omoharry:
I wonder oo! The result from the north scares me more . No Obidient should celebrate until you result from the north starts coming .. Those result will make all southern result put together as a joke

Obidients are noise makers. They are totally out in NW and NE. How are they going to win when APC has already won 6 states in SW and also in head to head in SS.

Tvegas:
it's evil to support electoral violence.

I remember it was not evil when Edo no be lagos.. It was not evil when Amaechi cried.. Today we move

jahsharon:


There is no part of Yoruba land that you won't see Igbos selling fake drugs, prostituting in hotels and doing armed robbery

Pure and undiluted truth..


Even here in the north is not left out. They always spread their criminality and imoralitity

gammarays1:

There are 3 zones in the North, how many gave block votes to PDP or APC?
There are 3 zones in the south, at least 2 gave Obi block votes
Fct is fully Obi
Do your calculation. Only a massive electoral fraud will force a rerun or contention between Obi and either Atiku or Tinubu. Obi is leading.

Stop smoking cow shit.
A 50 percent in the North covers the entire South!.

Princesschila:
By this time latest Tuesday we go hear world

No be lie.

Jerryjasper:
I just came to book space so that I can modify that Obi won later today #teampeterobi

The ya gonna observe ya quotaz.

gammarays1:

There are 3 zones in the North, how many gave block votes to PDP or APC?
There are 3 zones in the south, at least 2 gave Obi block votes
Fct is fully Obi
Do your calculation. Only a massive electoral fraud will force a rerun or contention between Obi and either Atiku or Tinubu. Obi is leading.

Obi's steam has run out: He is the southern version of pre-2015 Buhari - fanatical following in a part of the country, but lacking national spread. A good run, but it is over; now the big boys like Asiwaju and Atiku are here to play, but considering that PDP was cannibalized in the south largely by LP, I don't see Atiku taking it.

North Central has Kwara. Kogi, Niger, Nasarawa, Benue, and Plateau. Of these six states, at least 3 are very certain for APC:
- Kwara btw is a yoruba state in disguise, and 80% muslim.
- Tinubu is the Jagaban of Borgu - Borgu is in Niger state -a core APC state.
- Kogi with Yaya at the helm is unassailable.
- Nassarawa is not going to LP in any form - PDP and APC would battle it out.
- Benue is a battle-ground, but Father Alia of the APC is the most popular politician in that state - expect APC to do decent.
- Plateau I might concede to LP, but even there is a battle-ground.

North East has Borno, Yobe, Adamawa, Gombe, Taraba and Bauchi
- Bauchi is a PDP state, so that's in Atiku's favour, but He has had issues with the Governor there recently, so fingers crossed.
- Borno and Yobe are both Kanuri - Shettima is Kanuri, and his tribe have felt somewhat marginalized for a while in the North plus this is the first time a Kanuri is on a presiential ticket - APC is taking this.
- Taraba is largely christian so LP could do well here, but I really cant call it.
- Adamawa is for PDP, but APC would give them a run for their money. LP would get some votes here though, but not much.
- Gombe is a state I'm not very familiar with so no comments.

North West has Kano, Kaduna, Katsina, Sokoto, Kebbi and Zamfara
- Zamfara leans to very austere islam, and was the first state in Nigeria to introduce Sharia law - definitely not gonna be in the bag for LP which is perceived as genuflecting to christian voters.
- Kano is a battle-ground for NNPP, PDP, and APC, but I feel the PDP structure has been weakened by the breakout of Kwankwaso and his party. Kano is really going to be between APC and NNPP.
- Jigawa is also between NNPP and APC.
- Kaduna is going to be between all parties with LP cannibalizing a lot of PDP strongholds in the south of the state.
- Sokoto and Kebbi are too close to call but expect it to be between PDP and APC

1. Yobe State @ 7.50pm 25 02 2023:

Bade LGA

APC -7,667
PDP - 1,982
LP - 0

Bursari LGA:

APC - 3,815
PDP - 986
LP - 0

Damaturu LGA:

