₦airaland Forum

Good.

KILLSHOT

Hi Festus, I woke up the other day to a Tweet by you referring to my party as “Lootocrats” and challenged Nigerians to question the source of wealth of those who want to serve them. Very well Festus.

Ordinarily, I would not have engaged you for three reasons:

1. I don’t respond to aides
2. I believe the candidate of the party has capable persons who can deal with you
3. The unwritten convention is that those from our tradition do not battle each other.

However,I have taken the task to have this talk with you given that you are not an aide in the truest sense of the word but promoting a candidate .Also,since the PDP candidate has warned his aides to refrain from going low with the likes of you, you may likely get away with this arrogance , but you see, I am not an aide of Atiku and not even an official of the party so,we can dance.

Thirdly, I will have to throw the code for activists overboard Cos by maligning my party, you also insulted those of us from the same tradition that happen to call the PDP home. Now, that I am done with introduction, can we now get right to it, shall we? Festus, for years now we have been letting you feed fat with a reputation as an “anti military era activist and human rights defender”.

But Festus, let’s let the cat out of the bag.
In reality, you were a military apologist or your actions portrayed you as one. Festus, when Gani Fawahinmi, Femi Falana, Baba Omojola, Segun Mayegun and others were arrested by the junta in 1992 and a decision was to be taken by the mass of students at a Congress in Ekpoma for a protest to be undertaken to ask for their release,did you not vehemently argue against it?Did you not mobilize to frustrate that move via counter revolutionary arguments until your plot was frustrated by the dialectical superiority of radical progressive elements on ground?

Chief Gani Fawehinmi overlooked this early trait of your treachery and still gave you a place in his Chambers following your call to Bar. How did you reward him?While you go about telling spurious stories about your fall out with Gani,isn’t it indeed true that at the heart of the kerfuffle was Gani’s disenchantment with the way you were handling the legal tussles and struggles with the military? Isn’t it true that Gani suspected that due diligence was not being applied in matters that involved the military which you were handling?

This trait followed you in life and I will come to that. While others in the Chambers who Gani asked to leave went quietly, were you not thrown out ? Did you not mount an unbelievable campaign of calumny and hate against Gani? What kind of names did you not call the great man?

You would call press conferences everyday to heap insults on Gani , calling him unprintable names. The same way you wake up to insult everyone right now! Wasn’t Gani moved to the point of cursing you? Somehow, Festus, you have built your career around destroying Great people!

Where is your buddy, Fryo, these days? How a man who self-confessed to killing the Great Uncle Bola Ige became your client is still a stuff of legends. Festus, how is it that you relish handling cases many reactionary lawyers won’t touch with a long pole? It was not enough that You took Fryo as a client but were you actually prepping him to blackmail people you wanted to use to rise to fame? It is still the same Gani you maligned early in your career that came to your rescue after forgiving you of your transgressions.

Perhaps, your love for the dark art Of the legal profession has something to do with your sudden wealth? You asked us to interrogate the source of wealth of people, so let me start with yours.Nice houses you have in Maryland in Lagos and Zone 5 in Abuja. Is it mere coincidence that you started rolling in cash after You became an EFCC prosecutor? Yes, the same EFCC you insulted many of your colleagues for representing, calling them thieves and vowing NEVER to have anything to do with them. Shortly thereafter you swallowed your vomit and became their lawyer. Was that when you “blew?” Or was it after your deal with Chief Kenny Martins? Remember him? I am sure you do, 200m and a Prado Jeep is not what one forgets easily. Kenny Martins swore to an affidavit that he gave you those and you still came back for more as an EFCC prosecutor. A case you lost.

Festus,
You not only served EFCC but you worked under the administration of one of the most notorious person’s to Head that agency. Indeed, is it not true that staff within the Commission were suspicious of your moves given that you lost virtually all the cases involving huge sums
Assigned to you? Festus, can you tell the world your role in the Ladoja/Oyo state Airtel Shares sales? Do we tell the world about a certain $200,000 under the table payment? We have names too if you want us to go that far.I am asking, can your source of wealth be directly traced

To this period? Just asking. You shamelessly call the PDP an assemblage of “Lootocrats” but had no qualms to work for a PDP government appointee, someone the PDP government fired for allegations of corruption. Festus, you have come full circle. While we are at this, can we tell
The world why you can no longer visit your ancestral home freely? The APC you defend right now was the same you called “frauds” in 2013 during a press conference in Benin following your loss of the party gubernatorial ticket. What changed? New paymaster maybe?

