Appleyard's Posts
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usmanpogo:You confuse formal defense pact with prevailing geopolitical strategic needs. The Russians had no mutual defense pact with Syria but went to war against US sponsored regime change ops against Assad, dismantling the diabolic western design against Syria for many years because Russia's geopolitical interest are threatened. Iran would be no exemption when push comes to shove. |
emmaodet:Some of you really do think so low of Iran's capabilities to inflict significant damage on the enemy. If you think some random bunch of terrorists in their 15000s will scare or bring Iran into submission, think again. Iran has been killing terrorists since the days of Assad. Plus you're missing the bigger picture in this. First, Iran isn't some desert flatland like Iraq or Libya with a centralized military. It is a fortress of dangerous mountains and rugged terrain that hides its capabilities from even the most sophisticated bunker busting bombs of the enemy. You can call it an asymmetric poison pill that would require hundreds of thousands of elite troops to storm, a chance that even the most crazy political leaders and military planners in the west wouldn't dare to take. What's more? Folks actually forget how quick Iran can also open up other fronts against the enemy. If you actually think Hezbollah can no longer launch missiles and the Shia militias in Iraq cannot cause mayhem on their part, then you seriously need to wake up. There is a reason Israel continues to carry out preemptive strikes in Lebanon in a quiet order. Besides, is not like they'd easily infiltrate the Iranian borders like before. Iran's recent counterintelligence efforts has been surprisingly encouraging to the extent that even western MSM and think tanks can't hide their disbelief and admiration at the speed and sophisticated way Tehran dismantled the recent and one of the world's most extensive network of infiltration and sabotage in modern history. Guy, Iran no be cake walk. Furthermore, if the US actually elate to deploy the "freed isis" terrorists as ground troop against Iran, this could give the Russians the legal excuse to act and directly target the terrorists wherever they'd be deployed, and trust the Iraqi, Syrian, and Turkish government to provide the needed aerial permissions for the the Russian air force to run rampage sorties against the terrorists target. After all, ISIS is a hostis humanis generis. Secondly, the huge missing of US strike capabilities spearheaded by the two deployed carrier strike groups is enough to strike fear into any country's military in the region, but not Iran. Iran does not need to fight to win. A 48-hour disruption of the Strait is enough to send western markets crashing down like the walls of Jericho. Hundreds of unmanned fast boats and the recently tested carrier killer Sayyed 3-G missile is enough to achieve the intended damage. Don't be fooled. No F-16s, F-15s, or raptors can pursue and intercept hypersonics missiles. Some of US war planners are in league with the Dems to effectively kill Trump's presidency. They will achieve their aim via Iran. As you make your bed, you will lie on it. |
WriteerNg:So much for democracy. Imagine if this was Russia, our brothers on the other side no go let us hear word. |
WriteerNg:Persia ready for whatever. |
mysticwarrior:That is a fact. Oshiomole said the samr thing sometime ago. A lot of things are going on underground in this country. However, they illegal miners are having a field day because our government allows it to thrive. While some big ups in the military are involved and getting paid to look the other way and do virtually nothing about the incessant killings, our politicians are busy playing politics with people's lives by choosing not to act firmly for their selfish political reasons. Under normal circumstances, these criminals wouldn't last one week facing the Nigerian infantry army. But for politics, greed and sheer negligence, we have what we have today. It's pathetic really. |
WriterrNg:Take a closer look at Iran's highly placed personnel and their comments since the 12D and the US buildup in the region. They're just not one of defiance, but a subtle show of'rare' confidence that rest on a game-changing fulcrum: nukes or something equally big. A former CIA director once said that the Saudis helped finance Pakistan's nuclear program, which logically denotes that, Saudi Arabia already have nuclear capabilities, and the US is aware of this fact. The Iranians are also aware of this. Now, bring your reasoning to logical deductions . Iran already has nukes---it would make no sense if they hadn't since the Saudis now has that capability. And that is the source of their confidence. I will never forget the words of Ahmad Bakhshayesh Ardestani, re-elected to the Iranian parliament in March last year, saying that Iran's decision to risk attacking Israel in April stemmed from its possession of nuclear weapons. The fact that they have not publicly declared it doesn't rule out that possibility. A showdown with the US in the region will offer the perfect alibi to hit harder, then simulate a tactical nuke strike, which would immediately send the US and Israel running back home and calling for an immediate ceasefire on all fronts. Time will tell. |
