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New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status - Politics - Nairaland

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New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by senatordave1(m): 11:33am On Feb 21, 2023
According to a newly released poll conducted by the Freddan Continental Services, the APC flagbearer would coast home to unassailable victory in 19 states in the Saturday’s presidential election.

“The Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) is projected to clinch nine states and the Federal Capital Territory while the Labour Party (LP) is tipped to win in eight states. The New Nigeria People’s Party (NNPP) is not favoured to win any state, even though it came second in Kano.he poll, published on the firm’s website – https://freddancontinentalservices.com – said the APC candidate is favoured to win by 37 per cent of respondents in the 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory. It said the poll was conducted between January 7 and February 11 2023, using phone and online surveys.

A total of 370,000 questionnaires were sent out, the firm noted, adding that 287, 033 were returned. Of the lot, 106, 764 respondents (37.2 per cent) were said to favour Tinubu’s emergence as President.

According to the survey, candidate of the LP, Peter Obi is favoured by 92, 127 (32.1 per cent) of the respondents, while former Vice President Atiku Abubakar of the PDP polled 88, 109 (30.7 per cent) in the survey.


The NNPP candidate, Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso, secured 693 (0.23 per cent) in the survey.

The group said its team of data analysts, who conducted the poll, used four key variables, including political geography, religion, resources, and class.

The report said: “The survey was conducted via a combination of online and phone surveys. Our online surveys were administered through a secure web platform, and phone surveys conducted by trained staff, who are proficient in the three major Nigerian languages of Igbo, Hausa and Yoruba. In both cases, the surveys were designed to ensure that the results are accurate and unbiased.

“We also focused on areas, such as the spread of the political parties, the incumbency factors in states, religion and the personality of the candidates.


“We also identified, in the course of our online poll, the role of social media influencers, religious leaders, professional organisations, and the young population of voters and how it can impact on the victory of each of the leading candidates.”

The poll is projecting victory for Tinubu and APC in six of the North-West states, including Jigawa (41 per cent), Kano (37 per cent), Kaduna (37 per cent), Katsina (51 per cent), Kebbi (39 per cent) and Zamfara (48 per cent.) It said PDP’s Atiku Abubakar will take Sokoto (46 per cent)

The poll also gives Tinubu victory in three North East states of Borno (67 per cent), Yobe (61 per cent) and Gombe (47 per cent). The survey projects victory for PDP in Adamawa (57 per cent), Bauchi (44 per cent) and Taraba (37 per cent).

In the North Central, the survey forecasts Kogi (43 per cent), Kwara (51 per cent), Niger (43 per cent) and Nasarawa (46 per cent) for the APC candidate.


While LP is projected to win Plateau (35 per cent), the survey said PDP would likely take Benue, with LP also making a decent showing (32 per cent).

In the South West, the survey gave all the states to the APC, with the party doing well in Ekiti (54 per cent), Lagos (52 per cent), Ogun (53 per cent), Ondo and Osun (48 per cent each), and Oyo (59 per cent.)

In the South-East, Peter Obi and the Labour Party are the clear favourites, according to the survey, polling 63 per cent in Abia and Anambra, 57 per cent in Ebonyi, 56 per cent in Enugu and 59 per cent in Imo.

In the South-South states, the survey tips PDP to win in Akwa Ibom (48 per cent), Bayelsa (45 per cent),Delta (43 per cent) and Edo (39 per cent.). Labour Party is projected to win in Cross River (40 per cent) and Rivers (52 per cent.)


The survey gives the PDP the victory in the Federal Capital Territory (39 per cent), with Labour Party taking the second position (33 per cent).

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.sunnewsonline.com/new-opinion-poll-projects-tinubus-victory-says-apcll-win-19-states/%3Famp&ved=2ahUKEwjRtquFsKb9AhUUTKQEHe0VC60QFnoECAsQAQ&usg=AOvVaw0qcnhKiFFJR2aPf-4iaJf2


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Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by senatordave1(m): 11:35am On Feb 21, 2023
5 polls have predicted victory for tinubu and almost all of them covered or interviewed many respondents ranging from 10,000-500,000 unlike polls that give obi victory interviewing less than 5000 people

3 Likes 3 Shares

Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by wegevv: 11:36am On Feb 21, 2023
The man and party that have given us the worst federal government in the history of our great country have been rejected.

