₦airaland Forum

Obinoscopy:
As a statistician, I've always believed in the powers of deductive inference based on sampling.

INEC has uploaded over 94% of the Presidential Results on the IREV Portal. Now there are people who believe that the result announced by INEC is significantly different from the result uploaded on IREV. I decided to randomly select result sheets from IREV and collate. The sample size was 314 result sheets. That sample size was gotten from an online sample size calculator. Click on this link to see my research protocol: https://www.nairaland.com/7614305/statistical-analysis-inec-result-irev

The result is very interesting.

RESULT
So after collating the result sheets from randomly selected 314 polling units, APC got a total of 15394 votes. LP got 10430 votes. NNPP got 2613 votes. And PDP got 11533 votes. So APC got the majority of votes followed by the PDP, then LP and finally NNPP.

This means INEC declaration is in tune with what's uploaded on IREV. However I noticed that the result for Rivers State is very strange. My collated result shows LP has more than 4 times the votes gotten by either APC or PDP.

So in conclusion, the IREV result is almost exactly what INEC declared. The only discrepancy is that of Rivers State. I might have to inspect that of Rivers State even further in my next analysis. But despite the Rivers State discrepancy, APC won fair and square based on the results on IREV Portal. I say this with 95% confidence.

Whether the results from IREV is authentic or not is a matter for another discuss. My focus was just to use the results I saw on the IREV Portal.

You could still be wrong sir. Mere 314 polling stations is inadequate to draw conclusions. What if you chose results from places where the APC had the highest votes and the LP the lowest. Example, the middle belt. Your entire 314, though you selected them randomly, could come from that region. Now imagine that you picked like 70% of that 314 from Lagos and plateau states unknowingly, your conclusions wouldn't be same as you claim now.( Lagos and plateau states being states where the LP which came third in the announcement had crazily high votes)
Even if you decided to pick evenly randomly from each state, your result wouldn't be adequate to draw your kind of conclusion. As you could still have made a one-sided selection.
In a nutshell, my point is, you need all the results of all the polling stations to be able to draw a conclusion.

bastardson:
Best President in terms of infrastructure, Terrible on Security, Conducted a Free and Fair election twice.

I can’t blame him on the Economic crises, it’s worldwide

Bastardson Abi? Good Good!

lhordspy:
Lol. "Singer" Waje with her last hit in 2010.
13years ago

All these forgotten expired yeyebrities found a new way to chase clout and Sneak into limelight again by using Election issue to cookup lies.

I wish police can take up some of this matter very seriously, during investigation you will be shock to find out that most of them dont even have PVC. They will just dress up and be going from one polling unit to another looking for who is going to pinch or march their toe so they can run to social media for their 3hours of internet fame.

We have not had one single report of bully or voters suppression from our celebrities here in the north even though most of the elections here are tightly contested. But in the south, chochocho around, yet they will still produce less voters turnout than the north.

Southerners pay attentions to worthless things and people who dont even worth it. Reason why people go around looking for cheap internet content for fame.

Oga, when was your last hit?

It's only when Nigeria becomes good that i will believe Nigeria can be Good

Humans

waynetee:
You are a kid,
Nigeria is never a toy you can get on a platter of gold, only the strong can rule it

You are a toddler!
What makes your Nigeria so special?
A country ranking highest in poverty and insecurity.

Menstrualpad, What a moniker!!

waynetee:
Dear obidence!
Stop making jess of yourselves all around the world.. You can't be the Nigeria president without having strong friends everywhere in the country even if you think everyone will vote for you!

Its the bitter fact! That's politics, you make friends with strong people.

That is why they keep reminding you that you have no structure but you claimed is not important.

Now your are begging their structure to pity you. Be realistic.

Like friends that will help you rig elections in case results don't favour you

Ekundayo7574:
Yes I mean it, if that old man win any state from those two region my name should be called Bastard henceforth, Obi will never be president of this county not in my own lifetime the Agenda is Doom to FAIL

Son of a LovePeddler!!!

DJ Chubby �

Kog45:
Oga Kwara State is the safest state in Nigeria and is in North Central.... KOGI state where three of my friends were kidnapped and one escaped with bullet wound. Abi no be Kogi State wey banks no fit operate in Aiyetoro,Isanlu,Mopa down to Egbe due to insecurity.

Truest talk. The banks from Kabba to egbe have been bombed only God knows how many times

Folashade40:
Every bit of this article is true

Hanti Folashade40, God is watching in HD++. And when he is ready,,,,

Folashade40:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jQmd5lqa8qA

Kogi State Replies Dangote On Obajana Cement

Source: Arise TV

Ekpele madam Folashade40
Eku Ishe oluwa.
Dangote will win insha Allah

Frigga13:
I don’t do propaganda and don’t support propaganda
Will rather keep shut or avoid said thread than engage

There’s no massive youth anywhere .. talk more of Nigerian youth or whatever name Una wan use deceive Una self

Result will come soon

Kwankwanso is from North west .. and only stop at northwest state of Kano jigawa. And maybe katsina
Traditionally
Northwest is an cpc enclave that host core Islamic Northern Muslims and practice sharia

OBi is an Igbo thing ..

Obi left Pdp has nothing to do with Pdp in east
All online media remains so..

Pdp will win Obi state of anambra .. Enugu .. Apc might be coming 2nd in Imo and ebonyi next to Pdp

Politicians knows Obi is not going anywhere in 2023 .. and that’s the oviation at loudest

2027 is not sure for anyone ..