Finally, Festus, when you live in a glass house, beware of stones. I know you will come for me, and I happily await you, my records are there but, before you act be advised thus: what I just brought out now is a compromise following calls by friends that know you. If you
Choose to escalate,I will go further down low.We may have to tell the world certain other stories you will certainly not like. For example, that your closely guarded secret of your real crew. You know what I mean? Or how you became SAN.And some other things we shall keep secret.

Secondly, I am also loaded enough to get the best of lawyers , so don’t even try your ’we meet in court nonsense’. It will be a pleasure to show the court that you lack any modicum of reputation to protect .My advice: defend your candidate and promote your candidate, no shame

In that but, you cannot insult people and hope to intimidate everyone into silence with your rabble rousing noise. I am not Sowunmi, I fight dirty and clean. You decide the one you want. This is my Killshot!

Source:
https://twitter.com/AMADICHIMA/status/1055750694408515586?s=19

Life is actually good.

Remove money and u will see hell first hand

Mr President should stop apportioning blame up and down. I'm even confused as to who to support come 2019. I have my PVC.

dogu:
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Is there a way I can contact u directly?

This is massive

chidekings:
Thank God your good but my earlier salutation was directed at Ymodulus

oh, you should have quoted him not me.

BabaO2:
Too late for him to realise. I am disappointed in him. Who is Obasanjo of this world that should stampede a man of God to approve a corrupt candidate.

Honestly, y'all need to stop these frivolous accusations. How can you say someone is corrupt without being able to back it up?

What happened to a man is innocent until a court of law pronounces him guilty? And to think that thoes accusing him of corruption are in power and did not even charge him to court to indict him amazes me.

I'm starting to think that all these politicians have some dirty secrets against one another, if you prosecute one, then the bag will be let loose. And Gboa, we are liberated.

My status

Buharideenized - 49%

Atikulation in progress - 51%

chidekings:
Evening bro,how have you been

Doing well bro. Wbu?

Tell them what they are doing is bad, they will tell you PDP did worse. Was that not why change was clamoured for. (nobody should refer me to the conductor o.)

God please, don't let these folks scatter after the primary election tomorrow.
They can't be divided at this time, as it will spell their doom.

I can't imagine another 4 years of..... I'm almost in pains rn.

I hope it won't take long to get justice.

At first, I was happy Adeleke would win. But when I called my aunt, a civil servant and beneficiary of the 'modulated salary', to ask her who she voted for. She said Oyetola, my jaw dropped. And this is someone that will be cursing Aregbe all d time.
I'm confused ehn.

wolesmile:
I don't even have to bother reading the post. Who hasn't Saraki betrayed?
He betrayed even his own father, so why complain that he betrayed you?










Abeg, next!!!

You should have read it, at less least.

We really need a proactive govt. Who would have thought this thing would happen again after the previous occurrence.
It is well. RIP to d dead.

PDP, y now. You can't do the same thing you condemned Buhari for.

God bless Mr. President.

I hope a formidable and honest candidate, with a good plan for economic progress and national development, replaces u in d coming election.
But from the look of things, it's safe if I say there's none for now.

Continue till 2023 sir.

Biglittlelois:
I really wish Omisore will amaze these idiots by telling his loyalists and people not to vote for any of them tomorrow

Well, ur wish came through.


Can u make a wish for me?

At least, it was curbed to a very great extent. Kudos to INEC.


And please, I need my VC, Prof. J. Fuwape, back in FUTA in one piece.

These are the figures your APC boys are looking for and banking on:

Ife East - PDP 7129, APC 9889;

Oriade - PDP 10108, APC 9778;

Iwo - PDP 6122, APC 7644;

Egbedore - PDP 1808, APC 2325;

Isokan - PDP 9048, APC 7191;

and Osogbo PDP 14,499, APC- 23,379.

He can thank me later.

rock003:
Show your identity here and place your RCCG identity beside it. Until then, you are an Islamic bigot and apologist posing as a Christian.

Whatever makes u sleep at night.

Chemcrown:
This is what I love to correct in Redeem member; you are not a redeemer. JESUS IS A REDEEMER.

