₦airaland Forum

Gjrich:
Prepare For Battle, I Will Bury You” – Fani-Kayode Attacks Emefiele, Najaatu.

The Director of New Media/Special Projects of the All Progressives Congress (APC) presidential campaign council, Femi Fani-Kayode has threatened to fight and bury some perceived political enemies.

Fani-Kayode in a statement on Tuesday listed those he intends to fight including members of the cabal, warning them that a battle line has been drawn.



https://twitter.com/realFFK/status/1622827730281570304?t=ltGHkTIa8toWWv0awC4V7A&s=19[/quote]Fear of impending loss... Eiyahh

donphilopus:
https://www.thecable.ng/breaking-machina-loses-as-supreme-court-affirms-lawan-as-yobe-apc-senatorial-candidate/amp

BATified2023:
All I know is that we don’t want to hear Biafra or death after d election

lhordspy:
Is "Chigoziem, oraefuna, Chino, chuks " I am seeing there also part of your 'Nasarawa people' ?

I guess those ones ain't smart enough to hide behind the name of a Northerner.

Kewtt:
Here

nlfpmod:
https://twitter.com/realFFK/status/1621563178994786306

jeromestarks:
This POS boy charged me N800 to give me 20k (totalling 20,800).

All is even old notes o.
Nigerians are the problem of Nigeria. Government is doing their best. Buhari is trying his best but the citizens are the major problem of this country. Haba!

I couldn't return it because I needed cash (transfer no dey work well well - network problem).
Don't even get me started on the number of people waiting at ATM. It's not easy.

How is it in your side?

PassingShot:
"If wishes were horses, beggars would ride". Also, it is often said that the worst form of deceit is self deceit. In about 32 days from today, reality will dawn on supporters of paper-weight politicians and they will realize that social media presence or noise does not take anyone to Aso Rock.

Even if you disagree with my political views, the fact that I have done this to near perfection in two previous presidential elections (2015 https://www.nairaland.com/2059493/2015-presidential-election-more-objective and 2019 https://www.nairaland.com/4957446/2019-presidential-election-prediction-analysis) deserves some respect. So, I will expect you to reign in your emotions while responding to this thread.

For this year's presidential election slated for February 25th, I have taken the time to diligently predict the outcome of the election. Unlike in the two previous predictions where only the two front runners were seriously considered, I have expanded this year's to four to include Obi's LP and Kwankwaso's NNPP, not because they have a chance of winning it but to massage the ego of supporters of LP's candidate and also to recognize the significant presence of Kwankwaso in some northern states.

This year's projection takes the following factors into consideration:

1. Political Structure: If there is any group of people that hates to hear this term, it is supporters of LP/Obi. Unfortunately for them, no one can win a state or national election without political structure. It is political structure that ensures that you are represented in places that matter. It is structure that makes you have a polling agent in every polling unit across the country. While APC and PDP can boast of this very important factor, LP and NNPP cannot.

2. State Dominance (number of states presently governed by a party): This is closely related to structure but it is much more. A party has a very good chance of wining the presidential election in the state it controls. Even when such party does not win it, it will have a strong showing in the election there. As of today, APC controls 21 of the 36 states of the federation while PDP controls 14 and APGA has 1. This will surely have a significant influence in the presidential election.

3. Strength/Unity of Opposition: Anyone who has followed politics long enough will easily understand that wrestling power from a ruling party at state or federal level requires a strong and united opposition. It was the absence of united opposition that made PDP rule for 16 years despite all their failings of those years. The opposition could not dislodge PDP until they came together to form what is now known as APC which is the ruling party of today. I strongly believe that for APC to lose this election or any future one nationally, it would require all of today's major opposition parties to fuse into one led by credible and trust-worthy leaders in the mould of Buhari (hate him as much as you like, most Nigerians still trust him) and Tinubu (despite your dislike of him, he remains a master strategist). Sadly for the opposition, they have become more fractionalized/fragmented like never before, now splitting their votes of 2019 into LP, NNPP and PDP. Even within PDP, they are further split into G5 that is doing everything possible to frustrate Atiku. It has always been an impossible mission for a fractionalized opposition to dislodges the ruling party, anywhere in the world.

