Kwankwaso is more a blessing to Obi than a competition.
Him remaining in this race to the end is strategic for himself but Obi is the immediate beneficiary.

Here's how Obi will likely fare;
+ 25% (NC,NW,NE) cumulatively
+ 39% SW
+ 60% SS
+ >75% SE
+ 45% FCT

Kwankwaso knows he doesn't stand a chance winning this election because of lack of national spread but he's positioning for 2027 and beyond. He is using this election to prove he is a "5m+ votes in the bag" getter, give or take brightening his chances of being a northern consensus candidate pending when it's their turn again.

This scenario helps Obi decentralize bloc votes in the north going to one man. Whereby Kwankwaso, Atiku and Tinubu will get a fair share leaving Obi with sizeable numbers that could aggregate to 25% of total votes cast in the North (NC, NW & NE).

Coming down South the sentiment is it's our turn which dampens Atiku's chances in PDP states plus his party losing G-5 governors. A large chunk of those PDP rebels pit their tent with Obi for obvious reasons asides his experience and capacity in governance.

Tinubu's candidacy is drenched with so much baggage that people can't overlook. Religion is a serious conversation in Nigeria (trivialize it at your own peril), tweaking it further he's clearly not an equity candidate as per Southern Nigeria.
A disadvantaged Tinubu (Ticket composition, Health and Age) makes it all lighter for Obi coupled with his gaffes everytime he graces a podium. Every analyst who doesn't take these fact into consideration is playing around.

Going to the polls BARRING VIOLENCE Obi will comfortably take SE and 60% total votes cast in SS give or take, similar scenario in SW will produce him 39% total votes minimum. His pathway to winning is completely embedded in VIOLENCE FREE ELECTION that will encourage massive voters turn out. This is if president Buhari keeps his word on guaranteeing voters safety nationwide.

So in a nutshell, this election will leave PDAPC with bloody nose steaming from what was awoken politically by EndSars that hasn't been properly put into perspective. The outcome will help galvanize that.


@nlfpm

Ricky97:
Kwankwaso is more a blessing to Obi than a competition.
Him remaining in this race to the end is strategic for himself but Obi is the immediate beneficiary.

Here's how Obi will likely fare;
+ 25% (NC,NW,NE) cumulatively
+ 39% SW
+ 60% SS
+ >75% SE
+ 45% FCT

Kwankwaso knows he doesn't stand a chance winning this election because of lack of national spread but he's positioning for 2027 and beyond. He is using this election to prove he is a "5m+ votes in the bag" getter, give or take brightening his chances of being a northern consensus candidate pending when it's their turn again.

This scenario helps Obi decentralize bloc votes in the north going to one man. Whereby Kwankwaso, Atiku and Tinubu will get a fair share leaving Obi with sizeable numbers that could aggregate to 25% of total votes cast in the North (NC, NW & NE).

Coming down South the sentiment is it's our turn which dampens Atiku's chances in PDP states plus his party losing G-5 governors. A large chunk of those PDP rebels pit their tent with Obi for obvious reasons asides his experience and capacity in governance.

Tinubu's candidacy is drenched with so much baggage that people can't overlook. Religion is a serious conversation in Nigeria (trivialize it at your own peril), tweaking it further he's clearly not an equity candidate as per Southern Nigeria.
A disadvantaged Tinubu (Ticket composition, Health and Age) makes it all lighter for Obi coupled with his gaffes everytime he graces a podium. Every analyst who doesn't take these fact into consideration is playing around.

Going to the polls BARRING VIOLENCE Obi will comfortably take SE and 60% total votes cast in SS give or take, similar scenario in SW will produce him 39% total votes minimum. His pathway to winning is completely embedded in VIOLENCE FREE ELECTION that will encourage massive voters turn out. This is if president Buhari keeps his word on guaranteeing voters safety nationwide.

So in a nutshell, this election will leave PDAPC with bloody nose steaming from what was awoken politically by EndSars that hasn't been properly put into perspective. The outcome will help galvanize that.