Thanks man. I'm a Redeemed.

Throwback:
You are a Redeemed and not a Redeemer.

Who the hell are you to call your self a Redeemer? Have you saved your own soul talkless of redeeming the soul of others?

Oya, thank you. Heaven Spokesman.

When u re correcting anybody, u don't have to sound pained.

rock003:
And how are you sure this is not true? Or you wwant people to think it is a lie because you are a Muslim?

Or maybe that's your plan: to rubbish the post and call it a lie once the secret is leaked?

Lol. I'm a Christian, a Redeemer to be precise. What are you? A religious fanatic?

Dateline:14th April,2007
Time: 3.45 pm
Location:INEC State Collation Centre Asaba,Delta state
There was apprehension in the hall. Field reports that were trickling in showed that the DPP candidate, Great Ogboru was giving the PDP’s candidate,Dr Uduaghan a run for his money.
I shot a glance at the PDP’s Chief Returning Officer, Patrick Okowa, and saw anguish all over his mien. Then the NTA’s live broadcast of the INEC National Situation Room came up. The Chairman, Prof. Morris Iwu was about to announce some results.


For us at the Centre in Asaba, we were non-committal about the appearance for we knew that elections were still taking place in a few areas in Delta and that just a few results that were yet to be sorted had been brought to the collation centre. But nonetheless, we watched .
“The results of the Delta Gubernatorial elections are as follows...The PDP candidate Dr Emmanuel Uduaghan is returned as the winner of the elections”. At first silence pervaded all over the hall , then Okowa erupted into wild jubilation ,screaming “ POWER, POWER, POWER, POWER”.


There was no further need to wait behind for the results to come in, INEC under Iwu had manufactured results and announced a winner. That atrocious rape of democracy lasted for three years , before the Supreme Court upturned it and ordered another elections.
Billions that would have been used for other purposes were then poured into a needless exercise. This thread will answer pertinent questions such as, Can what happened in Delta happen again? Put succinctly, Can INEC rig the elections even if it wanted?
To answer, let me attempt to deconstruct election rigging patterns over time in Nigeria through a historical detour. Stick with me. We are going somewhere.
Under the military era in 1999, the crude manipulation of election results that later became the norm was largely absent.

The General Abdulsalami Abubakar regime used its powers to influence the primaries of the PDP which was the party that had the backing of the junta. The main elections were largely left to the electorates and politicians to determine.
Let me not twist history, that election was not anywhere close to what we can call an ideal election, given the many infractions of ballot box stuffing and collusion of officials with politicians to allow the stuffing go unimpeded.
But the Justice Akpata INEC had the support of the military and was able to maintain some peace thereby allowing us to see flashes of people power taking place at the polls in some States . For instance , what one could call an electoral revolution took place in Sokoto state.
The PDP had swept virtually all the local govts & most of the NASS seats in the first elections.Anybody that was somebody in Sokoto was behind the PDP.The election was expected to merely be a coronation for Yabo,the PDP’s candidate when against all expectations APP’s Bafarawa won
This was a reward for hard work for Bafarawa’s door to door campaign & the ingenuity of his man Friday,Alh Umarun Kwabo,one of the only known supporters that aligned with him.Kebbi State was another example.The PDP had also swept all the local govts & most of the NASS seats.

But,the military’s unwise decision to replace late Alh Abubakar Koko,the winner of the PDP primaries with late Bello Khaliel was disastrous.Two days to the elections,Koko aligned with one of his godsons who was the flag bearer of the APP and ordered his supporters to “eat corn”.
Adamu Aliero emerged governor. In the S/West, the AD won in-spite of the efforts of the military. These instances shows that although the elections were clearly structured to achieve a desired outcome, the people still had some say in what happened at the polls in some states.
Following, the return to the barracks of the military, any discipline and restraint that the jackboot approach of the military could have imposed on the polity was lost. By 2003, some of the most brazen and utterly disgusting rigging patterns were unleashed on the polity.


This reign was supervised by that EDO born intellectual,Dr Abel Guobadia. Ballot box snatching and stuffing,allocation of votes, intimidation of voters, violence, you name the electoral infraction and it was committed in the 2003 elections. The PDP ‘swept’ the S/West bar Lagos.
The audacity with which that electoral impunity was supervised gave rise to the calls for the reforms of the electoral system. OBJ was unimpressed. He had conquered the country. The accusations against him of lacking “home support” had been reversed.
By 2005, Baba replaced Guobadia with the infamous Prof Morris Iwu who not only continued with the tradition of crude manipulation of elections but took it a notch higher.

