₦airaland Forum

Tinubu na scam!

Peter Obi or nothing

Akinpedia:
Nigeria's political circus has returned with full force, and at the center of the excitement is Peter Obi, the charismatic figurehead of the rapidly growing "Obidient" movement. The former Governor of Anambra State presents himself as the beacon of hope, promising a visionary future characterized by fiscal prudence, data-driven decision-making, and a renewed sense of ethnic unity across the nation.

However, it is crucial to cut through the overwhelming hype and recognize that Obi is not the messianic leader Nigeria desperately needs. While he is undoubtedly a polished and savvy political operator, he is navigating a game that is fundamentally skewed against political outsiders. Given Nigeria’s deeply fractured federal structure, entrenched ethnic divisions, and pervasive elite capture, Obi lacks the resilience and toughness required to steer the country effectively.

Below are six highly compelling and thoroughly ironclad reasons that strongly indicate why he is unlikely to govern Nigeria successfully in the foreseeable future.

Anambra's "Success" Was a Mirage of Selective Metrics

Obi loves touting Anambra as Nigeria's education and health powerhouse, citing WAEC rankings and hospital upgrades. But dig deeper: under his watch, Anambra's internally generated revenue (IGR) was effectively stagnant, moving from {₦}7.7 Billion in 2010 to {₦}8.7 Billion by 2013—a minimal growth of around {13%}.

Meanwhile, states like Lagos exploded IGR by 300%. His "African Star" investments? Sold off quietly post-tenure, yielding little. As analyst Chidi Amuta noted in Vanguard (2014), Obi's frugality was "austerity for show," ignoring infrastructure like the abandoned Onitsha-Owerri road. Nigeria demands builders, not bean-counters.

Igbo Presidency Dream Clashes with Nigeria's Ethnic Math

Obi pitches himself as a unifier, but his 2023 campaign was a thinly veiled Igbo power grab. He overwhelmingly swept the Southeast, gaining well over (85%+ votes) but cratered elsewhere: 1.5% in the Northwest, per INEC data. Quote from Obi's own running mate, Datti Baba-Ahmed: "We will not hand over if Buhari doesn't" (Channels TV, 2023)—a reckless flirtation with post-election chaos that alienated the North.

Nigeria's presidency rotates implicitly: Obasanjo (Southwest), Yar'Adua/Jonathan (North/South-South), Buhari (North). An Igbo leader now? It reignites 1966 pogrom fears. Obi's ethnic math doesn't add up in our zero-sum federation.

Economic Wizardry Without the National Scale Muscle

Obi boasts of leaving ₦75 billion in savings for his successor, but that's pocket change for Nigeria's ₦4.9 trillion 2013 budget. His "move money from abroad" mantra ignores capital flight realities—FDI plunged 40% under Jonathan partly due to insecurity he didn't fix. Political economist Bismarck Rewane critiqued Obi's 2023 manifesto in Financial Nigeria:

"Subnational thrift isn't national strategy; it ignores fiscal federalism." Nigeria needs Obi's hyped 70% local procurement scaled nationally? Laughable amid NNPC cabals and 36 state governors hoarding allocations. He's a state-level accountant, not a federation tamer.

Security Blind Spot: Talk Without the Walk

Obi decries "japa" youth exodus but governed Anambra during its peak kidnapping era—Bakassi Boys vigilantes were his crutch, not elite police squads. INEC's 2023 collation was disrupted in Lagos by his supporters' violence, yet he feigned shock. As ex-IGP Solomon Arase said post-2023 (Punch, 2024), Obi's "youth empowerment" ignores Boko Haram's ideological roots or banditry's ethnic ties.

Quote Obi himself: "Criminality anywhere threatens everywhere" (2023 rally). Fine words, but no blueprint for a nation where 70% of crime is in the North he barely tours. Rulers secure borders; Obi secures votes.

Policy Flip-Flops Expose a Lightweight Core

From Catholic "subsidies are fraud" (2022) to post-election subsidy silence, Obi's principles bend with polls. His 2023 manifesto promised free education—yet Anambra schools under him ranked low in teacher-pupil ratios (UNESCO 2012 data).

Political scientist Jibrin Ibrahim (Premium Times, 2023) called it "populist vagueness": no funding model for universal healthcare in a ₦21 trillion debt economy. Nigeria's core issues—true federalism, restructuring—get lip service; Obi dodges devolving police powers, fearing state anarchy. He's consistent only in campaigning, not governing.

