Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 - Politics - Nairaland
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| Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by senatordave1(m): 7:32pm On Mar 26 |
The first analysis was done on 28 after the APC and pdp primaries we're concluded.i promised to bring 4 part predictions between February and september.i also promised that the part 2 will be out after APC,pdp unveil their running mates.additionally,the reconciliation efforts in APC where oshiomhole was pacified with idahosa being running mate has also influenced this latest analysis.the growing profile of Barr akpata will also be a factor... Edo central senatorial district IGUEBEN LGA APC 45% pdp 40% Lp 15% Esan North East LGA APC 50% PDP 40% LP 10%% Esan central LGA APC 70% pdp 20% Lp 10% Esan south East APC 30% pdp 60% Lp 10% Esan West APC 43% PDP 50% Lp 7% Edo southern senatorial district Ikpoba okha LGA Apc 20% pdp 55% Lp 25% Uhumnwonde LGA APC 45% pdp 35% Lp 20% Egor LGA APC 25% pdp 40% lp 35% Oredo lga APC 30% pdp 35% lp 35% Orhiomnwon LGA APC 45% pdp 35% Lp 20% Ovia north East LGA APC 50% pdp 35% Lp 15% Ovia south west APC 55% pdp 30% Lp 15% Edo north district Akoko Edo LGA APC 50% pdp 43% lp 7% Owan east APC 55% pdp 40% lp 5% Owan west LGA APC 55% pdp 35% lp 10% Etsako east LGA APC 60% pdp 30% Lp 10% Etsako central APC 55% pdp 40% Lp 5% Etsako west APC 85% pdp 10% lp 5% Cc mynd44 Nplfmod Donphilopus Indispensable85 Majole Cajal Legendhero Generalpula Casualobserver Coolambience Efewestern Rolams Aswani Jorussia Donphilopus |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by helinues: 7:49pm On Mar 26 |
All the best to all the contestants |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by vowiski(m): 7:51pm On Mar 26 |
Useless analysis.. After taking cheap captain jack, you open a thread to write what evil spirits are telling you in your head. If you were a real analyst, you’d know LP and ADP will be dragging for 4th position in the election. Allocation figures to LP just the same way figures were allocated to Jagaban. LP will not even get up to 20k votes in the entire Edo state. Save this message and reply me in September 1 Like |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by senatordave1(m): 8:04pm On Mar 26 |
vowiski: So who wins |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by AcuraZDX: 8:12pm On Mar 26 |
1 Like |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by senatordave1(m): 8:46pm On Mar 26 |
AcuraZDX: This advice is meant for you,pained obidient 1 Like |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by aswani(m): 1:40am On Mar 27 |
senatordave1: Labour Party is too high, particularly in Edo South. Esan's will give them between 0 and 2% because they didn't get the memo about Esan agenda, Afemai might be more generous and give them between 0 and 3%. Benin people maybe 5% in Oredo, no more than 1% elsewhere. |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by senatordave1(m): 2:35am On Mar 27 |
aswani: Majority of bini voters are non indigenes and they like labour party and obi |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by yesil: 2:57am On Mar 27 |
[quote author=aswani post=129126944] Labour Party is too high, particularly in Edo South. Esan's will give them between 0 and 2% because they didn't get the men about Esan agenda, Afemai might be more generous and give them between 0 and 3%. Benin people maybe 5% in Oredo, no more than 1% elsewhere. No mind that Agbaya |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by yesil: 3:00am On Mar 27 |
senatordave1: You will just sit down in your one room in Lagos and be doing Analysis for Edo election, if you're not mischievous why didn't you travel the whole Edo and sample opinions and come back and do your analysis, Elections are not won behind your phone keyboard, sometimes I wonder why all you online trolls claim to know the state we stay and Live in more than us. 1 Like |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by aswani(m): 5:29am On Mar 27 |
senatordave1: In that case, your analysis of electoral vote percentages is based on a falsehood. 1 Like |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by vowiski(m): 5:37am On Mar 27 |
AcuraZDX:Lame 1 Like |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by Bitterkolatea4: 7:25am On Mar 27 |
senatordave1:where una dey get statistics sef, how on earth are the majority of voters in benin non idegenes? You guys just come up with imaginary thoughts just to make you feel good. 1 Like |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by Trollronaldo: 7:28am On Mar 27 |
