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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You (4715 Views)
With This Campaign Council, Does Peter Obi Even Stand A Chance In The North? / Don't Run Against Me In 2019 Election, Buhari Begs Nigerian Youths / See What Buhari Is Taking With Him To Daura If He Loses 2019 Election - Adeyanju (2) (3) (4)
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by Nukilia: 7:04am On Oct 08, 2018 |
EmekaMD: All those people should be locked up after their tenure ends so Nigeria can move on... |
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by tuniski: 7:15am On Oct 08, 2018 |
blackpanda: And in 2003,2007 and 2011 fa? 2019 won't be like 2015! |
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by Ovamboland(m): 7:33am On Oct 08, 2018 |
EmekaMD: And the people positioning themselves to be vice to Atiku don't want to become president in 2023 (if he honours his one term pledge) or 2027? How is their own legitimate and people who want Osinbajo in 2023 are not legitimate? |
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by Deruu4life(m): 7:48am On Oct 08, 2018 |
you think election is won on social media. Don't be surprised that those people hailing atiku do not have PVC..... it's even more sure that buhari will have better votes in South East and west than 2015. let Ipob keep hoping that atiku will give them their freedom � |
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by obailala(m): 8:45am On Oct 08, 2018 |
EmekaMD:Too many kindergarten election analysts parading themselves all over the place. In 2015, despite not being in power, Buhari had 15m votes; in 2019, the most he will lose from that figure is 3-5 million, and most of the lost supporters would never vote for PDP, let alone Atiku. Something else you fail to realise is the fact that APC didnt exist in the SS and SE in 2015; but it now has an established presence. If the total numbers pulled by APC in the SS and SE in 2015 was 300k, with APC's current structure and presence in these zones, that number will grow to over a million in 2019. For the SW, they always sit on the fence; results from the SW would be 50-50, or if anyone wins, the margin would be very insignificant (Osun election result will be the template). Despite whatever performance of apc, the SW understands that even if Atiku may make a better president, it wouldn't be to their political advantage to abandon their beloved APC and be subject to PDP. The SW also understands that if they are patient with PMB and wait it out till 2023, the presidency would most certainly return to them. So if you think the SW where apc holds strong in all 6 states will turn around and vote PDP enmass, you are certainly a naive analyst. As far as 2019 is concerned, due to the penetration of APc into the ss/se, and the fact that pdp is still fielding another aboki, pdp may not even get up to the number of votes it gathered in 2015 due to voter apathy (many wouldn't bother themselves to come out and vote since its aboki vs aboki). Ipob effects again might force certain numbers to boycott elections. And finally, the votes in the south would be seriously shared; at least 500k potential Pdp votes would be lost to SDP (donald duke), YPP (Muoghalu), AAC (Sowore) and ANN (Durotoye). For the core north (Ne/nw), Apc may not get the same number of votes it got in 2015 too, but the difference would likely be insignificant. For the SW and north central, the results would still be 50-50; things may slightly tilt in favour of pdp in the middle belt but that would only be in benue and plateau and maybe taraba. All in all, I woukd like to see an Atiku presidency, but you just cant get too excited after the kindergarten analysis you gave above bro; it's still a very tight election but when you then factor in the power of incumbency by apc, you might just have to stop being too excited for now ro avoid high BP in 2019. Atiku has one hell of work to do if he must dislodge an incumbent. 3 Likes 1 Share |
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by Buikechukwu35(m): 8:54am On Oct 08, 2018 |
All this people are the Same but i see future in Atiku than our lifeless old human being |
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by Pivotal: 8:56am On Oct 08, 2018 |
FarahAideed: but deluded hatred drenched souled Igbos like you will gift Atiku 20 million votes ba ? |
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by FarahAideed: 9:04am On Oct 08, 2018 |
Pivotal: Shut up this agenda of trying to Igbolize Atikus campaign is dead on arrival . |
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by SternProphet: 9:28am On Oct 08, 2018 |
