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CharlesCNG's Posts

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Politics › Re: Pastor Chris, Peter Obi And The Curious Theology Of The 2023 Election by CharlesCNG(op): 12:29pm On Jun 22
ogolemati:
grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin heaven has blessed Nigeria with many natural resources only for satan to bring in his own people. The pulpit was also a venue for preaching that people should not sell their vote to the bullion vans CEO.the agbero union that sold their vote to agbero chairman are all lamenting.the criminals that they warn us never to vote in are in charge now .2027 is coming again don't vote Satan's agents. The criminal comes only to steal ,kill and destroy.dont give him chance again in 2027. Cast them out, this is coming from the pulpit.so that the land will be free again
My brother, with respect, your comment reminds me less of the Apostles and more of the Pharisees.

Why?

Because the Pharisees possessed an extraordinary gift for dividing humanity into two groups: themselves—the righteous—and everyone else—the children of darkness.

Does that sound familiar?

Those who voted differently are now "Satan's agents," "agberos," and "criminals." Yet the Pharisee in Luke 18 also stood in the temple thanking God that he was not like other men.

Spiritual arrogance has always been religion's most respectable sin.

Our Lord reserved His harshest words not for tax collectors and sinners but for self-righteous men who imagined themselves custodians of God's electoral register.

"Woe unto you, scribes and Pharisees, hypocrites!" (Matthew 23:13).

Indeed, it was the Pharisees who confidently declared Jesus Himself a servant of Beelzebub. They were so certain of their righteousness that they mistook the Son of God for an agent of Satan.

History has a sense of irony.

Perhaps we should be careful before assigning heavenly citizenship to our preferred candidates and infernal passports to their opponents.

For the same Jesus who said, "Judge not, that ye be not judged" (Matthew 7:1), also warned that tares and wheat would grow together until the harvest—and He did not appoint Twitter prophets to conduct the separation.

Christ died for sinners.

He did not establish a political party.

And I fear that whenever Christians begin to speak as though heaven belongs to one candidate and hell to his opponents, they have inherited far more from the Pharisees than from Christ.
Politics › Re: "APC for Life. ₦15,000 Per Vote" – Lady Celebrates Selling Her Vote to APC by CharlesCNG: 12:07pm On Jun 22
emperor4love:
Atleast we cam now see that apc do support and do vote buying
So now APC supporters are the only ones capable of vote buying?

Interesting.

Tell us, what exactly do opposition parties distribute? Holy Communion?

First it was "Ekiti people sold their votes for a loaf of bread." When that absurdity collapsed under the weight of the figures, it became ₦5,000. Now the amount has mysteriously risen to ₦15,000.

At this rate, by 2027, we may discover that every voter in Ekiti received a duplex and a Toyota Corolla.

The inability of sore losers to accept defeat is truly remarkable.

Apparently, millions of Nigerians are intelligent enough to vote for your candidate, but the moment they vote against him, they suddenly become hungry, stupid and available for purchase.

What an insult to the electorate.

And by the way, are we seriously to believe that all the people who voted in Ekiti were bought, while the opposition saints were merely distributing righteousness and pamphlets?

Democracy is not a beauty pageant in which only victories are legitimate and defeats are evidence of bribery.

Sometimes people simply vote against you.

And mature politicians learn from defeat.

Only sore losers explain away every loss by concluding that the voters must have been bought.
Politics › Re: Can President Tinubu Take Any Lesson From Keir Starmer's Resignation? by CharlesCNG: 12:02pm On Jun 22
bolaayenimo:
Is there any lesson President Bola Tinubu can learn from UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer's resignation?
First, Tinubu is not Keir Starmer and Nigeria is not the United Kingdom. We operate entirely different constitutional systems.

Second, elections—not social media—are the true test of popularity. Judging by what happened in the by-elections last Saturday, I can understand why some people are suddenly fascinated by resignations rather than elections.

It reminds me of an unprepared student who, having neglected his books all semester, begins praying for the examination to be cancelled.

Unfortunately, democracy insists on exams.

And ballot boxes, unlike Twitter Spaces, have a nasty habit of marking scripts.
Politics › Re: Apc's By-election Sweep Is The Warning The Opposition Refuses To Hear by CharlesCNG: 11:56am On Jun 22
LeoAj:
In Naija politics, there are two conversations happening simultaneously at all times.

The first conversation is on Twitter. On WhatsApp groups. In Abuja hotel lobbies where opposition strategists eat dinner and tell each other how formidable their coalition has become. In podcasts where political analysts break down voter sentiment and explain why the ruling party is in serious trouble heading into 2027.

The second conversation happens at polling units. In ward collation centres. In the early hours of Sunday mornings when INEC returning officers stand before microphones and announce the numbers that matter.

This weekend, those two conversations produced results so different from each other that the opposition has two choices.

Accept the lesson.

Or keep talking.

Because the scoreboard from the June 20, 2026 by-elections is not a poll. It is not a survey. It is not a social media sentiment analysis. It is a real election result, with accredited voters, INEC monitors, and announced figures that cannot be reframed with a press release.

And what the scoreboard says is this.

The APC is not crumbling. The APC is winning. Comprehensively. In places it was never supposed to win. Against parties whose presidential candidates believe they are building momentum toward January 2027.

Opposition, wake up. The numbers are not your friends.

Enugu: The Number That Should Silence Every Obidient Strategist

Start here. Because this is where the lesson is hardest and clearest.

APC candidate Ikeje Asogwa won the Enugu North Senatorial District by-election on Saturday with 162,360 votes. His closest rival, PDP's Nestor Ezeme, polled 9,299 votes. The by-election was conducted to fill the seat of the late Senator Okey Ezea who died in November 2025.

162,360 to 9,299. In Enugu. Not Lagos. Not Kano. Enugu State.

The South-East. Peter Obi's political home. The geopolitical zone where the Obidient movement was strongest in 2023. The zone where Labour Party won six of nine National Assembly seats in the 2023 elections. The zone that was supposed to be the foundation of any opposition presidential arithmetic in 2027.

And then look at what the other opposition parties produced.

