Ahmed0336:


Add taraba.

Op, I'd say you're honest with your write up and I'd agree with it.

Let's see what February will bring.

donaldking100:
Nasarawa.
Benue.
Abuja.
Kadunna.
Plateau.

Pandev:
votes analysis is not done based on emotions. As of now, Obi won't win even Anambra. There are people who belong to a political party, they won't just leave their party because of religion. Even if religion is going to determine the next president, it is still Tinubu who is going to win. Learn to see things from logical angle so that the results of election won't shock you.

garfield1:


Tinubu will win zamfara,katsina,jigawa,Kaduna,borno,yobe,gombe,bauchi,kwara,Niger,kogi.pdp is very weak up north

Bomboiy:


It is usually people that don't stay in the SE that have the mentality.


If you think Obi won't win the 5 SE states then you are being naive.

SenatePresdo:


Realistically, party members doesn't make upto 10 percent of Total voters.

How many Nigerians are party members?
They are not up to 5 percent of our total population.

Kyase:


I don’t hate obi
I just don’t like the set of people supporting him

Benue is for Atiku

drlateef:





How can he win? Even in southeast he can’t win. South south he will share with Atiku and Tinubu. Because the Itshekiri and ijaw are for Tinubu. Even Edo people already know the body language of Oba of Benin, that he is for Tinubu. Olu of Warri for Tinubu. Where is Obi going to win? Cross River is APC, Aqwa Ibom for PDP. I just wonder where Obi will catch his votes from.

SenatePresdo:


Realistically, party members doesn't make upto 10 percent of Total voters.

How many Nigerians are party members?
They are not up to 5 percent of our total population.

ABBkelvin:

One love man, a bunch of 5000+(voters) online gathering shouting on top of their voice and thinking they are stronger than the 100,000+(voters) of people with no urgency of the present timeline and implications of why good governance is needed to migitate more future woes we are likely to face in this country is a fruitless ambition.


Do everything to get most of the 100,000+ people on your side then you can plan changing reality, now the problem is the difference in IQ range of the 5000 vs 100,000 they are trying to convince, you have to take into records what it will take to change opinion of low IQ people which are common among nigerian present voters (100,000) without any incentive or reward for doing what will actually be best for them.

My brother if you do further social engineering analysis on this comment you will see why Nigeria has remained the same or worse since independence, majority decide

Pandev:
party members are familiar and more knowledgeable about election. They know who is who in their various polling unit, they have experienced and involved in many elections. Those who attend political ward meetings are like representative from each household. If you claimed that party members doesn't make up to 10% of total voters, then ask yourself this question. 'how do the remaining 90% know the logo of the party they want to vote for?' This is no brainer, that's what they called structure. The party members who are not getting paid for going to ward meeting every week are the ones representing the remaining 90% and sensitizing them on logo of the party they are going to vote for (as no to vote wrong), how each ballot paper look, etc or better still, they help them vote at the polling booth. Basically what I'm trying to say is that more than half of the total votes are from party members or let's say efforts from the work of committed party members and this is the point where rally is separated from election. People who won't vote for you may come to your rally to entertain their eyes. Politics is fucking deep. Larger percentage of those who vote belong to a political party or the other, just that not all of them necessarily attend political meetings.

BeautifulMind2:

Benue are not ready for another Fulani man, Benue people have seen worst in their hands

Obi will win Benue

jumper524:
use your phone to run a public interview at a public space and see the stats.

ABBkelvin:

Party members mobilize and engage the local community about their party activities, simply by painting there various personal cars and house in party color is very important, also erecting billboard and other campaigns material needs to be cross checked by various party members to have a mainstay or else it will be tore apart or destroyed, to distribute election campaigns material such as clothes, caps, banner and pamphlet e.t.c require coordination of party members to have a successful inductions.


In USA we have two major party for a reason and that reason is because of the consistent party members of those two major party.


Looking down on party members is a recipe for major disaster to the electorate. Check and correct this in your various Obidient whatsapp group if you want a favorable election outcome. Don't rely on the discussion you guys have on close forum or group that are mostly dominated by literate southerners and minority enlightened North contribute 60 of total vote of presidential election. Look into this problem and rectify it if you guys are actually serious about making Obi the president. Don't let the sound of your group echo chamber cause delusion.


