₦airaland Forum

It'll be president elect Peter obi very soon

logicalhumour:
With the current support for APC, I'm beginning to question myself as to if I lived in the same Nigeria under 8 years of APC alongside the supporters of APC.

The title of this thread is a very very honest question. Please do NOT reply if APC hasn't done any positive thing for you. I want to know what Nairalanders have benefited from this current government. Don't coman tell me how you suffered, I didn't ask for that! I just want to know what Nigerians enjoyed the most in this government.

Once again, a very honest question, sincerely. Thank you.

Electricity improved a little bit

End your suffering tomorrow

If Either Tinubu or Atiku win, it'll just be a continuation of the status quo. Corruption and looting will remain the order of the day.

Peter obi will bring a new style of leadership.. Decency to public office.

Please just vote LP for president tomorrow. Put ethnicity and religion aside and vote the person we know is the best candidate.. Let's end our suffering please.

I want to understand Tinubu supporters... Why exactly do you want Apc to continue after 8 years of bad leadership?

senatordave1:
Tinubu has the best chance.igbos always record low turnout and this wouldn't change.Tinubu just needs to divide the north and get 60% in sw.osun is not leaning to pdp.

Results from SE will shock u.. I know what am saying

I live here..

What I learned from the pvc data released by INEC.

It's not looking good for Tinubu. Apc at the height of their popularity in 2015 could only pull 15M votes...in 2019 the same 15M. That was with Buhari cult like following in the north o

In 2023, I can confidently say that everyone that would vote for Apc in the north already voted in 2015 & 2019. Tinubu as it stands today can't afford to lose any vote in the north. Apc is working with only 15M votes, and from the look of things Atiku will will flip many Apc voters in the north.

Peter obi on the other hand is at an advantage, the collection rate in the SE is very high. I stay in Enugu and never in my life have I ever seen igbo this motivated to vote, people are trying like Madd. So many students that registered at home have gone back to vote today, others will go tomorrow. The arrest of Ekpa has been met with a lot of jubilation as many people feel safer to come out and vote. Alot of people have pvc here in the SE but their reason for not voting is usually that there is no credible person.. This time around a lot more people are ready to vote cox obi.

Tinubu won't win because there is no way he can keep all the votes Buhari got in 2015 & 2019, already kano is gone thanks to Kwankwaso and oda states are shaking as we speak. He can't make up for the votes any where, he can't afford to lose any state in the SW but already osun is leaning towards PDP.

In summary Tinubu has no part to victory cox there is no northern bloc vote for him

Atiku is the only candidate that might pull an upset on Saturday.

Here it is

SW has the lowest collection rate.

Heavens1stson:
https://pmexpressng.com/coalition-of-buhari-apc-support-groups-dump-tinubu-rally-support-for-atiku-okowa-presidency-2023/

Tinubu is finished.. 😂😂😂

The way Igbo people are motivated for this election eh.. I think it's cox of the effort the church has made in sensitizing people.. No body even send simon ekpa.

Almost everyone of my friends get PVC and they are voting obi....Saturday election will see the highest turnout in SE since 2011

Aboki99:
Peter Obi's supporters are cock-a-hoop about what they see as the highest chance of their hero winning Nigeria's presidency next Saturday.

Are their optimism and excitement factually/statistically justified?

Let's do the arithmetic.

PO's strongholds are the SE and the SS, two zones with the least number of votes!. Granted that PO can scavenge some votes in the SW, but it's crystal clear that Tinubu will carry the day in SW eventually.

In the north, the Obidients rely on pockets of votes from northern xtians. But are these enough? Not at all. Since 1999, the northern xtians have never voted along the same line as the Muslim core North. For example they have never voted for Buhari. Yet, in 2014 and 2019 Buhari was able to win signifying the political insignificance of this voting bloc to a candidate that can garner votes in the core north and other parts (Tinubu?). Similarly, PMB was able to win elections without the votes of the SE and SS in both 2014 and 2019, which also trivializes the importance of these two Obi's main strongholds in determining the ultimate presidential winner.

So, for Obi to win the presidential election, he would, as a matter of necessity, need votes from Muslim voters in the north. But does he look set to get it? The truthful but bitter answer for Obidients to accept is No with a capital N. Problem is, the Obidients want to market Obi in the day as a pan-Nigerian candidate but brandish the news of Obi's endorsement by popular pastors/Churches whose altars Obi has turned to campaign platforms. This, rightly so, confuses the average northern Muslim voter and makes them pause to ask some legitimate questions[ Imagine Buhari going to the mosques to campaigns in 2014 or even 2019, what with the reaction be like from voters in say the SE?)

