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Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 - Politics (2) - Nairaland

Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 (35498 Views)

INEC Did Not Extend Voting Period In 16 States / Declare State Of Emergency On Flood-ravaged States - Obi Tells FG / PDP Now Controls 16 States After Winning Edo, APC 19 States (2) (3) (4)

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Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by Peol(f): 10:14pm On Oct 03, 2022
Okay
Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by derecho(m): 10:15pm On Oct 03, 2022
Kikikiki
Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by SenatePresdo(m): 10:15pm On Oct 03, 2022
No be only poll map, na Antena map grin
Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by Tradman: 10:16pm On Oct 03, 2022
Is the fowl spirit in him that is talking trash
Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by Sircarma99: 10:17pm On Oct 03, 2022
Common sense is not common
Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by ATLIEN2027: 10:17pm On Oct 03, 2022
Wrong analysis.

Peter Obi tuary will be lucky to win a single state. May be Anambra, I don't see him winning any other state despite the Zombidient noise on NL and other social media.

4 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by Lovenorth: 10:17pm On Oct 03, 2022
Bandits like to remain in power by fire by force but they must fail this time around
Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by WhizdomXX(m): 10:17pm On Oct 03, 2022
ganisucks:
There are three groups of voters in the north
*The vote sellers: This group only accounts for 10% of the voting populace in the north. This voting group will be split between Atiku, Tinubu and Kwankwaso.

*The dan fodio traditional voters: This group accounts for 35% of the voting populace in the North. These are the voters that stood for buhari from 2003 to 2015. This group will not feature in the 2023 elections.

*The intellectual voters: This group accounts for 50% of the voting populace in the north. These are the Obi voters. This group will decide the 2023 elections.

There's another group that accounts for 5%. But I will not mention or discuss that group.
Your second group will feature heavily as they have been. We also need to penetrate this group no matter how small. LP 2023.
Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by Nobody: 10:18pm On Oct 03, 2022
ganisucks:


https://twitter.com/BashirAhmaad/status/1577003169615577088?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet

This is funny. Which 16 states cheesy cheesy cheesy

1 Like

Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by Way4orward: 10:19pm On Oct 03, 2022
Opposite right?
Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by Tradman: 10:20pm On Oct 03, 2022
Suffering no dey tire u
Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by Nobody: 10:20pm On Oct 03, 2022
Based on the analysis you just pulled out of your ass
Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by Billmos: 10:21pm On Oct 03, 2022
One million rally or 5 million rally obi won't win nigeria presidential election come 2023 on a serious note no disrespect to obi but that is just d truth.

6 Likes 1 Share

Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by WhizdomXX(m): 10:21pm On Oct 03, 2022
plusfield:
I laugh in swahili.

Just watch as this poll in one Bashir's mind will be taken to front page of Nairaland
You were right. I decided not to reply only to quote someone and see it's already on front page.
Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by stanluiz(m): 10:21pm On Oct 03, 2022
Say someone that can't win the primary election in his Condtituency cheesy

He predicted the results from his bedroom cheesy

PDP Atiku will shock them in the North. What Peter obi only needs is 25% and he is good to go.

2 Likes

Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by WhizdomXX(m): 10:21pm On Oct 03, 2022
Billmos:
One million rally or 5 million rally obi won't win nigeria presidential election come 2023 on a serious note no disrespect to obi but that is just d truth.
Campaign for Obi is ongoing.
Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by ADAMUdaCOWBOY: 10:22pm On Oct 03, 2022
ganisucks:
There are three groups of voters in the north
*The vote sellers: This group only accounts for 10% of the voting populace in the north. This voting group will be split between Atiku, Tinubu and Kwankwaso.

*The dan fodio traditional voters: This group accounts for 35% of the voting populace in the North. These are the voters that stood for buhari from 2003 to 2015. This group will not feature in the 2023 elections.

*The intellectual voters: This group accounts for 50% of the voting populace in the north. These are the Obi voters. This group will decide the 2023 elections.

There's another group that accounts for 15%. But I will not mention or discuss that group.
All in all, that's 110%. Hanty, you no Sabi maths at all!

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by pinkgoodies(m): 10:22pm On Oct 03, 2022
ganisucks:


ACN has no structures in the north. CPC has structures but their structure will not feature in 2023. ANPP has some structure but it's not significant. Also they too will not feature in 2023. ACN and Tinubu will come third in the general election and fourth in the north segment of the election.

So ANPP dat had borno, yobe and zamfara is not significant. Forgetting dat shettima is part of dem. Even all Former governors of dis states are still in APC. Is funny. LP don mess PDP up.