Self affirmation by group is useless when they are other various group with the same agenda not befitting to your group, win over the other group by any means if you want to actually have result that require summation result from all the group involved. Obi should be seen beyond the affairs and projection of the SE for it to have headway come February next year.

garfield1:


I am always fair

Pandev:
party members are familiar and more knowledgeable about election. They know who is who in their various polling unit, they have experienced and involved in many elections. Those who attend political ward meetings are like representative from each household. If you claimed that party members doesn't make up to 10% of total voters, then ask yourself this question. 'how do the remaining 90% know the logo of the party they want to vote for?' This is no brainer, that's what they called structure. The party members who are not getting paid for going to ward meeting every week are the ones representing the remaining 90% and sensitizing them on logo of the party they are going to vote for (as no to vote wrong), how each ballot paper look, etc or better still, they help them vote at the polling booth. Basically what I'm trying to say is that more than half of the total votes are from party members or let's say efforts from the work of committed party members and this is the point where rally is separated from election. People who won't vote for you may come to your rally to entertain their eyes. Politics is fucking deep. Larger percentage of those who vote belong to a political party or the other, just that not all of them necessarily attend political meetings.

ofeco:

Obi is an individual that is independent of his supporters, you can also support him maturely. Hunger in the land is making some people to be aggressive just like myself.

Saintinoo:


Obi will not win Benue, Benue is sure for Atiku. Taraba State is 80 percent Christian, the Muslims you find in jalingo are merely settlers Jos like Jos.

The only place you find Muslims in taraba is Gembu ( Fulani), Lau local government and Karim lamido local government.

Peter Obi we win Taraba by at least 55 percent.

plaetuea votes will be divided but mostly between Obi and Atiku, but Obi will win narrowly. Forget Lalong and dariye.

Another place Obi might get 30 percent votes is Bauchi (Bogoro, Dass, Tafawa balewa and Wargi local government areas) will vote Obi if CAN ask them to.

Again Gombe, Obi should reach out to CAN and EWCA pastors and the deal is done... 55 percent of Gombe people are Christians.

and then Southern Borno, Christian make up 30 percent of Borno but sadly people don know.

You forgot Kaduna, Kaduna Christians can give Obi more than 1million votes. they gave Jonathan 1.4 million in 2011.

Arizoner:
discipline?

SenatePresdo:



I get what you are saying, but where this is feasible is at the Rural areas dominated by uneducated and elderly people.

Many of these villagers, hitherto haven't decided, or doesn't know who to vote for, until grassroot politicians meets them and try to convince them.

But what some of you guys shouting about structure is failing to understand is that;

The Vast majority of obidients were once in either APC or PDP.

Most obidients were once party members in PDP and APC.
I can tell you that over 90 percent of People that are in labour party today are defectors.

As such, they defected over as a structure on their own.

Let's campaign start properly, you will understand.
You will understand why the opposition is giving them so much attention.

Pandev:
lol... mention one notable person from APC who decamped to LP. you are just angry and imagining things. When APC a new party won in 2015, it was as a result of notable people with structure that decamped to APC. eg former and incumbent governors, former and incumbent senators, former and incumbent reps etc. LP has 90% of it's members being Igbos who believe it is there turn to rule Nigeria and that's why they are campaigning for a man who had been a governor for 8 good years with nothing to show off, the man who left PDP just May this year(bitter truth), the rest 10% are majorly south westerners who are easily intimidated and have no gut to go against social media mobs.

It seems you people don't understand what structure means. That's why anytime LP has a town hall meeting, you start shouting 'this is the structure' . Let's wait and see

garfield1:


We had similar electoral duel in 2019,you have come again.atiku is not popular among the talakawas,he can't flip the north.only kwankwaso can

Jesusloveyou:
why will apc members vote for obituary.
is it for money or appointment, they can get it from tinubu.

garfield1:


For guber,crs is apc.sweet prince is taking the state.for presidential,the three parties will share votes but obi never penetrate the rural areas

ghosttownboss:
bros you see this election?
Money will not achieve victory they will collect and vote who they want

SenatePresdo:


Realistically, party members doesn't make upto 10 percent of Total voters.

How many Nigerians are party members?
They are not up to 5 percent of our total population.

SenatePresdo:



I get what you are saying, but where this is feasible is at the Rural areas dominated by uneducated and elderly people.

Many of these villagers, hitherto haven't decided, or doesn't know who to vote for, until grassroot politicians meets them and try to convince them.

But what some of you guys shouting about structure is failing to understand is that;

The Vast majority of obidients were once in either APC or PDP.

Most obidients were once party members in PDP and APC.
I can tell you that over 90 percent of People that are in labour party today are defectors.

As such, they defected over as a structure on their own.

Let's campaign start properly, you will understand.
You will understand why the opposition is giving them so much attention.

ghosttownboss:

Who will vote prince from akamkpa to obanliku?
Can't you read central and north body language?
It's an ethnic thing even the quas in the south will not vote for him

garfield1:


Oga,even sandy will struggle to win central

garfield1:


Oga,even sandy will struggle to win central

ghosttownboss:
which part Ikom etung Boko or obubra? are u aware no ejagham son has ever been a governor