PandoraObi:
What happened, why not Labour party, but some Pandora Peter Obidient are saying labour party is talking over Nigeria

Peter Obi or Atiku is a goal


Theifnupoo Will never be the president of Nigeria even if he Sacrifices the skulls of 20 million Yoruba Muslim urchins

With the state of nation, it still amazes me how this APC urchins go about marketing their candidate instead of apologizing to us. You guys are really heartless and pray that this calamity bedridden this country to reach u and ur families.

APCNGN:


APC is not in this election. The election is actually between LP and PDP. APC is just a troll.

Before the end of this month, tinubu will go back to Lagos with His Action Congress

Ojuntana:




You don dey talk truth small small

Have you ceded Kano and Jigawa to NNPP yet?

Go through my threads on 2023.pdp to win sokoto,kebbi narrowly,nnpp to win kano.apc to win the rest.but dont be surprised if apc clears all

PandoraObi:
What happened, why not Labour party, but some Pandora Peter Obidient are saying labour party is talking over Nigeria

I know say this news pain you well well. I also know you won't sleep well tonight.

garfield1:


Go through my threads on 2023.pdp to win sokoto,kebbi narrowly,nnpp to win kano.apc to win the rest.but dont be surprised if apc clears all

That's 3 out of the 7 NW states gone. With 3 out of the 6 NE states gone as well and at least 2 out of the 6 NC states gone, forgetting totally about SS/SE, how exactly is Tinubu going to win with only 17 states up for grabs for him and out of the 17, at least 10 are going to be a tough fight?

Pharaoh4rin:


I can invite with all expenses paid to come over to Yobe state here. Peter Obi is the household name. We are waiting for campaign and you guys will be shocked by the overwhelming support PO will gather.

Wow!

Are you sure about this?

Because I’m surprised.

When making calculations and projections, I always leave out places like Yobe and Borno as places that APC will win 100% o but you are saying this now. Wow!

It’s actually refreshing to hear if it’s true.

But sorry, what do you think could be driving Obi’s popularity in a place like Yobe?

Penguin2:


Wow!

Are you sure about this?

Because I’m surprised.

When making calculations and projections, I always leave out places like Yobe and Borno as places that APC will win 100% o but you are saying this now. Wow!

It’s actually refreshing to hear if it’s true.

But sorry, what do you think could be driving Obi’s popularity in a place like Yobe?

Reality.
In the north, most politicians are imposing their children on the masses and the core northern youths felt that there's no space for them by any chance. Some of them who have access to good phones try to compare themselves with our celebrities also and felt they have been bottled all along.
So quite a number of them who heard what peter Obi is saying about the north that the north is the oil field of Nigeria got them thinking.
I was in Potiskum last week where I overheard some youths arguing about Peter Obi. You need to hear them. In fact one told them that Peter Obi is the only person who will not use human lives to do business with Boko Haram and bandits. You need to see how they were hailing PO. It's crazy! They refer to tinubu as barawo (thief). They said if tinubu becomes a president he will sell nnpc to his brother wale tinubu. I was shocked how they knew some things.
Re

Penguin2:


Honestly!

The much touted run off might be between Peter Obi and Atiku.

But when you realize that Peter Obi has:

99% support of Southeast

80% support of Southsouth

40% support of Southwest

60% support of North Central (Christian States of the region)

Add Taraba

Then add Southern Kaduna, Southern Bauchi, Southern Gombe, etc.

Then you see a Peter Obi’s clear victory at first ballot; ceteris paribus.

Not forgetting the fact that kwankwaso n thieefnubu wil still help deplete Atiku’s votes in the northwest n north east respectively….
Las las thieefnubu n kwankwaso are working for obi but they don’t know yet….

Penguin2:


Honestly!

The much touted run off might be between Peter Obi and Atiku.

But when you realize that Peter Obi has:

99% support of Southeast

80% support of Southsouth

40% support of Southwest

60% support of North Central (Christian States of the region)

Add Taraba

Then add Southern Kaduna, Southern Bauchi, Southern Gombe, etc.

Then you see a Peter Obi’s clear victory at first ballot; ceteris paribus.

Keep fooling yourself with fake statistics.

Ojuntana:


That's 3 out of the 7 NW states gone. With 3 out of the 6 NE states gone as well and at least 2 out of the 6 NC states gone, forgetting totally about SS/SE, how exactly is Tinubu going to win with only 17 states up for grabs for him and out of the 17, at least 10 are going to be a tough fight?