The Labour Party Trap: No Machine for Nigeria's Jungle

Obi's LP won 6 states in 2023, but it's a personal vehicle, not a party. Without godfathers like PDP's Ayu or APC's El-Rufai networks, he'll be eaten alive. Recall Atiku's 2019 LP flirtation crumbling; Obi's post-election lawsuits fizzled at the Supreme Court.

As Reuben Abati wrote (The Cable, 2024), "Obi is a meteor, not a movement—LP has zero structure beyond Twitter." Nigeria's presidency demands patronage webs from Abuja to Sokoto. Obi? A solo act in a cabal arena.

Peter Obi certainly energizes the youth and inspires many with his message, but the reality is that Nigeria's political landscape is far from a polished TED Talk. What the nation truly needs is a street-fighter—a leader who understands the gritty, relentless nature of our brutal politics—not a Sunday school teacher who may lack the toughness required.

His time as governor revealed certain limitations, and attempting to scale those same approaches all the way to Aso Rock would likely magnify those weaknesses, potentially leading to a form of national paralysis. So, the question remains: who is genuinely prepared to have a serious, unfiltered conversation about the kind of leader Nigeria truly needs next?

You're hiding behind a finger whilst giving infantile argument.

This govt has borrowed far more money than the govts before it that paid subsidies. This is a fact!

aribisala0:
Listen this is not an OMATA meeting

I made a very specific point on purported SAVINGS from subsidy removal

Government was borrowing money to pay subsidy and that borrowing has stopped so please don't drag me into your political bitter rants

If you cannot read and comprehend English that is your problem

Left pocket, right pocket, whats the difference?

You can call your borrowing anything but bottomline is that you're borrowing far far more than the govts before you

aribisala0:
Government is still borrowing to pay subsidy?

Has borrowing stopped?

Why are you telling lies at your age?

aribisala0:
There is no money saved
Thee was no money to pay for it government was borrowing to pay for subsidy
So the borrowing stopped

What is the name of the woman so we know if she's a Christian or not

Peter Obi or nothing

ContentedMan:
It's high time Obi joins Atiku in ADC.
The clock is ticking.
Agree to deputies Atiku, and tinubu will be gone by 12noon on election day

Peter Obi is not your regular politician

APCNig:
Go and get busy with your life so that you will not end up as a street beggar. Politicians don’t care about you

Tinubu is gone. He won't go beyond 2027 May 29. Obi takes over

thesicilian:
No matter your permutations, Tinubu will emerge winner in 2027

Tinubu is not popular

fergie001:
Some things here are turning my eyes.

How anyone thinks any of these candidates will defeat Tinubu is strange to me?
Trying isn't bad anyways.

2027 will be a Christian president. The US will make sure of that

seunmsg:
Easy victory for Bola Tinubu in 2027.

Obi will defeat both Atiku and Tinubu and will be sworn in.

Nigerian youths, don't be docile

SmartPolician:
If Peter Obi joins PDP and Atiku remains in ADC, that's automatic victory for Tinubu. If I'll be in Nigeria on that election day, I won't even bother voting because some election results are predictable 2 years before the D-day.

That would be great if he joins the PDP!

Peter Obi or nothing

Validated:
Even with the spate of defections that the PDP has suffered, it still command more wards, LGs and States presence than all other opposition parties coalition.
With Turaki (SAN) at the helm of affairs, PDP is gradually rebuilding its structures. INEC unequivocally is behind the Turaki leadership, no matter what any "purchased" high court judgement may say, PDP is fielding a candidate in 2027 becauset he Supreme Court will throw away all such "buyer beware judgements".

Believe me or not, Peter Obi is their man.

Yesterday's meeting with OBJ is the first leg at bringing PO back into PDP. It is no coincidence that the very next day, we are being told Peter Obi will make a statement in January.
Once PO rejoin the PDP, the ADC, LP, and SDP will become history. All the defections, refections and infections will become effort in futility.
Just remember you read it here first time.

I can tell that some folks will not sleep this weekend, just reading this.

Likely the actions of Religion of Peace. Mossad are not suicidal but these shooters know they'll be shoot dead but wanna k1ll as many as possible which is clearly Islamic style

DomPerignon:
More like Mossad handwork.