APC- 8,957
PDP - 2,316
LP - 0

Fika LGA:

APC - 9470
PDP - 2,432
LP - 0

Fune LGA:

APC - 10, 677
PDP - 2,760
LP - 0

Geidam LGA:

APC - 6,601
PDP - 1,709
LP - 0

Gujba LGA:

APC - 6,211
PDP - 1,601
LP - 0

Potiskum LGA
APC - 25,845
PDP - 6,787
LP - 0

Yunusari LGA

APC - 15,177
PDP - 3,839
LP - 0

Nguru LGA

APC - 15,962
PDP - 4,033
LP - 0

Yusufari LGA

APC - 14,197
PDP - 3,591
LP - 0

2. Sokoto State as @ 7.55pm 25 02 2023

Shagari LGA
APC - 8,869
NNPP - 2,995
PDP - 7,891
LP - 0

Sokoto North LGA

APC - 21,239
NNPP - 7,167
PDP - 18,886

Sokoto South LGA
APC - 23,637
NNPP - 7,971
PDP - 21,020

*APC WAR Room Bulletin 6:30PM: *

The following trends are noted on results by region;

1. *Southwest* - Key results from polling units of VIP has demonstrated overwhelming strength for APC’s presidential candidate. BAT won in his PU, Obasanjo’s PU, Seyi Makinde’s PU and across Osun, Ondo, Ekiti, Ogun and Oyo states. In Lagos, Surulere/Aguda and Eti Osa shows strength for LP but APC maintained dominance in much larger Alimosho LGA where Lagos state votes are decided. Lagos is showing typical 15-20% turnout which is quite low, but the rest of SW especially Oyo, Ekiti and Ondo seem to have higher turnouts. Split vote pattern was noticed in Oyo states between federal candidates, and May impact APC Senate and HoR candidates.

Prediction- Asiwaju wins 52-55%. LP secures good vote out from Lagos

2. Northwest- - Early results have been noted in Kaduna, Katsina, Kano and Jigawa. President Buhari delivered massively for his LGA and APC seem to be leading generally showing surprising strength even in Kano and Kaduna. Turnout was lower in Kaduna, but LP made a good showing in Kano Sabon Gari and Kaduna South. How Zamfara, Kebbi and Sokoto breaks will go a long way to determine final outcome.

Projection - Too Close to Call

3. North East - Early results have been from Borno, Yobe and Taraba. Very little results from Adamawa and Bauchi. APC seems to be in comfortable lead in the first two states, while APC seem to be performing as expected in Jalingo.

Projection - Too Early to Call. Expect a draw.

4. North Central- Very little results have come out of here. Only some Benue and Kwara PUs that has been seen. Those PUs were in line with expectation

Projection- Too early to call. Expect APC victory.

5. South East - very little results have emerged. High incidence of violence has ensured low voter turnout as projected.

Projection - Too early to call. Expect a three way draw.

6. South-South- Very little results have emerged. Tales of violence in Edo , Bayelsa and Rivers has overshadowed the polls in this region. Rivers is emerging a three way battle ground. Cross River is heading the way of PDP and APC is showing surprising strength in Akwa Ibom.

Projection - Too early to call. Expect PDP narrower victory .

aljharem:
1. Yobe State @ 7.50pm 25 02 2023:

Bade LGA

APC -7,667
PDP - 1,982
LP - 0

Bursari LGA:

APC - 3,815
PDP - 986
LP - 0

Damaturu LGA:

APC- 8,957
PDP - 2,316
LP - 0

Fika LGA:

APC - 9470
PDP - 2,432
LP - 0

Fune LGA:

APC - 10, 677
PDP - 2,760
LP - 0

Geidam LGA:

APC - 6,601
PDP - 1,709
LP - 0

Gujba LGA:

APC - 6,211
PDP - 1,601
LP - 0

Potiskum LGA
APC - 25,845
PDP - 6,787
LP - 0

Yunusari LGA

APC - 15,177
PDP - 3,839
LP - 0

Nguru LGA

APC - 15,962
PDP - 4,033
LP - 0

Yusufari LGA

APC - 14,197
PDP - 3,591
LP - 0

2. Sokoto State as @ 7.55pm 25 02 2023

Shagari LGA
APC - 8,869
NNPP - 2,995
PDP - 7,891
LP - 0

Sokoto North LGA

APC - 21,239
NNPP - 7,167
PDP - 18,886

Sokoto South LGA
APC - 23,637
NNPP - 7,971
PDP - 21,020

*APC WAR Room Bulletin 6:30PM: *

The following trends are noted on results by region;

1. *Southwest* - Key results from polling units of VIP has demonstrated overwhelming strength for APC’s presidential candidate. BAT won in his PU, Obasanjo’s PU, Seyi Makinde’s PU and across Osun, Ondo, Ekiti, Ogun and Oyo states. In Lagos, Surulere/Aguda and Eti Osa shows strength for LP but APC maintained dominance in much larger Alimosho LGA where Lagos state votes are decided. Lagos is showing typical 15-20% turnout which is quite low, but the rest of SW especially Oyo, Ekiti and Ondo seem to have higher turnouts. Split vote pattern was noticed in Oyo states between federal candidates, and May impact APC Senate and HoR candidates.

Prediction- Asiwaju wins 52-55%. LP secures good vote out from Lagos

2. Northwest- - Early results have been noted in Kaduna, Katsina, Kano and Jigawa. President Buhari delivered massively for his LGA and APC seem to be leading generally showing surprising strength even in Kano and Kaduna. Turnout was lower in Kaduna, but LP made a good showing in Kano Sabon Gari and Kaduna South. How Zamfara, Kebbi and Sokoto breaks will go a long way to determine final outcome.

Projection - Too Close to Call

3. North East - Early results have been from Borno, Yobe and Taraba. Very little results from Adamawa and Bauchi. APC seems to be in comfortable lead in the first two states, while APC seem to be performing as expected in Jalingo.

Projection - Too Early to Call. Expect a draw.

4. North Central- Very little results have come out of here. Only some Benue and Kwara PUs that has been seen. Those PUs were in line with expectation

Projection- Too early to call. Expect APC victory.

5. South East - very little results have emerged. High incidence of violence has ensured low voter turnout as projected.

Projection - Too early to call. Expect a three way draw.

6. South-South- Very little results have emerged. Tales of violence in Edo , Bayelsa and Rivers has overshadowed the polls in this region. Rivers is emerging a three way battle ground. Cross River is heading the way of PDP and APC is showing surprising strength in Akwa Ibom.

Projection - Too early to call. Expect PDP narrower victory .

The Yobe figures haven't been released yet on INECs page, where did your source your own numbers from?

ArewaQuitessenc:

The Yobe figures haven't been released yet on INECs page, where did your source your own numbers from?

He pulled it straight out of his ...
Desperados want to continue the rule of brigands while Nigerians suffer
But God pass dem.

BlackKafka:


Obi's steam has run out: He is the southern version of pre-2015 Buhari - fanatical following in a part of the country, but lacking national spread. A good run, but it is over; now the big boys like Asiwaju and Atiku are here to play, but considering that PDP was cannibalized in the south largely by LP, I don't see Atiku taking it.

North Central has Kwara. Kogi, Niger, Nasarawa, Benue, and Plateau. Of these six states, at least 3 are very certain for APC:
- Kwara btw is a yoruba state in disguise, and 80% muslim.
- Tinubu is the Jagaban of Borgu - Borgu is in Niger state -a core APC state.
- Kogi with Yaya at the helm is unassailable.
- Nassarawa is not going to LP in any form - PDP and APC would battle it out.
- Benue is a battle-ground, but Father Alia of the APC is the most popular politician in that state - expect APC to do decent.
- Plateau I might concede to LP, but even there is a battle-ground.

