₦airaland Forum

As Nigerian voters prepare to head to the polls on February 25, many are hoping for a more market-friendly president to replace the current government, which has been perceived as having unfriendly policies towards markets and trade.
According to a survey conducted by Nairametrics, economists and market stakeholders have identified Peter Obi, Atiku Abubakar, Bola Tinubu, and Rabiu Kwankwaso as the top contenders in the upcoming presidential election, and have expressed their opinions on which candidate would be most market-friendly.
Our survey also indicates all the top contenders have good economic policies that favor markets but one person rises above others.
According to Moses Igbrude, President of the Independent Shareholders Association of Nigeria, Peter Obi the former chairman of the board of directors of Fidelity Bank and a stakeholder in International Breweries, has pledged to improve forex capacity by ending import restrictions and enabling exporters to sell their dollars at the market rate if elected.
“Peter Obi has cognate knowledge of the workings of the exchange, and would be in the best position to formulate market-friendly policies for the exchange,” said
Moses Igbrude
Atiku Abubakar, who has investments in many companies in Nigeria but none listed on the stock market, has said that he would break the government monopoly in all sectors of the economy and allow the market greater leverage in determining prices.
However, Igbrude is not convinced that Abubakar’s policies would also be market-friendly.
“Atiku Abubakar is a capitalist, which is good for the economy, but he may use his capitalist inclination to his own advantage, instead of the country’s,” he said.
Rabiu Kwankwaso has promised to initiate good economic policies and tackle insecurity, but Igbrude believes that he does not have sufficient knowledge of the workings of the exchange to formulate market-friendly policies.
Bola Tinubu has promised to optimize foreign exchange (FX) to strengthen the naira, which some economists believe would be market-friendly.
“I think Bola Tinubu would formulate more market-friendly policies. He is a creative economist, and capital markets usually do well under creative economists,” said Zakari Mohammed, a lecturer at the Department of Banking and Finance at Auchi Polytechnic.
However, Mohammed expressed concern that Tinubu’s age might not work in his favor.
Another economist who preferred that we do not disclose his identity also expressed doubt that any of the four contenders would be completely market-friendly.
“Peter Obi, Bola Tinubu, and Rabiu Kwankwaso have good manifestos but still have some leanings toward reviving government assets, which is not a market-friendly approach,” the economist said.
“A private sector-led economy would be good for the market,” the economist added, suggesting that Atiku Abubakar might be the most likely to formulate and enforce market-friendly policies.
Dr. Emeka Okengwu, Chief Executive of Anthill Concepts Limited, believes that Peter Obi would be the most market-friendly if elected, given his emphasis on moving away from consumption to production.
“Consumption is not limited to physical goods, but also includes services. Services include financial services; therefore, I believe the emphasis being laid by Peter Obi on production means it will have a positive impact on the markets,” he said.
Okengwu believes that Atiku Abubakar could also have market-friendly policies, but may have shortcomings in terms of regulations.
Dr. Paul Enonogie , an economist, believes that Peter Obi has an edge over the other contenders, given his academic background and association with the markets in the past.
“He [Peter Obi] therefore knows what the market needs to grow,” Enonogie noted that the other three contenders have no records of activities in the markets and therefore may not consciously formulate market-friendly policies.
Anietie Dugu , a stock market analyst, expressed her confidence in Peter Obi, stating,
“By the mere fact that Obi served as chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission gives him an edge over the other contenders.”
However, when asked about the other contenders, Dugu admitted she was not familiar with their economic policies while they were in government.
Dr. Nelson Nkwo, a lecturer in the Insurance Department at Ebonyi State University, told Nairametrics,
“Apart from Obi, none of the other contenders has shown any interest in the stock market. The other contenders have investments, but not in the stock market, which might be an indication that they don’t quite appreciate the importance of the market to the economy. Obi does, judging from his antecedents.”
Livinus Azosiwe, another economist and social affairs analyst, stated,
“I believe Obi’s policies will be market-friendly. He [Peter Obi] has to create jobs, which the young people desperately need. To create jobs for young people, there will be a need for mass investments; that is where the stock market comes in. If Obi is elected, he will need to create the right environment to woo investors. The market is crucial; so he will have to formulate market-friendly policies.”
Azosiwe also noted that he perceives Bola Tinubu and Rabiu Kwankwaso to have socialist leanings, which is not market-friendly.
Kayode Gbadebo, a player in the capital market, believes all four candidates know what to do to ensure market-friendly policies, but selfish interests have impeded the growth of the market. He said he hopes for a paradigm shift from what has been obtained over the past eight years.
According to the mini-survey conducted by Nairametrics, 67% of respondents believe Peter Obi will be market-friendly, with Atiku Abubakar and Bola Tinubu clinching 11% apiece of stakeholders’ confidence to be market-friendly, while 11% remained neutral.
Regardless of the opinions, it remains to be seen which of the top contenders for Nigeria’s presidency will emerge victorious and deliver on their promise to implement policies that are more market-friendly than the current government’s policies.
As the country’s general elections draw closer, it is crucial for voters and stakeholders to consider the implications of each candidate’s economic policies and how they may impact the Nigerian market.

