With what's left of pdp strongholds, can pdp mathematically still win this presidential election.

Na Jaz ? Or they will travel to Ghana too borrow people ?

BENARI:
With what's left of pdp strongholds, can pdp mathematically still win this presidential election.

Ok its possible if u can rent lien




I dnt just dream n wen I hv one, it come to pass. Congrats my fellow APC members...we deserve to smile!

I thank God say u call am *Mathematically

If GMB wins election is credible, if GEJ wins it was
rigged #Nigeriadecide #Godwin

BENARI:
With what's left of pdp strongholds, can pdp mathematically still win this presidential election.

1. Sokoto
2. Zamfara
3. Jigawa
4. Yobe
5. Borno
6. Niger
7. Gombe
8. Bauchi
9. Kebbi
10. Taraba
11. Ebonyi
12. Cross River
13. Rivers
14. Bayelsa
15. Delta
16. Edo
17. Lagos
18. Adamawa

Where dem wan win

GEJ will win, he has 15 states presently above 25%, he needs just nine states to win irrespective of the total votes. The remaining states are Bayelsa, Rivers, Benue, Cross River, Delta, Edo, Ebonyi, Adamawa,Taraba, these are states Gej is sure of winning with at least 80%:20%, 15+12=27 states above 25% votes cast. Niger, Gombe, Lagos, 50:50. Then Bauchi, Borno, Yobe, Zamfara Buhari is sure of wining, 80%:20%. 13+7= 20, it's not up to 24 minimum states of 2/3. That is my analysis, so hopefully gej will be declared the winner.

I just they shake head for this dull man above me,,, Your parent don waste money.. Chai!!! Ikunle ooo

Obiagelli:


1. Sokoto
2. Zamfara
3. Jigawa
4. Yobe
5. Borno
6. Niger
7. Gombe
8. Bauchi
9. Kebbi
10. Taraba
11. Ebonyi
12. Cross River
13. Rivers
14. Bayelsa
15. Delta
16. Edo
17. Lagos
18. Adamawa

Where dem wan win

PDP is cooking more than 3M votes from Rivers and Delta alone.... Real cause for worry.

OAM4J:


PDP is cooking more than 3M votes from Rivers and Delta alone.... Real cause for worry.

Even pdp with all their evil tendencies will be scared to submit such resultsvfor public consumption.

Even if you add his 1.8million Facebook followers, GEJ can't win.

OAM4J:


PDP is cooking more than 3M votes from Rivers and Delta alone.... Real cause for worry.

Assuming they get 3m from their 6 strongholds extreme situation. Which would make PDP have a 1m advantage

Now what would happen in the whole NE plus Zamfara, Niger, Kebbi and Sokoto? Are you thinking APC wont get that 1m back from thoseplaces?

Bauchi alone can give Buhari a swing of almost 1m swing votes

TANOIDS be like

dachpee:
GEJ will win, he has 15 states presently above 25%, he needs just nine states to win irrespective of the total votes. The remaining states are Bayelsa, Rivers, Benue, Cross River, Delta, Edo, Ebonyi, Adamawa,Taraba, these are states Gej is sure of winning with at least 80%:20%, 15+12=27 states above 25% votes cast. Niger, Gombe, Lagos, 50:50. Then Bauchi, Borno, Yobe, Zamfara Buhari is sure of wining, 80%:20%. 13+7= 20, it's not up to 24 minimum states of 2/3. That is my analysis, so hopefully gej will be declared the winner.

Result of attending a BackYARD primary school.

AbuMikey:
TANOIDS be like



Result of attending a BackYARD primary school.

The same weh mama Piss attend

raumdeuter:


Assuming they get 3m from their 6 strongholds extreme situation. Which would make PDP have a 1m advantage

Now what would happen in the whole NE plus Zamfara, Niger, Kebbi and Sokoto? Are you thinking APC wont get that 1m back from those places?

Bauchi alone can give Buhari a swing of almost 1m swing votes

The calculation is that they will get 3M from Rivers and Delta only and another differential of 1.5M from Bayelsa, Edo, Ebonyi, Cross River and Taraba. Giving them a total of 4.5M Differential.