Not even the votes in Plateau and Benue, two states Obidients have also placed high, convoluted hope on can do anything to offset the bloc northern muslim votes. Here, the Obidients will conveniently bring up the issue of Kwankwaso who, as they argue passionately, will magically divide these votes for them to conquer and win the race. In making this highfalutin assumptions, the Obidients forget two crucial facts: 1) the muslim northern voters are never known, throughout Nigeria's political history, to cultivate the habit of wasting their votes. The average northern voter might not have gone to school but they're the most sophisticated; 2) Despite pulling some intimidating crowds in a couple of states esp in the nroth, the truth is Kano is Kwankwaso's main sphere of influence. Even there, I can't bet a penny that he'll win a simple majority for reasons adumbrated above.

Now, my only concern is what the reaction of the Obidients will be when the bubble of their alternative reality finally bursts. I hope they'll peacefully pick up the pieces, lick their wounds, move on and say "better luck next time".

Personally, I do not see any credible candidate worthy of my votes among the current pack of wolfs, but I know for sure that this 2023 election is a contest between Tinubu and Atiku. Yet, while I know this for a fact, I also have to admit that the outcome of this contest is highly unpredictable. Tinubu has 22 APC governors behind his back, huge war chest, media control and so on. Atiku has the support of some powerful members of PMB's kitchen cabinet, considerable war chest, and some current public angst to latch onto.

If you press me hard to rate the chances of the major contenders, I'll come up with something like these:
1. Tinubu 35%
2. Atiku 34
3. Obi 20%
4. Kwankwaso 9%

May God choose the best candidate for us.

Stears a reputable data firm already did their own analysis and put obi ahead.. This one you're saying is trash

POLAF claimed Atiku is ahead in the polls.. They did their Analysis by calling 3M people.

So I want to know if anyone here was called by POLAF

Mynd44:
You first time voters really need to learn the history of Nigerian elections.

In 2011, Fashola got 1.5 million votes to be re-elected actually, he got 1,509,113 votes.

If you didn't know about this then why should we take anything else you say seriously?

in 2015 your party got 700k, 2019 you got 500k. Saturday your eye go clear

There is a very real possibility that Peter obi may take Lagos.

Read this article

https://www.vanguardngr.com/2023/02/pvc-4-175-m-voters-disenfranchised-in-10-states/

It says that there are 5M plus collected PVC in Lagos yet Apc has never gotten up to 1M votes ever not even with the bullion vans in 2019 or with Buhari popularity in 2015.

Even Sanwo olu couldn't get up to 1M in his own race.

Now if you read further it says INEC office Lagos received 1M PVC dis yr... Over 90% were collected. That's over 960K new voters. We know that majority of the young people registered just to vote Obi know Lagos.

Now if obi can convince even a percentage of a those 5M people with PVC to show up on election day and he can turn out Alot of the new 900k+ voters... He can flip Lagos.

Even Apc admits that there is a possibility - - https://tribuneonlineng.com/obi-may-create-upset-for-apc-in-lagos-but-arise/

Even Stears admits that Obi can win Tinubu in Lagos.

Lemme tell you.. Even if Obi doesn't win the general election beating Tinubu in Lagos will be a Massive win still.

God1000:
Are you going to vote in this week's election? It will be a pity not to vote after all the noise and dirty fight online.

Other people will decide for you if you don't vote.

As for me, I will vote

Yes my PVC... I'll vote Peter obi on Saturday

Abiodunstephen:
Church started in a normal ways, after Sunday school class the main service began.
Praise and worship was so amazing, we dance and praise God in unusual way.
Immediately after praise and worship, Offering and tithe follow and service was getting shape.

The next thing on the service was for the daddy G.O to come to the alter and lead some prayer but when Papa came he started with the topic of whom to vote and how he want the congregation to vote, I was like this is unusual of daddy G.O to be talking about the politics on the pulpit but daddy G.O keep saying vote for the man that has interest of Nigerian, do not vote any old man because is your tribes man.
One church man now asked that please sir who should we vote? pastor was like I think Peter Obi should be the best.
Immediately he pronounce that most member walked away from church with anger that pastor should stop that otherwise they will not attend the church again that they are for Tinubu and nobody can change their mind on that.

It didn't happen

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AuBI7J42B_g

Lp

Enugu

naptu2:
The Classic Man @tkb417



https://twitter.com/tkb417/status/1626093778162397184

The only poll that seems reasonable is the stears poll.. You can't predict this year election by looking at previous voting pattern

- We've never had a strong third party candidate

-Alot of people are undecided

-Very high turnout among younger voters

CoronaVirusRelo:
Just promise me you won’t start screaming Biafra or Death, after defeat.

Deep down you know your candidate is no where.

He no get Northern Bloc vote.

Buhari is not giving him federal might

With Naira redesign, every one in this country is pissed at Apc.