Such was the decadence and lack of credibility of elections conducted by the INEC under Iwu that Yar’Adua,the winner of the 2007 presidential election conducted by him, openly questioned the integrity of his election in his inauguration speech and vowed to do something about it.
He set up the Justice Uwais Committee which made far-reaching recommendations on electoral reforms. Yar’Adua could not implement these recommendations before death took this great Nigerian away from us.

I was seated in the middle of the NUC Auditorium in June 2010,listening to Prof Mahmood Yakubu, then ES of TETFUND make his remarks at the opening ceremony of a stakeholders forum on TETFUND when I got an SMS that Prof Jega had been tapped by President Jonathan to lead the INEC.
I leaned forward and gave Prof Jega,who was seated in front of me a gentle tap. He turned and I congratulated him. His appointment was the culmination of a long process of seeking that one credible Nigerian who could undo the years of electoral systems and process mismanagement.

Everyone agreed that his choice was spot on. He conducted the 2011 elections which GEJ won but which was challenged by GMB. Although that election was not perfect, it was agreed that the results reflected the will of voters at the polls.
I had been told by sources that one of the reasons Mike Ahamba(SAN) fell out with GMB was the former’s insistence that the latter should not continue with seeking legal redress since results available to them showed that they lost that election.The elections had its own problems.

There was evidence of over voting and ballot box snatching and all , but the Supreme Court still held that the elections complied substantially with the Electoral Act.
While everyone was still contemplating what else could be done, Jega came up with technology as a solution to many of the identified problems in election management.
Enter the Smart Card Reading Machines, Permanent Voters Card and Electronic Data Capture of voters. These innovations got the full backing of GEJ and paved the way for the electoral revolution that would soon follow.

First, with the electronic capture or accreditation, the era of temporary registration of voters was done away with. Before now, for every election cycle, INEC would carry out voters registrations and issue paper voters cards.This process made room for manipulation of the system.
For instance,Rivers state,in 2003, a miracle happened.The Registered voters for that election was 2,272,238. In a yet to be beaten National Record,95.5% of registered voters i.e 2,171,215 came out to vote & 92.7% ( 2,003,521)voted for PDP’s OBJ;42,346 or 2% voted for APP’s GMB.

If we consider that the national average for election turn out has NEVER exceeded 55% , what we had in Rivers was ‘miraculous ‘. That was possible because it was easy to collude with officials and allocate numbers to parties.
The innovation introduced by Jega would take care of that. With the call for voters registration, politicians, sticking true to type started their manipulations. They populated the register with fake names, underage voters, aliens , etc, just to sex-up their numbers and prove to
themselves that they had the numbers to win elections. Unbeknownst to them was the fact that, the new technology , which was compiling biometric information was going to make sure that it was not business as usual.

First, the personal collections of PVCs ensured that many
who had falsely registered could not come along to pick up their cards. This perhaps accounts for the 7m uncollected PVCs. In Bayelsa for example, cases of pictures sourced from Al manacs were found. The number was close to about 40,000. The computers found them and automatically
deleted them from the system. In Anambra, over 600,000 names had to be de-listed. However, the most important aspect of the PVC and Smart card reader introduction was the ability to clearly determine the actual number of voters that appear on the day of elections.

So, no way can any officials, after accreditation simply allot unaccredited votes to parties which was usually the norm. You see, in many places before now, once the voters that had turned up to vote were determined, politicians, through their agents pay the Electoral Officers to
allocate the registered voters as documented in the register to them. Any party with more money and influence in a polling unit grabs it, that’s why you hear statements like “ I delivered my ward”. This was a decisive blow for election riggers.
Thank you thus far.Let us now go to the meat of the matter. Before I answer the main question of ‘if INEC can rig the 2019 elections’, let me first delve into how the 2015 elections was won using figures from a few states .This is important to answer the rigging questions.

By the end of voting in the presidential elections on March 28, 2015, it was obvious to experts on elections that something unprecedented was about to happen. Our observers were reporting numbers that were unbelievable.
( This is where I urge you to follow me and also the ISDMG handles on Twitter, you will get elections analysis and reportage like you have never seen before, this time, no one will tell you the story).