Sources : https://nairametrics.com/2023/02/17/we-asked-nine-top-economist-which-presidential-candidate-will-be-market-friendly/

Peter obi is going to the markets unannounced and getting greeted with cheers and admiration.

When will Tinubu do the same. They said obi is going to igbo dominated markets... When will Tinubu go to yoruba dominated markets.

Hussein035:
We will not vote out APC. We will vote and ensure Jagaban becomes our president since he is the only one that have sense among the 3 candidates.

This useless boy complain to have bought 70k and get 40k in return is also supporting the useless policy along side his obituary candidate yet you come here to complain, thunder fire Psquare, Obi and their apologists.

If you complain again, you will die before election, useless people supporting dumb presidential candidate

You deserve to die for supporting a sick drug dealer that pees on himself like Tinubu... Fulani slave. They'll serve you and your slave master breakfast on the 25th.. Stupid im*becile

Dpleaser:
For ur dream, we're voting in APC, it's now visible to the blind all ur tactics.

Do u really think Obi can win with Tinubu out of the game?

You must be dreaming, The Fulani want to keep retaining power by supporting, this has nothing to do with party interest but an intentional sabotage on the part of the south.

Northerners () will eventually unite behind themselves but not southerners.

You guys are really sick, too much hatred in your campaign.

What is it that Tinubu did to wrong you fools, he never influenced in your state elections but you claim he spoil Nigeria because he supported Bihari for.

Is he the first to support a candidate, since when have u been supporting Atiku (PDP). What good have they done to you.

Even the person you claimed he helped is not even showing the necessary support to him, such that it is obvious that the present currency crisis we're facing now was targeted to negatively influence his election, since opposition are now using it to support their campaign against APC.

The policy that is obviously affecting every persons in the country was tackled by APC governor's including Tinubu but it was supported by Atiku, Obi and other PDP governors.

Think and act wisely.

Unfortunately you're not in charge of human life, you'd have killed the man.

Keep crying slave.

Vote out Apc

FreeStuffsNG:
All you know how to do is insult. To think broadly and deeply can not take place in a heart like yours filled with hatred and bigotry. In your mind you think Lp will get 80% of Anambra but think Yoruba will vote lp after disgracing lp in the last 2 guber elections in SW.smh

When we told you that LP will not get up to 20k votes in Osun despite Mr Obi going there to campaign you were mocking us.
If your mushroom party got 2k votes out of about 2m, you should be genuinely worried instead of insulting.

Btw, lp scored 100 votes in Ekiti guber and this week, lp exco dissolved into APC.

The places like Okota you and Amuwo are less densely populated area of Lagos. Areas like Agege with huge population are dominated by the Hausa Fulanis. You obviously believe all the hype as I can see. Go back and watch the flopped rally of lp in tbs. They struggled to get 1k ro attend

On MC Oluomo, he has no time for you. You are just bothering your head needlessly, Lagos has his son on the ballot.That alone is enough ginger

The only reason Apc has managed to win Lagos is because of voters Apathy. When all these young educated people that decided to collect their PVC and all the Christians show up on election day. Tinubu will beg not to be disgrace.. This one no be by bullion can., 😂😂

FreeStuffsNG:
You just do not get Others are more motivated and far more motivated than you think. It will shock you when it hits you. Old Oyo state alone has over 5 million votes at stake and they aint joking.