WriteerNg:Na now day breake you. Midget. You suck your own blood dry to please your master in the name of say you dey play geopolitics. You and the BRICS countries, who is deindustralizing? |
WriteerNg:Hillary Clinton, Kamala Harris and the rest of the gang in the Dems coven are salivating with bulged out eyes hoping this would come true. |
Alamkiir:Both the Chinese and the west are neck deep in illegal mining operations in Africa. The painful part is that, our government are complicit in this whole mess. |
dermmy:Trump is waging a psychological warfare against Iran. His 'madman' theoretical approach since the killing of soleimani has largely been ineffective against Tehran. Instead of weakening the Iranian government, the madman strategy has backfired spectacularly, as Iranians rallies round the government in the wake of the US led external threats. The people would rather suffer economic hardship in peace with their government than live with a western democratic pistol to their heads. Moreover, the Trump's strategy has forced Iran to move from being defensive into a state of proactiveness, signalling it would no longer hesitate to strike where and when necessary no matter whose horse is gored. This is seriously frustrating the Trump's camp, and all those call for a second carrier strike group is demonstration of that frustration. They can't back down now because it will show weakness. But they can't also attack Iran now because they will surely suffer huge casualties and possibly plunge the whole region into a bloody war and as well destroy the Republicans chances of retaining control over the two legislative houses come November. . Na better one chance Trump and his amateurish geopolitical strategists don enter. |
WriterrNg:I never ruled out that possibility. In fact, in late December, I did said that a second war with Iran will most likely happen between January and February this year. So, that timeline still holds. But, with each passing week, that window of opportunity to hit hard at Iran without paying a heavy price keeps closing. Iran grows stronger everyday in both defense and offensive capabilities. If there is going to be an attack now, it would come first from Israel. Trump is adverse to heavy losses, especially in an election year. He is desperately trying hard to fend off this attack but Netanyahoo and his demonic war hawks are not having it. The excuses you're hearing now are just the typical Trump's way of wriggling his way out of a potentially catastrophic scenario that could end his political reign forever. |
WriterrNg:That's reverse psychology. The clown is tacitly chickening out. |
WriterrNg:Maybe you should just send the entire 12 fleet of the US Carrier groupings to the region to force Tehran to destroy its ballistic missiles program and lives at the mercy of the genocidal army. Moronic twats. |
WriteerNg:Sometimes in geopolitics, you don't shout---you whisper. That's exactly what China has done. It's a message: all options are on the table. If you think you'd do to Iran what you did to Venezuela without any consequences, you're deeply mistaking. |
WriteerNg:The thief has met his match and has shamelessly assumed an advisory role. |
FoolishBoy419:Surely, it will get to China and Russia. |
Fash20:The Fordow attack on June 2025 was the first time ever the GBU-57 was used in live combat against an enemy, and it's a shame that the US military planners elated to used such a costly and highly secretive ordinance on a mere Nuclear facility underground, when they had other bomb options. From the intelligence assessment that later came out after the initial attack, it was clear that the bombs were wasted because they only scratched the surface as against the "obliterated" claim touted earlier. This indicate two possibilities: either Pentagon war planners are lazy thinkers----they failed to calculate the geological risk factors into the potential outcome that will determine the success or failure rate----or the bombs are just another big, costly for nothing boondoggle contractors sold to the government. 14 ton unexplored ordinances? I wonder how many GBU-57 makes up that number. Bombs fails but that's too much a failure rate. In a sane country, someone should be going to prison. or doing a refund. But not in America where the MIC and its lobbyIsts political class are kings sucking the life out of the US. |
