A study conducted by an internationally reputed
political risk research and consulting firm, Eurasia
Group, has favoured presidential candidate of the All
Progressive Congress, APC, Gen. Muhammadu Buhari
(rtd.), to win the March 28 presidential election against
its earlier estimation.
A statement issued on Saturday by the group’s
Practice Head in Africa, Philippe de Pontet, noted that
although it had earlier expected President Goodluck
Jonathan to narrowly win the presidential election, a
number of factors had since changed thus swinging the
pendulum towards the direction of Buhari.
Eurasia, which analysed the electoral chances of the
two leading candidates in the March 28 poll, said, “We
change our election forecast from a narrow win for
incumbent Goodluck Jonathan to a victory for
opposition leader, Muhamadu Buhari (60% probability).
The electoral map is tilting towards Buhari in the swing
regions of the southwest and middle belt, while high
turnout in his core northern base will offset Jonathan’s
advantage in the Niger Delta.
“While a Buhari administration’s reliance on
technocratic, business-oriented senior officials will
lead to constructive policy initiatives, we keep our
long-term trajectory at neutral given the downside
risks to oil production and policy
implementation challenges. Buhari edges ahead. We
had long viewed Goodluck Jonathan as a favorite to
win reelection, but a number of factors now lead us to
believe the edge has swung in Buhari’s favor.”
It said, “our expectation of a narrow Jonathan win was
predicated on several factors that are losing some
saliency late in the campaign. Chief among them is the
incumbency and financial advantages of the ruling
Peoples Democratic Party (PDP). While this still helps
Jonathan, its impact is blunted by the intensity of
support for Buhari, lackluster grassroots campaigning
by the PDP, and new anti-rigging measures by the
electoral commission.
“New permanent voting cards and card readers will
sharply reduce the level of rigging seen in 2011, when
Jonathan beat Buhari in a landslide. Equally important
are the enthusiasm gap between the candidates and
widespread desire for change. Tepid support for
Jonathan, even within his own party, means there is no
guarantee that patronage will translate into votes,” it
noted.

http://dailypost.ng/2015/03/14/international-research-firm-favours-buhari-to-win-march-28-election/

This na old story

If they like let them forecast, all i know is dat my God is all knowing and has d ultimate final say in every situation including dis election.He already knows who He will put on d presidential sit of Nigeria and His will and thoughts are simply and totally reliable and trust worthy. Come March 28, we will hav nothing but a peaceful election.[b][/b]

i we use my thumb nd forecast