4. Pulse of the Nation: Apart from those who are registered members of PDP and those who are very bitter about the prospect of Tinubu's presidency, majority of Nigerians are in agreement that the presidency should return to the southern part of the country after Buhari's eight years. This is the only sensible thing to do to keep Nigeria one and it is the major reason that the APC governors of northern extraction stood by BAT during the primaries in deference to Ahmed Lawan who was said to have been promoted by some cabal.

5. Strategic Campaining and Political Alignment/Realignment: We have seen how the parties have faired so far with their campaigns. It is self delusion for anyone to think that attendance at campaigns does not count for much in the election. A party that struggles to fill a 5,000 capcity venue cannot expect the same electoral outcome as one that fills 50,000 capacity venues effortlessly in most states of the country, especially in the north where the bulk of the votes are situated. To think otherwise is foolery and delusion. It is APC that has pulled most crowds at their rallies, followed by PDP. It is APC that has held meetings with strategic unions, organizations, captains of industries, etc, than any other party. All of this will not count for nothing during the election.

6. The G5 Factor: Like I stated earlier, the G5 led by Wike of Rivers is a faction in PDP. While I do not believe that their alliance with any of the other candidtaes (outside Atiku) will have a significance impact on the election, remaining neutral or uncommited to Atiku's candidacy boosts Tinubu's chances even more and gives more votes to Obi and possibly Kwankwaso.

NOTE 1: For 2023, I have added 5% to 2019's voters turnout across all states of the federation except the SE region and Lagos where I have added 10% to reflect the social media buzz and enthusiasm of our brothers/sisters from across the River Niger.

Note 2: This prediction/analysis may later be updated if there are major developments that can have significant effects on the election.

adenigga:
Source: https://punchng.com/Petrol-may-hit-N800/litre-on-subsidy-removal-Marketers

Lizzysamuel:
Jigawa State women calling on a certain presidential candidate to come back and take the diapers he left behind. Walahi, this election is savage.🤣

Heavens1stson:
https://twitter.com/_dinomelaye/status/1617206006685093889?t=ERyDTHLeuvux2-ZOGT1iAA&s=19[/quote]Northerners are serving Tinubu breakfast and slaves are here blaming igbo people

Luukasz:
Like there's no brown roof in your parents land..

You are talking of brown roof in one of the oldest places in the whole Nigeria.
Ode you and your tribes men dey play.. this are one of the reasons Obi will never be president.

You think you can insult people and expect those same people to support your course.. no way!

Nigeria is a lost course.. so Obi or whoever won't change shit!

The Igbos insult every other tribe in the country yet when other tribes starts insulting them.. they start playing the victim and screaming "tribalism."

It's sad some bastard people among my kinsmen (Yorubas) are supporting your course.. same you that was always calling Yorubas "Fulani Slaves" and screaming "Biafra", "Marginalization" up and down.

Now you all stopped screaming that and now are shouting your candidates name, all of a sudden the country is no longer a zoo.

I always told people around me that Igbos shout of Biafra and Marginalization is because of presidency and I have been proved right

The only tribes that should be screaming secession and marginalization are the minority tribes.

Some of us see right through the gaslighting.. I will rather vote an individual from the minority tribes than vote an Igbo man.
Igbos don't deserve the support of any of the other tribes and come 2023 your son will not be president.

In this life or the next.. an Igbo man will never be president of Nigeria.. not until they start according the other tribes the respect they deserve.

BigSarah:
Lmao, if you were in the SW it'll be believable.

Atiku is a household name in the SESS

Pogba12:
To me none.
Now lets hear yours and reason

Tinubuadvocate:
Kwankwaso is not a threat you think he will spoil thing for Tinubu .continue fooling around.