Vote Obi, or literally anyone else but APC <3

14 Likes

Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by Ezeama400: 11:37am On Feb 21, 2023
Self deception is the highest deception so far

15 Likes 2 Shares

Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by Dotherightthing: 11:39am On Feb 21, 2023
Ok
Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by senatordave1(m): 11:40am On Feb 21, 2023
Ezeama400:
Self deception is the highest deception so far

Obi is on a voyage of deception..

3 Likes

Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by Ezeama400: 11:41am On Feb 21, 2023
senatordave1:


Obi is on a voyage of deception..


Wake up !!

The ship has left !!

11 Likes 2 Shares

Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by HIGHESTPOPORI(m): 11:42am On Feb 21, 2023
senatordave1:
5 polls have predicted victory for tinubu and almost all of them covered or interviewed many respondents ranging from 10,000-500,000 unlike polls that give obi victory interviewing less than 5000 people
5 unknown bought audio polls you mean

6 Likes 1 Share

Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by ThatFairGuy1: 11:42am On Feb 21, 2023
Any poll that rates Obi over Atiku, I cant believe.

Tinubu is next president anyway

3 Likes

Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by Aufbauh(m): 11:44am On Feb 21, 2023
This is the most feasible and near reality projection I've seen for the 2023 Presidential election.

The only margin of error I've observed is in the percentage.
Tinubu's percentage margin won't be affected downward but rather upwards.

However Atiku's percentage margin will fluctuate downward a bit depending on how much Obi eats into their collective base in the South & NC.

4 Likes 1 Share

Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by wegevv: 11:45am On Feb 21, 2023
senatordave1:


A total of 370,000 questionnaires were sent out, the firm noted, adding that 287, 033 were returned.

The survey gives the PDP the victory in the Federal Capital Territory (39 per cent), with Labour Party taking the second position (33 per cent).

Sent out? By mail, email or post grin

This made up poll doesn't think APC can get 25% in FCT. So even here they have no chance to win in the first ballot according to the constitution:

constitution:
If the candidate gets a majority of “yes” over “no” votes cast in the election and at
least a quarter of votes cast in at least 24 States and the Federal Capital Territory.

1 Like

Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by Nwaetche(m): 11:47am On Feb 21, 2023
FAKE! FAKE!! FAKE!!!


REDDAN Continental is an urchin outfit with a dodgy address in lagos. The funny looking website said it all. They do not have credibility and was only created to shore up Tinubu's failing campaign after Nigerians rejected Tinubu campaign attack on the credible and consistent ANAP-NOI, Bloomberg, etc. polls.

It should interest you to know that ANAP has consistently predicted the winner of Nigeria presidential election since its inception including two(2) that favoured APC candidate, Buhari.

Nothwistanding that the Chairman of ANAP, Otedo Peterside is an Ijaw man from River State, the company still went on and predicted that Buhari would win a fellow Ijaw man who was an incubent in 2015. That shows you how professional the company is!

In 2019 when many polls are predicting Atiku's victory, ANAP again predicted that Buhari would be re-elected which eventually happened. In all these, APC media and supporters were everywhere celebrating ANAP.

Fast forward to 2023, the company now predicted Obi polling more than APC candidate and hell was let loose and every APC member and urchins are everywhere trying to rubbish the firm that has favoured them all these while.

As Nigerians refuse to buy into APC propaganda, phiam they went for REDDAN Continental. By the way, Tinubu loves the name "Continental" in his business transactions; TV Continental comes to mind!

To make it look real, he decised to use a fellow jobber Orji kalu's Sun Newspaper to propagate this falsehood.

We should always be wary of these folks who are capable of doing everything to gain political advantage.

senatordave1:
According to a newly released poll conducted by the Freddan Continental Services, the APC flagbearer would coast home to unassailable victory in 19 states in the Saturday’s presidential election.

“The Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) is projected to clinch nine states and the Federal Capital Territory while the Labour Party (LP) is tipped to win in eight states. The New Nigeria People’s Party (NNPP) is not favoured to win any state, even though it came second in Kano.he poll, published on the firm’s website – https://freddancontinentalservices.com – said the APC candidate is favoured to win by 37 per cent of respondents in the 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory. It said the poll was conducted between January 7 and February 11 2023, using phone and online surveys.

A total of 370,000 questionnaires were sent out, the firm noted, adding that 287, 033 were returned. Of the lot, 106, 764 respondents (37.2 per cent) were said to favour Tinubu’s emergence as President.

According to the survey, candidate of the LP, Peter Obi is favoured by 92, 127 (32.1 per cent) of the respondents, while former Vice President Atiku Abubakar of the PDP polled 88, 109 (30.7 per cent) in the survey.


