what is Dele momodu

1 Like

Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by nzeobi(m): 3:17pm On Nov 04, 2014
To listen to this tune press 1.
Another wishful thinking let's just wait and see
Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by dridowu: 3:19pm On Nov 04, 2014
Patiently waiting for Uncle Femi Aribisala to do his own write up like he always do in favour of PDP (GEJ).
Hmmmmmm, God what i want is that government that won't scam her own citizens of their hard earned money comes 2015 and beyond.
God Bless 9ja
Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by femoDee: 3:23pm On Nov 04, 2014
Franzeez:
Buhari has won the election on Nairaland... Stupid one sided analysis... Why did he not analyse the states won by GEJ and the potentials of winning them again.... Abegi


Waiting for FEB 14 from my Atlanta residence
guy you only know what is happen around you, try and check wat the masses are saying in the other side.
Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by Franzeez(m): 3:28pm On Nov 04, 2014
femoDee:

guy you only know what is happen around you, try and check wat the masses are saying in the other side.


Hmmm... I don't get

2 Likes

Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by viczing(m): 3:31pm On Nov 04, 2014
D9ty7:
I think he is the CEO of a popular 'Ovation magazine.' I stand to be corrected tho!

he sounded so rretarded by thinking election are won online.... angry

2 Likes

Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by D9ty7(m): 3:37pm On Nov 04, 2014
Don't mind him. The result will be known in few months as a result of the people's votes and not by telling us someone is incorruptible and all that.
viczing:


he sounded retarded by thinking election are won online.... angry

2 Likes

Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by soludo93(m): 3:49pm On Nov 04, 2014
This is a clear arithmetic presumption. You count Lagos as APC state but Buhari cannot pull up to 20% of votes in Lagos even with invalid votes counts for him. Not even Fashola vice President can help him.

2 Likes

Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by soludo93(m): 3:49pm On Nov 04, 2014
This is a clear arithmetic presumption. You count Lagos as APC state but Buhari cannot pull up to 20% of votes in Lagos even with invalid votes counts for him. Not even with Fashola as a vice President can help him.
Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by nairalife2013(m): 4:08pm On Nov 04, 2014
soludo93:
This is a clear arithmetic presumption. You count Lagos as APC state but Buhari cannot pull up to 20% of votes in Lagos even with invalid votes counts for him. Not even Fashola vice President can help him.
Hahahahahahahaha! Funny thing is that, on d election day proper, even fashola will quietly vote for gej and come out of d cubicle, wipe is face with his bare hands, flash is characteristic cunnyman smile, wave is hand to d crowd, walk into his waitin limo and zoom off! grin grin u dont know des peepl grin neither do I, I must confess lol

3 Likes

Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by OROSUNBOLB(m): 4:40pm On Nov 04, 2014
We warned them to stop projecting Jonathan as a sectional President and to stop playing the ineffective religious card that will never yield dividends but they naively and stubbornly failed to listen. Even the so called Mr President is acting like one sectional President too. So what's more ? The powerhouses like Lagos,Kano, Rivers, etc are effectively under the control of APC. Brother Dele,may be I should let you know that we do not need any Mathematics or Mathematician to know that it is practically impossible for Jonathan to win the next election. People are yearning for a new leadership. They want to try something different. The present one has failed them woefully. I personally do not need to sell Buhari to anyone but I know that posterity has justified this Fulaniman. I know his house in Daura and I can tell you that my father's house is far better than his. Buhari is a simple man contrary to what the enemies of this Country would like us to believe. We simply cannot continue like this if we truly want Nigeria to achieve greatness. Jonathan is a big disappointment !

1 Like

Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by experimentist: 4:41pm On Nov 04, 2014
wisdom77:
Fellow Nigerians, time changes everything indeed. In 2011, I would have said worse things about General Muhammadu Buhari. In truth, I actually wrote Buhari off completely, not without cogent reasons that I considered valid and relevant at that time. The first was that Buhari was too old to lead us.