You think it is election day that you see motivation. No. It is from registration for pvc and picking it up. Osun and Oyo alone will deliver more votes than the whole SE let along now include Lagos and Ogun with about 10m votes at stake .

Yoruba people are so highly motivated because Asiwaju the best candidate is their own on the ballot.

Keep consoling yourself..
.
There are more igbos outside south east than in the south east. So when you're counting those collected PVC add non yoruba people.

I can tell you for a fact go and verify 90% of those in the SE are igbos and they're voting obi. Keep crying your man will only win SW

FreeStuffsNG:
I knew it is South East
Show them this on top their initial gragra. Tell them that Rivers state and Oyo state are now in Asiwaju's bag.Democracy is a game of numbers so if they are voting lp, won ti lule pii

Top 10 states by PVC registrations: Listed below are the top ten Nigerian states where many of the 93,469,008 registered voters are –

Lagos: 7,060,195
Kano: 5,921,370
Kaduna: 4,335,208
Rivers: 3,537,190
Katsina: 3,4516,719
Oyo: 3,276,765
Bauchi: 2,749,268
Plateau: 2,789,528
Benue: 2,777,727
Niger: 2,698,344

No single SE state here and all the top ten perhaps except Benue are locked down for Asiwaju Tinubu. PDP is in the race no doubt but lp is out.

I've never seen igbos this motivated about an election before... The turnout will shock you... There is a difference between I want to vote for you because I believe in you VS my governor is telling me to vote for you.

You'll understand beta on election day.

MrEverest:
Where is your school?

This election will be fun for youths. They will be like "I'm chilling with my PVC on the line and waiting to vote for Obi"

Many people will be at the polling units than at homes and it will be like carnival. Even ladies hoping to get a man will be out and vice versa.

Enugu

peepydelano:
So because they are traveling, it automatically means they are traveling to vote Obi? Mtcheww I also have people coming in from different part of the world for Atiku

I asked them zombie

Nobody is even talking about Atiku here.

Many of my lodgemates are traveling for this election o... My own polling unit is inside school so no need for me to travel.

Never seen my friends this interested in an election.. Over UEFA or even BBN

nairavsdollars:
https://independent.ng/2023-naira-redesign-policy-has-minimised-influence-of-money-in-politics-buhari/

Tinubu slaves are in tears right now

alanto:
POS just use us cash out for nothing..

The president has announced that we can continue spending the old note untill April 10. CBN will bring out all the old 200 notes in their vaults and send them back to banks for circulation but won't do the same for #500 and #1,000.

Most politicians packed money in 1000 naira and 500 naira notes

COFFINSELLER:
Pictures

No be by Crowd.
After all this.. He'll end up having 150k votes... Mtvhwee

Osidazz19:
No be only landslide, na gully erosion he win by. I will be here when you start wailing and crying that the election has been rigged. just 2 more weeks.. I go laugh tire..

F**k off slave

Osidazz19:
Tinubu does not even need Rivers to win the presidency but it will be nice to mess it up for Atiku. Rivers is not needed.

You were celebrating when Wike declared for your druggie Master... Obi will win rivers in a landslide.

wegevv:
It has happened 7 times in the last two elections.

In 2019 Buhari's APC got over a million votes in 2 states (Kano and Katsina) and came very close in Kaduna with approx. 993k. Atiku did not get close in any state. The highest votes PDP got in a single state last time was approx 650k in Kaduna.

In 2015 Buhari's APC got over a million votes in 3 states (Kano, Katsina and Kaduna) and came very close in Bauchi with approx. 992k. Jonathan's PDP also got over a million votes in 2 states (Rivers and Delta) and came close in Akwa Ibom with approx 953k.

