For many Yourbas, Nigeria politics is defined in one word RUTHLESS.. No pity or mercy even to the weak, it's a winner take it all game, the pride of another Yourba accomplishment and the symbol or gospel to their young generation of how the game should be played in Nigeria.

I have no qualms in this regard, who am I to redefine one's definition. It's their right to continue to believe that only a core Northerner or SW can govern successfully in Nigeria. Left for them , let the baton keep exchanging between these regions..

The PDP convention has come and gone, it's very clear that Atiku ABUBAKAR is the man come 2023 and there is absolutely nothing anyone will do about it. Let me very clear, only God can stop Atiku from that title Mr President....

The prayer of SW APC was for a southern presidential candidacy from PDP, that way it would have been an easy ride for Tinubu or even Osinbanjo , let me note that these candidates are not in any way stronger than other candidates from the rest of the north but as a ruling party, there is an advantage.


PDP played a good chess game, the strategy remains mapping out a clear destination (Atiku) but creating a confused path on how to get there... The new PDP is an Atiku loyalist, the game was for a chairman from the North to reign who will step down for the the deputy Chairman from the south. This is why there was a huge negotiation on who will be the deputy chairman as he will eventually be the Chairman once Atiku takes that mantle, the game was played well leading to the downfall of Oyinlola who will be seen to be a strong head party chairman in the future..


APC SW is in a very uncomfortable position today, as Atiku has seized PDP , it's not the same for them in APC as the northern folks will now have to argue that a southern candidacy will be the weaker candidacy for their party.

Forget the homage paid to Tinubu or Osibanjo by some of the Northern elites, in the mind of an average North, one is a pastor and the other is a known Criminal and part of Nigeria's problem. Interestingly, it's now the prayer of PDP for APC to chose Tinubu as their candidate..

You see why the north love Buhari is cause of his pious and conservative nature, this is why the stood for him against Atiku who is deemed liberal and corrupt.

Imagine then Tinubu and Atiku as the only option on the ballot, A southern western larger than life corrupt criminal Vs a northern eastern corrupt Criminal. Mind you, this will be the final opportunity of the NE to represent this nation in the highest office..

Already, the APC has lost the south with a perceived SW candidacy and only have the north to contend, this is why some of the party members are claiming it's right to match PDP northern candidate with an APC Northern candidate but that will mean losing the SW electorate.

The only option for SW APC remains proposing a muslim Muslim ticket as it doesn't make sense to the core North to have a Christian northern representative as VP.

Finally the north will once win again, their biggest fear was the unity of the south but so long as there is a division within, it will definitely be a long time again before a southern becomes president.
2023 will surely reformat the brains of some SW APC faithfuls.....

.

Christians wake up..... Christians wake up....
Jihadists are turning Aso rock to their Base

We need to divide the country ASAP

Very funny set of people.

So a region like SE can waste precious 2 decades servicing Pdp with nothing good to get from the party in return.

Which kind of slavery is that?

helinues:


Very funny set of people.

So a region like SE can waste precious 2 decades servicing Pdp with nothing good to get from the party in return.

Which kind of slavery is that?

Leave them.
What they don't know is that Atiku or Tambuwal will never make a mistake of picking a SE running mate

Honestly, PDP played their cards perfect...

What if pdp chooses a candidate from sw as vice president, while APC presidential candidate from SW? Regardless of anything, in 2023, SW would always win and we will always be at the centre.

Moferere:


Leave them.
What they don't know is that Atiku or Tambuwal will never make a mistake of picking a SE running mate

for your mind u love SE

Neither APC nor pdp go win....









Apga is the only hope

helinues:


Very funny set of people.

So a region like SE can waste precious 2 decades servicing Pdp with nothing good to get from the party in return.

Which kind of slavery is that?

Never mind about the SE.. they are several folds better than you can ever be. Instead use that mental energy to think about your wretched being

Moferere:


Leave them.
What they don't know is that Atiku or Tambuwal will never make a mistake of picking a SE running mate

Why would Atiku or Tambuwal pick running mate from SE in 2023 when reasonable numbers of them are not interested in Nigeria politics not to talk of registering as voters?

SE politics in general don't attract undecided voters to their candidates, instead they would abuse and accuse anyone with contrary opinion from them

Is that not a bad market for running mate position?

mightyhaze:
Never mind about the SE.. they are several folds better than you can ever be. Instead use that mental energy to think about your wretched being

@ emboldened, in what or which way?

is that why SE people are deserting their region enmass to look for greener pastures in other region?

Remember, people mostly relocate to where there are better opportunities

TooMuchStuff:
Christians wake up..... Christians wake up....
Jihadists are turning Aso rock to their Base

We need to divide the country ASAP

The problem here is the elites, this was not a problem in the past but ethnicity and religion is now the order of the day...

CAN just made an announcement is this regard but a governor like El rufai have ushered the way..

helinues:


Very funny set of people.