WriteerNg:While some of us would really want Iran to go on the offensive, I don't think a preemptive strike now would suit their chances. You have to looK at the bigger picture. At a time when most US allies in the region and across Europe are giving the US and Israel a cold shoulder vis-a-vis the Gaza, Qatar Venezuela, and Greenland events. It would be unwise for Iran to play the aggressor and give that camp a reason to rethink their current stance against supporting the US/Israel war drums beating against Tehran. Iran's high readiness level is enough punishment for them already. They understand now that any attack on Iran, whether limited or not, will receive immediate retaliation, and no amount of Special forces deployment to Azerbaijan or Turkmenistan can stop the retaliation. There is a reason why the US keep asking for further talks: they have no appetite for a regional war that could easily spiral out of control, which is exactly what an attack on Iran poses. Besides, the Midterms are here, and any military misadventures could see the Dems steamrolling back in control of both legislative houses. Lastly, Iran's military doctrine advocate deterrence first and offensive actions later. And let's not forget that this is asymmetric warfare, and it's not determine by who possess the weapons or fires the first shot but how much a side is willing to lose by firing the shot. Therefore, as it stands now, i think Iran is handling the situation well. Let the frustration drives them mad as Tehran stands resolved on its demands. They'd either chicken out or blunder into attacking Iran. Either way, they're headed for shameful exit. |
It's western media confession time about the deadliness of the Russian Oreshnik. https://youtube.com/shorts/0YP0Sv4y6sw?si=TOIYfqTVQr64-Epk Fight Russia head on at your own peril. ![]() |
WriterrNg:Put it plainly; dedollarisation is having a toll gradually. |
Jovi10:You're arguing with people that believe in the ghost of kiev. They'd believe anything. |
WriteerNg:This will not scale through. Zelensky is still hell bent on not ceding territories, which is a major demand of the Russians. The midterms will scath the Republicans; thanks to Trump's high-handedness with the ICE fiasco. |
amadivv:Your post reeks of hypocrisy and selective narrative. You're doing exactly what you accuse others of doing: moral grandstanding built on selective outrage and recycled Western talking points. The fact that you could conveniently choose to dismiss whether or not the mine will explode lay bare your malicious intent to dismiss the evidence and draw conclusions so long as the accuse is Russia. First, your claim that “Africans are being sent as disposable cannon fodder” is not some neutral humanitarian concern on yoUr part. It's a narrative, and a very familiar one. The West has used the same script everywhere: Libya, Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan, now Ukraine. You take a complex war, strip it of context, inject racialized emotion charged by sheer propaganda, and then present yourself as the only moral referee. Same movie, different cinema. We see through the haze. If this was really about dignity as you claimed, you would not dismiss evidence but take the lead by asking basic questions: ---Why in Amadivv’s name would Russia strap a mine to the neck of its soldier? ---Has Russia ran out of Gerans and missiles that it now requires suicide soldiers to kill Ukrainian soldiers? ---Assuming we're to grant the benefit of the doubt, is the Russian war planners so dumb that they didn't consider strapping the African suicide soldiers with suicide vest that are more effective and destructive than a mine? ---Between Russia and Ukraine, which is methodical in tactics? Who is wasting assets on the frontlines? ---BTW, where is the link to the purported Russian Telegram channel from where the supposed video emanated as claimed by the western source that posted it? None of you bothered to ask those questions because they complicate the story for your lot. Once you dismiss the evidence, you've already taken sides. Your hypocrisy smells like uranium. Second, the mine argument is not “goalpost shifting,” it’s called evidence. In war reporting, details matter. Whether an explosion will occur or not from a mine when shot, changes responsibility and goes to the root of the matter at hand. Dismissing facts as “technical distractions” is how propaganda works. Once facts become inconvenient, suddenly “nobody cares.” That’s not truth-seeking; that’s narrative protection on your part. Until