PaChukwudi44:

You can believe anything you like

PaChukwudi44:

Oga not true

garfield1:


Oga,they voted buhari because he is an Islamic fanatic.atiku is not

garfield1:


Gej got 7.5 mil,buhari got 10.5 mil.calctlate the percentage son.you PDP fans are bad at figures and history

PaChukwudi44:

Jonathan never won North in 2011.I remember southerners were killed all across the North after Buhari lost

garfield1:


You support obi in one breathe and defend atiku in another breathe

shegz24:
NW will be shared among Tinubu,Atiku,Kwankwaso

NE will be for Atiku

SE and SS(minority) will be shared between Atiku n Obi

SW will be for Tinubu

NC will be the decider- half of them are Yoruba-linked e.g Kwara,Kogi,Taraba so that is advantage Tinubu.
Being the Incumbent party may help get Abuja.


As it stands Tinubu will win by total votes but not simple majority.

Hence, Tinubu's preference for running mate may greatly determine if he gets simple majority.

Atiku needs to first find a way to get back the SE votes he had in 2019.
Then he needs to infiltrate the Northern bloc in APC and get them on his side lowkey.

Splitmind:
We in the North will never go back to PDP, we are enjoying under President Buhari and want to continue his legacy.

Olaoluwa122:
This one is far from reality ...VOTE ATIKU COME 2023

PaChukwudi44:

GEJ lost woefully in the NW/NE

PaChukwudi44:


So you finally agreed Buhari is a fanatic.Anyway they have another fanatic (Kwankwaso) to vote for

PaChukwudi44:

I am only telling you facts.Atiku will definitely win the NE/NW.Tinubu has the SW.Obi has the SS/SE/NC.

I still see Obi emerging winner with Atiku as first runner up

PaChukwudi44:

I am only telling you facts.Atiku will definitely win the NE/NW.Tinubu has the SW.Obi has the SS/SE/NC.

I still see Obi emerging winner with Atiku as first runner up

adioolayi:
The writer simply ignore Kwankwaso's movement to suit his narratives..

The truth on card right now is...The North is also divided...

Atiku ..no doubt will win the North East and North West....The issue is, by how many margin Because that vote will be shared with NNPP, APC and LP in that Order..

The battle comes to North Central:

Benue, FCT, Kogi, Kwara, Nasarawa, Niger, Plateau.

This will be the swing States ...

LP will win SE comfortably
APC will win SW comfortably

SS states will depend on some political events leading to the Election...it will most likely be shared with slight margins....but Delta is going to PDP because of the VP also with a slight margin.


2023 elections will be a very close contests, no doubt...but anyone that can win his own region with a wide margin wins this election

Truthisunique2:
i tell you bro

Buhari cult followers are the fanatical that kept voting him for his ethnicity and religion regardless of which party

So party would not stop them from voting by ethnicity and religion

aariwa:
bookmark this post core north will vote for a good man from the three contestants.The north is grossly misunderstood by a lot of people in the south.Just be honest and a good candidate and the north would not mind where you come from.Azikiwe was more loved in north than east because he talked good about Nigeria and they saw him as a good man.The have started seeing Obi as a good man, that’s how they make their choice not wealth or political influence.Forget what you hear from their politicians Let me give you an example of reality In 2007 when Atiku decamped to ACN from PDP to contest presidential elections.We campaigned for him and we wore a buba with his face, name and logo on it .When we met their prominent we were well received and respected based on that but when we met the ordinary people the ones that vote in elections we were met with contempt .I don’t hear Hausa but the little I understand from corper days are “babu..baba no good..na barawo..” a suya man even refused to sell us suya in Abuja because of wearing Atiku cloth.The votes Atiku got in 2019 was because of his vice Obi.The man that could have easily won was Osibanjo because north love but his exit now created room for Obi.North vote for good candidates more unlike south

garfield1:


No.gej got 5.5 million in the nw/ne against 9 million by buhari in 2011.that's about 40%.atiku got 3.3 million.you see,gej did better than atiku.atiku is a weakling,very useless

whirlout:


I had a write up on this the other. Buharis agenda is his ethnicity frst and his religion second. Happens that both go hand in hand. He is probably low key mobilizing his cult to vote for Atiku over Tinubu already. The guy is a total bigot and his islamization agenda is real contrary to what people may think.