The challenge is for APC to produce a differential that is well above 2.5M from their remaining states, as it stands...its not so easy am not sure Bauchi diffrential is as much as you stated.

OAM4J:


The calculation is that they will get 3M from Rivers and Delta only and another differential of 1.5M from Bayelsa, Edo, Ebonyi, Cross River and Taraba. Giving them a total of 4.5M Differential.

The challenge is for APC to produce a differential that is well above 2.5M from their remaining states, as it stands...its not so easy am not sure Bauchi diffrential is as much as you stated.

I have seen Edo and PDP led with only 80k

Total voters in Ebonyi and Bayelsa added would barely be more than 600k added to lets say 400k in Cross river
Plus 3m in Rivers and Delta

Total lets say 4m

2m on ground already thats 2m in favour of PDP

I have seen Niger with 500k margin, Zamfara Kebbi and Sokoto between themselves would bring a 1m margin for APC

Bauchi, Yobe Gombe, Borno would give a total of 1.5m margin to APC

Thats a 3m margin minus 2m for PDP

Worst case scenario APC wins with 1million votes

OAM4J:


The calculation is that they will get 3M from Rivers and Delta only and another differential of 1.5M from Bayelsa, Edo, Ebonyi, Cross River and Taraba. Giving them a total of 4.5M Differential.

The challenge is for APC to produce a differential that is well above 2.5M from their remaining states, as it stands...its not so easy am not sure Bauchi diffrential is as much as you stated.

I doubt PDP can get up to 3m from Delta and Rivers. I think Delta state is just about 800k while Rivers is 1.6m.

raumdeuter:


I have seen Edo and PDP led with only 80k

Total voters in Ebonyi and Bayelsa added would barely be more than 600k added to lets say 400k in Cross river
Plus 3m in Rivers and Delta

Total lets say 4m

2m on ground already thats 2m in favour of PDP

I have seen Niger with 500k margin, Zamfara Kebbi and Sokoto between themselves would bring a 1m margin for APC

Bauchi, Yobe Gombe, Borno would give a total of 1.5m margin to APC

Thats a 3m margin minus 2m for PDP

Worst case scenario APC wins with 1million votes

I like your confidence and optimism. Fingers crossed, let's see how it goes.

Some results I saw

http://www.dailytrust.com.ng/weekly/index.php/nigeriavotes/100-niger/19698-buhari-defeats-jonathan-in-niger

http://www.dailytrust.com.ng/weekly/index.php/nigeriavotes/80-benue/19697-breaking-buhari-wins-jonathan-in-benue

blank:


I doubt PDP can get up to 3m from Delta and Rivers. I think Delta state is just about 800k while Rivers is 1.6m.

blank, PDP mathematics is out of this world, those guys are capable of anything. It is safer to work with their extreme possibilities.

Rivers current written result is 1.4M and Delta is abt 800k but the news underground is that they are planning to double Delta to close the gap and damm the consequences. Delta has a voting population of about 1.8M. Though I learnt the INEC guy is not cooperating, but anything can change overnight.

raumdeuter:
Some results I saw

http://www.dailytrust.com.ng/weekly/index.php/nigeriavotes/100-niger/19698-buhari-defeats-jonathan-in-niger

http://www.dailytrust.com.ng/weekly/index.php/nigeriavotes/80-benue/19697-breaking-buhari-wins-jonathan-in-benue

Niger gives a good result, but Benue margin is very low.

Benue was supposed to be a sure state for Jonathan, So for APC to win it was a huge marginal victory

When you see Bauchi and Yobe you go know say wetin bible mean when it said "Fear North"

dachpee:
GEJ will win, he has 15 states presently above 25%, he needs just nine states to win irrespective of the total votes. The remaining states are Bayelsa, Rivers, Benue, Cross River, Delta, Edo, Ebonyi, Adamawa,Taraba, these are states Gej is sure of winning with at least 80%:20%, 15+12=27 states above 25% votes cast. Niger, Gombe, Lagos, 50:50. Then Bauchi, Borno, Yobe, Zamfara Buhari is sure of wining, 80%:20%. 13+7= 20, it's not up to 24 minimum states of 2/3. That is my analysis, so hopefully gej will be declared the winner.