The NDC candidate, Ossai Elias Okwudiri, polled 3,129 votes. The ADC candidate, Chika Idoko Emmanuel, polled 1,676 votes. The Labour Party candidate, Ejike Simon Eze, polled 1,027 votes.

Peter Obi's NDC. In Peter Obi's South-East. In a senatorial district with 727,340 registered voters.

3,129 votes.

Atiku's ADC. The party carrying the AA ticket. The Atiku-Amaechi combination that is supposed to shake Tinubu's electoral foundations.

1,676 votes.

Both combined do not reach 5,000 votes in a district where APC got 162,360.

This is the election that Obi's volunteer platform targeting 10 million votes must reckon with. Not hypothetically. Not theoretically. Right now. Because the gap between 3,129 in a by-election and 10 million in a presidential election is not bridged by launching a volunteer portal on a Sunday afternoon in Abuja.

Mbah described the result as a statement victory, declaring: "If anybody was in doubt, the landslide victory proves, beyond rhetoric, that APC has now emerged as the unquestionable dominant political force across the length and breadth of our state. Our people are fully aligned."

Unquestionable dominant political force. In Enugu. The South-East. Where in 2023 the APC had never won a single senatorial seat in the state's history.

This by-election victory was the APC's first-ever electoral victory in Enugu State.

First ever. Since 1999. In 2026. Eight months before a presidential election.


Click on the link below to read more about this 👇🏼

https://www.ourpalaver.com/terminal/naija-politics/post/h4sAt2tV
You said it all.
let me just make some more observations.

The Enugu result is symbolically devastating.
APC winning Enugu North with 162,360 votes against PDP’s 9,299 is not just a victory; it is a psychological earthquake because Enugu was once considered hostile ground for APC.

The opposition fragmentation is the real story.
LP, ADC and NDC did not merely lose; they were politically invisible. If Obi’s new platform and Atiku’s coalition cannot cross 5,000 combined in a South-East senatorial by-election, then “2027 momentum” is still more slogan than structure.

State governors remain the most powerful political machines.
This result suggests that state governors remain the most powerful political machines in Nigeria. If Governor Mbah is aligned with APC, Enugu becomes a different battlefield entirely.

The real lesson is not that APC has already won 2027. That would be premature. The lesson is that the opposition is still confusing political noise with electoral infrastructure.
A volunteer portal is not a ward structure. A coalition press conference is not a polling-unit agent. A viral podcast is not a collation-centre presence. Until the opposition learns this, INEC will keep interrupting their confidence with numbers.
Politics › Re: Pastor Chris, Peter Obi And The Curious Theology Of The 2023 Election by CharlesCNG(op): 11:41am On Jun 22
Image123:
i really hope that they learn. God has been incredibly merciful. Let me help that pastor that was called a teacher but tries to assume the office of the prophet. BAT is in the Bible cheesy cheesy. But we all know their wishes and thoughts, God still pass them.
I sincerely hope lessons have been learnt from 2023. God has been incredibly merciful to His Church.

Permit me to help that respected pastor who is called primarily as a teacher but occasionally seems tempted to assume the office of a prophet.

For if all we needed was a name in the Bible, then BAT is there too.

After all, bats are mentioned in Scripture. 😂

But jokes aside, we all knew where the wishes, hopes and preferences lay. God, in His sovereignty, simply chose to pass over the interpretations of men.

That is why James warns us that teachers shall receive stricter judgment. It is one thing to express a political opinion. It is another to baptize that opinion and present it as a whisper from heaven.

The tragedy of 2023 was not that some Christians supported Peter Obi. Christians are free to support whoever they wish.

The tragedy was that some shepherds appeared determined to help God with His endorsements.

But heaven needs no campaign managers.

Perhaps the greatest lesson of 2023 is this:

God has no Labour Party card.

He has no APC card either.

And before any man says, "Thus saith the Lord," he should remember that wishes are not prophecies, preferences are not revelations, and hopes are not heavenly decrees.

Thankfully, God is wiser than our passions and more sovereign than our politics.

And, mercifully, He often saves us from the consequences of our certainties.
Politics › Re: Pastor Chris, Peter Obi And The Curious Theology Of The 2023 Election by CharlesCNG(op): 5:24am On Jun 22
vowiski:
For someone who watched a video we all watched to now claim Pastor Chris said Peter Obi was going to win the election is a disgrace!

The man of God talked about the three candidates, and said one of the candidate's name is in the bible and prayed, "Lord give him wings to fly" because he was afraid of wining.

These things we saw after the election, Peter Obi was timid and crying on national TV, a disgrace for an opposition leader. It's like crying in front of your cheating girlfriend... cheesy

The ruling party already saw he was a weak man, who wouldn't sacrifice much to lead this nation.

Do you really think, if the grace was on Adams Oshiomole, he would have been rigged out easily? He would fight to Death.

Donald Trump gave his life for the US election, and gained back his life.

Leadership isn't just screaming competency, character and comitment, Nigeria will never hand over power to a docile canditate.

I voted Peter Obi, and lost hope in his complete faith on the Judiciary. That's why Datti became tired of him.

You want to take power, it is taken by brute Force!
My brother, your response actually strengthens my point rather than weakens it.

You now say Pastor Chris merely prayed, "Lord give him wings to fly," because he feared the man lacked courage.

But that raises an even more troubling question.

Since when did the God of Scripture call men without preparing them?

Did God call Moses and then discover he was timid?

Did God send Joshua into battle and then realize he lacked courage?

Did God choose Gideon and then abandon him to his fears?

The God revealed in Scripture does not merely call. He equips.

"Faithful is He that calleth you, who also will do it." (1 Thessalonians 5:24).

More interestingly, your explanation reduces God to a spectator.

According to you, heaven identified the right man, prayed for him, watched him lose courage, and then helplessly observed events unfold.

That is not the God of the Bible.

Besides, if power is ultimately taken by brute force, as you suggest, why invoke angels and prophecies at all? Why not simply say Oshiomhole or Trump would have fought harder?

You cannot simultaneously appeal to divine providence and brute force.

Either heaven determines outcomes, or Machiavelli does.

And that, my brother, is precisely why pastors must be exceedingly careful before clothing personal preferences in prophetic language.