The NNPP candidate, Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso, secured 693 (0.23 per cent) in the survey.

The group said its team of data analysts, who conducted the poll, used four key variables, including political geography, religion, resources, and class.

The report said: “The survey was conducted via a combination of online and phone surveys. Our online surveys were administered through a secure web platform, and phone surveys conducted by trained staff, who are proficient in the three major Nigerian languages of Igbo, Hausa and Yoruba. In both cases, the surveys were designed to ensure that the results are accurate and unbiased.

“We also focused on areas, such as the spread of the political parties, the incumbency factors in states, religion and the personality of the candidates.


“We also identified, in the course of our online poll, the role of social media influencers, religious leaders, professional organisations, and the young population of voters and how it can impact on the victory of each of the leading candidates.”

The poll is projecting victory for Tinubu and APC in six of the North-West states, including Jigawa (41 per cent), Kano (37 per cent), Kaduna (37 per cent), Katsina (51 per cent), Kebbi (39 per cent) and Zamfara (48 per cent.) It said PDP’s Atiku Abubakar will take Sokoto (46 per cent)

The poll also gives Tinubu victory in three North East states of Borno (67 per cent), Yobe (61 per cent) and Gombe (47 per cent). The survey projects victory for PDP in Adamawa (57 per cent), Bauchi (44 per cent) and Taraba (37 per cent).

In the North Central, the survey forecasts Kogi (43 per cent), Kwara (51 per cent), Niger (43 per cent) and Nasarawa (46 per cent) for the APC candidate.


While LP is projected to win Plateau (35 per cent), the survey said PDP would likely take Benue, with LP also making a decent showing (32 per cent).

In the South West, the survey gave all the states to the APC, with the party doing well in Ekiti (54 per cent), Lagos (52 per cent), Ogun (53 per cent), Ondo and Osun (48 per cent each), and Oyo (59 per cent.)

In the South-East, Peter Obi and the Labour Party are the clear favourites, according to the survey, polling 63 per cent in Abia and Anambra, 57 per cent in Ebonyi, 56 per cent in Enugu and 59 per cent in Imo.

In the South-South states, the survey tips PDP to win in Akwa Ibom (48 per cent), Bayelsa (45 per cent),Delta (43 per cent) and Edo (39 per cent.). Labour Party is projected to win in Cross River (40 per cent) and Rivers (52 per cent.)


The survey gives the PDP the victory in the Federal Capital Territory (39 per cent), with Labour Party taking the second position (33 per cent).

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.sunnewsonline.com/new-opinion-poll-projects-tinubus-victory-says-apcll-win-19-states/%3Famp&ved=2ahUKEwjRtquFsKb9AhUUTKQEHe0VC60QFnoECAsQAQ&usg=AOvVaw0qcnhKiFFJR2aPf-4iaJf2


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Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by senatordave1(m): 11:47am On Feb 21, 2023
wegevv:


Sent out? By mail, email or post grin

This made up poll doesn't think APC can get 25% in FCT. So even here they have no chance to win in the first ballot according to the constitution:


I thought we settled this before.it said pdp will win fct,didnt say who will take 2nd or who won't get 25%.
Fct is counted as a state,that is you will get 25% in 25 states
Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by senatordave1(m): 11:49am On Feb 21, 2023
Nwaetche:
FAKE! FAKE!! FAKE!!!


REDDAN Continental is an urchin outfit with a dodgy address in lagos. The funny looking website said it all. They do not have credibility and was only created to shore up Tinubu's failing campaign after Nigerians rejected Tinubu campaign attack on the credible and consistent ANAP-NOI, Bloomberg, etc. polls.

It should interest you to know that ANAP has consistently predicted the winner of Nigeria presidential election since its inception including two(2) that favoured APC candidate, Buhari.

Nothwistanding that the Chairman of ANAP, Otedo Peterside is an Ijaw man from River State, the company still went on and predicted that Buhari would win a fellow Ijaw man who was an incubent in 2015. That shows you how professional the company is!

In 2019 when many polls are predicting Atiku's victory, ANAP again predicted that Buhari would be re-elected which eventually happened. In all these, APC media and supporters were everywhere celebrating ANAP.

Fast forward to 2023, the company now predicted Obi polling more than APC candidate and hell was let loose and every APC member and urchins are everywhere trying to rubbish the firm that has favoured them all these while.

