>>> Total PVC Collected: 87,209,007 <<<

- North-West: 21,445,000 (24.59%)
Jigawa, Kaduna, Kano, Katsina, Kebbi, Sokoto, and Zamfara.

- South-West: 15,536,213 (17.81%)
Ondo, Osun, Oyo, Ekiti, Lagos and Ogun.

- South-South: 13,284,920 (15.23%)
Akwa Ibom, Bayelsa, Cross River, Delta, Edo, and Rivers.

- North-Central: 13,127,170 (15.05%)
Benue, Kogi, Kwara, Nasarawa, Niger, and Plateau.

- North-East: 11,937,769 (13.69%)
Adamawa, Bauchi, Borno, Gombe, Taraba, and Yobe.

- South-East: 10,419,484 (11.95%)
Abia, Anambra, Ebonyi, Enugu, and Imo.

- FCT: 1,476,451 (1.69%)
-

PROJECTED BREAKDOWN OF VOTES
Northwest (24.59%)
Atiku - 11%
Tinubu - 11%
Kwankwaso - 2.59%

Southwest (17.81%)
Tinubu - 7.81%
Obi - 6%
Atiku - 4%

Southsouth (15.23%)
Obi - 10%
Atiku - 5%
Atiku - 0.23%

Northcentral (15.05%)
Tinubu - 7%
Atiku - 5.05%
Obi - 3%

Northeast (13.69%)
Atiku - 6.5%
Tinubu - 6.5%
Obi - 0.69%

Southeast (11.95%)
Obi - 10.95%
Atiku - 1%

FCT (1.69%)
Obi - 0.7389%
Atiku - 0.4817%
Tinubu - 0.4694%


TOTAL
OBI - 31.379%
ATIKU - 32.982%
TINUBU - 33.001%

The race is too close to call and seems headed for a runoff between Tinubu and Atiku...
If the north tilts heavily towards either of Tinubu and Atiku, that person proceeds to the runoff and the other automatically becomes 3rd behind Obi.
If this result largely holds, but Southsouth turns up more for Obi than projected, he could leapfrog either of the other two and proceed to the run-off.

E go shock una obi daddy will win

Atiku Abubakar wins February 25th presidential poll joor. All odds are in his favour joor

While your south analysis is quite reasonable, ur problem is d North. Tinubu cannot do half as good in the North (W&E). Forget about d governors. The core north is btw atiku & Kwankwaso with atiku having d major advantage.
Even d north central favors Atiku & òbí more.
It's likely an Atiku win on the first ballot.

Tinubu can never have same number of votes as Atiku in northwest, stop dreaming

Obi is getting at least 2.4% in NW.
Kaduna and Kano will give Obi that percentage.
Kwankwoso will scatter that 11% you gave both APC and PDP so reduce it to 7-8% for them and that's where the problem comes in because you don't expect Tinubu to have high percentage in SW and equate Atiku in his own stronghold.

Be reasonable and factual in your analysis..

Looks fair