For when prophecy fails, it is not God that becomes questionable.

It is the men who claimed to speak for Him.
Politics › Re: Just Give Me ₦5,000 And I'll Vote For Your Candidate – Man Says by CharlesCNG: 3:25am On Jun 22
givedemwotowoto:
if APC gave 319,000 Ekiti people ₦5,000 each, are you saying PDP and ADC had no money, no agents, no structures, and no eyes on the field? That excuse is even more insulting to your own side than to APC. Elections are not lost only by what the winner spent; they are also lost by weak structure, weak messaging, poor candidate appeal, and weak voter connection on the part of the opposition.

A party that blames only stomach infrastructure for every defeat is like a lazy farmer blaming the rain because he came to the farm without seed.

So keep the propaganda if you like, but at least keep your excuse straight: if APC “bought” everyone, then what stopped PDP and ADC from competing, mobilising, monitoring, and persuading? In the end, too many people prefer to explain away failure instead of explaining why voters refused them.

By the way how much was paid to voters in kano, nassarawa, enugu, ondo, rivers ?
Poor miserable losers!
Politics › Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by CharlesCNG: 3:16am On Jun 22
Iriruaga100:
Atiku will win core northern states, he won’t get 25% in the south. The election will go into second round because none of the three main candidate will get the required spread.
Tinubu is bleeped already, his alliance in the north is long lost. His only hope in north is Bornu and kogi.
Tinubu alliances in the morth is still solid. this last bye elections proofs it and 2027 will confirm it
What Tinubu needs to do is what he already did in 2023:
win as many northern states as possible, remain competitive across the zones, and deny Atiku any overwhelming northern landslide.

That is the real game.
Presidential elections in Nigeria are not won by emotional claims to one region. They are won by broad spread, enough state-by-state competitiveness, and strong party structure.

And that is where governors matter.
Politics › Re: "Peter Obi Will Never Rule Nigeria" Because He Will Block Corruption by CharlesCNG: 2:48am On Jun 22
Eriokanmi:
Only God can stop Obi. It's too late to cry
My Brother leave God out of partisan politics.

For history teaches us that when Christians confuse revelation with wishful thinking, disappointment is inevitable.

God knows a competent man when He sees one.

And unlike political enthusiasts, He has no need for prophecy to recognize capacity.
Politics › Pastor Chris, Peter Obi And The Curious Theology Of The 2023 Election by CharlesCNG(op): 2:45am On Jun 22
One of the saddest spectacles of the 2023 election was not political. It was ecclesiastical.

The pulpit, which ought to have pointed men to Christ, became a platform for prophecies, visions and political predictions.

Pastor Chris Oyakhilome famously recounted how an angel informed him that the winner's name could be found in the Bible. Many Christians, with alarming certainty, concluded that heaven had endorsed Peter Obi.

Yet, heaven has a curious habit of refusing to become a campaign office.

If Pastor Chris heard “a name in Scripture,” one wonders why the interpreters rushed to Peter as if heaven had issued a Labour Party membership card.
In the Abrahamic world, names travel: Maryam/Mary, Dauda/David, Ibrahim/Abraham, Musa/Moses — and Ahmad itself carries scriptural weight in Islamic tradition. Maybe the angel whispered; maybe partisans translated.
one wonders whether certainty arrived long before wisdom.

More importantly, shepherds have no right to say, "Thus saith the Lord," where the Lord has not spoken.

Jeremiah 23:21 contains a fearful warning:

"I have not sent these prophets, yet they ran; I have not spoken to them, yet they prophesied."

The issue was never Peter Obi.

It was the dangerous temptation to convert personal preferences into divine decrees.

The tragedy is that when the prediction failed, heaven's reputation suffered more than politics.

As 2027 approaches, the Church must remember that pastors are shepherds, not campaign managers.

For the pulpit belongs to our Lord Jesus Christ.

And woe unto the shepherd who mistakes it for a political podium.
Politics › Re: "Peter Obi Will Never Rule Nigeria" Because He Will Block Corruption by CharlesCNG: 1:57am On Jun 22
Ttalk:
Remind me of Pandora offshore account. A bank chairman who hid money in a safe haven bank where illicit money are hidden is the one who is not corrupt?
Peter Obi’s Pandora Problem: When Integrity Walks Into a Brothel of Secrecy by CharlesCNG


Peter Obi’s greatest political asset has always been his claim to integrity. That is exactly why the Pandora Papers matter.

To be clear, being named in the Pandora Papers is not the same as being convicted of corruption. Offshore structures can be legal. But politics is not only about what is technically legal. It is also about trust, transparency and moral consistency.

The Pandora Papers were not a choir register. They exposed a shadowy financial world populated by politicians, billionaires, oligarchs and people who preferred their wealth to live where questions go to die.

So the question is simple: if Peter Obi is the spotless apostle of transparency his supporters advertise, why was his name found in that company?

It is like a man who insists he does not patronise prostitutes but keeps being found relaxing in brothels
. Maybe he went there to drink water. Maybe he was only passing by. Maybe he has an explanation.

But surely, curiosity is not a crime.

Integrity is not merely about avoiding conviction. It is about avoiding unnecessary shadows.

For a politician who asks Nigerians to trust him as the clean alternative, Pandora is not a small footnote. It is a contradiction begging for explanation.

Because when your brand is sunlight, you should not be too comfortable doing business in the twilight.
Politics › Re: APC's Halilu Danladi Envulanza Wins Nasarawa North Senatorial By-Election by CharlesCNG: 1:39am On Jun 22
Enugurangers:
* APC – 45,362 votes
* Labour Party – 12,931 votes
* PDP – 11,570 votes
* ADC – 4,244 votes
* NDC – 1,496 votes
* NNPP – 102 votes
Obi would be regretting leaving LP.
With the benefit of hindsight, Peter Obi's decision to abandon Labour Party may well go down as one of the most strategically catastrophic, politically self-defeating and breathtakingly ill-judged decisions in recent Nigerian political history.

Consider the Nasarawa North Senatorial by-election:

* APC – 45,362 votes
* Labour Party – 12,931 votes
* PDP – 11,570 votes
* ADC – 4,244 votes
* NDC – 1,496 votes
* NNPP – 102 votes

Even in defeat, Labour outpolled the PDP and trounced the ADC and NDC combined.