Let’s continue. The numbers:
Total Registered voters: 67,422,005
Total accreditation:31,746,490
Total votes cast: 29,432,083
Total Valid votes: 28,587,564
Total rejected votes: 844,519
Total polling units 98,489
Full Biometric Authentication:10,266,139
Card only Authentication: 13,377,340
%success Full Biometric:43
%failed card only Biometric:57
Folks, look closely at these numbers.

I will begin to analyze them with more numbers. You shall see how GEJ lost, why PMB won, and how the South East made Buhari President by default.
You will also see what went wrong with the elections under Jega and what Prof Mahmood has done about it.The essence of this full disclosure is to foreground my insistence that elections are getting better under Mahmood and that 2019 will be very credible from the side of the EMB,

I cannot vouch for security agencies or politicians given the current scourge of vote buying.I will return to this.
By the end of the elections,the APC’s candidate won with the following votes:
Buhari APC ————15,424,921
Jonathan PDP————12,853,162
The margin of lead was —2,571,759
If you take a closer scrutiny at the numbers, the first thing to jump at you is the fact that there is a huge difference in the total number of votes cast and the total number of full and partial accreditation.


For emphasis:
Total votes cast=29,432,083
Total full &partial =23,643,479
The result is: 5,788,604
If you remove invalid votes from the number, you get 4,944,085.
The significance of this number is that almost 5m persons participated in the
elections without going through full or partial Biometric accreditation. They were captured using incidence forms. Why is this important?The reality of the 2015 election was that it pitched sections of the country against each other. So,while the South East and South South Voted
overwhelmingly for the PDP,the North East & North West stuck with the APC.The N/Central & S/West were not as defining as these places. Let us take a look at 4 states of Kano,Katsina,Rivers, & Akwa Ibom, states that usually churn out huge numbers before the arrival of technology.

In Kano,although there were 4,993,471 accredited voters in the state, a total number of 4,426,661 PVCs were distributed. On Election Day, 2,364,434 voters were accredited . However, out of this number, only 288,644 had FULL Biometric Accreditation(FBA).
FBA means that, they were present, the card reader identified their PVCs as genuine, then a “handshake” between the card reader and voter and PVC is consummated with the finger print of the person, meaning that there is not a shred of doubt that the individual is the owner of
the card and is eligible to vote. On same day, in Kano, 1,358,537 voters were accredited partially(PBA). Meaning that only their PVCs was authenticated, their finger prints could not be read. This brings the total of FBA and PBA to 1,647,181.

Therefore, a whopping 717,253 voters were allowed to vote without FBA or PBA. These persons were captured with incidence forms. These are part of that 5m.

Let’s go to Katsina:
Total registered 2,842,678
PVC collected 2,656,466
Total accredited 1,578,646
FBA 398,843
PBA 1,045,994
FBA +PBA=1,44,837
133,809 voters were captured with incidence forms.

Rivers
Registered voters 2,538,535
PVC distribution 1,468,020
Total accredited 1,643,409
FBA 152,975
PBA 158,844
FBA+PBA=311,819
1,331,590 persons voted in Rivers state without accreditation but with incidence forms. These were part of the 5m.Hmmm!

Akwa Ibom
Registered voters 1,717,766
PVCs distribution 1,596,471
Total accredited 1,074,070
FBA 234,141
PBA 288,755
PBA + FBA=522,896
A total of 1,194,870 persons voted in Akwa Ibom with incidence forms. Part of the 5m.

This was the case in every state. Mostly from the South. So, the notion in many places , particularly from the South that votes were pumped up in the North may just not be the total picture. The manifestations were more in the South than it was in the North.
Consider this, if Kano had unleashed its registered voters population on Election Day, there would have been over 4m voters ready to thumb print with no one to stop them. So, why did Buhari still win even with such high number of non-Biometric accreditation in the South.
The answer is simple: The South East refused to turn up for GEJ. They handed victory to PMB. Let’s carry out a summary analysis of the five states in the South East but we shall highlight Abia as a metaphor of the widespread apathy in the South East on Election Day.

