DISCLAIMER: I do not support or encourage any form of bigotry. I believe in peace, respect, and harmony among the peoples of Nigeria. If you have an aversion for the opinions of others, I strongly advice you ignore this post.

The realities of the 2023 Nigerian elections

The North

Northerners vote their leaders (President & Vice, etc.) based on the following in order of importance:
- Religion
- Ethnicity
- Re-election guarantee
- Experience


The Northerners believe Nigeria should be a Muslim nation and a Muslim – Muslim ticket gets them an inch closer or at least gives them a feeling of it. Also, Muslims, no matter where in the world sympathize with one another. Especially since they’re closely related by religion and partially by culture. Hence, the high voter turnout to aid BAT to victory. Of course, with the encouragement of their leaders in the deep conservative North. Add that to BAT’s proven track record in governance, political connections, and Yoruba votes for the North’s turn to rule after the Yorubas. This was a no-brainer for the Northern political elites to help BAT. Afterall, the Yorubas never betrayed them post 1960.
The Muslims always determine the winner of any Nigerian election because they are larger in population as compared to the Christians. Peter obi did not win a single majority Muslim state. FACT!

The West

Westerners vote their leaders (President & Vice etc.) based on the following in order of importance:
- Ethnicity
- Reelection guarantee
- Religion
- Experience

BAT before the election was given a serious warning by extreme Christian religious zealots in Yoruba land. This group feared the Islamization of Nigeria as it will threaten their interests. However, even though the majority of Yorubas are Christians, they still came out to vote in large numbers for BAT, a Muslim candidate. Why? His ethnicity. Add this to the large number of Yoruba Muslims, Especially in Kwara and parts of Kogi state, then you have the Religion plus ethnic advantage.

The South

Southerners vote their leaders (President & Vice, etc.) based on the following in order of importance:
- Ethnicity
- Political positions (Benefit)
- Ethnicity (In sympathy for the South Easterners)
- Experience
This is quite easy to see just looking at the votes PGO got from the south. Rivers state however was an anomaly. Why? The betrayal of Wike by PDP. Wike, the man who created thousands of unnecessary state level jobs simply to help his people. Seriously, you can’t beat that. The people of Rivers (majority) are loyal to him and will do as he instructs. Reason why BAT won that state.
https://www.bbc.com/pidgin/articles/cn06xpl71z0o

Middle belt

The middle belt region votes their leaders (President & Vice, etc.) based on the following in order of importance:
- Political positions (Benefit)
- Religion
- Ethnicity
- Experience

Kogi state for example, currently run by the APC governor Yahaya Bello. A governor how has done so much for his people especially revamping the health sector of the state. For more details on his achievements:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yahaya_Bello
https://prnigeria.com/2022/06/29/nigerians-hail-yahaya-bello/
Voting APC was a no brainer.

The East:

The Easterners, the majority vote their leaders (President & Vice, etc.) based on the following in order of importance:
- Ethnicity
- Ethnicity
- Ethnicity
- Experience

Simply observe (Image attached) the voting patterns since the 4th republic where we had either a Southeast or South-South individual running for president or vice. Observe the voting pattern of the 5 south eastern states. Observe the spread of votes between the regions.

https://encrypted-tbn3.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcSLF6VvtG5WLHXVNdd1Y1NQSf0BgcSym6Sk6ygDaCx66XcFiOIH

Now check out 2011: https://www.oecd.org/countries/nigeria/presidentialelectioninnigeria-16april2011.htm

Sadly, the Igbos are not savvy or intellectual enough politically. To make matters worse, they function based on emotions and not facts. They do not build relations across the country but antagonize, disrespect, and show total lack of respect for their host states. The very same states they get their daily bread from and prosper. Seriously, it is illogical to think this is the best way to build relationships and forge alliances needed for winning elections at the highest echelons of power.

People have already made up their mind. The Northerners will never accept an Igbo man as their president because they believe in their heart that they should rule over Igbos. Hell, even if Mr. Obi converts to a Muslim and recontest in the next election, he will still lose because he is Igbo.

The humiliation and betrayal they received in return for their kindness and tolerance of the Igbos. Not to mention the constant insults on and offline. The Yorubas are currently experiencing the same in today’s Nigeria. The Yorubas, even as liberal as they are will also not accept an Igbo as a president. Again, history and current events influence their choice.

Watch between minute 35 – 36 min (observe the date it was aired). BKO an experienced journalist, well-traveled and risked his life following the events of Boko Haram and has lived in the hardcore North for over 7 years. Yet, he was called a crook, liar and APC paid candidate. Of course, mostly by Igbos with multiple clone handles. The result today? Just as he predicted.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f95E5swRZ1g&ab_channel=TVCNewsNigeria
People have already made up their mind.

Adamawa analysis


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NxHpj54XdaM&ab_channel=TVCNewsNigeria
Watch from 29:33– 31:17.

To summarize, I fear even in the next 50 years, there’ll not be an Igbo president. The best an Igbo politician can aspire to be is the vice president and he must do so while serving beneath the Northerner or South westerner. A sad reality. One brought upon the Igbos by themselves. Hopefully I’m wrong but I tend to think otherwise.