₦airaland Forum

garfield1:
I am not talking of the opposition part.but by the way,odoh is a fairweather politician.he won't play opposition

Ok then.

Because the governor was sounding as if anybody was begging him to make the opponents a part of his government..


Whereas the opponents are supposed to become the opposition, which also is a part of government on its own.

Failure of the opposition means an all-round failure in governance.

garfield1:
He is not from abakaliki as he implied

So..??

Does it stop him from being an active opposition to the government of the state?

garfield1:
Odoh is an exza man

So, it means anything spectacular?

It prevents him from being an active opposition?

They have no choice.

“Worst” is to chicken out and stay by the sidelines.

“Fair” is to stick close around in silence and hope to be fed crumbs from their table.

“Best” is to become an active opposition.

dre11:
https://dailytrust.com/what-bandits-told-us-before-we-found-nabeehas-corpse-uncle/

Is this the prophesied sacrifice??

The sacrifice which according to the prophecies -- would turn a lot of things up-side-down..

bennybuhari:
What will the kidnappers do with the N60m ransom?

Is there anyway the money could be tracked if spent?

The Naira is made in such a way that it cannot be tracked.

Blame Game Continued..


Before you came in,, you blamed.
All the while you were there, you blamed all through.
Now you're out, you're still blaming.


Shame on you abbegg..

You don't beg for Opposition..
The Opposition arise if there is need.

PDP and APGA are already supposed to be your automatic oppositions, and to keep you on your toes all through.

So, it is up to them to take up their role,, or to slack and and allow you to rule unopposed.

.

.
.

Ok...
For anybody that will come to type to me to move on...

NA THUNDER GO FAAAYA THAT PERSON'S MOUTH AND FINGERS.

Na Opposition We Be.
We are also in the business of governance,, but on the parallel side of it.
On the opposite side of it.

My Personal Analysis....

Preamble:
The 2023 Presidential Election had come and gone and forgotten.
That's okay. We are moving on.

But the ripple effects of the presidential election are still affecting the future elections that are coming after it.
For instance, the off-cycle elections in Imo State and Kogi State were good examples.

The type of electoral fraud which took place in Kogi and Imo State made me to look back to the figures-and-data that were presented in the public during the Presidential Election, and it spurred me to do some totally different fresh analyses all over again.


Introduction to the topic of the analysis:
Of all the Five Petitioners at the tribunal, none of them ever paid any attention to the aspect of over-voting..
None of the petitioners tried to determine the extent of over-voting which occured during the presidential election, and how many registered voters it affected.

And we the voters also didn't bother to look in that direction too...

Well, not until the gross malpractice in Imo State and Kogi State happened in November 2023,, then I started seeking all-over again for the Presidential Election Figures, which more-or-less had already been forgotten.

The Methods Of Analysis Used.
I remembered that a particular data-analyst by the name Mark-Essien tried to digitize the values of the votes scored by the Four Major Contending parties, by using the photos of the Results-sheets which uploaded to the IREV-Portal by the INEC, and to use the digitized values of the votes to re-collate the election results all over again..
https://www.nairaland.com/7628069/mark-essiens-irev-collation-used

In this study of mine, I used those digitized data which he presented in the dataset which he released to do the analyses.

I also remembered that in the process of the digitization by Mark-Essien, he also published the number of Accredited Voters for each polling-unit which were transmitted by the BVAS-machines from the polling-units to a certain Accreditation Server that was owned and operated by the INEC -- (the details in this particular accreditation server were still publicly available as at the time when Mark-Essien published his digitized election data).

However, I have to categorically state it here, that this particular Accreditation Server which originally contained the publicly available accreditation data, was turned off by the INEC when the date for the commencement of the hearing/trial at the Presidential Election Petition Tribunal approached (for reasons best known to them). And as a result, the accreditation data was no longer publicly available on the INEC’s website.

Nevertheless, the accreditation data as was reproduced and published by Mark-Essien is still publicly available online, and that was the bedrock for this whole analysis.

In order to determine the over-voting in the various polling-units, since the number of the total votes cast were not available in the whole dataset,, I used the sum of the votes of the four major contending parties as the number of the total votes cast (even though it was lower than the actual number of the total votes cast, it would still lead me to making some findings).


Results and Outputs:
In the end, I came to realise that 9,780 polling-units had their “sum-of-votes-of-four-major-parties” higher than the Transmitted number of Accredited Voters, and this affected a total number of 5,382,847 registered voters.