How he wan take win bro?

Tinubu has no path to victory without Northern bloc vote.

Kano is gone... Atiku is gaining ground in kastina..Kaduna With its Large Christian population will be shared by all three major candidates.

Even in Lagos, Tinubu is trying to fight off obi. Atiku is pulling weight in Osun and Ogun. Obi is doing well in ondo. Many yoruba especially those in major cities will likely go with obi.

This election will have record turnout.. Many students are traveling home to vote.. So many people I know who have never voted before got their PVC for this election... Christians are 100% for Obi.

Because of Obi popularity, Atiku has concentrated his campaign 100% in the north.. Tinubu can't make up for the votes he'll lose in the SW.

Tinubu has no path to victory.

The candidate am watching now is Atiku.

RotimiBliss:
Hello fellow Nigerians, especially lagosians, today was so bad in my area. People blatantly reject old naira notes, refuse to accept transfer, those that are willing are requesting you add extra amount on top as charges. Traders have their goods wasting in their store, some locked down the business in a bit to avoid old notes, perishable items are perishing, people couldn't feed despite having money in their account.
This is the story in my area.

How is the situation at your end ?

Share with us.

No cash o

chidubem20:
Is this a likely scenario? Any dividends?

He won't.... Pdp have been begging him to though.

ImperialYoruba:
In January of 1966, Ibo soldiers attacked prominent Nigerian patriots serving their fatherland in military and civil service.

About 22 people were killed. Among them were 5 Yorubas. They are listed below -

Premier Samuel Akintola - Christian
Brig. Samuel Ademulegun - Christian
Mrs Latifat Ademulegun - Muslim
Col. Ralph Shodeinde - Christian
Sgt. Daramola Oyegoke - Christian

In addition to above, they kidnapped Chief Remi Fani-Kayode and took him to Lagos to be killed, but Gowon saved him after the plotters were overpowered.

Remi Fani-Kayode is a Christian.

Azikiwe roped Awolowo in with charges of treasonable felony and threw him in jail so he would not have competition in his ambition to rule Western region. Meanwhile coup plotters were not even tried for treason.

Chief Obafemi Awolowo - Christian.


Before voting Obi, in rejection of a Muslim Yoruba, first ask the yanmiri next to you why they slaughtered Yoruba Christians, and targeted other Yoruba Christians for elimination.

Tribalism is the only way you can convince people to vote for your sick drug dealer that pees on himself

All this crying is the fear of impending defeat. When they eventually lose next week, they're looking for who to blame.

Apc has probably done their internal polling that shows their candidate is going to lose.

If They were confident in Tinubu victory, they won't have even gone to court. They'll just wait for him to win and then reverse the policy. They know he's going no where.

FreedomfromtheT:
Ok. Which state are you voting from?

Enugu

matex97:
https://www.channelstv.com/2023/02/17/kano-state-governor-vows-to-destroy-banks-refusing-old-naira-notes/

Where was this energy during Covid.. They were busy hoarding pallatives dey here dey cap nonsense.

FreedomfromtheT:
February 25th 2023 is just 8 days away.
The winner of the presidential election can only emerge by winning the popular vote as well as obtain 25% from at least 24 states and the Federal Capital Territory.
You most probably have a candidate you support for whatever reason.
But if you don't come out and encourage same minds to come out and vote for him, he might not win. Your vote, yes your one vote can make your candidate win or lose.
The question is: will you vote on election day?

Yes

floret23:
If Tinubu tries it here in Osogbo, he will be stoned to death. Even Oyetola cannot come to Osogbo without lots of security men.

😂😂😂

Jimmythewise:
By newton's 3rd Law, To every action there is an equal and opposite reaction.

If Buhari's new policy actually helps us to have a fair election and avert the obvious disaster called Tinubu,
Will you forgive his 8 years of incompetence when Peter Obi wins the election?

My answer is Yes. The past is the past but the future is golden. If someone who offended me in the past can help me birth a wonderful future then I'll let it slide.