One is therefore left to wonder: why would the most popular figure in a movement voluntarily abandon the very platform that gave him relevance, only to seek refuge among politicians whose electoral fortunes resemble distressed assets?

Leadership is, above all, the art of judgment.

And politics is not merely about inspiring crowds; it is about making sound strategic choices.

Peter obi committed the political equivalent of leaving a house he owned to become a tenant in a building whose foundations are already cracking.

One shudders to imagine what decisions he might make with the vastly greater powers of the presidency.

For if a man cannot hold together his own political vehicle, by what logic should Nigerians entrust him with the steering wheel of the entire federation?

Sometimes, the greatest threat to a movement comes not from its enemies, but from the judgment of its leader.

And sometimes, self-sabotage wears the mask of strategy.
Politics › Re: The North Was Supposed To Have Rejected APC. Then Kano Voted. by CharlesCNG(op): 1:30am On Jun 22
AMINDA:
We didn't notice that Tinubu was on the ballot yesterday. You lot erroneously believe that Tinubu owns the APC, he doesn't. Atiku won more APC states than PDP states in 2023 and that's instructive considering the fact that 4 Southern PDP governors worked against him and invariably against their party. When Tinubi is voted out in 2027, the real owners of the APC will reclaim their party. Afterall, where was Tinubu and his current lackeys barely 3 years ago? The PDP continued to win elective positions long after Jonathan was voted out of power.
The comparison between APC in 2023 and APC today is apples and oranges.

In 2023, Tinubu was APC’s candidate, but he was not in full control of the federal machinery. In fact, one can reasonably argue that powerful elements within the sitting presidency were not enthusiastic about him.

That is precisely why 2027 is different.

Today, Tinubu is not merely the APC candidate. He is the sitting President, the leader of the party, the centre of its coalition, and the rallying point of its governors, legislators and defectors.

So when APC wins elections today, it is politically dishonest to pretend Tinubu is detached from the party’s fortunes.

In 2023, APC carried Tinubu to power despite internal resistance.

In 2027, Tinubu will lead APC as the incumbent President with the party structure, governors and federal coalition openly aligned behind him.

That is the difference.

So if anyone wants to argue that APC’s wins mean nothing for Tinubu, they must first explain why governors are endorsing him, defectors are joining him, and the party has already aligned behind him.

The APC of 2023 was divided around Tinubu.

The APC of 2027 is being consolidated under Tinubu.
That is not the same political equation.
Conversely,
Atiku’s 2023 structure is not Atiku’s 2027 structure.
In 2023, Atiku still had PDP governors, northern sympathy, and even anti-Tinubu forces within APC. Today, the opposition is fragmented, and R the 2027 opposition alliance has already suffered major cracks.
Also your PDP-after-Jonathan analogy is weak.
PDP continued winning seats after 2015 because it had governors, senators and state structures. Which sitting governor is openly carrying Atiku today?

Political obituaries are easy to write.

Structure is harder to explain away.
Politics › Re: NDC’s Anti-defection Policy Dubious — Sam Amadi by CharlesCNG: 3:13pm On Jun 21
Moroccoguy:
I don't think it's constitutional tho.
You are right. it is not . here is why.

Can a Political Party Amend the Constitution? The Legal Trouble with the NDC's Anti-Defection Policy by CharlesCNG

The National Democratic Coalition's (NDC) proposed anti-defection policy may be politically attractive, but it raises a more fundamental question: can a political party impose consequences that the Constitution itself does not contemplate?

The answer, at least from a constitutional standpoint, appears to be no.

Section 1 of the 1999 Constitution declares the Constitution supreme. Any arrangement inconsistent with it is void to the extent of that inconsistency. In other words, political parties cannot create a parallel constitution through affidavits, indemnity forms or internal agreements.

The Constitution itself has already spoken on defections. Sections 68 and 109 specify the circumstances under which legislators may lose their seats. Outside those provisions, the courts have consistently upheld the constitutional right to freedom of association, including the right to join or leave a political party.

This means that while the NDC is perfectly entitled to discipline defectors, deny them future tickets or expel them from the party, compelling automatic resignation from public office through contractual undertakings is of doubtful legality.

Indeed, the irony is striking. In attempting to cure the disease of political prostitution, the NDC may be prescribing a remedy that itself runs afoul of constitutional principles.

The larger question therefore remains:

Can a political party, by internal fiat, impose stricter penalties than the Constitution itself permits?

If the answer is no, then the proper remedy lies not in party rules, but in constitutional amendment.

For in a constitutional democracy, parties are creatures of the Constitution—not its masters.
Politics › Re: APC's Halilu Danladi Envulanza Wins Nasarawa North Senatorial By-Election by CharlesCNG: 2:50pm On Jun 21
blamingthedevil:
BREAKING: INEC declares Halilu Danladi Envulanza of the APC as the winner of Nasarawa North senatorial by-election in Nasarawa State after polling 45,362 votes.

Total votes:
Halilu Danladi Envulanza (APC) - 45,362 votes
Labaran Maku (LP) - 12,931 votes
Emmanuel David Ombugadu (PDP) - 11,570
Alaku Mohammed Steve Ahmed (ADC) - 4,244
Duba Ishaya Dodo (NDC) - 1,496
John Paul Araneshri (NNPP) - 102 votes


Nasarawa Has Spoken: Hashtags Are Not Structures.

The Nasarawa North Senatorial bye-election has produced a result that should interest students of politics and amuse students of social media.

Results:


* APC – 45,362 votes
* Labour Party – 12,931 votes
* PDP – 11,570 votes
* ADC – 4,244 votes
* NDC – 1,496 votes
* NNPP – 102 votes

In percentage terms, APC secured roughly 60% of the vote.

Labour and PDP each scored about[b] 17% [/b]and 15%, respectively.

ADC managed around 5.6%, while the much-advertised NDC secured a princely[b] 2%[/b].

Two percent.

Apparently, social media likes do not count as votes after all.

For months, some people have behaved as though elections are won by Twitter Spaces, YouTube channels and abuse of neutrals.

