Look at their strength and support base. Also look at the volume of voters in those regions.

18 days to the election, Tinubu's stronghold os the SW

Atiku whose stronghold used to be the south has become the strongman of NE and NW
While Peter Obi is dominant in the SE,SS and 3/4 of NC. He also has the bulk of Christian votes as a Christian.

So we can deduce that Peter Obi is leading in 3 regions, Atiku in two while Tinubu leads in one region.

So Obi 3 regions, Atiku 2 regions, Tinubu 1 region means that Obi will win while Atiku is the first runner up.

Simplified

All these children with little knowledge of politics explaining politics like it's rice and beans without fish ..

In less than 3 weeks, alarm 🚨 go blow reach Una side

If anyone goes into runoff with Atiku Abubukar, he will defeat the person. No two ways about it. If Obi hadn't been in this calculus, Buhari would have been writing a handover note to Atiku.

I think Obi's best bet is outright win, with three Muslims splitting the votes of the North East and North West. Mind you, when you say that Tinubu controls South West, do well to rule Lagos out because his victory in Lagos is still in doubt.

SmartPolician:
If anyone goes into runoff with Atiku Abubukar, he will defeat the person. No two ways about it. If Obi hadn't been in this calculus, Buhari would have been writing a handover note to Atiku.

I think Obi's best bet is outright win, with three Muslims splitting the votes of the North East and North West. Mind you, when you say that Tinubu controls South West, do well to rule Lagos out because his victory in Lagos is still in doubt.

Obi would win Atiku in an unbiased runoff, believe me. Just remove wuruwuru ...