cheruv:
OP no get yarns

lagbaja:
The camp of GEJ are basing their win on a massive block votes from the South East and South-south geopolitical zones. What a day dream. Comparing the results of gubernatorial Election results of 2011 with the presidential results ( gubernatorial elections were held one week after presidential) it is clearly obvious that the election was massively rigged in favour of Goodluck Ebele Jonathan, unfortunately for GEJ, the pVc card reader won't allow that to happen again.

No of Voters Gubernatorial. No. Of voters presidential Difference

Abia state. 752,361 1,185,000. 430,000

Enugu 479,490. 808,0000. 330,000

Imo. 1,405,000. 740,363. 665,000

Rivers. 1,373,469. 1,850,000. 480,000

I know some GEJites will dismiss this on the basis that people were more enthusiastic about presidential elections than gubernatorial elections, smart thinking you will say, the rider is how come the pattern is only peculiar to the south-south and southeast regions. Weren't the northerners as enthusiastic about Buhari as the Southerners in 2011.

HzRF:

Lemme ask u a question
If PVC reduce gej vote, it will not reduce vote for bubu in North??
I dey Laff just see how tinz go clear for ur eyes like carnival

lagbaja:
The camp of GEJ are basing their win on a massive block votes from the South East and South-south geopolitical zones. What a day dream. Comparing the results of gubernatorial Election results of 2011 with the presidential results ( gubernatorial elections were held one week after presidential) it is clearly obvious that the election was massively rigged in favour of Goodluck Ebele Jonathan, unfortunately for GEJ, the pVc card reader won't allow that to happen again.

No of Voters Gubernatorial. No. Of voters presidential Difference

Abia state. 752,361 1,185,000. 430,000

Enugu 479,490. 808,0000. 330,000

Imo. 1,405,000. 740,363. 665,000

Rivers. 1,373,469. 1,850,000. 480,000

I know some GEJites will dismiss this on the basis that people were more enthusiastic about presidential elections than gubernatorial elections, smart thinking you will say, the rider is how come the pattern is only peculiar to the south-south and southeast regions. Weren't the northerners as enthusiastic about Buhari as the Southerners in 2011.

Emmaowolabia:
Op has just said what is on my mind. Only those who didnt understand what happened in d east in 2011 will attempt to use the figure of 2011 election to predict 2015. 2011 election was massively and uncontrollably rigged( in south east) in favor of GEJ. It was all out for GEJ jingle and as such one person could vote 10 times without obstructions of any sort but this time, i bet u GEJ will sweat intensively under factory fitted AC when result shall be announced. Lets watch

lagbaja:


Good point. You have the data up there, compare the variance between gubernatorial and presidential results for southeast and Buhari's strong holds. Tell us what you see.

Emmaowolabia:
Op has just said what is on my mind. Only those who didnt understand what happened in d east in 2011 will attempt to use the figure of 2011 election to predict 2015. 2011 election was massively and uncontrollably rigged( in south east) in favor of GEJ. It was all out for GEJ jingle and as such one person could vote 10 times without obstructions of any sort but this time, i bet u GEJ will sweat intensively under factory fitted AC when result shall be announced. Lets watch

udemzy101:
The north have always been the strong hold of Buhari,we all know some people in south east don't really go out to vote,but the question is,why did Buhari lose in 2003,2007 and 2011?...


Just keep the stats to yourself first till march 28.. Thats all.

Activa:


You're right that buhari lost in 2003, 2007 and 2011. But if u ask me, this is buhari first serious attempt.

1. The platform for buhari is strong now
2. The support for him is national unlike before.
3. His campaign is better funded. The packaging is much better
4. His strongholds remain d same, even more sef. Jona's strongholds have reduced.
5. In 2011, jona's margin of win in ss and se was over 90%. The card reader will reduce that now
6. In 2011, peoople just wanted jona without asking questions. It's not like that now
7. The key politicians supporting buhari are more now. Remember that obj, atiku and may be tinubu worked for him. Don't forget amaechi, sylva, Victor attah, etiebet, okorocha, gemade, kwakwanso, saraki, etc. Who are all those people supporting now?
8. Buhari got his running mate right this time around.
9. Buhari has campaigned in all d states this time around. He even went abroad to campaign sef.
10. The zones where most of buhari's votes will come from are more populous than jona's own.

Jona's team must work very hard. If not, a buhari's win will shock them.

My friend, don't dismiss d op

Activa:


You're right that buhari lost in 2003, 2007 and 2011. But if u ask me, this is buhari first serious attempt.