There is ZERO chance of Atiku winning the elections. 1, Buhari will trounce Atiku in all the Northern states. The margin won't be close. Forget that they are both Fulanis. The incorruptibility toga of Buhari is too much. 2. Atiku supporters will KILL his chances and it is already starting. The SE is owning Atiku too much. I dont understand why they still dont realize this is a disadvantage to selling him in SW and NW. You cannot be hoping NW/SW vote your candidate and you are investing your parochial interest on him. I think APC will exploit this immaturity by Atiku lovers. 3. Governors are NOT for Atiku. It is unfortunate bit everybody has ambition and 2023 is the. magic date for most of them It's a dream killer for Atiku. Again, young dumb PDP supporters are formenting quarrels with Wike..lol. Dem curse u na. with stupidity. You want to lose Wike?. Anyway Atiku is reaching out but PDP youngsters, you guys will fuvk this up. You can't even help it Please keep at it. It will be a painful shock on election day. 4. Kwankwasiya ideology and Omoluabi-sm are more compatible with Buhari than Atiku. This means that Kano and Lagos are becoming sure for Buhari and you need Lagos and the NW to win the Presidency. 5. Damaging Information- there are lots of things that will vome up on Atiku that will damage his candidacy. We will hear things that will pop out ears around Xmas and January. This will do big damage to his Presidential bid. In any case, Buhari holds all the aces. Only Buhari will determine if Buhari will do second term or not. There is an indication he is not settled on a De ision even though he has picked the ticket. However, Atiku will never be Nigeria's President. |
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by blackpanda: 9:42am On Oct 08, 2018 |
FarahAideed: Lmao U aint fooling no one but yourself You know very well u dont even have pvc let alone locating a polling unit |
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by Wiseandtrue(f): 10:05am On Oct 08, 2018 |
FarahAideed:Are his zombies even up to a 500,000 Forget all these media stunt jàré 1 Like |
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by tonye72(m): 10:06am On Oct 08, 2018 |
there is no voters statistics you project here "social media" that will favor Atiku come 2019 presidential election, buhari as an incumbent and his following in the north puts him in an advantage position already,Atiku will continue to trail,his only feasible chance is 2023. |
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by Nobody: 11:25am On Oct 08, 2018 |
EmekaMD:OP if u think Buhari will not get up to 40% in 3 South East and South South states each then I won't debate with u. (Imo, Okorocha will do anything to win for him, Enugu due to some heavyweights now in APC, plus Buhari will win Anambra due to the deal Obiano will make with him like he always does). In South South, Buhari will have up to 40% in Delta, Akwa Ibom and Rivers plus Buhari will win Edo State due to the unpopularity of PDP there. OP, ur 22m votes in South South and South East is not feasible by all standards. |
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by Nobody: 12:21pm On Oct 08, 2018 |
EmekaMD: To a reasonable extent the Bolded is true, but the REALITY is that, So far, there is no ALTERNATIVE to Buhari. As long as those he will be contesting against is the likes of ATIKU and co. Buhari has a upper hand!!! Alot of people even though displeased with Buhari will rather vote Buhari one more time while they as much as possible make as much as possible MONEY from the likes of ATIKU who will be spending RECKLESSLY and yet won't vote them. Had it not been the same 'BAD EGGS' of which Buhari COMPARED to them he is a better 'BAD EGG'. Perhaps their would have been a chance of voting Buhari out of power. So despite the displeasure. There is no ALTERNATIVE. Except from frying pan to fire. From the wall of Janet L Salomon People are complaining that there is no money but not knowing that the money is being controlled by few individuals. In today's PDP's presidential convention. We are made to understand the convention has been dollarized Let's go mathematically with the money expended so far by some of the aspirants. There are 4,000 delegates at the convention Bukola Saraki is doling out $1000 per delegate so, $1000*4000=4000000($4million) Let's go by N350 exchange rate 350*4000000=(N1400000000)(N1.4bn) Where did Saraki get this money from? Atiku Abubakar is doling out $5000 5000*4000=$20000000 20000000*350=(N70000000)(N7bn) . We understand Atiku Abubakar owns various businesses and he can say he got his money through the businesses. Nyesom Wike is doling out $10000 $10000*4000=($40,000000)($40million) 350*40000000=(N14bn) Where did Wike gets such money from? This was how GEJ dollarize the entire nation prior to 2015 generation elections which landed us into recession. I hope this very Dollarization will add to our economy's growth? FOOD FOR THOUGHT! «Janet L Salomon« #GodBlessNigeria �� 1 Like |
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by petsam11(m): 12:45pm On Oct 08, 2018 |
EmekaMD: Wow Mehn! this your analysis sounds funny, like very funny but great truth filled in it... It's very simple and straightforward... No need even trying to start analyzing voters and votes according to regions... Now at us first question/analysis: Their are definitely people in that first category but they are not that much... and most of them are probably on a revenge mission against those that voted him initially... Probably they would want them to feel it (the pain) more for putting them and every other person in what they are seeing today... So they want them to feel it more be in the good side or the bad and harsh side (but I guess in the later)... |
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by Calers: 12:54pm On Oct 08, 2018 |
I pity pdp by the time 2.9 millions vote land from kano. |
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by enemybulldozer(m): 1:48pm On Oct 08, 2018 |
PassingShot:Osun and ekiti states comes to mind we the reasonable ones knows that APC is going to rig buhari in again and that is what we bia4rans wants so that buhari will help us in bringing the zoo down Dancing to some people's stupidity....