Nasarawa voters, however, seem to prefer the old-fashioned method of counting actual votes.

Even more interesting is that the supposedly "finished" PDP continues to outperform the heavily advertised ADC and NDC.

Ekiti told a similar story.

Perhaps politics is more than content creation and coalition press conferences.

Perhaps organisation matters.

Perhaps structures matter.

Perhaps candidates matter.

And perhaps voters are stubborn creatures who insist on voting instead of consulting YouTube analysts.

As our elders say, the loudest drum is not always the one carrying the most water.

The opposition should take note.

Anti-Tinubu sentiment is not a manifesto.

Noise is not organisation.

And hashtags, unfortunately, are not polling units. 😁
Politics › Re: Off-Cycle Elections In Ekiti, Rivers, Ondo, Nasarawa, Kano States (Live Updates) by CharlesCNG: 2:39pm On Jun 21
aswani:
Another super post by you and thanks for it.

One thing to mention about the Anti Tinubu sentiment, these Obidients, for it is them, think people will go out and vote out of spite against President Tinubu and for Parties like NDC that have zero discernible structures and lack any kind of organisation.

They don't get that you have to work hard to get disillusioned Nigerians to vote in bye elections. APC are putting in the man and woman hours so not surprising that despite poor voting percentages based on those registered, they are winning.

In fact, you have to work doubly hard to remove a "sitting" party in Nigeria, never mind a well oiled election focused party like APC. A party that I am neither a member of nor would vote for.

Presidents Buhari and Tinubu came together and did so to remove PDP, our Obidient friends think abusing and insulting neutrals like me that don't believe in their messiah is the way forward.

Let's hope Obidients can read the tea leaves and direct their energies to a more fruitful scenario like trying to unify a fragmented opposition.
Thank you for the kind words.

As for our Obidient friends, one can only hope they eventually exchange Twitter Spaces for strategy sessions and YouTube thumbnails for voter registers. 😁

At the moment, they seem more committed to unifying their insults than unifying their opposition.

As our elders say, a man who spends all day reading tea leaves may forget to plant tea.

Shikena. 😂
Politics › Re: Kano Has Sent Kwankwaso A Small But Loud Message by CharlesCNG(op): 10:21am On Jun 21
Nairalander248:
One question for you please!

Who won last Presidential Election in Lagos where BAT is from?
One question for you too, my brother.

Who won the governorship election in Lagos a few weeks later?

Who controls the Lagos State House of Assembly?

Who won the majority of National Assembly seats in Lagos?

Apparently, you people discovered one election result and have been living in it rent-free ever since. 😂

As for 2027, relax. January and February are not far away.

We cannot wait.

The ballot box has a cruel habit of correcting social media confidence.

Until then, enjoy your moral victory trophy. 😁

As our elders say, the man celebrating half-time goals should first wait for the final whistle.

See you in 2027. Shikena.
Politics › Re: Kano By-Election: APC's Rabiu Wins Dawakin Kudu/Warawa Federal Constituency by CharlesCNG: 10:15am On Jun 21
olyrayy:
Stop using AI to write nairaland post. You no get shamehuh
My brother, if "AI" is the only argument you have left, then I accept your surrender. 😁

You have not countered a single point, a single fact, or a single argument. Your entire contribution is to complain about the tool instead of the substance.

Very interesting.

People who cannot defeat arguments often attack keyboards.

And yes, you will complain tire.

Because I will continue making my contributions, and you will continue announcing your frustration like a town crier.

As our elders say, the man who cannot answer the message starts quarrelling with the messenger.

So by all means, keep shouting "AI! AI!"

The election results from Kano, Kebbi, Ondo, Enugu, Nasarawa and Ekiti will remain stubbornly non-AI. 😂

Perhaps it is not I who should be ashamed.

Perhaps it is the fellow who has mistaken whining for rebuttal.

Shikena.
Politics › Re: Off-Cycle Elections In Ekiti, Rivers, Ondo, Nasarawa, Kano States (Live Updates) by CharlesCNG: 10:09am On Jun 21
NgeneUkwenu:
List of where the election are taking place today;
Ekiti State- Governorship
Enugu State- Enugu North (Senate)
Nasarrawa State- Nas. North (Senate)
Ondo State- Ondo South ( Senate)
Rivers State- Rivers South East ( Senate)
Kano- Dawakin Kudu Fed Rep
Kebbi- Zuru Constituency.

What do we expect from the NDC, PDP and ADC today?

APC vs Nigerians in the Mud: A Match the Ballot Box Keeps Refusing to Play

For months, we have been told that it is "APC versus Nigerians."

According to social media warriors, professional prophets of doom and political motivational speakers, Nigerians have completely rejected APC, especially in the North.

Then the voters rudely interrupted the script.

First, Dawakin Kudu/Warawa Federal Constituency in Kano. APC's Shuaibu Rabiu secured over 35,000 votes while the opposition could barely scrape together a few hundred.

First came Kano. Dawakin Kudu/Warawa Federal Constituency delivered a landslide to APC.

Then came Kebbi. Zuru Constituency also forgot that it was supposed to join the funeral procession.

Then Ondo South.

Then Enugu North.

Then Nasarawa North.

And finally Ekiti, where the APC proceeded to secure over 85 percent of the vote.

Landslide after landslide.

At this rate, one is tempted to ask: exactly which Nigerians are APC fighting in the mud?

The comedy is becoming repetitive.

When APC wins, the explanation is always the same:

"Incumbency."

"Bread."

"State power."

"Vote buying."

Anything but the possibility that actual Nigerians may not share the opinions of YouTube channels and Twitter Spaces.

One would think that after so many failed prophecies, the likes of Dele Momodu and the social media warriors would become slightly more humble.

Instead, they continue to confuse echoes for voices and hashtags for structures.

Politics, unfortunately, is not conducted in comment sections.

It is conducted at polling units.

The ballot box remains a merciless examiner.

And increasingly, it appears that "APC versus Nigerians" exists mainly in the imagination of those who mistake applause from their followers for the verdict of the people.

As always, votes speak.

Echo chambers merely echo.