North East has Borno, Yobe, Adamawa, Gombe, Taraba and Bauchi
- Bauchi is a PDP state, so that's in Atiku's favour, but He has had issues with the Governor there recently, so fingers crossed.
- Borno and Yobe are both Kanuri - Shettima is Kanuri, and his tribe have felt somewhat marginalized for a while in the North plus this is the first time a Kanuri is on a presiential ticket - APC is taking this.
- Taraba is largely christian so LP could do well here, but I really cant call it.
- Adamawa is for PDP, but APC would give them a run for their money. LP would get some votes here though, but not much.
- Gombe is a state I'm not very familiar with so no comments.

North West has Kano, Kaduna, Katsina, Sokoto, Kebbi and Zamfara
- Zamfara leans to very austere islam, and was the first state in Nigeria to introduce Sharia law - definitely not gonna be in the bag for LP which is perceived as genuflecting to christian voters.
- Kano is a battle-ground for NNPP, PDP, and APC, but I feel the PDP structure has been weakened by the breakout of Kwankwaso and his party. Kano is really going to be between APC and NNPP.
- Jigawa is also between NNPP and APC.
- Kaduna is going to be between all parties with LP cannibalizing a lot of PDP strongholds in the south of the state.
- Sokoto and Kebbi are too close to call but expect it to be between PDP and APC

Oga cool down,obi have won 3 zones
Ss,SE,NC
Atiku 2 zones ne,NW
Tinubu won 1 zone SW

Grammar is not necessary now.

maybet081:



Oga cool down,obi have won 3 zones
Ss,SE,NC
Atiku 2 zones ne,NW
Tinubu won 1 zone SW

Grammar is not necessary now.

Atiku has zero zone.obi se and half of ss.tinubu sw and half of nc

maybet081:



Oga cool down,obi have won 3 zones
Ss,SE,NC
Atiku 2 zones ne,NW
Tinubu won 1 zone SW

Grammar is not necessary now.

LOL. OK, let's wait for INEC . . .

Results I am seeing from APC war room gives Tinubu 6m votes, Atiku 4m and PO 3m.

aljharem:
1. Yobe State @ 7.50pm 25 02 2023:

Bade LGA

APC -7,667
PDP - 1,982
LP - 0

Bursari LGA:

APC - 3,815
PDP - 986
LP - 0

Damaturu LGA:

APC- 8,957
PDP - 2,316
LP - 0

Fika LGA:

APC - 9470
PDP - 2,432
LP - 0

Fune LGA:

APC - 10, 677
PDP - 2,760
LP - 0

Geidam LGA:

APC - 6,601
PDP - 1,709
LP - 0

Gujba LGA:

APC - 6,211
PDP - 1,601
LP - 0

Potiskum LGA
APC - 25,845
PDP - 6,787
LP - 0

Yunusari LGA

APC - 15,177
PDP - 3,839
LP - 0

Nguru LGA

APC - 15,962
PDP - 4,033
LP - 0

Yusufari LGA

APC - 14,197
PDP - 3,591
LP - 0

2. Sokoto State as @ 7.55pm 25 02 2023

Shagari LGA
APC - 8,869
NNPP - 2,995
PDP - 7,891
LP - 0

Sokoto North LGA

APC - 21,239
NNPP - 7,167
PDP - 18,886

Sokoto South LGA
APC - 23,637
NNPP - 7,971
PDP - 21,020

*APC WAR Room Bulletin 6:30PM: *

The following trends are noted on results by region;

1. *Southwest* - Key results from polling units of VIP has demonstrated overwhelming strength for APC’s presidential candidate. BAT won in his PU, Obasanjo’s PU, Seyi Makinde’s PU and across Osun, Ondo, Ekiti, Ogun and Oyo states. In Lagos, Surulere/Aguda and Eti Osa shows strength for LP but APC maintained dominance in much larger Alimosho LGA where Lagos state votes are decided. Lagos is showing typical 15-20% turnout which is quite low, but the rest of SW especially Oyo, Ekiti and Ondo seem to have higher turnouts. Split vote pattern was noticed in Oyo states between federal candidates, and May impact APC Senate and HoR candidates.