You are getting it wrong. Did I hear you say "he needs just nine states to win irrespective of the total votes"? No you are wrong. There are 2 conditions that must be met for a winner to emerge.

1. You must have the largest vote.
2. You must have @ least 25% of the total vote cast in 2/3 of the 36 states including FCT.

NOTE: The 25% of total vote clause does not mean the state must be won. Just garner as least 25% from the state and move on. Buhari has the highest vote as we speak from the 18 states already decided, all he needs is just more vote to maintain his lead and @ least 25% of 10 more states in addition to the 14 states he already has 25%. APC will have more than 25% from these 11 states: Niger, Gombe, Lagos, Bauchi, Borno, Yobe, Zamfara, Edo, Benue, Adamawa, Taraba. That will give him the required 24 states with a change of 1 state on top.

GAME OVER.

OAM4J:


blank, PDP mathematics is out of this world, those guys are capable of anything. It is safer to work with their extreme possibilities.

Rivers current written result is 1.4M and Delta is abt 800k but the news underground is that they are planning to double Delta to close the gap and damm the consequences. Delta has a voting population of about 1.8M. Though I learnt the INEC guy is not cooperating, but anything can change overnight.

Providence is not going to allow them to inflate the Delta numbers as planned. I say so with confidence because the state Collation Officer, Prof. Bolaji Aluko, is of impeccable integrity and will never allow that to happen. Aluko is the last person that PDP would want to be the collating officer of Delta state.

Aluko was the one who initiated the arrest of an INEC officer who started to collate without authorization. Having Aluko as the atate collating officer is like having a person with the political mindset of Soyinka being the collating office and expecting PDP to be able to change results.

With 800k votes in Delta, its game over.

Englishly NO!

Sciencely Joe is either going to kirikiri or Otuoke

Geographically I see him going to kirikiri.

Biologically I see his mum begging GMB to free his son and allow him house arrest in Otuoke.

Agriculturally Nigerians will not accept, they want all of the probed.

Economically let me pause and comment my reserve for now.

GEJ is winning this election nothing is stopping him.

M4gunners:
GEJ is winning this election nothing is stopping him.

I'm not surprised, several Arsenal fans like you always keep hope even when are 6 goals down against Real Madrid not even Enyimba

IdiAmin1:
I'm not surprised, several Arsenal fans like you always keep hope even when are 6 goals down against Real Madrid not even Enyimba

That shows how current you are when it comes to Ftball you know nothing bro. Everybody know Real Madrid is Arsenal wife any day any time.

snowland:


You are getting it wrong. Did I hear you say "he needs just nine states to win irrespective of the total votes"? No you are wrong. There are 2 conditions that must be met for a winner to emerge.

1. You must have the largest vote.
2. You must have @ least 25% of the total vote cast in 2/3 of the 36 states including FCT.

NOTE: The 25% of total vote clause does not mean the state must be won. Just garner as least 25% from the state and move on. Buhari has the highest vote as we speak from the 18 states already decided, all he needs is just more vote to maintain his lead and @ least 25% of 10 more states in addition to the 14 states he already has 25%. APC will have more than 25% from these 11 states: Niger, Gombe, Lagos, Bauchi, Borno, Yobe, Zamfara, Edo, Benue, Adamawa, Taraba. That will give him the required 24 states with a change of 1 state on top.

GAME OVER.

Guy no.1 is wrong,the correct thing is that a candidate needs to win more than 50 percent of the total votes nationally

docadams:


Even pdp with all their evil tendencies will be scared to submit such resultsvfor public consumption.

and apc wasn't scare to submit katsina and kano? Hypocrisy

Acgually, Jega plotted a coup under Jonnathans nose and got away with it because Jonathan was too much of a whimp to lift a finger and save his life. .