I was biased by the Obama Presidency and the emergence of David Cameron in Britain. I felt Buhari as a former dictator should be totally expunged from the race. I was also brainwashed by the relentless propaganda that he was a religious fundamentalist of the worst kind. If I was good in Fine Arts, I would have painted him in the lurid and monstrous image of Lucifer. That was how bad it was.

Trust me, I’m supposed to be one of the most liberal and tolerant human beings but it was just difficult for me to accept Buhari as a Presidential candidate at this time and age. I nearly clashed with my dear friend and brother, Simon Kolawole, after reading an article he had penned on Buhari and practically endorsing him at that time. I was so livid that I did not wait for Simon to get out of church before I started bombarding his lines with frenetic calls. When he eventually got back to me, and in his usual humble manner said “Egbon, I missed your calls, hope all is well?” I responded that all was not well as he had spoilt my appetite and breakfast that morning with his effusive praise of someone I considered a red-faced tyrant.

Simon was as cool as cucumber. He was incredibly blunt as he instantly confessed his unrepentant love, admiration and support for Buhari…

[​IMG]

So far, in all 2015 Opinion polls, Buhari is beating Jonathan mercilessly.

Without doubt, Buhari is a modern-day wonder. The story of his life is a stuff of thriller novels. In a country where money fixes most things and people, how did he manage to control the bodies and souls of his fanatical supporters? What is it that makes him such a dual personality that draws so many people to him while others withdraw as if to run away from a victim of Ebola? What can Buhari do or achieve at his age in this modern world where life itself has become computerised? I suffered from this interior monologue for a long time.

Some of my fears started evaporating one night in Abuja when I was invited over to meet him at the instance of Prince Lanrewaju Tejuoso, one of his godsons. I was dazed at the ease Prince Lanrewaju was able to get him to meet with me at such short notice. I was impressed that there were no intruders during our heart-to-heart talk. Perhaps, because he had no money to share, the usual parasites crawling all over the corridors of power were not in sight. He spoke calmly but firmly. He had this childlike innocence around him. It was difficult to imagine this man sitting across me could hurt a fly even as a soldier. There were no airs around him or chips on his shoulders. What you saw was what you got; take it or leave it. Many had confessed to similar reaction upon meeting him.

We took pictures together without much ado. And I actually found him more charismatic than my jaundiced eyes could have permitted. What I saw was that raw Fulani beauty and handsomeness. I and my aides left the place liking him a bit.

Of course the election came as usual and Dr Goodluck Ebele Jonathan trounced Buhari mercilessly. But most of us got so carried away that we failed to appreciate how well the man had performed against all odds. Here was a man without loads of cash. He didn’t have a preponderance of powerful Governors behind him. He could not mobilise so many billionaires to fund him. He lacked the power of incumbency. He could not secure the much needed coalition with ACN at the time. Many Christians saw him as Satan on earth. Many youths considered him too old. The super-rich saw him as the sword of Damocles dangling over them. All the odds were stacked up against him. Yet this poor man, as I like to describe him, recorded a whopping 12,214,853 votes while President Jonathan scored 22,495,187 votes.

Let’s break it down into simple Maths. Jonathan had a good spread scoring 25% or more in 31 States. Buhari managed to score 25% or more in 16 States and yet got a cumulative result of over 12 million votes. A good Mathematician should be able to help us here because I wish to show our President’s handlers that they will pay heavily for complacency if they assume and take it for granted that they can beat Buhari easily like PDP had always done in the past. Let me explain it further. A man who won the mandatory 25% in about half of the States secured by the President still went ahead to poll over half of what the President got. Now this is the trickery part.

Let me begin with the most obvious. Buhari had only 37.96% in Adamawa while Jonathan had 56%. The registered voters were 1,816,094 but the voter-turnout was a miserable 49.98%. With the way the country is right now, PDP would require a miracle to win Adamawa with a landslide. If Buhari secures the APC ticket, it is almost certain that he would clean up that State. And in case the voters turn out much bigger, it means that State can wipe off some of the deficits Buhari suffered in 2011. The two leading parties can still jerk up about one million extras which won’t be a bad idea even if PDP still gets 25% or more.