You don plan politics on people

You plan politcs with yourself ...

Stop deceiving yourself no Nigeria youths anywhere

Just igbo youths

Have you seen yoruba youths massively rooting for obi

Or Igala youths , Jukun youths , Nupe youths , Berom youths , isoko youths , egbira youths , efik youths , annang youths , ijaw youths .. etc

Any of this youths .. where have you seen them in their states mobilizing massively in any state outside anambra stste ?

You have to be real.

Power to the peoppe

1,000,000 thumbs down!!!

If you are in need of quality hard wood charcoal in large quantity, please chat me up on WhatsApp on 07065912409.

If you are in need of quality hard wood charcoal in large quantity, please chat me up on WhatsApp on 07065912409.

If someone imprisons you, would they put the key around that area?
Yes they will feed you, so the bread is not in the very wrong place. The key is.
Whoever puts the key so close to the prison cell is playing a kind of game.

smlakpan43:
I supply to buyers ,so am sourcing for it urgently needed

I can help you. As much as you need. Call me, 07065912409

This is not Buhari now, we all know it. Buhari was human, this man and the actors acting as president are beasts. Their end is very near,

Can you replace my Samsung galaxy tab e screen? It is broken completely. And how much will it cost?

npowerng:
Npower
Published by Ilsa Aida ·

N-Power is unique.

It partners with Federal Government Agencies and State Governments.

Pic 1: Reps of FRSC educating beneficiaries on the Highway Code....

th

Performanking:
Grades..

Rohr D
Ajayi A
Ekong B
Uzoho B-
Awaziem A
Iwobi F
Ndidi D
Simon C-
Chukwueze C
Aribo A
Oshimen B

Who am I missing?

Performanking F20

....

ogunsbanjul:
When God is by your side,never think you're perfect and that, your deeds made you breakthrough rather be grateful and thankful to God almighty. Remember,
Dino booed president Buhari in 2018 while he was presenting 2019 budget because he was been backed by the then Senate president Bukola Saraki. Note: Dino allowed himself to be used by presenting an orchestrated agenda of the opposition then in the floor of the house BUT as at 9th October 2019 only Dino managed to start 9th assembly in the Senate among anti government members then. Unfortunately today he is out looking if he can return to the senate through another election with his long time political enemy senator Adeyemi.
In 2017: Dino was solidly behind Yahaya Bello which if given opportunity he will quote many verses which I believe Proverbs 18 vs 21 might be among because of his personal political hatred against the candidate of Asiwaju Tinubu Hon. Faleke who happens to be his brother from the same OKUN tribe of the state.
Little did Dino know that the cup of wine given to him by his party to be the director general of the governorship candidate of the election coming up in the same day of his rescheduled election now would have been an opportunity for him to campaign for both himself and his party governorship candidate Eng. Wada come November 2019 without stress and individual campaign. He was begged, persuaded, encouraged and honoured with the campaign chairmanship but because of his PRIDE he rejected it. Hunnn, ajeku iya ni o je, eni ti o to ni na to n dena deni, ajeku iya ni o je
DISCOVERIES SO FAR are as follows:
(1) it has been discovered that Dino is a talented Nollywood ACTOR
(2) senator Saraki is a good football fan who can develop his carrier in football instead of politics
(3) senator Sheu Sani is a good blogger
(4) Senator adeleke is a good dancer
(5) senator Ekweremadu is a good sport man who can run faster than Okagbare
(6) Senator David mark is a good family man who should have stayed at home with his lovely family after serving in the Nigeria army
(7) senator Owelle Okorocha is a self centered who prefer to always want his family to be in charge of government who seem fit not to be a leader.
( Akinwumi Ambode is an ingrate who believes in his power even when his wife misbehaved he never attempt to correct her by apologizing to the man of God she disgraced out of the house of God but today both him and the wife are no more recognized in the state.
Summarily, more to come irrespective of the party anyone belongs to. Thanks

And you are a nairaland aproko boy.
You seem to reason with your finger.

Foolish Bello, You want to add an extra year to Dino's term.

Win Win situation for oga Dino.

Bello's career is dead!

NwaAmaikpe:




Anyone can imitate CR7.
But if it's not the G.O.A.T, then it is a porcupine.

A Porcupine is sweeter than a G.O.A.T !

NUJABEZ:
A very half-baked teacher, it seems.

She'll still be able to satisfy someone's appetite.
But you, what do you do?

Gkay1:
PDP to win bayelsa and APC to win kogi.

What did you smoke?

sulasa07:
Hospitals full of coma-patient,he should go there to wake them.I remember when Adeboye went to one hospital to give them money,I'm sure I remembered clearly that he didn't do one miracle to heal just one person but,inside their churches and private locations,they do miracles and wake dead body.Keep on deceiving the gullibles

If our men of God should all start waking people from the dead as you are expecting, how would the word of God be fulfilled? Since if I die now, a man of God will wake me up the next minute.

awoniyi1236:
..

Is that Eddy Okonta

fergie001:
Let me be honest here....

Previous administrations didn't help Bello in terms of salaries compared to states like Kaduna or Sokoto.

Be that as it may, Bello is thoroughly incompetent, and not fitting for the office of not least a Gov.

All the same, Kogites love him as exemplified in his 3127 votes attained in the Primary.

If an Igala man (not Wada) does not face him and squarely too, he is home and dry, not even a Dino can stop him.

I don't think it is right for you to say kogites love him. Apc delegates in Kogi love him would make more sense. And they are less than 4000 corrupt people.