So a region like SE can waste precious 2 decades servicing Pdp with nothing good to get from the party in return.

Which kind of slavery is that?

Well, the best chance they have now is to support a northern candidate, that might give the opportunity for a VP position for them...


As it stands currently, only a united southern front can make an Igbo man president..

Moferere:


Leave them.
What they don't know is that Atiku or Tambuwal will never make a mistake of picking a SE running mate

Even if Atiku chooses SS as VP, I guess it's still more favourable to the SE than a Tinubu/ Northerner presidency...

Esseite:
Honestly, PDP played their cards perfect...

Waiting for the presidential primaries ....

Haywhysat:
What if pdp chooses a candidate from sw as vice president, while APC presidential candidate from SW? Regardless of anything, in 2023, SW would always win and we will always be at the centre.

Pdp is not choosing anyone from the south west as VP, it's detrimental to their success ...

Zetra7:



Well, the best chance they have now is to support a northern candidate, that might give the opportunity for a VP position for them...


As it stands currently, only a united southern front can make an Igbo man president..

The Vp position is not even certain this time around considering the region attitudes towards politics and others

Trash write up!
No matter what you write, Osinbajo is the next President. I am in no way writing this in favour of the South West, but the little good record we have about him. At least it would be Past VP versus Past VP. APC being the party in power will definitely not slack to let power get off their hands.

UTILITYMAY:
Trash write up!
No matter what you write, Osinbajo is the next President. I am in no way writing this in favour of the South West, but the little good record we have about him. At least it would be Past VP versus Past VP. APC being the party in power will definitely not slack to let power get off their hands.

Osibanjo will be the best material but I don't know how the north sees him.

Indispensable85:



Osibanjo will be the best material but I don't know how the north sees him.

It is not just about him, Osibanjo will most likely get the support of:
1. President Buhari
2. Tinubu loyalists across the country
3. The many loyalists and lovers of Osinbajo himself
4. The Northerners that would think the will be able to control him
5. Christian Votes in the Northern States
6. The APC Northern politicians that want to remain at the top helm of affairs (they don't want to go and be back benchers in PDP, so they'll prefer to make APC wins)
7. About 90% South West Votes
8. At least 30% of South East Votes
9. At least 40-50% of South South Votes
10. It's okay for him to get 45% Votes in the entire North
11. Many elites, students, and even market women would prefer Osinbajo
12. Lots of government workers would prefer Osinbajo.
13. ...
.
.
.
...

Zetra7:



Well, the best chance they have now is to support a northern candidate, that might give the opportunity for a VP position for them...


As it stands currently, only a united southern front can make an Igbo man president..

with the way they are handling anambra election no reasonable party will give it's ticket to an unstable region either as President or vp come 2023.

Take tgat to d bank

helinues:


Very funny set of people.

So a region like SE can waste precious 2 decades servicing Pdp with nothing good to get from the party in return.

Which kind of slavery is that?

Its better SE win as vp with Atiku than contest as President and lost to a Northern candidate in Apc

UTILITYMAY:
Trash write up!
No matter what you write, Osinbajo is the next President. I am in no way writing this in favour of the South West, but the little good record we have about him. At least it would be Past VP versus Past VP. APC being the party in power will definitely not slack to let power get off their hands.

Nigeria economy under Atiku is better than Nigeria economy under Osibanjo, so apart from you been yoruba, how has osibanjo performed?

UTILITYMAY:


It is not just about him, Osibanjo will most likely get the support of:
1. President Buhari
2. Tinubu loyalists across the country
3. The many loyalists and lovers of Osinbajo himself
4. The Northerners that would think the will be able to control him
5. Christian Votes in the Northern States
6. The APC Northern politicians that want to remain at the top helm of affairs (they don't want to go and be back benchers in PDP, so they'll prefer to make APC wins)
7. About 90% South West Votes
8. At least 30% of South East Votes
9. At least 40-50% of South South Votes
10. It's okay for him to get 45% Votes in the entire North
11. Many elites, students, and even market women would prefer Osinbajo
12. Lots of government workers would prefer Osinbajo.
13. ...
.
.
.
...

Atiku will get 90percent North, 90 Percent SE, 90 percent SS.

good analysis. Zetra , i do agree wit u. d inability of d south to speak wit one voice will ultimately lead to a northern president. So much 4 a educated , rich and sophisticated south.

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Atiku will get 90percent North, 90 Percent SE, 90 percent SS.

I won't argue but what you also need to understand is every elections comes with different peculiarities. It is true that North have the block votes, but Atiku can never get 90% votes in the North. He can only get that if there are no governors and other elective offices in APC. In fact, I don't need to analyse too much. Osinbajo has clearer winning template than Atiku.

helinues:


@ emboldened, in what or which way?

is that why SE people are deserting their region enmass to look for greener pastures at other region?

Remember, people mostly relocate to where there are better opportunities

".... And bring laurels back home after buying up their host communities and collecting rent from indigens .... "


Prove me wrong.