If he wins 4 north west states,3 north east states and 3 north central states,he has won the north.he may win one of kebbi/sokoto or both and will come second in kano which is like a win for him

Penguin2:
Kebbi is gone.

I have said it before that Tinubu is hoping on something else other than votes of Nigerians to become president; if not he is supposed to have halted campaign by now because it’s now an act of foolery.

The north is aligning behind Atiku.

While the south is aligning behind Obi.

Where is Tinubu expecting his votes gan gan?

He might go to Jupiter to negotiate for voters

Dem wan finish Kebbi state ooo!

garfield1:


If he wins 4 north west states,3 north east states and 3 north central states,he has won the north.he may win one of kebbi/sokoto or both and will come second in kano which is like a win for him

Let us even assume he wins 10 states and loses 9 in the North. We all know the best he can get in the south is six states. So with the remaining 20 States going to his opponent, how does he win?

Pharaoh4rin:

[/b]

Reality.
In the north, most politicians are imposing their children on the masses and the core northern youths felt that there's no space for them by any chance. Some of them who have access to good phones try to compare themselves with our celebrities also and felt they have been bottled all along.
So quite a number of them who heard what peter Obi is saying about the north that the north is the oil field of Nigeria got them thinking.
I was in Potiskum last week where I overheard some youths arguing about Peter Obi. You need to hear them. In fact one told them that Peter Obi is the only person who will not use human lives to do business with Boko Haram and bandits. You need to see how they were hailing PO. It's crazy! They refer to tinubu as barawo (thief). They said if tinubu becomes a president he will sell nnpc to his brother wale tinubu. I was shocked how they knew some things.
Re

Wow!

Thank you for this.

Interesting days ahead I must confess.

This is not news, we all knew they were gonna defect sooner than later

Ojuntana:

Let us even assume he wins 10 states and loses 9 in the North. We all know the best he can get in the south is six states. So with the remaining 20 States going to his opponent, how does he win?

Opponents you mean? Obi has taken the south east.he will take at least 3 states here,divide atiku's vote in ss so that atiku victory here is meaningless.if care is not taken,atiku might be overrun.obi will take benue.if care is not taken,he will outscore atiku

garfield1:


Opponents you mean? Obi has taken the south east.he will take at least 3 states here,divide atiku's vote in ss so that atiku victory here is meaningless.if care is not taken,atiku might be overrun.obi will take benue.if care is not taken,he will outscore atiku

Obi taking SE will reduce PDP but PDP will still win at least 3 out 5 states there. Plus at least 5 out of 6 in SS. With the 9 he has in the North and FCT, it's obvious Atiku will have more states with a total 18, two more than Tinubu's 16

Ojuntana:


Obi taking SE will reduce PDP but PDP will still win at least 3 out 5 states there. Plus at least 5 out of 6 in SS. With the 9 he has in the North and FCT, it's obvious Atiku will have more states with a total 18, two more than Tinubu's 16

No,obi will take at least three states.he may even win all.where atiku can win is Enugu or abia and it will be by the narrowest of margins so in the end, it is a worthless win.in the ss,obi should win at least two states and bleed atiku in the rest.tinubu will come very close in edo,cross river,rivers,bayelsa.atiku will not get any bloc votes from any state except maybe delta.it is not about winning but the margin

garfield1:


No,obi will take at least three states.he may even win all.where atiku can win is Enugu or abia and it will be by the narrowest of margins so in the end, it is a worthless win.in the ss,obi should win at least two states and bleed atiku in the rest.tinubu will come very close in edo,cross river,rivers,bayelsa.atiku will not get any bloc votes from any state except maybe delta.it is not about winning but the margin

What about Ebonyi? Who do you think is going to win there? It's PDP certainly. Forget that confused governor who doesn't even know where he is going
Since you're talking about margins. I hope you're not expecting bloc votes for APC in any NW and NE votes o. Sai Baba no dey again o. In Fact, some of those states like Gombe will surely tip over, and you can expect same for Bauchi that Buhari won in 2019.

I also hope you know PD have 2 states out of the 6 in the SW and the fact Ondo people are bitter about the onslaught of insecurity on their lives will tilt them towards PDP just as it happened in 2019 after Pa Fasoranti's daughter's murder.

So if it is about margins, Atiku surely has an edge in all the zones

Ojuntana:


What about Ebonyi? Who do you think is going to win there? It's PDP certainly. Forget that confused governor who doesn't even know where he is going
Since you're talking about margins. I hope you're not expecting bloc votes for APC in any NW and NE votes o. Sai Baba no dey again o. In Fact, some of those states like Gombe will surely tip over, and you can expect same for Bauchi that Buhari won in 2019.