you start putting facts into clear, deductible and logical perspective, you'd end up parroting Western hypocrisy, which has been one of the Hallmark of the Ukrainian war. The same Western media you're relying on to lecture everyone about human dignity lied about Iraq’s WMDs, sold Libya’s destruction as “humanitarian intervention”, lied about Syria chemical attacks l, and lied about Bucha. That’s not justice; that’s information warfare. So when someone like you parrots those same outlets and then says “if you cared about truth…" we should clap for him? Nah. A hypocrite is a hypocrite, especially one born, bred and thrive on western propaganda. Also, the idea by some of you that defending factual accuracy equals “defending Russia” is childish thinking. This is one reason I don't bother engaging most of you because you deliberately chose to reason like kids. You can criticize war and criticize propaganda at the same time. But some of you can’t do that because your worldview hinges on a simple good-vs-evil script written in Washington. It is ironical you're calling others “narrative defenders” while repeating Western-approved language word-for-word. That’s not independent thinking; that’s outsourcing your moral compass. It's why Bob Marley cried “emancipate yourself from mental slavery.” You dey shout “open your eyes,” but na another man glasses you wear. Nobody is saying war is clean. Nobody is saying dignity doesn’t matter. But if your outrage only switches on when MSM outlets like CNN or BBC tell you to feel it, then you’re not defending Africans, you’re just being used as emotional ammunition. You don't have to defend a video that is clearly propaganda just because it paints one side bad and depict your kind as animals. Truth as we know it doesn’t need performance, and dignity doesn’t need propaganda. I will not reply to this anymore. Bye. |
LordAdam16:Cuba was accepted as a BRICS partner state the same year Venezuela and Nicaragua were excluded. So, Cuba is stilll under observation. |
LordAdam16:You’re speaking facts here, honestly. Russia and Iran no be mates at all in terms of starting point or room to maneuver. Russia had a window with its G8 membership, access to capital, tech, markets, reserves stacked. Putin gambled: “let me rebuild first, sanctions later,” and it worked. By the time sanctions came, Russia don already get buffer. Big economy, energy leverage, arms exports, deep reserves. Na billionaire wey dey complain say economy hard. Iran? Completely different story. Sanctions before 1979 even finish, sanctions during the war, sanctions after. War with Saddam scatter everything for 8 solid years, and the US never remove its foot from Iran neck since then. No breathing space, no reset button. Na like person wey never recover from accident before another trailer hit am. So yeah, how Iran still dey stand today na miracle. If sanctions truly be “peaceful tools,” Iran for don vanish. Instead, dem survive—barely. And make we no decieve ourselves: if you punish a country nonstop for 45 years, deny am growth, security, dignity… abeg, who no go look for ultimate deterrent? Even angel fit preach, hunger and threat no dey hear sermon. Na realpolitik, not morality. Notwithstanding, Iran go survive. It's destined to. |
emmaodet:Trump is acting out the playbook of Elbridge Colby. He go soon jam rock. |
Namaster:That man has menal issues. |
WriteerNg:This one no be small matter, and people dey seriously underrate wetin this means. Khorramshahr-4 no be those old “parade missiles” wey people dey laugh at. This thing na heavy hitter. 1,500kg warhead alone tell you say Iran no dey design am for warning shots — na for overwhelming defenses. Let's be honest: --US missile defense systems were built for limited threats, not massed, fast, precision strikes from multiple vectors. --Patriot? Designed mainly for aircraft and short-range threats. Against Mach 8+ terminal speeds? Na prayer point. --THAAD? Very good, but limited numbers, fixed sites, and easily saturated. ---Aegis on destroyers? Effective, but radar horizon + reaction time dey work against am when missiles dey come steep and fast. When a missile dey hit Mach 16 exo-atmospheric and Mach 8 end-game, you’ve already eaten half your interception window before anybody even finish shouting “track confirmed.” Now add the underground bases to the mix. That’s the real headache. These missiles don't sit on open launchers wey satellite go catch easily. Dem dey underground, hardened, dispersed. You no fit do “first strike and neutralize” easily. Na shoot-and-hide warfare, and Iran has practiced this for years. US assets in the region? Let’s have a look: ---fixed airbases ---predictable naval patrol routes ---clustered logistics hubs ---oil infrastructure