Abia
Reg voters 1,396,166
PVCs collected 1,192,268,
Total accredited 442,538
FBA 218,599
PBA 102,401
FBA+PBA= 320000
Incident forms =122,538

The total voting capacity of the South East ,using only those that collected PVCs as reference as at 2015 was 6,692,752. How many came out to vote? 3,060,093.Only 46% of voters in the S/East turned out to vote.The number from GEJ’s home state of Bayelsa was even more ridiculous.
Out of the 605, 637 Registered voters, only 384,789 came out to support their son.
I have deliberately refrained from using registered voters most of this analysis because I am aware of the shenanigans of politicians during registration.

I have already highlighted how they pumped up the register but how do you explain the refusal of those who collected their PVcs to vote?
The unusually high number of incidence forms was the subject of litigation in the various tribunals . To ensure that our votes counted, the Mahmood INEC decided to do two things: first, include the use of card readers and technology as a whole in the legal framework and then the
very bold move of outlawing incidence forms in the elections .
What is the implication of these moves? Only voters who accomplish the hybrid of card reader and PVC verification will be allowed to vote. In fact, anywhere card readers don’t work, the election is to be
suspended till the next day to enable the INEC rectify or bring back up machines .

This was the major failing of the Jega INEC which made the courts to cancel an unprecedented number of the 2015 elections thereby casting a huge dent on the credibility of that effort.
This bold move has started yielding dividends. It has become not only difficult to snatch and stuff ballot boxes since that is irrelevant, but now, politicians can no longer allot votes to themselves. This is the reason why votes buying has become the last resort of politicians.
To answer the question, can INEC rig elections now? An emphatic NO. With these innovations, the role of the EMB is gradually being diminished.

There is virtually nothing an INEC official can do for anyone anymore. Politicians have realized this and have shifted the gear to
the public who unfortunately, are colluding with them and of course security to compromise the years of reforms in the INEC that has started to pay dividend. The Mahmood reform was tested in Osun where only one incidence firm was used and that was to accommodate the PDP
candidate whose Biometric could not be read on Election Day. For this to happen, an express approval was sort and received from the HQ. It won’t happen again. The best bet for politicians is to campaign hard and sell themselves to voters. Prof Mahmood ‘s personal integrity
itself is another reason not to have any doubts. I have shared with you all how this paved the way for credible elections in Bayelsa, Anambra and many other places. At a one time, the then APC chairman accused him of being a mole of the PDP and the PDP accused him of
working for the APC.

This is a good sign. It simply means that he is for nobody( apologies to Baba). So, let skeptics go grab their PVCs , listen to political actors and feel free to vote for anyone, knowing very well that no manipulation from the EMB is possible.
Except they decide to sell their votes and that one is a different matter. It is refreshing to read that Prof Mahmood has vowed to do something about vote buying starting from Osun elections,let us watch how that one turns out.

Thanks for sticking here .

The End.

https://mobile.twitter.com/AMADICHIMA/status/1033835109915545601

sarrki:
Dele Momodu

Bod Dee

You missed this completely

You missed it

Pmb is our man

That saraki is a criminal

I've heard many people call this man a criminal. But once I ask for something that back up their claims all thy give is speculation. Mr. Patriot sir, please clear my doubts.

abescom:
And you think APC also do not know this?

Of course they do.

blackpanda:
Why will a minority leader be allowed to head an organization. Last I checked democracy is leadership by the majority. All d defecting and redefecting couldn't pull APC down. Saraki should resign, just like akpabio. This is apc's time, not pdp

Constitutionally, Akpabio's position as the minority leader is very different from Saraki's position as the senate president.

NB: I'm not against anything legal. Whether he's impeached or not, as long as the rules are followed. No problem.

abescom:
This is the puzzle. But I guess APC are deliberately letting the heat be on Saraki in other to destabilise him and nothing more.

Exactly, how they started blaming him for the national assembly invasion saga still amuses me.

abescom:
How will they successfully impeach Buhari or did you just type that without thinking?

To impeach Saraki will be far easier than impeach Buhari. If it were possible to impeach Buhari do you think Saraki will wait till now? Or if it was that possible how come it is APC that is calling for the house to reconvene and it is Saraki that's running?

He knows how this country works. Once he his impeached, legally or not, for the court to do anything regarding that will take 5 years or more.

I see no BIG reason why Saraki should be impeached. It's less than a year to the general elections, so why the rush?