S-South (9.5m) + S-East (7.5m) is 2.8m voters short of the voting strength of the N-West (19.8m)

You mean 17m vs. 19.8m - not too much different

blacksta:

S-South (9.5m) + S-East (7.5m) is 2.8m voters short of the voting strength of the N-West (19.8m)

^ GEJ can recover the 2.8m offset from the margin in Lagos alone.

For GEJ to win with a very good margin, the North Central has to swing to his side and he should get at least 20% from the North East.

Basseti:

Seriously?  

If this is true NL political analysis and projections are just complete waste of time. People just post from the comfort of thier bedroom with no real knowledge of whats going on. No facts, just made up bunkum.

^^You 've been following the wrong threads. Several people have projected this trend in voting patterns on this thread here

Good Luck to all Nigerians.

blacksta:

S-South (9.5m) + S-East (7.5m) is 2.8m voters short of the voting strength of the N-West (19.8m)

Hope you know that at least 5 million of the 19.8m registered voters in N-West are Igbos.

There's surely going to be a run off between PDP and CPC, no two way about it. it's going between north and south now.

10cirenoh:

There's surely going to be a run off between PDP and CPC, no two way about it. it's going between north and south now.

spot on - unless pdp comes up with some miraculous overnight results

blacksta:


spot on - unless pdp comes up with some miraculous overnight results

Like finding some "forgotten ballot" boxes in some creek in Bayelsa state.

People forget stuff. Human error.

Basseti:

Like finding some "forgotten ballot" boxes in some creek in Bayelsa state.

People forget stuff. Human error.

loll

JEGA Oversight

10cirenoh:

There's surely going to be a run off between PDP and CPC, no two way about it. it's going between north and south now.

Abstain from adapting errors of the past by making deductions without having the true pictures of votes cast . .especially the North . .

nwabobo:


Hope you know that at least 5 million of the 19.8m registered voters in N-West are Igbos.

Really . . . . .How . . . . .

10cirenoh:

There's surely going to be a run off between PDP and CPC, no two way about it. it's going between north and south now.

On NL, but not in the real World. There is very low voter turnout across the North:

[size=14pt]4:20pm: Kano records low turnout of voters[/size]

Written by Auwalu Umar, Kano Saturday, 16 April 2011 16:33

The Presidential election is recording a low turnout of voters in Kano compared to what was witnessed in last national assembly elections in the state.

Such cases were recorded in Sumaila, Garko, Makoda, Kumbotso and Gezawa. Other places included Shanono, Gwarzo, Karaye, Bagwai and Wudil. Low turnout of women was more pronounced in rural areas where one could not see their presence at various polling units as was the case last week.

Community leaders raised alarm via text messages to media houses over the development, saying the poor turnout of women in particular was a source of concern given the significance of the election.

In Wudil and Garko, community mobilizers had to go house to house to prevail on husbands to allow their wives to go and vote.

There are two conflicting reports as to the cause of poor turnout of voters in this election, according to findings by our reporter.

One of the reports have it that the voters were discouraged by the collapse of the proposed party alliance between Buhari’s CPC and Tunubu’s ACN. The other version of the report is that many women especially in rural areas thought they would only come out to vote without accreditation since they got accredited last week.

http://www.dailytrust.dailytrust.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=17086%3A420pm-kano-records-low-turnout-of-voters&catid=76%3Aelection-2011&Itemid=163

blacksta:

loll

JEGA Oversight

It happened in one of the counties in Wisconsin.

Just saying.

also heard there was a low turn in oyo state  with 2.5 registered voters - the understanding is many are saving their energies for next Saturday election  -

nwabobo:


Hope you know that at least 5 million of the 19.8m registered voters in N-West are Igbos.

utter nonsense - when the entire south east registered voters are about 5.8 Million

^^^^

 Stop deceiving yourself, the north is voting MASSIVELY for CPC

it's going to be a north and south thing, believe it or not.

Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert

Someone posted what in quote on Inec page on facebook, seems CPC supporters are kinda misleading people.

Baba musami,is trying 2 decieve nigeria.I AM PREsently in mubi kolere ward.i witnessed n voted in kolere.PDP WON IN kolere n lokuwa 2 in mubi not CPC.