This means that, if we used the value of the “Total Number of Votes Cast” to compare, then the values as presented would be definitely higher; and also, if INEC uploaded all the correct photos of all the polling-units results to the IREV-Portal, we would still be having even a higher value.

(Recall that the Margin of Lead as announced by the INEC was 1,810,206 votes..
Whereas the number of voters which was supposedly affected by Over-voting -- as I calculated in the analysis -- was 5,382,847)..


Conclusions:
This means that;
If ANY of the Petitioners (especially the PDP), had paid any slightest attention to the over-voting aspect of the electoral malpractice in their petition, and they produced the whole lists of the all the affected polling-units and the number of registered voters that were affected,, the outcome of the PEPT would have been different..

And again, the crazy malpractices which happened in Imo State and Kogi State in November 2023 wouldn't have happened so brazenly.

...
***Caveat:
These analyses was carried out by me alone, based on the data provided by the original work done by Mark-Essien. My team didn't help me on this one. And it took me just two days of working and analysing the whole sets of data.

Here below is the link to the output of the analysis which I did,, as well as some comments..

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1JqzQsbTUx9ADzMT5MsX1pHODmGgaaDU2

.

All these things these people are saying are a big indictment on the Judiciary.

It only means that the Judiciary is actually totally helpless..
And that they cannot resist influence..

So, it is now Tinubu who decides to either influence judgements or not.

officialwdhtvv:
Newly-wed couple spotted eating at a fast food after their wedding.

I wish them a Happy Married Life!!!

#wetindeyhappentv


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UALlUQzJz90

Cameraman is busy catching people's reactions??

Then this is definitely a skit.

jkpbestseries:
Everyone knows Appeal court has bleeped Up, but that is where the cases of the legislators end. He should not start another problem, 2027 will right all the wrong.

2027 will be worse.!!

Odogwuzack:
Obi has no solution to Nigerian problems. He just want to be president by all means too.
Most people are only supporting him for tribal and religion solidarity.

But someone should at least remind Obi that Tinubu did not become GCFR today by reacting to every news on twitter.

An Opposition is an Opposition.

Obi is Obi.
Tinubu is Tinubu.

Obi can never come and be doing like Tinubu.


And for the first time, there is true opposition in the nigerian politics and governance.

Sharpsharp00123:
when will he condemn d killing in his region n d needless sit at home every Monday?

Or he only has a voice when it involves other regions?

Read the whole post naa..

Or you didn't read it??

NLCreator:
https://www.channelstv.com/2024/01/14/2027-polls-atiku-obi-kwankwaso-have-agreed-to-form-merger-party-utomi/

The fact that this Pat-Utomi is busy talking so much about 2027,, I have hated him already.

We have a country to fix between now and 2027.
We have an electoral system to fix before even the next upcoming off-cycle election.
And he is very busy believing that everything is very okay with our systems, and that another political-science-calculations and permutation-moves would just bring the crumbling systems to perfection..

He pretends as if he doesn't know that the system is very far from being good,, not to talk of perfection.

Lalasticlala, Seun, Nlfpmod

Bobloco:
What's is happening on that day

On that day, we will count the number of ballot-box snatching (and ballot-box stuffing) that would happen..

That's a way we get to know the effects of this recent Kano State Judgement.




.....
.....
Meanwhile, the first-part and the second-part of your earlier comment are not saying the same thing.

.



..



.
A lot of things had been happening with our elections and electoral systems lately...
But then, these events are only making the weak parties weaker,, and the strong ones stronger..

Nevertheless, they keep shaping the Electoral Process.

Let me just try and suggest to the political parties what they should be doing in all these upcoming elections; pending the time we have functional implementable and enforceable Electoral-Laws in Nigeria.


1. Elections must Not start in any polling-unit where the sensitive materials are not complete, or tampered with, or not well documented by the polling-officers and party-agents.

The nonsense that happened in Kogi State, where elections started in some Polling-units without the presence of the Result-Sheets.
The results were later written on PLAIN SHEETS OF PAPERS, and then, an entirely different result (written on the Supposed Actual EC8A Results Sheets) were later uploaded to the IREV-Portal.
That was so baadd.



2. If the INEC Officials said that the essential sensitive-materials would be brought to the Polling-units later, then the election MUST NOT START, until the sensitive-materials arrive.

Everybody at the polling-unit must wait for the sensitive materials to arrive in full, and properly documented before the election can start off..