Prediction- Asiwaju wins 52-55%. LP secures good vote out from Lagos

2. Northwest- - Early results have been noted in Kaduna, Katsina, Kano and Jigawa. President Buhari delivered massively for his LGA and APC seem to be leading generally showing surprising strength even in Kano and Kaduna. Turnout was lower in Kaduna, but LP made a good showing in Kano Sabon Gari and Kaduna South. How Zamfara, Kebbi and Sokoto breaks will go a long way to determine final outcome.

Projection - Too Close to Call

3. North East - Early results have been from Borno, Yobe and Taraba. Very little results from Adamawa and Bauchi. APC seems to be in comfortable lead in the first two states, while APC seem to be performing as expected in Jalingo.

Projection - Too Early to Call. Expect a draw.

4. North Central- Very little results have come out of here. Only some Benue and Kwara PUs that has been seen. Those PUs were in line with expectation

Projection- Too early to call. Expect APC victory.

5. South East - very little results have emerged. High incidence of violence has ensured low voter turnout as projected.

Projection - Too early to call. Expect a three way draw.

6. South-South- Very little results have emerged. Tales of violence in Edo , Bayelsa and Rivers has overshadowed the polls in this region. Rivers is emerging a three way battle ground. Cross River is heading the way of PDP and APC is showing surprising strength in Akwa Ibom.

Projection - Too early to call. Expect PDP narrower victory .

You have started crying...

Save your tears

43Ronin:
Results I am seeing from APC war room gives Tinubu 6m votes, Atiku 4m and PO 3m.

Link

43Ronin:
Results I am seeing from APC war room gives Tinubu 6m votes, Atiku 4m and PO 3m.

Tinubu will win it and that is a problem. the rigging was too much, buhari is incompetent in all standard

43Ronin:
Results I am seeing from APC war room gives Tinubu 6m votes, Atiku 4m and PO 3m.

they can allocate Tinubu 50 million votes for all we care

Hahahahahaha

BlackKafka:


Obi's steam has run out: He is the southern version of pre-2015 Buhari - fanatical following in a part of the country, but lacking national spread. A good run, but it is over; now the big boys like Asiwaju and Atiku are here to play, but considering that PDP was cannibalized in the south largely by LP, I don't see Atiku taking it.

North Central has Kwara. Kogi, Niger, Nasarawa, Benue, and Plateau. Of these six states, at least 3 are very certain for APC:
- Kwara btw is a yoruba state in disguise, and 80% muslim.
- Tinubu is the Jagaban of Borgu - Borgu is in Niger state -a core APC state.
- Kogi with Yaya at the helm is unassailable.
- Nassarawa is not going to LP in any form - PDP and APC would battle it out.
- Benue is a battle-ground, but Father Alia of the APC is the most popular politician in that state - expect APC to do decent.
- Plateau I might concede to LP, but even there is a battle-ground.

North East has Borno, Yobe, Adamawa, Gombe, Taraba and Bauchi
- Bauchi is a PDP state, so that's in Atiku's favour, but He has had issues with the Governor there recently, so fingers crossed.
- Borno and Yobe are both Kanuri - Shettima is Kanuri, and his tribe have felt somewhat marginalized for a while in the North plus this is the first time a Kanuri is on a presiential ticket - APC is taking this.
- Taraba is largely christian so LP could do well here, but I really cant call it.
- Adamawa is for PDP, but APC would give them a run for their money. LP would get some votes here though, but not much.
- Gombe is a state I'm not very familiar with so no comments.