Let’s walk across to another interesting State, Bauchi where Buhari recorded 1,315,209 against Jonathan’s 258,404 despite the avuncular presence of PDP Governor, Yisa Yuguda. The registered voters here were 2,523,614 but only 1,610,094 voters chose to vote with nearly 1,000,000 voters hibernating somewhere. I hope you’re patient enough to follow this Maths lesson.

Benue would certainly be a major battle ground this time for the candidates because the State has over 1.3 million voters (out of a total registration of 2,390,884) buried somewhere for the strongest candidate to resurrect. Here ethnicity and religion would play critical roles more than ever before. It is presently a virtual PDP State with Jonathan polling 694,776 against Buhari’s 109,680 and ACN (Nuhu Ribadu) 223,007. Benue had always been a State of enlightened voters and it may swing in favour of a serious candidate.

Let’s keep moving and find somewhere to land in the troubled spot of Borno State. This is a treasure ground with 2,380,957 out of which more than half of the voters have absconded and vanished into thin air. In 2011, Buhari 909,763 against the President’s humble 207,075 votes. Now this State is under fire but is NOW largely controlled by the new alliance known as APC.

Let’s saunter across to Gombe where Buhari scored 459,898 against Jonathan’s 290,347 votes out of a total registration of 1,318,377. All the parties combined recorded 770,019 voters. The implication of this is that if this State decides to be generous, it may dash out about 548,358 votes. We are still moving and scavenging for the votes wherever they are hiding.

Let’s say some quick Hello to our Brother, Governor of Jigawa State, Sule Lamido, who couldn’t hold Buhari down despite his equally tall physique. Here Buhari polled 663,994 against Jonathan’s 419,252. Total votes cast came to 1,140,766 out of 2,013,974 total registrations. Do not say I told you, this State has some 873,208 unseen registered voters probably perambulating as we write. This journey is still long and arduous.

Kaduna is a major war zone for the candidates because of its peculiar characteristics. Buhari’s supremacy was hotly challenged as Jonathan polled 1,190,179 against Buhari’s 1,334,244 votes . Total votes cast were 2,569,963 out of 3,905,387 total registered voters. Now wait for the good news of the kingdom; this beautiful State has 1,335,424 voters that it can conjure whenever needed or ready.

If you think Kaduna was super, please, wait for the almighty Kano where no serious candidate can play silly pranks with the energetic and fearless Governor, Rabiu Kwankwaso. In 2011, Buhari massacred Jonathan with 1,624,543 against 440,666. The then Governor and Presidential candidate, Ibrahim Shekarau even scored more than the President with his 526,310 votes. The total votes cast came to 2,673,228 out of 5,027,297. In case your Maths is poor like mine, let’s find a calculator before the brains explode. Kano alone can conveniently and benevolently donate 2,354,069 potential voters out of the skies.

We finally arrive in Buhari’s homestead of Katsina where he expectedly polled 1,163,919 against Jonathan’s 428,392. It is either many Katsina people didn’t dig their own son, since prophets hardly get honoured at home, or Buhari just didn’t employ artful dodgers to manipulate the votes in his favour. In all, 1,639,532 voters performed their civic duty out of 3,126,898 registered voters. By fire, by force, Katsina on a good day can still conjure some 1,487,366 votes.

Please, permit me to fast forward to the State of the Sokoto Caliphate where a floodgate can still be opened. Strangely, Buhari pulled merely 540,769 shots against Jonathan’s 309,057. A total of 909,808 voters came out of 2,267,509 registered voters. No one is able to explain this anomalous situation to us properly but some 1,357,701 unseen voters may decide to show up in 2015. Please, bear with me, you must be getting tired but we need to do this together because of my over-confident friends in Abuja who must have had F9 in Mathematics like me.