Yes I will

As Nigerian voters prepare to head to the polls on February 25, many are hoping for a more market-friendly president to replace the current government, which has been perceived as having unfriendly policies towards markets and trade.
According to a survey conducted by Nairametrics, economists and market stakeholders have identified Peter Obi, Atiku Abubakar, Bola Tinubu, and Rabiu Kwankwaso as the top contenders in the upcoming presidential election, and have expressed their opinions on which candidate would be most market-friendly.
Our survey also indicates all the top contenders have good economic policies that favor markets but one person rises above others.
According to Moses Igbrude, President of the Independent Shareholders Association of Nigeria, Peter Obi the former chairman of the board of directors of Fidelity Bank and a stakeholder in International Breweries, has pledged to improve forex capacity by ending import restrictions and enabling exporters to sell their dollars at the market rate if elected.
“Peter Obi has cognate knowledge of the workings of the exchange, and would be in the best position to formulate market-friendly policies for the exchange,” said
Moses Igbrude
Atiku Abubakar, who has investments in many companies in Nigeria but none listed on the stock market, has said that he would break the government monopoly in all sectors of the economy and allow the market greater leverage in determining prices.
However, Igbrude is not convinced that Abubakar’s policies would also be market-friendly.
“Atiku Abubakar is a capitalist, which is good for the economy, but he may use his capitalist inclination to his own advantage, instead of the country’s,” he said.
Rabiu Kwankwaso has promised to initiate good economic policies and tackle insecurity, but Igbrude believes that he does not have sufficient knowledge of the workings of the exchange to formulate market-friendly policies.
Bola Tinubu has promised to optimize foreign exchange (FX) to strengthen the naira, which some economists believe would be market-friendly.
“I think Bola Tinubu would formulate more market-friendly policies. He is a creative economist, and capital markets usually do well under creative economists,” said Zakari Mohammed, a lecturer at the Department of Banking and Finance at Auchi Polytechnic.
However, Mohammed expressed concern that Tinubu’s age might not work in his favor.
Another economist who preferred that we do not disclose his identity also expressed doubt that any of the four contenders would be completely market-friendly.
“Peter Obi, Bola Tinubu, and Rabiu Kwankwaso have good manifestos but still have some leanings toward reviving government assets, which is not a market-friendly approach,” the economist said.
“A private sector-led economy would be good for the market,” the economist added, suggesting that Atiku Abubakar might be the most likely to formulate and enforce market-friendly policies.
Dr. Emeka Okengwu, Chief Executive of Anthill Concepts Limited, believes that Peter Obi would be the most market-friendly if elected, given his emphasis on moving away from consumption to production.
“Consumption is not limited to physical goods, but also includes services. Services include financial services; therefore, I believe the emphasis being laid by Peter Obi on production means it will have a positive impact on the markets,” he said.
Okengwu believes that Atiku Abubakar could also have market-friendly policies, but may have shortcomings in terms of regulations.
Dr. Paul Enonogie , an economist, believes that Peter Obi has an edge over the other contenders, given his academic background and association with the markets in the past.
“He [Peter Obi] therefore knows what the market needs to grow,” Enonogie noted that the other three contenders have no records of activities in the markets and therefore may not consciously formulate market-friendly policies.
Anietie Dugu , a stock market analyst, expressed her confidence in Peter Obi, stating,
“By the mere fact that Obi served as chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission gives him an edge over the other contenders.”
However, when asked about the other contenders, Dugu admitted she was not familiar with their economic policies while they were in government.
Dr. Nelson Nkwo, a lecturer in the Insurance Department at Ebonyi State University, told Nairametrics,
“Apart from Obi, none of the other contenders has shown any interest in the stock market. The other contenders have investments, but not in the stock market, which might be an indication that they don’t quite appreciate the importance of the market to the economy. Obi does, judging from his antecedents.”
Livinus Azosiwe, another economist and social affairs analyst, stated,
“I believe Obi’s policies will be market-friendly. He [Peter Obi] has to create jobs, which the young people desperately need. To create jobs for young people, there will be a need for mass investments; that is where the stock market comes in. If Obi is elected, he will need to create the right environment to woo investors. The market is crucial; so he will have to formulate market-friendly policies.”
Azosiwe also noted that he perceives Bola Tinubu and Rabiu Kwankwaso to have socialist leanings, which is not market-friendly.
Kayode Gbadebo, a player in the capital market, believes all four candidates know what to do to ensure market-friendly policies, but selfish interests have impeded the growth of the market. He said he hopes for a paradigm shift from what has been obtained over the past eight years.
According to the mini-survey conducted by Nairametrics, 67% of respondents believe Peter Obi will be market-friendly, with Atiku Abubakar and Bola Tinubu clinching 11% apiece of stakeholders’ confidence to be market-friendly, while 11% remained neutral.
Regardless of the opinions, it remains to be seen which of the top contenders for Nigeria’s presidency will emerge victorious and deliver on their promise to implement policies that are more market-friendly than the current government’s policies.
As the country’s general elections draw closer, it is crucial for voters and stakeholders to consider the implications of each candidate’s economic policies and how they may impact the Nigerian market.

Sources : https://nairametrics.com/2023/02/17/we-asked-nine-top-economist-which-presidential-candidate-will-be-market-friendly/

Peter obi is going to the markets unannounced and getting greeted with cheers and admiration.

When will Tinubu do the same. They said obi is going to igbo dominated markets... When will Tinubu go to yoruba dominated markets.