PaChukwudi44:

Even if Tinubu loses by this same margin,he will still not be president

whirlout:


I had a write up on this the other. Buharis agenda is his ethnicity frst and his religion second. Happens that both go hand in hand. He is probably low key mobilizing his cult to vote for Atiku over Tinubu already. The guy is a total bigot and his islamization agenda is real contrary to what people may think.

garfield1:


Oga,support obi and leave atiku.a reasonable southerner will not support any northerner...atiku is not popular,I dont know how else to tell you.even gej defeated buhari in the nc,atiku can't.

garfield1:


Highest tinubu will lose in north is one million

PaChukwudi44:

If he loses by 1million in the North, Peter Obi will be president

PaChukwudi44:

I am supporting Obi,it still does not stop me from doing a dispassionate analysis.

Do you think because you say Tinubu will win Kano or Kaduna will influence the eventual outcome of the results there?

Even if I become like you and say Obi will win NW/NE how exactly does that help Obi?

Frigga13:


Nigerians especially southern people are easily deceive by their media propaganda.. as long as it in print ..

Kebbi jigawa sokoto katsina zamfara( for the first time ) is going PDP

Apc will lose in Niger state , katsina state , Jigawa state

If elections is contested today... I mean right now

Funny enough is that Apc has lose taste in Northwest.. which happen to be Cpc strongbase..

Northeast is PDP in and out at federal .. other parties can share in state ...

Is not about article.. is what is on ground like this

Weeks to come .. Apc and Obi dem will keep looking for that Northern Vice .. Muslim oh .. Christians oh.. right now we care less...
Let them get the vice that will give them Northern vote

If it easy...

And for those calling Kwankwanso.. walahi fa.. you need to vist the northwest and see aside Kano state and Kano city... Kwankwanso is just a media creation

Who know Kwankwanso for Northwest?

South can never understand the politics of the north with their jargons articles and assumption

South is already divided .. reason why major stakeholders of Pdp ain’t worry about media creation of Wike ..

Politics is not on social media.. how many humans Dey Nairaland ... and how many are active users .. getting 1K likes changes nothing in reality

I believe reality


Power to the people
North 2033

Frigga13:


Nigerians especially southern people are easily deceive by their media propaganda.. as long as it in print ..

Kebbi jigawa sokoto katsina zamfara( for the first time ) is going PDP

Apc will lose in Niger state , katsina state , Jigawa state

If elections is contested today... I mean right now

Funny enough is that Apc has lose taste in Northwest.. which happen to be Cpc strongbase..

Northeast is PDP in and out at federal .. other parties can share in state ...

Is not about article.. is what is on ground like this

Weeks to come .. Apc and Obi dem will keep looking for that Northern Vice .. Muslim oh .. Christians oh.. right now we care less...
Let them get the vice that will give them Northern vote

If it easy...

And for those calling Kwankwanso.. walahi fa.. you need to vist the northwest and see aside Kano state and Kano city... Kwankwanso is just a media creation

Who know Kwankwanso for Northwest?

South can never understand the politics of the north with their jargons articles and assumption

South is already divided .. reason why major stakeholders of Pdp ain’t worry about media creation of Wike ..

Politics is not on social media.. how many humans Dey Nairaland ... and how many are active users .. getting 1K likes changes nothing in reality

I believe reality


Power to the people
North 2033

garfield1:



PDP can never win yobe.who do they have they.they will likely lose gombe and bauchi...in 2019,kwankwaso worked for atiku.how did it result in? Jigawa will go apc.

garfield1:


Many of those Christians in Adamawa won't vote for him