3. The materials and booklets that were sighted before the election must be properly documented by the party agents too.

(These materials and booklets that were recorded before the election must be collated independently by the political parties -- WHILE THE MAIN VOTING CONTINUED)



4. These untampered sensitive-materials and booklets (including their serial-numbers too) which were documented and collated before the elections started, would later serve as a serious tool for Checks-and-balances after the whole Collation must have been completed.
[Section-73(2)-EA-2022]



5. After the whole election had been completed and concluded at each of the polling-units, all the remaining materials and booklets must be counted and properly documented, and their serial-numbers noted too..
(These remaining materials and booklets must also be collated independently again by the political party - for all the polling-units).



6. By applying the methods of checks-and-balances;
Whenever a results-sheet with a wrong Serial-Number is presented by any official at any collation-center, it would be noticed immediately and rejected outrightly.

(It means that the original sheet which was generated at the polling-unit had been swapped with another sheet which has another serial-number)




7. Still on the methods of Checks-and-balances;
The difference between the collated untampered full-booklets of ballot papes and that of those remaining booklets of ballot papers, would equal the number of used ballot papers, which is supposed to be equal to the “total votes cast + the destroyed ballots”.




8. The INEC - if left on their own - would not perform all these checks because they are in a haste to do what they want to do and end the whole process as quickly as possible.

But since the party-agents are also there as the electoral watchdogs, they must fully and aggressively apply these checks-and-balances, and use them to seriously question the credibility and the transparency of the elections.



9. On a very normal election day when massive rigging occurred, the values of the total number of ballot-papers used which INEC would be announcing would be so high.
(And these would be far higher than the actual number used as calculated from the checks-and-balances)..



10. The political parties must have their own fully independently collated parallel results of the election itself -- which is supposed to be totally independent of the INEC’s official collation.

The political parties Should Not solely depend on the collated results of the INEC for any reason.
It's too dangerous...



11. If there were transparent elections, the INEC’s-collated results should be in agreement with those parallel results that were independently collated by the political parties.

Then, under prefect conditions, all the results are supposed to all be exactly the same -- even though they were all done independently.



12. For the official collation of results by the INEC, the party-agents must make sure that they are fully present while the collation exercise progresses, no matter what happens there.

The party-agents Must Not boycott any part of the official collation exercise, be it at the lower level or at higher level.



13. For any collation-center where the party-agents were forcefully prevented from entering inside,, such party-agents must endeavour to capture such moments on videos as concrete evidence against the INEC and against such persons who prevented them from entering, so that it would be documented that the collation which happened inside such a center was fraudulent.



14. For any Ward-Level collation center where the “Accreditation Data” & “The Polling-Units Results” were not first cross-checked and re-confirmed using the BVAS-Machines; then, the collation officer at that collation center must be recorded on video and kept as evidence for violating the election procedures as clearly stated inside the Electoral-Act-2022.



These are my suggestions for now..
The political parties -- through their party-agents should be doing the tedious and rigorous works of the checks-and-balances for now,, until the time the electoral-act fully allows the new technological innovations to be doing the required checks-and-balances.

it's really very tedious, but they do not have much options for now.

Bobloco:
The era of snatching and stuffing ballot boxes is gone.

If you want to engage in such a thuggish and primitive method, then you will be shut down.


Below is what the Electoral Act 2022 says:

Section 63

(1) Subject to subsection (2), a ballot paper which does not bear
official mark prescribed by the Commission shall not be counted.
(2) If the returning officer is satisfied that a ballot paper which does not
bear the official mark was from a book of ballot papers which was furnished
to the presiding officer of the polling unit in which the vote was cast for use at
the election in question, he or she shall, notwithstanding the absence of the
official mark, count that ballot paper.

3rd-February-2024 is very close.

You will see for yourself.

Validated:
Abeg leave op in his delusion

Just Look At this one.!!

fergie001:
Well, lets hope we can do it better.

Just upset what we saw in the off-season.... Doesn't leave much to hope.

Let me just try and suggest to the political parties what they should be doing in all these upcoming elections; pending the time we have functional implementable and enforceable Electoral-Laws in Nigeria.


1. Elections must Not start in any polling-unit where the sensitive materials are not complete, or tampered with, or not well documented by the polling-officers and party-agents.

The nonsense that happened in Kogi State, where elections started in some Polling-units without the presence of the Result-Sheets.
The results were later written on PLAIN SHEETS OF PAPERS, and then, an entirely different result (written on the Supposed Actual EC8A Results Sheets) were later uploaded to the IREV-Portal.
That was so baadd.