This year there seem to be 3 major contenders in many of the most populous states. Do you think Obi (LP), Tinubu (APC), Atiku (PDP) or Kwankwaso (NNPP) can get over a million votes in any states?


Cc:
Digitron
Penguin2
Eriokanmi
Garfield1
Nlfpmod
Seun
Trollronaldo
nameo

Obi will pass 1million in Anambra for sure

famology:
As far as Rivers State is concerned, the presidential matter is settled.....

APC
Pdp
Accord
Sdp

All supporting Tinubu.

Amaechi couldn't deliver rivers as a sitting governor.. Despite Buhari popularity in 2015 and him having a Christian VP.

It's now Wike as corrupt as he his that will deliver a Muslim Muslim ticket.

South East
Obi

hart12:
Lets gather and discuss

No 😶

I stay in Enugu

Nwaetche:
https://dailypost.ng/2023/02/14/purported-guber-candidate-bashir-never-our-member-kano-lp-slams-defection-claims/

Looks like Tinubu got scammed

[quote author=HenryThegreat1 post=120891712]https://thenationonlineng.net/obi-will-not-get-1000-votes-in-southwest-lp-leaders-predict/[/quote

They shouldn't cry when the north decide to vote their own too

[quote author=blamingthedevil post=120881627]Empty Stadium at PDP/Atiku Presidential Rally in Calabar



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fsoExm8TXxw

Governor Ayade’s aide visited the venue of Atiku’s rally in Calabar and mocked PDP.

Empty stadium!

If e didn’t dey, e didn’t dey! pic.twitter.com/8qH9jULLq0

— Chris (@only1topboyy) February 13, 2023

won't win crossriver though

Do u ever think that maybe we're judging Tinubu too harshly.

Am voting for Peter obi on the 25th but if Tinubu does end up winning, I don't think he'll be as bad as most people think.

I read his manifesto, which was quite good I must say, very realistic and achievable. Yesterday I read the recommendations that he made to the Cbn here >> https://www.legit.ng/nigeria/1519566-tinubu-schools-cbn-governor-emefiele-reveals-6-naira-scarcity-crisis/

They were very good and practical steps that could end the crisis.

Peter obi is without a doubt the best candidate and the best choice for Nigerians in 2023, but my advice is that you take some time off Twitter and do your own research into Tinubu.

PS : I no be Urchinz ooo

naptu2:
https://independent.ng/atiku-will-win-most-disputed-election/

You conducted no surveys but you somehow know that Atiku will win.

LesbianBoy:
Tinubu and APC are not really unpopular like social media is trying to make us believe:
Guys calm down and think about this carefully. On social media especially we insult tinubu and when tinubu makes a mistake at his rallies we laugh and make fun of him and APC but people are not focusing on the main thing and asking questions which is the fact that his campaigns are always full. Why are they always full? Now some of you might say they are paid to attend and it's not organic, but I doubt. How many people do they want to pay? Even if they paid trust me we would have seen clips of people being paid. But we have not seen any of those. Infact out of the top 3 presidential candidates, Peter obi has been the one that has had several campaign rallies that were scanty which is quite sad and make some question if people really want change or we are just pretending and Iove the way things are while hoping that one day it will be our turn to steal too.


There are so may silent voters who prefer tinubu but don't want to say it to avoid being bashed:

I have come to realise that there are many people that are "obidients" by the day but "batified" at night. What I mean is that these people shout Peter obi in the morning because he is popular and it's now the popular thing to do but deep down they love tinubu and would vote for him. I have noticed this in celebrities and regular Nigerians too.



Peter obi won't change much:

From what I have seen I don't think he would do much infact Peter obi will be Jonathan pro max. Don't get me wrong he is a gentleman and he is the best candidate but the system is so bad that it would frustrate whatever good he wants to do. Also don't forget the power of tribalism in Nigeria. It's so strong! Think about it. Everything you see that happened to Jonathan was because he was PERCEIVED to be igbo emphasis on perceived yet see what they did to his government even when he was in the leading party. Now imagine what will happen if Peter obi that is now a full igbo man enter who is not even in the main party sef and doesn't have all the cabals and thieves on his side. Omo, what we would see would shock everyone that we would wish he never entered. Btw, don't forget Peter obi visited gumi who is allegedly a terrorist. If things would change, trust me Peter obi won't be doing that. He is not president yet he is going to see people like gumi what would now happen if he now becomes president. That means he would have to keep seeing people like gumi if not they would destroy his government.