And reality, that stubborn fellow, keeps ruining the funeral speeches.
Politics › Re: Smartelectionguard Pro: Tracking Ekiti 2026 In Real Time by CharlesCNG(op): 8:17am On Jun 21
CharlesCNG:
From Polling Units to Public Trust: How Smart ElectionGuard Pro Tracked the Ekiti Governorship Election in Real Time.
Yesterday, Smart ElectionGuard Pro successfully demonstrated its capability during the Ekiti State Governorship Election.

From the first uploads to IREV successive result updates and drilldowns by LGA, the platform provided a live, auditable, and data-driven view of the election as results emerged.

✔ Real-time result collation

✔ Dynamic scoreboards and rankings

✔ LGA-level drilldowns

✔ Progress tracking and verification metrics

✔ Candidate performance dashboards

✔ Continuous updates throughout the election cycle

The screenshots capture different stages of the process, showing how Smart ElectionGuard Pro transformed raw election data into clear, accessible, and transparent insights.

Credible elections are strengthened when technology provides visibility, accountability, and evidence.

This is more than a dashboard.

It is a step towards building greater public confidence in the electoral process.

Smart ElectionGuard Pro
Observe. Report. Protect.
Understanding the Current Variance in Smart ElectionGuard Pro's Ekiti 2026 Results

As the Ekiti State Governorship Election results continue to emerge, some observers have noted differences between the figures currently displayed on **Smart ElectionGuard Pro** and the final tallies expected from the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC).

This variance is neither unusual nor unexpected.

At the time of this report, 62 polling unit results remain pending on the INEC Result Viewing Portal (IReV)[/i]. Since Smart ElectionGuard Pro is built on a principle of transparency and verifiability, the platform only processes and reflects results that have been uploaded and are available for independent scrutiny.

Consequently, the figures presently shown by the platform—**308,704 votes for the APC and 39,251 votes for the PDP**—represent only the votes contained in polling unit results that have already been uploaded and captured from IReV.

[i]As the outstanding 62 polling unit results are uploaded
, Smart ElectionGuard Pro will automatically incorporate them into the overall tally, ensuring that the final figures accurately reflect the complete set of available polling unit returns.

This approach underscores a fundamental philosophy behind Smart ElectionGuard Pro: election results should be driven by evidence, not assumptions.

Rather than speculate or estimate votes from yet-to-be-uploaded polling units, the platform relies exclusively on verifiable polling unit returns, thereby maintaining the integrity, transparency, and auditability of the electoral process.

In election management, timeliness matters, but credibility matters even more.

Smart ElectionGuard Pro remains committed to transforming polling unit data into public trust—one verified result at a time.
Politics › Smartelectionguard Pro: Tracking Ekiti 2026 In Real Time by CharlesCNG(op): 7:58am On Jun 21
From Polling Units to Public Trust: How Smart ElectionGuard Pro Tracked the Ekiti Governorship Election in Real Time.
Yesterday, Smart ElectionGuard Pro successfully demonstrated its capability during the Ekiti State Governorship Election.

From the first uploads to IREV successive result updates and drilldowns by LGA, the platform provided a live, auditable, and data-driven view of the election as results emerged.

✔ Real-time result collation

✔ Dynamic scoreboards and rankings

✔ LGA-level drilldowns

✔ Progress tracking and verification metrics

✔ Candidate performance dashboards

✔ Continuous updates throughout the election cycle

The screenshots capture different stages of the process, showing how Smart ElectionGuard Pro transformed raw election data into clear, accessible, and transparent insights.

Credible elections are strengthened when technology provides visibility, accountability, and evidence.

This is more than a dashboard.

It is a step towards building greater public confidence in the electoral process.

Smart ElectionGuard Pro
Observe. Report. Protect.
Politics › Re: Live Ekiti Election Update Thread by CharlesCNG(op): 6:17am On Jun 21
CharlesCNG:
RESULT AS OF 10:44PM

Total submitted results
2354
Out of 2445
Politics › Re: Kano By-Election: APC's Rabiu Wins Dawakin Kudu/Warawa Federal Constituency by CharlesCNG: 2:22am On Jun 21
yarimo:
Kwankwaso will know what is really Andrew liver salt in 2027 grin
Kano Has Sent Kwankwaso a Small but Loud Message by CharlesCNG.

Kwankwaso and the Kwankwasiyya movement may need to start asking themselves uncomfortable questions.

In Dawakin Kudu/Warawa Federal Constituency, APC’s Shuaibu Rabiu was declared winner with **35,356 votes**, while the closest reported challenger scored only a few hundred votes. That is not just a win. That is a political statement.

For a state constantly presented as Kwankwaso’s impregnable fortress, this result is embarrassing. Yes, one bye-election does not decide 2027. But it can reveal mood, structure, mobilisation and ground strength.

And this result says something.

APC did not merely appear in Kano. It organised, mobilised and delivered.

The Kwankwasiyya crowd that dominates social media noise suddenly looked very quiet where it mattered most: the ballot box.

Perhaps this is the beginning of Andrew Liver Salt politics for Kwankwaso — the stomach-settling reality that Kano is not anybody’s private estate.

In 2023, Kwankwaso’s strength in Kano was real. But politics is not museum history. Structures shift. Alliances change. Governors matter. Local machinery matters.

If APC can produce this kind of margin in Dawakin Kudu/Warawa, then 2027 may not be the stroll some people imagined.

Kwankwasiyya should stop measuring power by red caps alone.

Votes, not caps, win elections.
Politics › Re: Rabiu Garba Aiki Of APC Wins Zuru State Constituency In Kebbi State by CharlesCNG: 2:20am On Jun 21
Melezenawii:
INEC has declared Rabiu Garba Aiki of the APC as the winner of the Zuru State Constituency by-election for the Kebbi State House of Assembly.

APC: 4,871 votes
LP: 168 votes

Can Somebody Please Tell Me Where Kebbi Is? I Was Told APC Was Dead in the North.

Can somebody kindly remind us where Kebbi State is located?

North-West, right?

Interesting.

Because for months, the professional prophets of doom and social media warriors have assured us that APC had been completely rejected in the North.

Then the voters of Zuru Constituency in Kebbi apparently forgot the script.