10cirenoh:

^^^^

 Stop deceiving yourself, the north is voting MASSIVELY for CPC

it's going to be a north and south thing, believe it or not.

I perceive a deep wishful thinking here . . .how are you so sure when CPC reports are already being debunked  . . .What we have is just a few pockets of Northern results with alarming numbers . . .INEC knows the true story and sooner or later will let us know 

-Airport Pry Sch 1, Mbulunjodo West/Enugu East (PU: 14/03/07/020) Presidential Results: ACN: 0 ANPP: 1 CPC: 0 NCP: 1 PDC: 1 PDP: 318 Oladipo, Grace Temitope (Presiding Officer)


-Gwange 1, Maiduguri: CPC- 512, ACN-0, PDP-0. Invalid-3

-kankia street CPC:529 PDP: 41

-Vice president Namadi Sambo Unit Kaduna;ACN 5,FP 1,PDP 208,CPC 436.

-SOBA LGA KADUNA; ACN 53,ANPP 22,PDP 102,CPC 7632.

-Wakilin kudu 111 Gidan Dawa, behind GRA mosque KT Results according to INEC officials: Invalids 8, NCP2, PRP1, PDC3, MPPP1, FRESH1, PMPP6, ACN7, PDP 84 & CPC 527

-Gombe metropolis j/fari. CPC 905, PDP 13, ANPP 6, OH GOD! Grant us victory n save us 4rm d mockery of ds tyrants


-SOBA LGA KADUNA, CPC 7632,PDP 102,ACN 53,ANPP 22.


-Gombe metropolis j/fari. CPC 905, PDP 13, ANPP 6
-PU/19/38/01/1 TO Babangiji ward:CPC 3710,PDP 90,ACN 27

-PU:18/09/05/036 POLLING UNIT036 GAMJI GATE KADUNA:FRESH-1, UNDP-1, ANPP-1, PPP-1, NCPC-1, PDP 115, CPC 442
-Kumbotso LGA, Kano State, ANPP 403. ACN 59. CPC 3662. PDP 168

-GWARIMPA ESTATE, ABUJA , PDP-630, ACN-3, ANPP-1, CPC-204, PDC-6, PNP-2, ADC-1, INVALID-23,

-Kado bimko mkt,Gwarimpa Estate, Abuja, PDP-309, CPC-35, ACN-3, ANPP-2, INVALID-26

-CPC 290, PDP 44,ANPP 1 Nasarawa;
-CPC 786,PDP 56,FRESH 1 Maiduguri Gombe Rd;
-CPC 402,PDP 70, NCP 1, DPP 1 Kawo,Bajju Kaduna; CPC 683, PDP 48,

-PU:18/09/05/036 POLLING UNIT036 GAMJI GATE KADUNA:FRESH-1, UNDP-1, ANPP-1, PPP-1, NCPC-1, PDP 115, CPC 442.

-Ogudu Grammar School@ Ogudu GRA Lagos. LA/13/04/040= ACN 35;PDP 183;CPC 37; FRESH 2; ANPP 3;PDC 1;PPP 1 and
-LA/13/04/41= ACN 63; PDP 199; CPC 76; FRESH 7; ANPP 1; NCP 1

Food for thought , how come the CPC results are not only alarming but the speed of collation is fast  . . .last we heard 60% who polled were Kids with obviously no ability to read, write and don't even know the internet  . . .so where are results streaming from . . .

is it just me or the northern votes look inflated or CPC is just up to there monkey mathematics again Just heard shekarau lost in government house kano with cpc taking a lead

It is highly improbable that GEJ will receive a majority of popular votes and highly probable that Buhari will receive a majority of those votes. There is also a chance that Buhari may win this election outright, but my money is on a Buhari/GEJ runoff

ndu_chucks:

It is highly improbable that GEJ will receive a majority of popular votes and highly probable that Buhari will receive a majority of those votes.

^^This election will underline the fact that NW votes alone will not deliver the presidency. Hope you know your beloved Buhari is behind in all regions except the NW? There will be no runoff. GEJ wins outright.

aletheia:

^^This election will underline the fact that NW votes alone will not deliver the presidency. Hope you know your beloved Buhari is behind in all regions except the NW? There will be no runoff. GEJ wins outright.

Do you have NE and NC figures? I'm starved of their results. Pls direct me to where I can get them. Thanks

Wow

Good