@nlfpm

you have said it all

The more reason you hear me say Kwankwanso is working for Obi. He's doing the Lord's work. We want him to do even more better up there in the North just like Buba Galadima wants us to do well and win this election

Ricky97:
Kwankwaso is more a blessing to Obi than a competition.
Him remaining in this race to the end is strategic for himself but Obi is the immediate beneficiary.

Here's how Obi will likely fare;
+ 25% (NC,NW,NE) cumulatively
+ 39% SW
+ 60% SS
+ >75% SE
+ 45% FCT

Kwankwaso knows he doesn't stand a chance winning this election because of lack of national spread but he's positioning for 2027 and beyond. He is using this election to prove he is a "5m+ votes in the bag" getter, give or take brightening his chances of being a northern consensus candidate pending when it's their turn again.

This scenario helps Obi decentralize bloc votes in the north going to one man. Whereby Kwankwaso, Atiku and Tinubu will get a fair share leaving Obi with sizeable numbers that could aggregate to 25% of total votes cast in the North (NC, NW & NE).

Coming down South the sentiment is it's our turn which dampens Atiku's chances in PDP states plus his party losing G-5 governors. A large chunk of those PDP rebels pit their tent with Obi for obvious reasons asides his experience and capacity in governance.

Tinubu's candidacy is drenched with so much baggage that people can't overlook. Religion is a serious conversation in Nigeria (trivialize it at your own peril), tweaking it further he's clearly not an equity candidate as per Southern Nigeria.
A disadvantaged Tinubu (Ticket composition, Health and Age) makes it all lighter for Obi coupled with his gaffes everytime he graces a podium. Every analyst who doesn't take these fact into consideration is playing around.

Going to the polls BARRING VIOLENCE Obi will comfortably take SE and 60% total votes cast in SS give or take, similar scenario in SW will produce him 39% total votes minimum. His pathway to winning is completely embedded in VIOLENCE FREE ELECTION that will encourage massive voters turn out. This is if president Buhari keeps his word on guaranteeing voters safety nationwide.

So in a nutshell, this election will leave PDAPC with bloody nose steaming from what was awoken politically by EndSars that hasn't been properly put into perspective. The outcome will help galvanize that.


@nlfpm

Lol I said it before that Kwankwaso is a BLESSING to Obi in this election especially in the North, I don't know if even Obi knows this...if Kwankwaso wasn't in this race, I would have been really worried about APC sweeping major key states with bloc votes in the bag considering the unreliability of Atiku pulling his weight in all these states across the North. Kwankwaso is a MAJOR spoiler for Tinubu in the Northwest states where the largest electoral voting base for APC is supposed to come from, now bloc votes in that subregion isn't guaranteed for APC cause PDP and NNPP will spilt votes there inevitably.

I made a point albeit jokingly that once Peter Obi is declared president of the Federal Republic of Nigeria in the most dramatic and tense election since Nigeria's history, he should as a matter of necessity make a courtesy "Ranka dede" visit to Kwankwaso and thank him profusely for making his path to victory easier, if Kwankwaso would accept, Obi should promise him a special office in his government.

Bịa why are you releasing our secret?

mancoconut:
Lol I said it before that Kwankwaso is a BLESSING to Obi in this election especially in the North, I don't know if even Obi knows this...if Kwankwaso wasn't in this race, I would have been really worried about APC sweeping major key states with bloc votes in the bag considering the unreliability of Atiku pulling his weight in all these states across the North. Kwankwaso is a MAJOR spoiler for Tinubu in the Northwest states where the largest electoral voting base for APC is supposed to come from, now bloc votes in that subregion isn't guaranteed for APC cause PDP and NNPP will spilt votes there inevitably.

I made a point albeit jokingly that once Peter Obi is declared president of the Federal Republic of Nigeria in the most dramatic and tense election since Nigeria's history, he should as a matter of necessity make a courtesy "Ranka dede" visit to Kwankwaso and thank him profusely for making his path to victory easier, if Kwankwaso would accept, Obi should promise him a special office in his government.

I watched his rally for the first time today....the guy has an ardent number of followers.

RMK has been really underrated in this election due to the lack of media coverage on him. His has a large chunk of the northern youths who are off social media.

Just like Peter Obi will win it for Tinubu