Hardly any guns in Australia and most migrants there are Asians with Chinese and Indians accounting for well over 95%.

Mossad did this .

This is their Hannibal doctrine which they started by using helicopter gun ships to kill the concert goers in Oct 7.

Every jewish survivor of that concert has suddenly committed suicide.

Peter Obi cares for North Central. Vote massively for him and see him turn things around

Gadaffi9ja:
North Central states are basically orphan in this country, we are neither here nor there. The core north desciminate us and then the south only think about us when they need votes.

Google is free, use it

Barzinime:
You know all this cos you are living in Benin Rep?

Its affecting all of them and thats why he shouted that the military colluded with terrorists

Uptheante:
You just displayed gross ignorance here.
TY Danjuma is not Tiv by tribe, he's Chamba

Kwankwaso would have been vp but he said Obidients are like Andrew Liver salt.

He came a distant 4th, Obi inspite of being rigged to favor Tinubu, still did 5 times his munbers interms of votes and 13 times his number interms of states

Nigeria govt goofed to foil that coup because Patrice Talon has been ruling like a dictator and has made changing his canals impossible

You did not understood why i mentioned OUK and I'm telling you why but you're just stubborn

Vision101:
You haven't answered my questions. You made a claim earlier and I quashed it with questions. You are now digressing. Typical of .....

You know that Tinubu is not driving it else it can be done in less than a month.

Tinubu is lackadaisic wrt state police

LegendHero:
He already gave the National Assembly the go ahead and all the governors already keyed in. They are just working out the modalities.

You no dey read news?

LegendHero.

Why is Tinubu avoiding state police?

Orji Uzo Kanu campaigned for Lawan but Tinubu got the ticket and was rigged in. Kalu is now loyal to a fault to avoid Tinubu's retribution

Vision101:
But it wasn't Tinubu that picked up Orji Uzo Kalu. Why are you bringing this here? What did Kalu deliver to Tinubu. Show working.

The West cannot afford not to have immigrants. Their birthrate is dwindling fast below existential threshold

Tinubu and most politicians are in APC making it easy for the Nigerian Youths running through Obi to retire them for good. Watch and see!

FarahAideed:
At this point the race is between Tinubu and God , the human opposition have bungled every single chance

Peter Obi as the concensus presidential candidate of the coalition is non-negotiable

mrvitalis:
Atiku should stop being stupid and Openly declare he would do one term and hand over to Obi

Thinking you can manipulate the man is stupidity

Atiku/Obi would defeat Tinubu before 12 forget jokes

Tinubu want to turn him to Orji Uzo Kalu to deliver him votes from Anambra. Trust me this has Peter Obi written all over it

Labour Party about to go back to oblivion as they were before Peter Obi happened to them

Where is Theophillus Danjuma? Before his very eyes, there is retribution for his actions from 1966.

If not for the coming of Tinubu, how would we have known that the persons like Soyinka, Soludo, Kukah etc that we held in high esteem actually lack integrity!

How would we have known?

They're basically calling for Peter Obi because he embodies these things.

Peter Obi or nothing

Is she trying to conceive? She could be on pills and you may not know.

Washing her vagina after sex is for cleanliness to prevent odour or dripping of semen, has nothing to do with not wanting to conceive.

Discuss with her if you want her to conceive

PureSperm:
Good morning Nairalanders, Please there's this issue that has been bothering me for a while now. There's this lady whom I met and have been dating for about 3 years now.

Though we've been doing alright all these while but suddenly she started having dreams concerning my family. Last night, she had a dream and she said inside the dream, my elder sister was berating her why she hasn't gotten pregnant for me all these while.

The truth of the matter is that we've only been cohabiting for 8 months and she hasn't for once missed her period.

Whenever we made love, I always noticed that she'd go the bathroom to pee and wash her private part. I have asked many elderly people around what that means and they keep telling me she doesn't want to get pregnant. Is that even possible at all?

The other disturbing part is that her mother is a traditional religious woman who worships the gods of her village and my woman also does the same. Recently I've been considering on how to marry her and have even been working towards it, and would be around March, next year.

Please, Nairalanders, what could be the problem. Should I go ahead with the whole relationship, considering how her family background is surrounded by the traditional religious practices of her family and how fetish she's. Could that also be the reason she has been finding it very difficult to take in?


Please mods, help me push this to the front page so that I can hear from others experiences and get a wider advise on how to go about this.