I believe this analysis because this election is going to b judged by who has more corrupt foundation rather than the people's actual votes |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by NzogbuNzogbu: 7:51am On Mar 27 |
senatordave1:he is right majority of those so called lp votes are going to pdp Lp is overly exaggerated, the terrible thing for you again is to blindly allots percent Is it the same okpebolo that don't have word in mouth, make campaign start first 70% of the Benin's population are enlightened and waiting for what plans they have It's only ovia that may vote sentimentally for denco and few party members 1 Like |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by HIGHESTPOPORI(m): 8:24am On Mar 27 |
Same way you predicted Apc and Andy uba to win Anambra |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by senatordave1(m): 8:30am On Mar 27 |
NzogbuNzogbu: The battle is over already.south and central is divided |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by senatordave1(m): 8:30am On Mar 27 |
Bitterkolatea4: Benin voters will share votes |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by senatordave1(m): 9:01am On Mar 27 |
yesil: I traversed Edo state to sample opinion |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by Indispensable85(m): 12:09pm On Mar 28 |
senatordave1: PDP is very strong in owan west, igueben, uhunwmonde. I also don't see PDP scoring 55 percent in ikpoba okha. I don't see APC scoring 85 percent in etsako west, I don't see PDP scoring 40 percent in Egor. I also don't see PDP scoring 55 percent in esan north east. |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by majole: 12:32pm On Mar 28 |
I don't have much to say as am not too conversant with Edo politics to that large an extent but I want to believe it is going to be a strong 2 man race between PDP and APC. If there is no rigging then I believe PDP has a slight edge. MY PROJECTIONS: TILT PDP |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by senatordave1(m): 12:47pm On Mar 28 |
Indispensable85: True,pdp is strong in owan west and akoko Edo but with shuaibu and orbih out,APC should win comfortably there.apc is very strong in igueben so they may win narrowly there.i think APC has enough to deliver uhumnwonde and orhiomnwon this time around. Ikpoba okha is the lga of ogie and he is on ground there,he should comfortably deliver.i don't know what to say about Egor but I'll give it to pdp/lp narrowly.i have corrected myself in esan north east,I thought it is the lga of asue.it is general knowledge that okpebholo is popular there esp uromi so APC should narrowly win.apc is very strong in esan south east of ighodalo but I'll still give it to Ighodalo alongside esan West. Etsako west will be the last card,it will be like okene of kogi.this is where APC will get it's highest votes.exoect massive inflation here to counter what pdp will garner in Oredo or ikpoba that is why I kept it at 85% |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by senatordave1(m): 12:50pm On Mar 28 |
majole: Since you have little knowledge about Edo politics,you should have asked or made findings.it is actually tilting towards apc because they already have a senatorial district in it's kitty unlike pdp.pdp would have won Edo south but lp has made it difficult |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by majole: 3:38pm On Mar 28 |
TILT PDP means PDP is a slight favorite LEAN PDP means PDP has a 55 to 60% chance of winning LIKELY PDP means PDP is overwhelming favourite SAVE PDP means that PDP is winning no matter what. My problem with you is that in all your analysis there is always a bias towards APC |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by senatordave1(m): 9:43pm On Mar 30 |
majole: In bayelsa,I didn't favour pdp..during the presidential poll,north was predicted 50 50.i gave SE SS to Lp... If you look at it theoretically,it is tilting towards APC as they dominate a zone while the other two zones are 50 50 |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by AllTheWayUp: 10:01pm On Mar 30 |
majole:I have told you guys to ignore that APC zombie clown that knows nothing about Edo State Politics and it dynamics. Allow him to continue posting his janja=weed unintelligent permutations for Edo elections in favor of his party APC |
| Re: Edo 2024: Predictions And Analysis Part 2 by senatordave1(m): 10:04pm On Mar 30 |
AllTheWayUp: How will you call your permutations of last year about atiku sweeping the north? Right back at you son 1 Like |
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