Many people are supporting Peter obi for selfish reasons:

Don't be deceived, many of these people especially celebrities supporting Peter obi are using him to boast their musical careers. Some are positioning themselves so incase he enters they will get positions that would make them loot too as their career no dey bring in money again like before. Etc.



Peter obi is setting a trap for himself: When the campaign started Peter obi was saying the right things but I must say of late he is saying things that cannot work which would be used against him if he miraculously enters. To me he is setting a trap for himself already. For instance he has talked about restructuring, he talked about about how the 1999 constitution there is nothing wrong with it etc. The 1999 constitution especially, everyone that has been following politics know that this is one of the biggest problems we have as a country. Until it is amended Nigeria will remain the same way. So it was surprising seeing Peter obi says nothing was wrong with it.


Tinubu supporters are accusing obidients of what did and are currently doing:

Anyone who remembers the 2015 election would know that what obidients are doing now is childplay compared to buharists in 2015. Buharists attacked anyone that still wanted jonathan both online and even offline. To add to that, have you guys forgotten the person that "trekked" from was it Lagos to Abuja for buhari or rode a bicycle for buhari or those that drank dirty water for buhari etc. Obidients have not done any of these yeye stunts yet tinubu supporters (who were buhari supporters then) are crying. Hypocrites! They also accuse obidients of voting based on tribalism. Anyone with a functioning brain knows that looking at the top 3 candidates, Peter obi is the most qualified and it's only tribalism that will make someone choose a tinubu who is very sick to a Peter obi who is strong and agile


The new naira scarcity actually favours the politicians especially tinubu:

Think about it. CBN said they have put the money out there for Nigerians to use but Nigerians are finding it hard to get a hold of it. Have you asked yourself what's going on. Simple! Many of these corrupt banks are reserving the money meant for the general public for politicians to use in vote-buying during the elections that's why the money is scarce. So it still favours them! So all of you celebrating should not celebrate too much o! This country na wa!



Mynd44 Seun OAM4J

guy Tinubu is unpopular everywhere ... rallies are full because APC has registered members. i have not met a single person planning to vote Tinubu

donphilopus:
The Presidential candidate of the APC and incoming President Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu held a rally at Eagle Square tonight after Kebbi in the morning.

These are some of the pictures taken at the rally ground tonight. More will be uploaded tomorrow.

God bless incoming President Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

.. Post the full picture.. Stop cropping

I don't know what will happen on the 25th but one thing is certain.. I will vote for Peter obi and I will stay back and make sure my vote is counted.

The real waste of votes is voting for a candidate that you don't believe in simply because you think he can win.

I have nothing against Yoruba people.. My only problem with Tinubu is that he's too old and too sick to be president that's all.

I don't know what will happen on the 25th but obi has put up an impressive fight.

If PDP doesn't win the NW and NE on election day they are going to look very stupid. Already they have lost SS and SE

Tinubu is no where in Edo

derealj:
This analysis is gotten from data gotten from the conglomeration of the various opinion polls that has been conducted. This is a turnout of 40% all things being equal

Points to note.
1. Only Atiku has the spread of 25% in 27 states of the 36, Tinubu is short of 1 state while Obi is short of 3.

2. Obi has the majority votes while Tinubu is first runner up

3. If the turnout remains like this, then Obi and Atiku will go into a run off.

4. If new voters come out for Obi, then he will win at first ballot.

5. Tinubu and Atiku cannot get more than this unless Kwankwaso steps down for either of them then they will enter a run off with Obi.

Dear Obidients, the ball is in your court, come out and vote then Obi wins at first Ballot, stay at home, then he might risk a run off.

This is likely what will happen