2. If the INEC Officials said that the essential sensitive-materials would be brought to the Polling-units later, then the election MUST NOT START, until the sensitive-materials arrive.

Everybody at the polling-unit must wait for the sensitive materials to arrive in full, and properly documented before the election can start off..



3. The materials and booklets that were sighted before the election must be properly documented by the party agents too.

(These materials and booklets that were recorded before the election must be collated independently by the political parties -- WHILE THE MAIN VOTING CONTINUED)


4. These untampered sensitive-materials and booklets (including their serial-numbers too) which were documented and collated before the elections started, would later serve as a serious tool for Checks-and-balances after the whole Collation must have been completed.
[Section-73(2)-EA-2022]


5. After the whole election had been completed and concluded at each of the polling-units, all the remaining materials and booklets must be counted and properly documented, and their serial-numbers noted too..
(These remaining materials and booklets must also be collated independently again by the political party - for all the polling-units).


6. By applying the methods of checks-and-balances;
Whenever a results-sheet with a wrong Serial-Number is presented by any official at any collation-center, it would be noticed immediately and rejected outrightly.

(It means that the original sheet which was generated at the polling-unit had been swapped with another sheet which has another serial-number)



7. Still on the methods of Checks-and-balances;
The difference between the collated untampered full-booklets of ballot papes and that of those remaining booklets of ballot papers, would equal the number of used ballot papers, which is supposed to be equal to the “total votes cast + the destroyed ballots”.



8. The INEC - if left on their own - would not perform all these checks because they are in a haste to do what they want to do and end the whole process as quickly as possible.

But since the party-agents are also there as the electoral watchdogs, they must fully and aggressively apply these checks-and-balances, and use them to seriously question the credibility and the transparency of the elections.


9. On a very normal election day when massive rigging occurred, the values of the total number of ballot-papers used which INEC would be announcing would be so high.
(And these would be far higher than the actual number used as calculated from the checks-and-balances)..


10. The political parties must have their own fully independently collated parallel results of the election itself -- which is supposed to be totally independent of the INEC’s official collation.

The political parties Should Not solely depend on the collated results of the INEC for any reason.
It's too dangerous...


11. If there were transparent elections, the INEC’s-collated results should be in agreement with those parallel results that were independently collated by the political parties.

Then, under prefect conditions, all the results are supposed to all be exactly the same -- even though they were all done independently.


12. For the official collation of results by the INEC, the party-agents must make sure that they are fully present while the collation exercise progresses, no matter what happens there.

The party-agents Must Not boycott any part of the official collation exercise, be it at the lower level or at higher level.


13. For any collation-center where the party-agents were forcefully prevented from entering inside,, such party-agents must endeavour to capture such moments on videos as concrete evidence against the INEC and against such persons who prevented them from entering, so that it would be documented that the collation which happened inside such a center was fraudulent.


14. For any Ward-Level collation center where the “Accreditation Data” & “The Polling-Units Results” were not first cross-checked and re-confirmed using the BVAS-Machines; then, the collation officer at that collation center must be recorded on video and kept as evidence for violating the election procedures as clearly stated inside the Electoral-Act-2022.


These are my suggestions for now..

The political parties -- through their party-agents should be doing the tedious and rigorous works of the checks-and-balances for now,, until the time the electoral-act fully allows the new technological innovations to be doing the required checks-and-balances.

it's really very tedious, but they do not have much options for now.

fergie001:
None @ all except some extra vigilance.

So,, all those parties that are preparing for the 3rd-February election are all playing under the rain already be that.??

ivolt:
You can't blame the judgment for the failure of legislatures.
Your headline should have been directed at the legislatures and not the supreme court.

The Topic is directed at the Judgement itself..

As correct as it is, it was a bye-product of both the failure of the proper Law-making of the Legislature and the poor interpretation of the Judiciary.

Hurbashola:
SUPER EAGLES SINGING PRAISING SONG ON THEIR WAY TO STADIUM

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=anhpDLEDryA

So..

Are there no Muslims there??

Or they sang Muslim Songs too??


When we do things in a religious sensitive country like Nigeria,, we need to be sensitive to all possible religious bias.

We need to be respecting all people.

ivolt:
The judgment is correct..

READ AGAIN.

NOBODY SAID THAT THE JUDGEMENT WAS NOT CORRECT.

fergie001:
The NA will need to do something but the people/CSOs & others have to start the agitations.

Na waa oo..

So for instance, an election is coming up on 3rd February.

With the precedents set so far,, are there any hopes??