Director–General APC Campaign Council in Sokoto, Alhaji Yusuf Sulaiman, yesterday said he was confident that President Muhamadu Buhari would win the 2019 presidential election in the state.

“Sokoto people have always come out strongly to voice their support to President Muhammadu Buhari and to voice their support to Distinguished Senator Aliyu Wamakko.

“When we set out on this we knew that victory is ours by the Grace of Almighty Allah (SWT) ,and Sokoto people have come out to confirm what we have always said that this is a territory for the APC and we have proved it time and time again.”

Sulaiman, who is a former Minister of Transport, said he never entertained any fear about losing. “I always give myself 99 per cent confidence that I will win, I leave out one per cent because I am not God.”

On why he had such confidence, he replied ‘’because of people that are involved. I am a politician, every single politician knows when he is going to win election and when is going to lose.”

He expressed gratitude to God, adding, “there is nothing like believing in something, praying for it and seeing it happening in a manner that you have not even imagined.”

According to him, when the election was postponed the previous week, INEC only postponed the inevitable success of President Buhari.

https://www.dailytrust.com.ng/why-i-was-confident-buharill-win-sokoto-campaign-dg.html

Let Tambuwal lose the state too and we are good.

JosEast:

“Sokoto people have always come out strongly to voice their support to President Muhammadu Buhari.

On why he had such confidence, he replied ‘’because of people that are involved. I am a politician, every single politician knows when he is going to win election and when is going to lose.”

He just hit the nail on the head.

Honestly I had ZERO doubt that PMB would win this election by a significant margin as soon as the PVC collection figures were released for each region.

I outlined the reasons in October last year, why he would lose massively in the North which had the highest recorded numbers of PVC collections and lowest voter apathy as thus;

QuotaSystem:
To put it plainly, apart from Taraba, Benue, Plateau & Nassarawa States, President Muhammadu Buhari is poised to sweep the votes of the remaining 15 northern states, for the following reasons:


1. The "Amana" factor.

A lot of southerners often wonder the basis of the cult-like following PMB commands in the North - the reason is not far fetched.

The Hausa-fulani people in particular, place a huge value on the concept of "Amana" (trust/to hold in trust), a value which Buhari's track record of integrity (whether disputed or not) is clearly aligned with. Despite media propaganda, most of these people who are more politically informed than their average southern counterparts, are aware that not a single charge of corruption has stuck on their revered PMB, amidst corruption allegations among his cronies. Atiku loses massively in this respect because of his track record of corruption (BPE, Haliburton, $16b power scam, unexplained source of wealth etc.) which presents him as an untrustworthy leader to most northerners.

Furthermore, PMB's seemingly north-centric agenda regarding appointments, infrastructure projects (roads, rails, ports) and focus on agriculture assures most northerners that their interests would be well protected under his administration, in contrast to Atiku who is perceived to be likely to make concessions and appeasements to the East whose support he is mostly riding on going by recent trends. Atiku also loses big in this regard.

2. The South Eastern VP Factor

If Atiku gives in to the clamor for his running mate to emerge from the East, then he stands to lose massive votes from the core north for obvious reasons.

Firstly, the deep political antagonism and anti-north stance from Igbos, which has characterized the national space and been amplified since the defeat of Jonathan and rise of IPOB/Nnamdi Kanu and their hate speech, will deeply hurt Atiku's chances because not only will it mean the North would be taking the extreme bigotry, insults and political antagonism from the East right on the chin with no consequences, it would also mean the possibility of an Igbo successor to Atiku - a people known for their contempt for Nigeria's unity and secessionist aspirations.

In addition, a SE VP will also cost Atiku significant SW votes - a sub-region with the second largest number of registered voters (14 million).

3. The Boko Haram Factor

In sharp contrast to the generally held notion among some in the south that Atiku would sweep the NE because it's his home region, the strides recorded by PMB in the fight against Boko Haram heavily neutralizes that effect. I am not talking about social media noise, but the perceptions of people directly affected by Boko Haram activities and are experiencing a gradual return to normalcy since PMB took office.

Yola (Adamawa) for example, Atiku's own home capital, has experienced peace since PMB's onslaught on BH like they never saw since Boko Haram emerged under the past PDP administration - this was formerly a ghost town that used to suffer deadly BH attacks daily with dusk-till-dawn curfews, which has since been lifted and attacks reduced to suicide bombings and guerrilla attacks on soft targets, which are reducing on a monthly basis. This was a state that had several LGA's under Boko Haram's rule during PDP's administration and the people aren't quick to forget the corruption that marred the fight against BH in Dasuki fashion.

Maiduguri is back to it's bustling state with dozens of NGO's providing humanitarian services to help with the ongoing rebuilding efforts, people are now free to watch El-Kanem FC matches in the township stadium, and trans-border economic trade (mostly fish) is gradually being restored. The return of the Chibok and Dapchi girls also adds points to PMB's profile in the sub-region. If by God's grace the FG is able to secure the release of Leah Sharibu then that would be a hat-trick. I personally spoke to a "Kube" (traditional hausa cap) dealer from Borno recently and these were the exact sentiments he expressed as he professed support for Buhari's candidacy.