INEC has declared APC's Rabiu Garba Aiki winner with 4,871 votes. The Labour Party candidate managed a grand total of 168 votes.

One hundred and sixty-eight.

Not 1,680.

Not 16,800.

One hundred and sixty-eight.

So perhaps somebody should check whether the "Northern rejection" memo got lost on the way to Kebbi.[/i]

Or perhaps the people on X, YouTube and WhatsApp groups once again confused social media vibes with actual votes.

This is becoming a habit.

First Kano.

Now Kebbi.

And suddenly the same people who assured us that APC was politically buried are busy preparing explanations.

Incumbency.

Bread.

State power.

Aliens.

Anything except the uncomfortable possibility that elections are won by structures and organisation, not by hashtags and Twitter Spaces.

Politics is not wishful thinking.

And anti-Tinubu sentiment is not a manifesto.

[i]If APC has truly been rejected in the North, somebody forgot to tell the North.


Because the ballot box, that stubborn enemy of propaganda, keeps rudely interrupting the funeral speeches.

As always, votes speak.

Echo chambers merely echo.
Politics › Kano Has Sent Kwankwaso A Small But Loud Message by CharlesCNG(op): 2:13am On Jun 21
Kwankwaso and the Kwankwasiyya movement may need to start asking themselves uncomfortable questions.

In Dawakin Kudu/Warawa Federal Constituency, APC’s Shuaibu Rabiu was declared winner with **35,356 votes**, while the closest reported challenger scored only a few hundred votes. That is not just a win. That is a political statement.

For a state constantly presented as Kwankwaso’s impregnable fortress, this result is embarrassing.

Yes, one bye-election does not decide 2027. But it can reveal mood, structure, mobilisation and ground strength.[/i]

And this result says something.

[i]APC did not merely appear in Kano. It organised, mobilised and delivered.


The Kwankwasiyya crowd that dominates social media noise suddenly looked very quiet where it mattered most: the ballot box.

Perhaps this is the beginning of Andrew Liver Salt politics for Kwankwaso — the stomach-settling reality that Kano is not anybody’s private estate.

In 2023, Kwankwaso’s strength in Kano was real. But politics is not museum history. Structures shift. Alliances change. Governors matter. Local machinery matters.

If APC can produce this kind of margin in Dawakin Kudu/Warawa, then 2027 may not be the stroll some people imagined.

Kwankwasiyya should stop measuring power by red caps alone.

Votes, not caps, win elections.
Politics › Re: Real-time Tracking Of Ekiti Governorship Election Based On IREV Uploads by CharlesCNG: 2:00am On Jun 21
Baawaa:
My brother, you cannot see them on this thread the margin is much
The North Was Supposed to Have Rejected APC. Then Kano Voted.

For months, Nigeria's social media warriors, assisted by professional prophets of doom and election astrologers, have confidently informed us that APC is dead in the North.

Dele Momodu and the usual online commentators assured us that the North had moved on and that 2027 was already settled.

Then the voters of Dawakin Kudu/Warawa Federal Constituency in Kano showed up.

And they voted.

The result?

APC's Shuaibu Rabiu secured over 35,000 votes. The nearest challenger barely crossed a few hundred votes.

Apparently, the obituary writers forgot to inform the electorate that APC had already died.

This is the difference between politics and social media.

Social media rewards noise.

Democracy rewards organisation.

For all the endless declarations that "Nigerians have rejected APC," one simple question remains:

Rejected by whom?

By YouTube channels?

By Twitter spaces?

By professional outrage merchants?

Because elections have a cruel habit of exposing fantasies.

The same people who spent months predicting APC's funeral are now preparing the usual excuses.

"Incumbency."

"Bread."

"Vote buying."

"State power."

Anything but the possibility that voters may have made a choice they dislike.

Perhaps the opposition should spend less time manufacturing narratives and more time manufacturing votes.

Because anti-Tinubu sentiment is not a manifesto.

Hashtags are not structures.

And outrage is not organisation.

As for the social media warriors, one can only sympathise.

Once again, reality has rudely interrupted prophecy.

And once again, the ballot box has proved itself a far harsher examiner than Twitter.

Votes speak.

Echo chambers merely echo.
Politics › Re: APC Wins Dawakin Kudu/warawa Federal Constituency, Kano State by CharlesCNG: 1:57am On Jun 21
Melezenawii:
There was a by-election in Kano at Dawakin Kudu/Warawa Federal Constituency today...
Can you guess the winner?
Shuaibu Rabiu of the APC has been declared the winner with 35,356 votes to secure the seat.....

Emmmmm......do you have something to say? Ok, I'm listening.

The North Was Supposed to Have Rejected APC. Then Kano Voted. by CharlesCNG.

For months, Nigeria's social media warriors, assisted by professional prophets of doom and election astrologers, have confidently informed us that APC is dead in the North.

Dele Momodu and the usual online commentators assured us that the North had moved on and that 2027 was already settled.

Then the voters of Dawakin Kudu/Warawa Federal Constituency in Kano showed up.

And they voted.

The result?

APC's Shuaibu Rabiu secured over 35,000 votes. The nearest challenger barely crossed a few hundred votes.

Apparently, the obituary writers forgot to inform the electorate that APC had already died.

This is the difference between politics and social media.

Social media rewards noise.

Democracy rewards organisation.

For all the endless declarations that "Nigerians have rejected APC," one simple question remains:

Rejected by whom?

By YouTube channels?

By Twitter spaces?

By professional outrage merchants?

Because elections have a cruel habit of exposing fantasies.

The same people who spent months predicting APC's funeral are now preparing the usual excuses.

"Incumbency."

"Bread."

"Vote buying."

"State power."

Anything but the possibility that voters may have made a choice they dislike.

Perhaps the opposition should spend less time manufacturing narratives and more time manufacturing votes.

Because anti-Tinubu sentiment is not a manifesto.

Hashtags are not structures.

And outrage is not organisation.

As for the social media warriors, one can only sympathise.

Once again, reality has rudely interrupted prophecy.

And once again, the ballot box has proved itself a far harsher examiner than Twitter.

Votes speak.

