When Muhammadu Buhari clinched victory in Nigeria’s presidential elections in March, stocks soared as investors looked to the former military ruler to reverse decades of economic mismanagement and policy inertia. [Now hopes have fizzled in his ability to turn around Africa’s largest economy and oil producer.
Money that flowed into stocks and bonds in the West African nation, which McKinsey & Co. says could become one of the world’s 20 biggest economies by 2030, is now fleeing as growth prospects diminish along with oil prices. While Buhari, 72, has prioritized stamping out the graft that has plagued Nigeria since independence from Britain in 1960, policy-making appears as uncertain and haphazard as ever.
“After the initial euphoria, people have become disillusioned,” Ayodele Salami, who oversees about $500 million of African equities as chief investment officer of London-based Duet Asset Management Ltd., said by phone. “He would probably say that he’s being deliberative and cautious. But we expected more.” Duet’s Africa fund has cut its investments in the country to about 24 percent of the total from 38 percent in the last year.

Buhari waited five months before naming his cabinet, hasn’t proposed a clear plan to revive growth and backed foreign-exchange controls aimed at defending the naira. His retention of gasoline subsidies, plans to raise spending in the face of declining revenue and silence about a $5.2 billion fine levied on mobile-phone operator MTN Group Ltd. have added to investor unease.
Nigeria’s benchmark stock index has plunged 22 percent since reaching a year-high on April 2, the day after Buhari was declared the winner of the presidential race against incumbent Goodluck Jonathan. That’s the third-worst performance globally in the period, after the bourses in Ukraine and Egypt. The index advanced 12.5 percent in the two days after Jonathan conceded.

To be sure, Buhari inherited depleted government coffers and a bureaucracy that multiple probes have blamed for looting billions of dollars of oil revenue. The president has said he delayed appointing ministers because he needed time to vet suitable candidates.
Garba Shehu, a spokesman for Buhari, didn’t immediately respond to written questions after requesting they be sent that way.
The hiatus has compounded the pain caused by the slide in the price of crude, which accounts for two-thirds of government revenue and 90 percent of export earnings. Growth, which averaged 6.3 percent annually over the past decade, is set to slow to a 16-year low of 3.3 percent this year, according to the median estimate of 15 economists surveyed by Bloomberg.
Many filling stations ran dry this month as the government withheld fuel subsidies to suppliers, preventing them from restocking. Lengthening lines forced Buhari to ask lawmakers for permission to pay 413 billion naira ($2 billion) in overdue payments, an amount that hadn’t been budgeted for.
While next year’s budget has yet to be finalized, Buhari wants to raise spending by 56 percent, according to a person who attended a briefing on the government’s plans and asked not to be identified because the matter is private. Vice President Yemi Osinbajo says the government plans to spend its way out of a slowing economy and that an infrastructure fund will be created with public and private financing.

The penalty imposed on MTN’s Nigeria unit last month for failing to register about 5 million subscribers may be an attempt to plug the hole in government finances, according to Cobus de Hart, an economist at NKC Independent Economists.
“You cannot deny there might be a fiscal element to the massive fine,” he said by phone from Paarl, near Cape Town. “It will make investors a little bit more wary of investing in Nigeria.”
An even bigger concern for many investors is the authorities’ naira policy. The Central Bank of Nigeria, with Buhari’s backing, has burned through $4.3 billion of reserves this year and choked off supply of foreign exchange to banks and their customers to defend the naira, even as major oil exporters such as Russia and Colombia have let their currencies slide. The restrictions prompted JPMorgan Chase & Co. to remove Nigeria from its local-currency emerging-market bond indexes, tracked by more than $200 billion of funds, in September, triggering a selloff in the nations’ assets.
While the naira has been all but fixed at about 198 to 199 per dollar since March, forward prices suggest it will drop by almost one-fifth, to 243.5, in a year.

“The number-one issue is the exchange rate,” Andrew Howell, a Citigroup Inc. frontier markets strategist, said from Lagos. ”Access to foreign exchange is becoming a widespread problem.”
Nigerian Breweries Plc, the nation’s biggest brewer that’s controlled by Heineken NV, said it takes two weeks to obtain dollars to pay for its imports, twice as long as it required a few months ago. Nestle SA’s Nigerian unit has had to wait six weeks for dollars, according to Renaissance Capital Ltd. analysts.
Buhari has won plaudits from leaders including President Barack Obama for his efforts to tackle graft. He replaced the management of the state oil company, which was accused of withholding billions of dollars from the government, and has stepped up the fight against an insurgency being waged by Islamist group Boko Haram.
“The degree of transparency we’re starting to get with the new administration is hugely positive,” Douglas Rowlings, an analyst at Moody’s Investors Service, said in an interview in Lagos. “It gives investors the perception that operating in Nigeria will now be done following proper procedures.”
Jan Dehn, head of research at Ashmore Group Plc, which oversees almost $60 billion of emerging market assets, remains unconvinced that Buhari is up to the job. The fund manager sold all its Nigerian government debt in the past year.
“So far the Buhari administration has done all the wrong things,” Dehn said by phone from London. “Not only has he been incredibly slow in taking any action, when he finally has taken action on the economic front it’s been diametrically opposed to sensible policy. That is a major disappointment given expectations prior to his election.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-11-26/buhari-bounce-becomes-bust-as-nigeria-policies-annoy-investors

Lalasticlala

Hmmh every day bad news from this foreign press.
Baba now that you are there in malta kindly explain some of your policies and targets to them.