North West has Kano, Kaduna, Katsina, Sokoto, Kebbi and Zamfara
- Zamfara leans to very austere islam, and was the first state in Nigeria to introduce Sharia law - definitely not gonna be in the bag for LP which is perceived as genuflecting to christian voters.
- Kano is a battle-ground for NNPP, PDP, and APC, but I feel the PDP structure has been weakened by the breakout of Kwankwaso and his party. Kano is really going to be between APC and NNPP.
- Jigawa is also between NNPP and APC.
- Kaduna is going to be between all parties with LP cannibalizing a lot of PDP strongholds in the south of the state.
- Sokoto and Kebbi are too close to call but expect it to be between PDP and APC

Great analysis full of logic!

TrueNigerian300:


Great analysis full of logic!

Not confirmed, but looking like City Boy is in . . .

"Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu is Unofficially President Elect (according to our collations from polling units to polling units across the 36 States including the FCT) having won More than 40% in each state of the 6 States of North West, in each state of the 6 States of North East, more than 30% in each state of the 6 North Central States, more than 25% in FCT, more than 25% in 2 States of the 5 South East States (igbos state), more than 25% in each state of the 6 States of the South South, more than 55% in each state of the 6 States of the South West.

Peter Obi (according to our collations from polling units to polling units across the 36 states including FCT) got less than 1% in each state of the 6 States of North West, in each state of the 6 States of North East, less than 15% in two each state of north central, got 30.33% in Benue , got 15.48% in Nasarawa, 35.27% in plateau state, less than 10% Kogi and Niger state of the 6 North Central States, got 30.3% in FCT, got 50% in all the 5 states of the South East States (igbos state), got 30% in each state of the 6 States of the South South, got 35.55% in Lagos of the South West and less than 11% in each other states of the 6 States of the South West (Yorubaland)"

maybet081:



Oga cool down,obi have won 3 zones
Ss,SE,NC
Atiku 2 zones ne,NW
Tinubu won 1 zone SW

Grammar is not necessary now.

By 11am today, when reality starts to dawn, you would start to calm down . . .

Updated: 8:35am done nack and all my Obidient friends already have bags under their eyes oooo

BlackKafka:


Not confirmed, but looking like City Boy is in . . .

"Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu is Unofficially President Elect (according to our collations from polling units to polling units across the 36 States including the FCT) having won More than 40% in each state of the 6 States of North West, in each state of the 6 States of North East, more than 30% in each state of the 6 North Central States, more than 25% in FCT, more than 25% in 2 States of the 5 South East States (igbos state), more than 25% in each state of the 6 States of the South South, more than 55% in each state of the 6 States of the South West.

Peter Obi (according to our collations from polling units to polling units across the 36 states including FCT) got less than 1% in each state of the 6 States of North West, in each state of the 6 States of North East, less than 15% in two each state of north central, got 30.33% in Benue , got 15.48% in Nasarawa, 35.27% in plateau state, less than 10% Kogi and Niger state of the 6 North Central States, got 30.3% in FCT, got 50% in all the 5 states of the South East States (igbos state), got 30% in each state of the 6 States of the South South, got 35.55% in Lagos of the South West and less than 11% in each other states of the 6 States of the South West (Yorubaland)"

bros u lied in plateau OBI got more than 70% but i don't know of other people's state

43Ronin:
Results I am seeing from APC war room gives Tinubu 6m votes, Atiku 4m and PO 3m.

If you sure of your figure, let's have the source or your break down figure. Don't write without evidence.

GVTAsiwaju:
APC win

These results are obviously manipulated ..
Rigging results.
But u ppl will fail

Obi wins the election

Curious345:
turn out less than 20%

Inec didn't release their voters card to them do they can vote..

They rather throw them away in the bushes ..

Wickedness

dungas30:
bros u lied in plateau OBI got more than 70% but i don't know of other people's state

Like I said, it is unconfirmed . . .

Abba114:
same as southern votes are divided. the problem is that kwankwaso will only jeopardize atiku's chance in kano. but obi and tinubu will share the south while tinubu will get enough from the north eventually he will be the winner

Tinubu can only win 6 states in the south with little margin.
So where is he going yo win up north?


Obi is covering 27 States across SS,SE,NC,NE

Clearing lots of Lagos votes, winning FCT, Winning Rivers, coming 2nd on Kaduna.