nearby All of them are big, expensive, and visible. Iran’s missiles are relatively cheaper and designed to come in numbers. Defense cost more than offense here — bad economics for the defender. And the accuracy (~30m CEP) means this no be “area terror weapon” alone. Runways, fuel depots, radar sites, command centers — all valid targets. If one or two hits no kill a base, twenty arriving almost together in their hypersonic speed? Different story. As for reaction time? Bro, Mach 8 terminal speed means: ---if you blink, you don miss am ---If you sneeze, e don land That’s why all this talk of “we’ll intercept everything” na Hollywood. Real life no dey give pause button. ![]() All joke aside, this is one of the reasons Washington is suddenly cautious. Not because Iran is invincible, but because US assets cannot absorb damage the way Iran’s doctrine allows it to dish out. No be say lion no fit fight — e just dey count how many teeth hyena get before e jump. This missile deployment na message: “If fight start, nobody go sleep well.” Persia has spoken. ![]() |
Jovi10:No, continue arguing. Wait until they tell you nines are strapped on the head to head the enemy. Some of you just love wasting your precious time arguing with folks that has twisted minds. |
LordAdam16:Your head dey d matter wella. I be think say na only me dey see wetin they sup for the Iran matter. The “Arab pressure” explanation na lazy analysis. E dey convenient for Western media because e removes agency from Washington and makes Arabs look like sudden power brokers. But that no dey explain the speed and direction of the US U-turn. Make we talk am as e be. This no be gradual concession. This na hard brake + reverse gear. One hour gap between “we’re walking away” and “we accept Iran’s terms” no be diplomacy — na reaction. Something jam. Arab pressure alone no fit do that. Gulf states dey influential, yes, but dem no dey flip US red lines overnight. Dem dey persuade, not panic Washington. What really dey smell here is fear of loss of control. First, the Israelis tanked the talks — that part important. The US gave them space, like always, and instead of coordination, Tel Aviv went rogue politically. Washington suddenly realized say negotiations were being used as cover, not a pathway. Once that became clear, the US faced a choice: --keep playing along and get dragged into a war on Israeli timing, or --rip the script and reset fast Na why dem swallowed Iran’s preconditions like bitter leaf. Better bad deal than unmanaged escalation. if you notIce wetin Vance taLk recently, Trump no want a repeat of the Iraq experience. Second, the US intelligence purview probably changed. Many don’t see that side, but sudden erratic behavior usually means new information like: --Iranian readiness levels --regional allies refusing basing or overflight --missile stockpile survivability and capabilities (no forget the recent ICBM test). --or credible signals that Iran would strike first if talks collapsed Once the Pentagon big boys start whispering “this could spiral fast,” ideology goes out the window as the new reality comes through the door. That ICBM test indicate that no US assets in the region is safe. Third — and this one key no be joke — the US is stretched thin like catapult. Ukraine no gree finish. Red Sea still hot. Asia dey boil quietly. Opening a Middle East war now would be strategic malpractice in the geopolitical exam hall. Even Washington hawks know that. Dem fit like war, but dem like controlled war, not chaos they can't control. Israel now dey in shock because the usual script fail. Normally: --Israel objects --US applies pressure on others --Israel gets quiet green light This time, Washington said “no be now, no be like this.” Na why Netanyahu dey scramble, call emergency meeting like person when brokos dey miss, dey shout “dialogue,” bring Pentagon big men enter room. That’s not confidence; that’s damage control. Yes, an independent Israeli strike is possible, But very risky. Without US political cover and logistical depth, that move fit isolate Israel fast in terms of diplomacy and militarily. So you’re right: Arab pressure no be the sole or real driver. The driver na Washington realizing it was losing steering control of the escalation ladder. As we dey say for Naija: when bus driver suddenly matcH brake, no be because road fine — na because e see accident ahead. Something changed. We just haven’t seen it yet. Make we still dey watch. |
WriterrNg:Multiply that number by 10, then multiply the answer against each year since the war began (2022-2025), and you will get the regrettable figure this clown is really talking about. |
LordAdam16:Iran already has nukes. That I believe. |
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