As Nigerians refuse to buy into APC propaganda, phiam they went for REDDAN Continental. By the way, Tinubu loves the name "Continental" in his business transactions; TV Continental comes to mind!

To make it look real, he decised to use a fellow jobber Orji kalu's Sun Newspaper to propagate this falsehood.

We should always be wary of these folks who are capable of doing everything to gain political advantage.



Tribune also published it

1 Like

Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by ResidentSnitch(f): 11:49am On Feb 21, 2023
No moderator should ever even think of taking this thrash to front page.

5 Likes 1 Share

Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by Mylove55(f): 11:51am On Feb 21, 2023
This has been the same projection I made,
Apc will win 6 nw, 4 ne, 2 ss and 6 sw

1 Like

Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by wegevv: 11:52am On Feb 21, 2023
senatordave1:


I thought we settled this before.it said pdp will win fct,didnt say who will take 2nd or who won't get 25%.
Fct is counted as a state,that is you will get 25% in 25 states

Settled what where? I quoted the constitution in plain English. It says you need 25% in 24 states and FCT. Those results clearly include undisclosed and undecided. If LP and PDP scored 72% of the votes then APC almost definitely fell short of 25% even in this made up poll lol.

They are struggling badly in FCT which is why you people are trying to interpret the constitution in your tribal language. It won't work. You have no path to victory in the first ballot.

But frankly speaking the man that pioneered the worst federal government in the history of our great country has been rejected everywhere. We the people just need to destroy he so called structure on Saturday <3

1 Like

Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by senatordave1(m): 11:58am On Feb 21, 2023
wegevv:


Settled what where? I quoted the constitution in plain English. It says you need 25% in 24 states and FCT. Those results clearly include undisclosed and undecided. If LP and PDP scored 72% of the votes then APC almost definitely fell short of 25% even in this made up poll lol.

They are struggling badly in FCT which is why you people are trying to interpret the constitution in your tribal language. It won't work. You have no path to victory in the first ballot.

But frankly speaking the man that pioneered the worst federal government in the history of our great country has been rejected everywhere. We the people just need to destroy he so called structure on Saturday <3

Funny you.if pdp and lp have 72%,it is left with 28% and apc can have 25%....
Assuming they dont meet the spread,it will go to a runoff with obi and Tinubu will trash obi badly.

I have told you that the constitution meant that you must count fct as a state which means 37 states so the spread must be in 25 states.if you look at that of governors,it said 25% in two third of the lgas.it never said 25% must be mandatory in state capitals.same applies to the presidential

3 Likes

Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by wegevv: 11:59am On Feb 21, 2023
Mylove55:
This has been the same projection I made,
Apc will win 6 nw, 4 ne, 2 ss and 6 sw

Demographics will teach you a lesson on Saturday. If you think that Tinubu can claim to have singlehandedly given us the worst federal government in the history of our great country and then run on the same party with a MM ticket and the great people of the SS will vote for him so much so that he will win two states there then I have a bridge to sell you. Good price I promise lol

The SS is hostile to Tinubu and APC just like the Core North is hostile to LP. Demographics is always king. Tinubu chose to pander to the core north. Let us see if it works lol. If you also think Tinubu will win more states in NE than Atiku who hail from that region then I have another bridge to sell you. 2 for 1 discount grin

Vote Obi, or literally anyone else but APC <3

1 Like

Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by senatordave1(m): 11:59am On Feb 21, 2023
Mylove55:
This has been the same projection I made,
Apc will win 6 nw, 4 ne, 2 ss and 6 sw

True.normally tinubu should win the 6 nw states,4 ne,

1 Like 1 Share

Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by babyfaceafrica: 12:01pm On Feb 21, 2023
All these polls don't mean anything.. Feb 25 is here..

1 Like

Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by senatordave1(m): 12:01pm On Feb 21, 2023
wegevv:


Demographics will teach you a lesson on Saturday. If you think that Tinubu can claim to have singlehandedly given us the worst federal government in the history of our great country and then run on the same party with a MM ticket and the great people of the SS will vote for him so much so that he will win two states there then I have a bridge to sell you. Good price I promise lol

The SS is hostile to Tinubu and APC just like the Core North is hostile to LP. Demographics is always king. Tinubu chose to pander to the core north. Let us see if it works lol. If you also think Tinubu will win more states in NE than Atiku who hail from that region then I have another bridge to sell you. 2 for 1 discount grin

Vote Obi, or literally anyone else but APC <3

Tinubu can still win ne with just borno and yobe.realistically,apc dominates nw so he will likely win there.
A lot of places in ss are apc friendly
Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by senatordave1(m): 12:02pm On Feb 21, 2023
ResidentSnitch:
No moderator should ever even think of taking this thrash to front page.