An abo.ki can't move us forward. The SW sold us due to their greed and sabotaging nature.

Buhari behaves as if he never anticipated winning the election, totally unprepared and utterly clueless

.

Buhari shud just ve plane crash jor!

LordVarys:
Buhari behaves as if he never anticipated winning the election, totally unprepared and utterly clueless

That's why he's taking a crash course in modern-day governance, by touring the whole world with taxpayers money.

Buhari the eight wonder indeed....i hv never seen such cluelessness and ineptitude packed in just one human being...its baffling to be honest......how can someone contest elections since 2003....wins the coveted post in 2015...a whooping 12yrs after contesting serially and yet acts so unprepared and indifferent to the position he so much craves.

Its baffling indeed...this bubu dullard man just redefined cluelessness.

Its gonna be a long 4yrs...brace up Nigerians...your container just landed.

End time administration

TheImp:
So far the Buhari administration has done all the wrong things,” Dehn said by phone from London. “Not only has he been incredibly slow in taking any action, when he finally has taken action on the economic front it’s been diametrically opposed to sensible policy. That is a major disappointment given expectations prior to his election.

He only had his eyes on the petrodollar thinking throwing the petrodollar here and there( as can be deduced from his 97% and 5% statement) will fix the nation, reason he came without any policy to better our lot.



I thought Osibanjo is a prof, can't he lay a helping brain. Heard he is from the region of sophisticated fellows. Why is he not active and only comment on campaign promises that can't be achieved.

"Buhari bu onye nwuru anwu na-eje ije." -- Lie Mohamed
"Ngeneukwuenu bu iti bolibo." -- Passingshot

Kk

[size=14pt]Oh, Nigeria my country . . . . .
Why did we fall a victim to APC lies and propaganda[/size]

LordVarys:
Buhari behaves as if he never anticipated winning the election, totally unprepared and utterly clueless

And who says buhari was unprepared
All he wants is oil money and a private jet to tour d globe..... Today his dream has come to pass...his first project was a helipad in daura
Sai baba tourist
Sai baba petroluem
Sai baba one chance

LordVarys:
Buhari behaves as if he never anticipated winning the election, totally unprepared and utterly clueless

What do you expect from a Fura de nunu drinking cattle rearer?

Splashme:
[size=14pt]Oh, Nigeria my country . . . . .
Why did we fall a victim to APC lies and propaganda[/size]

Tell dat to the sophisticated tribe
The traitors of the south
Change my behind

Bloomberg again? Do they think thier opinion is that important? Biko face Syria and gather more disappointment there.

"Ochichi Buhari bu ezigbote ochichi uwa nmebi." -- Amaechi

PedroJP:




I thought Osibanjo is a prof, can't he lay a helping brain. Heard he is from the region of sophisticated fellows. Why is he not active and only comment on campaign promises that can't be achieved.

Knw it today
Say I told u
VP is El rufai
Dnt blame Mr mere commisioner

People should take a chill pill already. One thing is for sure in all these- had Jonathan won the election, what we are witnessing today economically- which is no fault of Buhari's but remnants of the failure of PDP/GEJ- would have a tip of the iceberg.

Buhari came in at a time the nation was witnessing its worst moments ever since our return to civilian rule- the naira was taking a severe beating, oil price was heading to rock bottom, stocks were nose-diving, electricity supply was nearly nonexistent, security was in shambles, and the general economic outlook was as bleak and as hopeless as never. Fixing all these rot which were occasioned by PDP's relentless assault on our commonwealth, especially in the last SIX years, takes more than just SIX months!

Meticulous planning is needed and there is no room for error in executing those plans. It is a make or mar era for Nigeria and Buhari understands that perfectly and needs no soothsayer to make him understand that- certainly not internet rants from sore losers who would rather we continued in the road to perdition with Jonathan.

A budget is being drawn and any honest critic of the government would agree that its performance would be the first litmus test of the Buhari admin whose first prognosis according to our constitution would be out after FOUR years- after four budgets.

Well meaning Nigerians like myself remain resolute in their commitment for a better Nigeria and unwavering in their trust in Buhari- Wailers and Wail and Howlers can Howl for all we care- it is in their DNA to do so.

Slowly but Steadily, Baba is charting a new course for a Nigeria of our dreams, my dream, where we wouldn't wake up everyday to be inundated by news of how Ministers and public officers are in a tight race to outdo themselves in the art of stealing public funds/properties- that is the Change Omenka voted for and it is as sure as day and night on course.

May God continue to bless Nigeria.

Holywizard:
Buhari shud just ve plane crash jor!

Though d man is a first class tribalist and dull.ard..... But I think u went too far bro

Wailers Form selling faster than Ijebu garri

www.WailingWailers.com.ng/register.php

Running an effective government is beyond the fight against graft. Even if leakages are plugged and corruption nipped in the bud ( I doubt if Buhari truly posses such ability and sincerity), lack of clearcut economic direction, indecisive policy statements and counterproductive measures (as typified by the unpopular lifting of embargo on rice and textile material importations-a decision allegedly taken to please election financiers of this administration), would rubbish any gain achieved from fighting corruption. Economic steps taken by this govt so far and various damaging statements from Buhari are enough to send jitters in the spines of both local and foreign investors. It's noteworthy that Buhari in his 5 months in govt has not initiated any innovative policy aside fiddling around those of Jonathan for which the ex president was roundly condemned by APC! Another drab and lackluster economic meandering by this govt in the next 6 months may throw the nation into recession.