4 Likes 1 Share

Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by WhizdomXX(m): 10:22pm On Oct 03, 2022
stanluiz:
Say someone that can't win the primary election in his Condtituency cheesy

He predicted the results from his bedroom cheesy

PDP Atiku will shock them in the North. What Peter obi only needs is 25% and he is good to go.
They should both cancel themselves. Don't wish them too much. We need the most for Peter. Lp 2023.

1 Like

Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by broadman20: 10:23pm On Oct 03, 2022
ganisucks:


https://twitter.com/BashirAhmaad/status/1577003169615577088?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet




People wey dey target this Bullion van plenty o!

2 Likes

Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by stanluiz(m): 10:24pm On Oct 03, 2022
seunmsg:
This is a more realistic projection even though I don’t think Kwakwanso will win Kano. APC should win Nasarawa and Kaduna and may likely flip Benue.

Edo state is also in play for APC since Obaseki will now have to work fully for Atiku and his faction’s candidates. PDP and LP will share the votes of traditional PDP voters in the state and that gives a lot of advantage to APC. Overall, Tinubu is the next president of Nigeria.
Keep underestimating Kwakwanso and Atiku.

For your mind Tinubu will inherit Buhari block votes, when Atiku and Kwakwanso is contesting.

Continue to dream cheesy

3 Likes

Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by pinkgoodies(m): 10:25pm On Oct 03, 2022
Tradman:
Suffering no dey tire u

U weh vote PO for Anambra, u still no dey suffer. If u like no go lagos dey hawk Gala, carry help ur life.

5 Likes 2 Shares

Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by Eriokanmi: 10:26pm On Oct 03, 2022
How? Is it for the economy you've destroyed, with dollar now selling at 730 naira today? What of insecurity? Corruption nko? Remember university students are still home.

If you manage to win 8 states, you tried
Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by Tomek09(m): 10:27pm On Oct 03, 2022
Ttalk:
The prediction is fair enough. As for me, I'm generous with Obi by adding 1 state to the 5 making the total state Obi would win 6.

APC should intensify their campign in SW to get maximum votes especially in Lagos.
It would be bad if Tinubu doesn't get more than 2m from Lagos.
Borno and Kastina should equally give Tinubu at least 1.5m each so APC would have a clear majority with 25% in 24states.
Kwankwaso and Atiku will get votes in Katsina.
Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by Ofunaofu: 10:28pm On Oct 03, 2022
oyebanji44:
Who doesn't know that...


Tinubu is the man every Nigerian is clamouring to vote as the next president of this country..
Not every Nigerian, rather you and you alone is clamouring to vote Tinubu
Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by PHIPEX(m): 10:29pm On Oct 03, 2022
Gradually they are publicly acknowledging that Obi will win states with an unknown party.

But deep down they know he will win the election.

2 Likes

Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by Iamgrey5(m): 10:29pm On Oct 03, 2022
Well! ipob is same as grass root labor party support in the South East and certain South/South states just like Boko Haram members and Bandits made a large percentage of Apc grassroot support in the North West and North East back in 2015.

So Labor should do well in the East because they actually have structure in those places.(I.e mobilising of election day, maintaining enthusiasm etc.

In Lagos, the Normal 600k PDP votes should split between LP and PDP and APC will still get their 900k votes or something higher through their rigging machine in their choice local government areas.

I doubt APC will do well as this map projects in the North.

I honestly believe Atiku is likely to win with Tinubu coming second and Obi coming a distant third.

1 Like

Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by AllDModsAreMaad: 10:29pm On Oct 03, 2022
pinkgoodies:


U weh vote PO for Anambra, u still no dey suffer. If u like no go lagos dey hawk Gala, carry help ur life.

Na so you go dey tell people wey better pass you to go and hawk Gala.

2 Likes

Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by ejovial: 10:30pm On Oct 03, 2022
Foolish people.. you should be hiding in the mood and thinking of how to survive after power....

1 Like

Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by Guyman01: 10:31pm On Oct 03, 2022
seunmsg:
This is a more realistic projection even though I don’t think Kwakwanso will win Kano. APC should win Nasarawa and Kaduna and may likely flip Benue.

Edo state is also in play for APC since Obaseki will now have to work fully for Atiku and his faction’s candidates. PDP and LP will share the votes of traditional PDP voters in the state and that gives a lot of advantage to APC. Overall, Tinubu is the next president of Nigeria.

Edo is the most Obidient state in Nigeria more than Anambra and Imo states

1 Like

Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by Abdu81: 10:32pm On Oct 03, 2022
tinsel:

The best projection I have seen.
And after the projections he did this

Re: Bashir Ahmad: Our Poll Map Shows That Tinubu Will Win 16 States, Obi Will Win 5 by Nobody: 10:32pm On Oct 03, 2022
At least he won 5 states

Lol

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