But trash from zombidients should reach FP?
Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by ganisucks(f): 12:03pm On Feb 21, 2023
ThatFairGuy1:
Any poll that rates Obi over Atiku, I cant believe.

Tinubu is next president anyway
There is only one poll, and it is called ANAP.
After Feb 25th, all these oluwole polls will die a thousand deaths.

1 Like

Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by wegevv: 12:04pm On Feb 21, 2023
senatordave1:


Funny you.if pdp and lp have 72%,it is left with 28% and apc can have 25%....
Assuming they dont meet the spread,it will go to a runoff with obi and Tinubu will trash obi badly.

I have told you that the constitution meant that you must count fct as a state which means 37 states so the spread must be in 25 states.if you look at that of governors,it said 25% in two third of the lgas.it never said 25% must be mandatory in state capitals.same applies to the presidential

Why should I disregard my understanding of English language and listen to some wailer on the internet posting made up polls and supporting the party that has given us the worst government in the history of our great country? Why? Be there telling yourself lol.

The part for the presidential election is already quoted in my first post. It is very clear. I'll quote it again below since you're clearly in shock lol. Go and be interpreting gubernatorial section in your tribal language if you want lol

constitution:
If the candidate gets a majority of “yes” over “no” votes cast in the election and at
least a quarter of votes cast in at least 24 States and the Federal Capital Territory.

1 Like

Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by wegevv: 12:07pm On Feb 21, 2023
senatordave1:


Tinubu can still win ne with just borno and yobe.realistically,apc dominates nw so he will likely win there.
A lot of places in ss are apc friendly

The demographics of the SS are hostile to a MM ticket. It's just a fact. Similar to how the demographics of the Core North are hostile to Peter Obi.

APC will do well to get 25% in more than one state there. Winning 2 SS states is just not happening for APC. Even in fantasy land <3

Before the 2015 elections, Governor Chibuike Amaechi (Rivers state Governor at the time) defected to APC and supported Buhari. Despite all his efforts, do you know what percentage Buhari scored there? Take a wild guess grin

He scored 4%. Demographics is king

1 Like

Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by Upworkwriter007(f): 12:09pm On Feb 21, 2023
Tinubu may have as high as 70-80% in Oyo ooo. The Agbado agenda is pretty heavy here. Also, Obi's margin may be more in SE.

1 Like

Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by senatordave1(m): 12:15pm On Feb 21, 2023
wegevv:


Why should I disregard my understanding of English language and listen to some wailer on the internet posting made up polls and supporting the party that has given us the worst government in the history of our great country? Why? Be there telling yourself lol.

The part for the presidential election is already quoted in my first post. It is very clear. I'll quote it again below since you're clearly in shock lol. Go and be interpreting gubernatorial section in your tribal language if you want lol


If you understand the constitution, you won't be wailing and ranting.constitutionally, what applies to president applies to govs.qualifications for president and govs are exactly the same.therefore,the spread for gov and presidential polls are same.it is not a must to get 25% in fct.I don't know why zombidients are stubbornly childish
Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by dinachi(m): 12:16pm On Feb 21, 2023
senatordave1:
5 polls have predicted victory for tinubu and almost all of them covered or interviewed many respondents ranging from 10,000-500,000 unlike polls that give obi victory interviewing less than 5000 people
Have you seen this?

2 Likes

Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by senatordave1(m): 12:17pm On Feb 21, 2023
wegevv:


The demographics of the SS are hostile to a MM ticket. It's just a fact. Similar to how the demographics of the Core North are hostile to Peter Obi.

APC will do well to get 25% in more than one state there. Winning 2 SS states is just not happening for APC. Even in fantasy land <3

Before the 2015 elections, Governor Chibuike Amaechi (Rivers state Governor at the time) defected to APC and supported Buhari. Despite all his efforts, do you know what percentage Buhari scored there? Take a wild guess grin

He scored 4%. Demographics is king

If you travel round rural areas of ss,you won't utter this rubbish.apc have a big chance of winning crs and will likely get 25% in all ss states.buhari got 25% in 5 ss states.most people dont care about that mm ticket....
Re: New Opinion Poll Projects Victory For Tinubu In 19 Status by senatordave1(m): 12:18pm On Feb 21, 2023
dinachi:
Have you seen this?



It allows multiple voting

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