Final Note

It is very valid to permute that the votes from the 4 excluded northern states (Benue, Plateau, Nassarawa, Taraba) will be shared by both candidates as federal might will play out (both parties will rig anyway). With 19 million registered voters in the North West and 10 million in the North East which are largely homogenic, it is safe to say anyone who loses these key regions has lost the 2019 elections. With another 14 million registered voters in the SW which is APC's stronghold and Atiku's slant towards choosing a SE VP, his campaign team should be very worried.

Note that this is not to say Atiku will not record a sizable number of votes from the Northern States, but the ratio will pale in significance to Buhari's potential landslide victory in the region. - Q.S

Someone yesterday also wanted a logical reason why people voted PMB and got his responses.

Now I want any Atiku supporter to also kindly and logically answer the following questions without insults or derailing.

1. How can you so easily agree that an old man like OBJ would suddenly go against EVERY negative thing he wrote in his much celebrated book on how Atiku is unbelievably corrupt, is disloyal, relies on marabouts etc? You think OBJ was sleeping when he wrote the book? Is that the kind of person you want the north to vote? We are not daft.

2. How can you not notice that all the old big thieves from IBB to Danjuma to OBJ ganged up against him at the last minute. Did you ask yourself why?

Nobody is pretending northerners or other northern leaders voted for are white as snow, but Buhari carries the values which we admire and aspire to (honesty, integrity, purposefulness) and we will NEVER choose a renowned crook like Atiku over PMB except the other contestant is the likes of Late Lawrence Anini.

EVEN HIS NORTHERN BROTHERS REJECTED HIM

To be sincere, i am not a fan of Pdp or Apc and But i had no doubt about Buhari's victory.
Pdp shot itself by d foot by picking Atiku.

I remember there was these commenters accusing Buhari of being the same as he was in his 80s mind, since he was in an interview saying he wasn't sorry for toppling Shehu Shagari.

Ndi Igbo gave Atiku Late confidence that he would win. They used to say Igbos were everywhere, but their yansh don't open now.

Tambuwal will be used as a case study both in history class and political science class

[color=#770077][/color]see post below

Dannyset:
Let Tambuwal lose the state too and we are good.

99% sure.

Sure states to be one by APC in the Governorship elections imcludes:
Kwara
Katsina
Kano (I wish not)
Kaduna
Niger
Sokoto
Lagos

See prove below

Now that Buhari has won, why won't you just establish a business and get a good logo from me at a cheap price

nonesense:
To be sincere, i am not a fan of Pdp or Apc and But i had no doubt about Buhari's victory.
Pdp shot itself by d foot by picking Atiku.

He was their best bet tho

See prove below

See prove below!

QuotaSystem:


He just hit the nail on the head.

Honestly I had ZERO doubt that PMB would win this election by a significant margin as soon as the PVC collection figures were released for each region.

I outlined the reasons why he would lose massively in the North which had the highest recorded numbers of PVC collections and lowest voter apathy as thus;

I respect your intellectuality

QuotaSystem:
Someone yesterday also wanted a logical reason why people voted PMB and got his responses.

Now I want any Atiku supporter to also kindly and logically answer the following questions without insults or derailing.

1. How can you so easily agree that an old man like OBJ would suddenly go against EVERY negative thing he wrote in his much celebrated book on how Atiku is unbelievably corrupt, is disloyal, relies on marabouts etc? You think OBJ was sleeping when he wrote the book? Is that the kind of person you want the north to vote? We are not daft.

2. How can you not notice that all the old big thieves from IBB to Danjuma to OBJ ganged up against him at the last minute. Did you ask yourself why?

Nobody is pretending northerners or other northern leaders voted for are white as snow, but Buhari carries the values which we admire and aspire to (honesty, integrity, purposefulness) and we will NEVER choose a renowned crook like Atiku over PMB except the other contestant is the likes of Late Lawrence Anini.

You're super intelligent

QuotaSystem:
Someone yesterday also wanted a logical reason why people voted PMB and got his responses.

Now I want any Atiku supporter to also kindly and logically answer the following questions without insults or derailing.

1. How can you so easily agree that an old man like OBJ would suddenly go against EVERY negative thing he wrote in his much celebrated book on how Atiku is unbelievably corrupt, is disloyal, relies on marabouts etc? You think OBJ was sleeping when he wrote the book? Is that the kind of person you want the north to vote? We are not daft.

2. How can you not notice that all the old big thieves from IBB to Danjuma to OBJ ganged up against him at the last minute. Did you ask yourself why?

Nobody is pretending northerners or other northern leaders voted for are white as snow, but Buhari carries the values which we admire and aspire to (honesty, integrity, purposefulness) and we will NEVER choose a renowned crook like Atiku over PMB except the other contestant is the likes of Late Lawrence Anini.

Thanks Bro. the Igbos can't understand how an entire tribe can value honesty so much. it's beyond them. Buhari so called errors during interviews proves this... He says the truth he believes no matter whose horse is gored. that is a value the northerners appreciate and something easterners can't understand.

SirWarlock:
He was their best bet tho

Kwankwaso would've been better

nonesense:
To be sincere, i am not a fan of Pdp or Apc and But i had no doubt about Buhari's victory.
Pdp shot itself by d foot by picking Atiku.

if PDP didn't choose atiku, they have no other aspirant that can stand Buhari in an election, it loss would have been so pronounced than that.