The two-page analysis of the survey,
tagged: “Straw Prediction of 2015
Presidential Election”, made available to
Daily Sun by Dr. Peter Orji, gave Buhari/APC
an estimated votes of 15.4 million and
President Goodluck Jonathan of the
Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), 11 million
which indicates that Gen. Buhari won.
The survey by the group reveals that
Buhari will “predictably” win in the North
which it will be a close call in the south
The researchers stated that they arrived at
the figures after “a careful study of the
demographics of Nigeria voting
patterns,based on an unbiased analysis of
how voters shall cast their votes.”
According to the group, Buhari would
lead in the North-East, North- West, North-
Central and South-West, while Jonathan
would win in the South-South and South-
East.
The survey said Buhari would eventually
have an upper hand going by heavy votes
he would record in his catchment areas
against Jonathan, who the survey said,
would garner fewer votes in his areas of
strength.
However, unlike 2011, General Buhari, the
survey said, “will secure substantial votes
in the North-Central and greatly improve
his showing in the South-East.”
The distribution of the votes across the
zones as predicted by the survey is thus:
“North-Central, PDP, 1.73million, APC,
1.86million. North-East, PDP, 1.3million,
APC, 2.55million. North- West, PDP
2.15million, APC, 5.65million. South-East,
PDP 1.65million, APC, 650,000. South-
South, PDP, 2,.2million APC, 1.7million.
South- West, PDP, 2million, APC, 2.9million.
FCT, PDP, 150,000, APC, 200,000.
In summary, the survey revealed that, “the
APC candidate will carry all the states in
North-West and North- East and will win
marginally in North- Central,” saying, “the
margin of victory for Gen. Buhari is a
staggering 4.4million votes and it is
impossible for President Jonathan to close
such a margin.”
What would boost Buhari’s victory in the
North-East and North-West, the poll
explained, would largely be due to
expected increase in the voters’ turnout,
“whilst the turnout in the South-East and
South-South is likely to decrease.
The simple explanation, according to the
group, “is that the North-East, North-West
and South-West zones feel that their sons,
Buhari and Osinbanjo, are on the APC
ticket and considering the number of
votes accruing to the three zones,
Jonathan will find it absolutely impossible
to fill the gap.”
The survey analysis was concluded with
the group saying that, “because of the
postponement that occurred five weeks
ago, a repeat this time will not go down
well with Nigerians who very likely will
accuse the administration of having its
hand in disrupting the process, and
because of the tight timelines to avoid a
possible constitutional crisis a shift in the
elections this time may become im­
possible to contemplate.”
Gen. Buhari seems to be having a bit of
luck with mock polls as another group,
Eurasia group also predicted a victory for
the former Major General.
Eurasia is the World largest political risk
consultancy.
In his reaction to Buhari’s mock victory,
Jonathan said;“You may wish General
Buhari win as you deem, but God’s shall
be carried out on that day.”
“Those people you keep quoting are not
in Nigeria, and do not have any link to the
grassroots in Nigeria, and do not even
know what is happening here.”http://www.naij.com/405548-ntt-group-poll-reveals-winner-of-presidential-election.html

IF WISHES WERE HORSES........... beggars will flex on it

Even if GMB get carryovers for Aso rock, No room in this session.


GEJ till 2019...

I think 80% of dudes on NL have provide better statistical analysis than this. I saw an analysis by a sub which predict Buhari to win with 55% of vote cast and I almost want agree with the SUB because his analysis were very clear and realistic even though I'm a GEJ supporter. So Orji try up ur work

Let's patiently wait for the real thing!


























We'll win but do not ask me who we are.
God Bless Nigeria!

Wishes always come to past when the people are resilient to vote for SAI BABA our peoples general. The report na correct people write am ooo, Oriwonpe ku !!!

but nigerians have the power to select their president wit their pvc. Xo pls get your now and come out on 28 to vote.

Iyanusele:
IF WISHES WERE HORSES........... beggars will flex on it

Even if GMB get carryovers for Aso rock, No room in this session.


GEJ till 2019...

This man has an entry into SE, SW and NC that he did not have in 2011 and GEJ's presidency is degradation.

Ok!

Wetin happen in Israel poll never teach folks like this any lesson! Didnt the tentative poll giv victory to the other candidate only for the reverse to be d case in the election proper? Buhari wil always win in any mock poll. Those who vote with wrong intention are greater in mock polls while the opposit only march out in real days!
The guilty takes to his heel when no one pursueth him! An empty drum makes d loudest noice! Buhari has so many decoys and bad antecedents that the reasonable should be wary about. He is deceiving us to get us and nail us once n for all!!!
HE
WILL
NOT
SUCCEED