Echo chambers merely echo.
Politics › The North Was Supposed To Have Rejected APC. Then Kano Voted. by CharlesCNG(op): 1:55am On Jun 21
For months, Nigeria's social media warriors, assisted by professional prophets of doom and election astrologers, have confidently informed us that APC is dead in the North.

Dele Momodu and the usual online commentators assured us that the North had moved on and that 2027 was already settled.

Then the voters of Dawakin Kudu/Warawa Federal Constituency in Kano showed up.

And they voted.

The result?

APC's Shuaibu Rabiu secured over 35,000 votes. The nearest challenger barely crossed a few hundred votes.

Apparently, the obituary writers forgot to inform the electorate that APC had already died.

This is the difference between politics and social media.

Social media rewards noise.

Democracy rewards organisation.

For all the endless declarations that "Nigerians have rejected APC," one simple question remains:

Rejected by whom?

By YouTube channels?

By Twitter spaces?

By professional outrage merchants?

Because elections have a cruel habit of exposing fantasies.

The same people who spent months predicting APC's funeral are now preparing the usual excuses.

"Incumbency."

"Bread."

"Vote buying."

"State power."

Anything but the possibility that voters may have made a choice they dislike.

Perhaps the opposition should spend less time manufacturing narratives and more time manufacturing votes.

Because anti-Tinubu sentiment is not a manifesto.

Hashtags are not structures.

And outrage is not organisation.

As for the social media warriors, one can only sympathise.

Once again, reality has rudely interrupted prophecy.

And once again, the ballot box has proved itself a far harsher examiner than Twitter.

Votes speak.

Echo chambers merely echo.
Politics › Re: Off-Cycle Elections In Ekiti, Rivers, Ondo, Nasarawa, Kano States (Live Updates) by CharlesCNG: 1:53am On Jun 21
LADEMINUS:
So let's say the PDP guy is given the whole.polling unit. Does it affect the outcome?
The North Was Supposed to Have Rejected APC. Then Kano Voted.

For months, Nigeria's social media warriors, assisted by professional prophets of doom and election astrologers, have confidently informed us that APC is dead in the North.

Dele Momodu and the usual online commentators assured us that the North had moved on and that 2027 was already settled.

Then the voters of Dawakin Kudu/Warawa Federal Constituency in Kano showed up.

And they voted.

The result?

APC's Shuaibu Rabiu secured over 35,000 votes. The nearest challenger barely crossed a few hundred votes.

Apparently, the obituary writers forgot to inform the electorate that APC had already died.

This is the difference between politics and social media.

Social media rewards noise.

Democracy rewards organisation.

For all the endless declarations that "Nigerians have rejected APC," one simple question remains:

Rejected by whom?

By YouTube channels?

By Twitter spaces?

By professional outrage merchants?

Because elections have a cruel habit of exposing fantasies.

The same people who spent months predicting APC's funeral are now preparing the usual excuses.

"Incumbency."

"Bread."

"Vote buying."

"State power."

Anything but the possibility that voters may have made a choice they dislike.

Perhaps the opposition should spend less time manufacturing narratives and more time manufacturing votes.

Because anti-Tinubu sentiment is not a manifesto.

Hashtags are not structures.

And outrage is not organisation.

As for the social media warriors, one can only sympathise.

Once again, reality has rudely interrupted prophecy.

And once again, the ballot box has proved itself a far harsher examiner than Twitter.

Votes speak.

Echo chambers merely echo.
Politics › Re: Off-Cycle Elections In Ekiti, Rivers, Ondo, Nasarawa, Kano States (Live Updates) by CharlesCNG: 1:50am On Jun 21
yarimo:
opposition may show some muscle in Kano but not in kebbi state
The North Was Supposed to Have Rejected APC. Then Kano Voted. by CharlesCNG

For months, Nigeria's social media warriors, assisted by professional prophets of doom and election astrologers, have confidently informed us that APC is dead in the North.

Dele Momodu and the usual online commentators assured us that the North had moved on and that 2027 was already settled.

Then the voters of Dawakin Kudu/Warawa Federal Constituency in Kano showed up.

And they voted.

The result?

APC's Shuaibu Rabiu secured over 35,000 votes. The nearest challenger barely crossed a few hundred votes.

Apparently, the obituary writers forgot to inform the electorate that APC had already died.

This is the difference between politics and social media.

Social media rewards noise.

Democracy rewards organisation.

For all the endless declarations that "Nigerians and the north have rejected APC," one simple question remains:

Rejected by whom?

By YouTube channels?

By Twitter spaces?

By professional outrage merchants?

Because elections have a cruel habit of exposing fantasies.

The same people who spent months predicting APC's funeral are now preparing the usual excuses.

"Incumbency."

"Bread."

"Vote buying."

"State power."

Anything but the possibility that voters may have made a choice they dislike.

Perhaps the opposition should spend less time manufacturing narratives and more time manufacturing votes.

Because anti-Tinubu sentiment is not a manifesto.

Hashtags are not structures.

And outrage is not organisation.

As for the social media warriors, one can only sympathise.

Once again, reality has rudely interrupted prophecy.

And once again, the ballot box has proved itself a far harsher examiner than Twitter.

Votes speak.

Echo chambers merely echo.
Politics › Re: Ekiti Is Decided: Electronic Transmission Points To Massive APC Victory by CharlesCNG(op): 1:20am On Jun 21
OYEBANJI ABIODUN ABAYOMI

All Progressives Congress

308,316
85.7%

#2PDP
OLUYEDE OLUMAYOKUN OLUWOLE


Peoples Democratic Party

39,238
10.9%

#3ADC
BEJIDE OLUWADARE PATRICK



African Democratic Congress

12,142
3.4%
Modify Quote Report Share
Politics › Re: Live Ekiti Election Update Thread by CharlesCNG(op): 12:55am On Jun 21
CharlesCNG:
OYEBANJI ABIODUN ABAYOMI

All Progressives Congress

308,316
85.7%

#2PDP
OLUYEDE OLUMAYOKUN OLUWOLE


Peoples Democratic Party

39,238
10.9%

#3ADC
BEJIDE OLUWADARE PATRICK



African Democratic Congress

12,142
3.4%

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