Let me now give you the shock treatment and take you straight to the biggest theatres of war. I must warn that this not for the faint-hearted. Welcome to the heartbeat of Nigeria known as Lagos State where Jonathan polled 1,281,688 against Buhari’s 189,983 and Nuhu Ribadu’s 427,203. Wait for this, only 1,945,044 voters turned up out of 6,108,069 voters. In effect, Lagos can, in its true majesty, produce additional 4,163,025 out of its bag of magic.

I wish there was space to display all the figures but it won’t be possible. But let me continue with the random sampling. Many of the States won by Jonathan or PDP or both, depending on why you voted in 2011, are not so easily available at this time. Take Oyo for example under the control of APC beyond the next Presidential election may prove too tough to handle. Only 863,544 out of 2,572,140 voters appeared in public but we don’t know the whereabouts of 1,708,596 potential voters.

Ogun State is another interesting territory where 543,715 people voted out of 1,941,170 who registered to vote.

Meanwhile, the largest turnout of voters was recorded in areas controlled by Jonathan but let’s examine the figures. Abia has used up 1,188,333 out of 1,524,484; Akwa Ibom 1,232,395 out of 1,616,873; Anambra 1,157,239 out of 2,011,746; BAYELSA 506,693 out of 591,870; Cross River 726,341 out of 1,148,486; Delta 1,398,579 out of 2,032,191; Edo 621 out of 1,655,776; Ebonyi 502,890 out of 1,050,534; Ekiti 261,858 out of 764,726; Enugu 814,009 out of 1,303155; Imo 1,409,850 out of 1,687,293; Kwara 414,754 out of 1,152,361; Ondo 486,837 out of 1,616,091; Osun (lost by Jonathan) 512,714 out of 1,293,967; Rivers (the largest State in South South) 1,854,116 out of 2,429,231 and so and so on.

This should give you a fair representation of what is at stake in the 2015 election. Politics is not exactly Maths but it is still a game of numbers. Those who think an incumbent President cannot be defeated should wake up from their self-induced coma. The mood of the Nigerian nation is very similar to that which swept Obama into power. Lagos and Kano combined account for 11,135,366 registered voters out of a grand total of 73,528,040. Only 38,199,219 people voted in all the States. There are 35,328,821 floating somewhere. Most of them are comfortably resident in APC States.

My free advice to the Jonathan campaigner is simple; stop projecting our President as a sectional leader whose only qualification is where he comes from. Stop raining insults on Northerners and avoid maligning innocent Muslims. The religious card you wish and hope to play will never play out in favour of President Jonathan. You should concentrate on projecting the positive work and his Transformation Agenda. A President is the father of the nation. A lot of damage has been done by portraying him as a victim who’s derided by everyone except his own.

The President’s handlers should worry more about how the goodwill of 2011 got frittered away in such a jiffy. Above all, they should urgently search for competent Maths teachers.
Believe me, the figures are no longer adding up.”

Let's imagine that the final face off in the race for the place at the Aso Rock is today. Who would be the winner, in your opinion?

Muhammadu Buhari, APC (74%, 2,063 Votes)
Goodluck Jonathan, PDP (26%, 721 Votes)

Total Voters: 2,784
angry I almost e slap dis man for writing nonsensical propaganda lies about Buhari in 2011! E be like say hin eye don clear.. See hin big head! cry