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Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by omoharry(f): 2:37pm On Oct 08, 2018 |
gratiaeo:You mean South West? |
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by Dakad: 3:14pm On Oct 08, 2018 |
I don't agree. It's nor going to be totally goes the way you painted it. Don't forget that the APC is now stronger in South South and South East unlike 2015. Rivers now have 3APC senators and Akwa Ibon is partially APC unlike before. South West is now fully APC States unlike before and the die harded fan of PMB is still strong in the North. All these couple with the power of incumbency. More importantly the perspective of the elites about Atiku isn't that favourable. Although most of the elite don't vote but their opinion at times matter. My brother either Atiku or Buhari as far as I'm concern we still dey one chance. EmekaMD: 1 Like |
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by profeazy: 4:03pm On Oct 08, 2018 |
FarahAideed: I believe you. I did not vote at allbit I had high hopes in Buhari. He letme down so I'm gonna vote against him now. Atiku to be precise. I can't waste my vote on Sowore,Obi,Muoghalu and the likes! Osun and Omisore is a lesson we should all learn! 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by profeazy: 4:06pm On Oct 08, 2018 |
Dakad: You are making a mistake. I can bet Buhari would lose in the whole of the South and NE! His only slight hope is the NW. It is not about APC or incumbency. There is too much suffering in the land and the grassroot feeos it! 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by genternity(m): 4:34pm On Oct 08, 2018 |
ipobarethieves:my broda take it easy life is too short to die young. |
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by Dakad: 4:57pm On Oct 08, 2018 |
There is never a time that there is no suffering. Pls note I'm not a fan of either of the two political parties. I can assure you that your permutation is a big joke. Time will tell anyway. My advice for most of us in the social Media is to ensure on the election day we all go out to vote. All these our analysis on the nairaland do not hold water. One thing I'm so certain of is that we are left with two option that isn't an option but we don't have option. profeazy: |
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by blackpanda: 5:54pm On Oct 08, 2018 |
FarahAideed:
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Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by Rebelutionary: 6:34pm On Oct 08, 2018 |
obailala:With all the flurry of kindergarten political analysts that suddenly spring up on Nairaland every election year, yours is a breath of fresh air...God bless you! If only all this emergency analysts will only admit that "Atiku has one hell of work to do if he must dislodge an incumbent" without making it look like its a going to be a walk in the park for him,they just might be doing him a whole lot of good! |
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by yuvisan: 7:58pm On Oct 08, 2018 |
ALL POLITICS IS LOCAL . DO NOT DECEIVE YOURSELF. NIGERIAN PATRIOTS CANNOT BE FOOLED WITH THE ETHNIC RELIGIOUS LIES BEING PEDDLED AROUND. WHAT WE ARE SAYING IS THAT NIGERIA SHOULD BE CORRUPT FREE AND ITS RESOURCES MANAGED PRUDENTLY. AFTER THE DOLLAR RAIN ,THE ONLY AGENDA WILL BE TO RECOUP THE MONEY, THE DOLLARS. FELLOW NIGERIANS, SHINE YOUR EYES. IT ALWAYS RAINS BEFORE SUNSHINE. |
Re: If You're Still Thinking Buhari Has Any Chance In 2019 Election This Is For You by yuvisan: 8:00pm On Oct 08, 2018 |
NIGERIAN PATRIOTS CANNOT BE FOOLED WITH THE ETHNIC RELIGIOUS LIES BEING PEDDLED AROUND. WHAT WE ARE SAYING IS THAT NIGERIA SHOULD BE CORRUPT FREE AND ITS RESOURCES MANAGED PRUDENTLY. AFTER THE DOLLAR RAIN ,THE ONLY AGENDA WILL BE TO RECOUP THE MONEY, THE DOLLARS. FELLOW NIGERIANS, SHINE YOUR EYES. IT ALWAYS RAINS BEFORE SUNSHINE. |
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