Inec should start uploading results because they are beginning to manipulate results against Obi but they will fail.

Obi wins the presidential election

muykem:
Obidients are noise makers. They are totally out in NW and NE. How are they going to win when APC has already won 6 states in SW and also in head to head in SS.

Obi won all South South States..

Wike is running mad in Rivers State right now begging inec to rig and change the results but he has failed bcosthe video evidence is online everywhere.


Obi has won all SE and SS,
Obi has Won FCT, Nassarawa,
Obi came 2nd in Kaduna.
Obi is clearing Lagos whole tinubu is scare ,thugs r running around destroying pulling units because obi is leading.

Niger,Adamawa south,Bauchi south,Gombe south are all voting Obi clearly.

Obi already has 25% dprrad across 26 states .


U r here talking about sw that obi has already gotten his 25% ..

Pity u

EngrKemp:

Tinubu can only win 6 states in the south with little margin.
So where is he going yo win up north?


Obi is covering 27 States across SS,SE,NC,NE

Clearing lots of Lagos votes, winning FCT, Winning Rivers, coming 2nd on Kaduna.

Inec should start uploading results because they are beginning to manipulate results against Obi but they will fail.

Obi wins the presidential election

have you seen Ekiti results? Lol

BlackKafka:


Obi's steam has run out: He is the southern version of pre-2015 Buhari - fanatical following in a part of the country, but lacking national spread. A good run, but it is over; now the big boys like Asiwaju and Atiku are here to play, but considering that PDP was cannibalized in the south largely by LP, I don't see Atiku taking it.

North Central has Kwara. Kogi, Niger, Nasarawa, Benue, and Plateau. Of these six states, at least 3 are very certain for APC:
- Kwara btw is a yoruba state in disguise, and 80% muslim.
- Tinubu is the Jagaban of Borgu - Borgu is in Niger state -a core APC state.
- Kogi with Yaya at the helm is unassailable.
- Nassarawa is not going to LP in any form - PDP and APC would battle it out.
- Benue is a battle-ground, but Father Alia of the APC is the most popular politician in that state - expect APC to do decent.
- Plateau I might concede to LP, but even there is a battle-ground.

North East has Borno, Yobe, Adamawa, Gombe, Taraba and Bauchi
- Bauchi is a PDP state, so that's in Atiku's favour, but He has had issues with the Governor there recently, so fingers crossed.
- Borno and Yobe are both Kanuri - Shettima is Kanuri, and his tribe have felt somewhat marginalized for a while in the North plus this is the first time a Kanuri is on a presiential ticket - APC is taking this.
- Taraba is largely christian so LP could do well here, but I really cant call it.
- Adamawa is for PDP, but APC would give them a run for their money. LP would get some votes here though, but not much.
- Gombe is a state I'm not very familiar with so no comments.

North West has Kano, Kaduna, Katsina, Sokoto, Kebbi and Zamfara
- Zamfara leans to very austere islam, and was the first state in Nigeria to introduce Sharia law - definitely not gonna be in the bag for LP which is perceived as genuflecting to christian voters.
- Kano is a battle-ground for NNPP, PDP, and APC, but I feel the PDP structure has been weakened by the breakout of Kwankwaso and his party. Kano is really going to be between APC and NNPP.
- Jigawa is also between NNPP and APC.
- Kaduna is going to be between all parties with LP cannibalizing a lot of PDP strongholds in the south of the state.
- Sokoto and Kebbi are too close to call but expect it to be between PDP and APC

wake up dreamer, this is 2023.

muykem:
Obidients are noise makers. They are totally out in NW and NE. How are they going to win when APC has already won 6 states in SW and also in head to head in SS.

which ss apc is head to head... the one you created?
apc didn't win all 6 states in sw

Samueltemi337:
which ss apc is head to head... the one you created?
apc didn't win all 6 states in sw

In crs and rivers..apc trashed lp in sw