Seun, knack dis one sef for front page, no fear!
Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by zendy: 5:07pm On Nov 04, 2014
Here is my own prediction. How the South-East and South-South will vote is already a fore-gone conclusion. My advice Buhari as an Igbo man is that he should save his breath (and money) by not bothering to campaign in the South-East. There's no way in cotton-picking-hell he will convince any of us to support a "Northerner" over GEJ,our next door neighbour. Buhari has already lost these two zones long before any election. Buhari will also lose massively in middle belt states like Platue and Kogi as well as other PDP strongholds in the north. I pity Buhari because he could have used the millions he spent purchasing the APC nomination form to do other things. Instead,he spent it chasing shadows he has no hope of catching. Somebody wake me up when they swear in GEJ for his second term next year (yawns and falls asleep zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz)
Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by soludo93(m): 5:31pm On Nov 04, 2014
nairalife2013:
Hahahahahahahaha! Funny thing is that, on d election day proper, even fashola will quietly vote for gej and come out of d cubicle, wipe is face with his bare hands, flash is characteristic cunnyman smile, wave is hand to d crowd, walk into his waitin limo and zoom off! grin grin u dont know des peepl grin neither do I, I must confess lol

You won't believe it but it's true. At orient hotel one faithful even, Tinubu, Fashola and GEJ sneaked into the elevator and my elder brother screamed. The three came unofficially with Fashola's envoy. Wonders shall never end, political enemies on media but criminal gang in the secret.
Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by dynamo77(m): 5:34pm On Nov 04, 2014
Nigeria has already been ruled by this two without almost anything good to recall from their administrations... Its high time we opt for better and more promising leaders..Buh the problem here is WHO??....
Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by Salex007(m): 5:41pm On Nov 04, 2014
Buharii is in already
Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by nairalife2013(m): 5:48pm On Nov 04, 2014
soludo93:

You won't believe it but it's true. At orient hotel one faithful even, Tinubu, Fashola and GEJ sneaked into the elevator and my elder brother screamed. The three came unofficially with Fashola's envoy. Wonders shall never end, political enemies on media but criminal gang in the secret.
I believe it. They know if they dont do like that, we wont be busy fighting ourselves while they join forces behind our back to mop d treasury clean! But we will be tired one day... that shall be d day of reckoning... the revulotion of a lifetime, as Ray Boltz would say if given d chance.
Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by doctokwus: 6:10pm On Nov 04, 2014
I always like to seperate Buhari,d upright,God fearing man from Apc as a party.
What Buhari's strategists shud b doing is bringing up strategies to get d electorate in his strongholds out.We shud assume for purposes of dscussion dat most part of d east and ss wud b manipulated to favor Gej,but wt 3 big states viz,lagos,kano,Borno being under control of apc,d numbers here wud neutralize whatever magic figure gej wud av in d east;afterall dese states no matter what can't produce more dan their registered voters.
One way to do this is to stat canvassing for volunteers to mobilize voters to come out& guarantee dem of their safety.A massive turn out and vote for Buhari in Kano and lagos alone wud neutralize whatever gain gej wud make in d entire east and ss,bearing in mind rivers and edo state are likely neck and neck.
Its not just by sitting & typing on nl supporting buhari,voters nid to b massively mobilized to guarantee d otuoke man goes back to d creeks come 2015.
Re: Dele Momodu Predicts 2015 Presidential Election by Chylo(m): 6:14pm On Nov 04, 2014
doctokwus:
I always like to seperate Buhari,d upright,God fearing man from Apc as a party.
What Buhari's strategists shud b doing is bringing up strategies to get d electorate in his strongholds out.We shud assume for purposes of dscussion dat most part of d east and ss wud b manipulated to favor Gej,but wt 3 big states viz,lagos,kano,Borno being under control of apc,d numbers here wud neutralize whatever magic figure gej wud av in d east;afterall dese states no matter what can't produce more dan their registered voters.
One way to do this is to stat canvassing for volunteers to mobilize voters to come out& guarantee dem of their safety.A massive turn out and vote for Buhari in Kano and lagos alone wud neutralize whatever gain gej wud make in d entire east and ss,bearing in mind rivers and edo state are likely neck and neck.
Its not just by sitting & typing on nl supporting buhari,voters nid to b massively mobilized to guarantee d otuoke man goes back to d creeks come 2015.

You mean like neighbor-to-neighbor, right?

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