I also hope you know PD have 2 states out of the 6 in the SW and the fact Ondo people are bitter about the onslaught of insecurity on their lives will tilt them towards PDP just as it happened in 2019 after Pa Fasoranti's daughter's murder.

So if it is about margins, Atiku surely has an edge in all the zones

No southwest state will go out of tinubu hand.obi will come close in lagos but that's that.pdp is almost non existent in ebonyi.for umahi to raise alarm shows you how labour is overrunning the state.the pdp is beset with infighting and leaderless.labour will take that state followed by apc...

In Nigerian elections,popularity is not enough.sai buharism was not the only factor giving buhari votes,party structure and human resources also helped.the strength of apc will be enough for tinubu to overrun atiku up north even narrowly.as usual,bloc votes from borno,yobe and zamfara will come for apc.the people here loathe pdp.atiku can only win one of gombe and bauchi and he is more likely to win gombe depending on where goje works for.bauchi voters are fanatical,they will rather vote nnpp than pdp.if he is not careful,christian voters in taraba and Adamawa will revolt

garfield1:


No southwest state will go out of tinubu hand.obi will come close in lagos but that's that.pdp is almost non existent in ebonyi.for umahi to raise alarm shows you how labour is overrunning the state.the pdp is beset with infighting and leaderless.labour will take that state followed by apc...

In Nigerian elections,popularity is not enough.sai buharism was not the only factor giving buhari votes,party structure and human resources also helped.the strength of apc will be enough for tinubu to overrun atiku up north even narrowly.as usual,bloc votes from borno,yobe and zamfara will come for apc.the people here loathe pdp.atiku can only win one of gombe and bauchi and he is more likely to win gombe depending on where goje works for.bauchi voters are fanatical,they will rather vote nnpp than pdp.if he is not careful,christian voters in taraba and Adamawa will revolt

What kind of analysis is this? You claim party structure and human resources help in elections yet you claim Ondo, Oyo and Osun are clear wins for Tinubu. Are you for real?
PDP still controls the house in Ebonyi while the two former govs are still in PD with the former SP/SGF.
The single factor giving Buhari votes from 2003 to 2015 across different factors is Buhari. No more, no less. What structure did CPC have in 2011 that he garnered over 10m votes?
Bauchi will certainly tilt towards Atiku as that state is very pro-north. It has never voted against a Northern candidate. You're really banking on labour to split PDP votes whereas we have all seen that labor's effect will be minimal. The noise will fizzle off soon.

If it does not, then Obi has a better chance than the top two at the polls

Ojuntana:

What kind of analysis is this? You claim party structure and human resources help in elections yet you claim Ondo, Oyo and Osun are clear wins for Tinubu. Are you for real?
PDP still controls the house in Ebonyi while the two former govs are still in PD with the former SP/SGF.
The single factor giving Buhari votes from 2003 to 2015 across different factors is Buhari. No more, no less. What structure did CPC have in 2011 that he garnered over 10m votes?
Bauchi will certainly tilt towards Atiku as that state is very pro-north. It has never voted against a Northern candidate. You're really banking on labour to split PDP votes whereas we have all seen that labor's effect will be minimal. The noise will fizzle off soon.

If it does not, then Obi has a better chance than the top two at the polls

Continue underrating lp at your own peril.they will only get stronger,more defections from pdp/apc to labour will occur.buhari from 2003-2011 has been garnering 12 mil but didnt win because of party structure,reach and human resources nationally plus funds...same thing in 2019...
Historically in presidential elections,the yorubas have always voted massively for yoruba candidates against outsiders.tinubu may not get bloc votes but will still win the 6 states.again,pdp is somewhat formidable in the southwest....
bauchi in presidential elections always go against pdp.they cannot vote atiku,kwankwaso is more of a pro north candidate than atiku.atiku can only win in states like sokoto where he came close in 2011 and kebbi where the godfather of the state aliero has joined pdp narrowly.
Atiku and Tinubu are not particularly popular up north therefore other factors will come into play like funds,party structure,personnel which favours tinubu not forgetting if buhari directs his supporters to vote tinubu plus the Muslim Muslim ticket..
The south east is revolting against pdp.you hardly see any Igbo man not supporting obi.obi is inducing a tsunami in the se just like buhari did in 2015 up north.they have two guber candidates and egwu and anyim are supporting different factions.anybody campaigning for atiku or tinubu in the east is in trouble

Garfield1