1. The platform for buhari is strong now
2. The support for him is national unlike before.
3. His campaign is better funded. The packaging is much better
4. His strongholds remain d same, even more sef. Jona's strongholds have reduced.
5. In 2011, jona's margin of win in ss and se was over 90%. The card reader will reduce that now
6. In 2011, peoople just wanted jona without asking questions. It's not like that now
7. The key politicians supporting buhari are more now. Remember that obj, atiku and may be tinubu worked for him. Don't forget amaechi, sylva, Victor attah, etiebet, okorocha, gemade, kwakwanso, saraki, etc. Who are all those people supporting now?
8. Buhari got his running mate right this time around.
9. Buhari has campaigned in all d states this time around. He even went abroad to campaign sef.
10. The zones where most of buhari's votes will come from are more populous than jona's own.

Jona's team must work very hard. If not, a buhari's win will shock them.

My friend, don't dismiss d op

Activa:


You're right that buhari lost in 2003, 2007 and 2011. But if u ask me, this is buhari first serious attempt.

1. The platform for buhari is strong now
2. The support for him is national unlike before.
3. His campaign is better funded. The packaging is much better
4. His strongholds remain d same, even more sef. Jona's strongholds have reduced.
5. In 2011, jona's margin of win in ss and se was over 90%. The card reader will reduce that now
6. In 2011, peoople just wanted jona without asking questions. It's not like that now
7. The key politicians supporting buhari are more now. Remember that obj, atiku and may be tinubu worked for him. Don't forget amaechi, sylva, Victor attah, etiebet, okorocha, gemade, kwakwanso, saraki, etc. Who are all those people supporting now?
8. Buhari got his running mate right this time around.
9. Buhari has campaigned in all d states this time around. He even went abroad to campaign sef.
10. The zones where most of buhari's votes will come from are more populous than jona's own.

Jona's team must work very hard. If not, a buhari's win will shock them.

My friend, don't dismiss d op

lagbaja:
The camp of GEJ are basing their win on a massive block votes from the South East and South-south geopolitical zones. What a day dream. Comparing the results of gubernatorial Election results of 2011 with the presidential results ( gubernatorial elections were held one week after presidential) it is clearly obvious that the election was massively rigged in favour of Goodluck Ebele Jonathan, unfortunately for GEJ, the pVc card reader won't allow that to happen again.

No of Voters Gubernatorial. No. Of voters presidential Difference

Abia state. 752,361 1,185,000. 430,000

Enugu 479,490. 808,0000. 330,000

Imo. 1,405,000. 740,363. 665,000

Rivers. 1,373,469. 1,850,000. 480,000

I know some GEJites will dismiss this on the basis that people were more enthusiastic about presidential elections than gubernatorial elections, smart thinking you will say, the rider is how come the pattern is only peculiar to the south-south and southeast regions. Weren't the northerners as enthusiastic about Buhari as the Southerners in 2011.

emiye:
Interesting observation by the OP. Infact, the president's ambition would either die or left with a breathing chance by the voters turnout in the SS/SE, anything below 50% in my opinion is a death to GEJ's presidential ambition.

The differential in voters turnout in the presidential and gubernatorial election within 10days is suspicious.

OluBendel:

Yea. very interesting indeed! Could be the reason behind PDP's morbid fear of Card readers!

pazienza:


1. APC like CPC still stinks of ethno regional odor. With CPC, Buhari was an old wine packaged in a new bottle,but with APC he is an old wine packaged in an old bottle. He is disadvantaged.

2. The support for him remain regional. Vocal Yoruba minority and the far muslim north remain his base, no change there.

3. Yes, it's more funded with funds coming from corrupt personalities who one way or the other looted the country's treasury. It puts a serious dent on his anti corruption platitude.

4. Jonas base remain same, SE,SS ,NC and the christian north plus southerners in the far North. SW remains a buffer zone, and already we are seeing signs of voters apathy with low PVC collection rates there.

5. Everything would balance out, as Buhari would equally lose his child voters and even Cow voters,it won't be easy for Buhari.

6. Check number 4, the base remain the same.

7. All those names are like heavy stones to Buhari neck, they will sink him faster than he would have sank on his own, they come with unwanted baggages.

8. Really? What's the difference between Bakare and Osinbajo, other than the fact that the former is agile and vocal and the later look docile ? Both are Yoruba and christian,that's how the rest of Nigeria see it. No change there.